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HOUSE RACE

Colorado 1st District


Where this race stands

Published ratings for Colorado 1st District, one row per rater
Rater Rating Added
Cook Political Report Solid D
Sabato's Crystal Ball Not available: Not in the source we read for this rater.
Split Ticket Not available: Not in the source we read for this rater.
FiftyPlusOne Not available: Not in the source we read for this rater.
Thin Gold model Safe D · more than 19 in 20 chance for Democrats

Our model's lean sits inside the range of the raters covering this race.

Model output from our win-odds simulation, under calibration review. Methodology

See the full forecast →
On the November ballot

We do not carry Colorado's certified primary result.

Colorado Secretary of State publishes the certified primary result on its official results page.

Colorado's published terms restrict reuse of its election data, and we honor that.

Colorado held its primary on June 30, 2026.

What we know

  • Per Wikipedia, Melat Kiros won the Democratic primary. As of October 17, 2026 · Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), cross-checked against FEC filings · Not state-certified
  • Per Wikipedia, Christy Peterson won the Republican primary. As of October 18, 2026 · Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), cross-checked against FEC filings · Not state-certified

Colorado's 1st congressional district carries a partisan baseline of D+57.72, a margin that places it among the most lopsided districts in the country. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid D (Added 2026-08-25); cookpolitical.com carries the most current ratings and analysis. At that scale of partisan alignment, the race draws its significance from local political-economic dynamics rather than from any uncertainty about the outcome. The district's composition makes it a place where Democratic coalition politics, labor organizing traditions, and debates over urban economic concentration play out with little electoral pressure from the Republican side. What happens within the Democratic coalition here, including which policy priorities get amplified and which donor relationships get reinforced, shapes representation in ways that conventional competitive-race analysis tends to underweight. No polling or fundraising data is available in our current fact table for this race, which is consistent with how low-competition districts attract resources: money and attention concentrate where margins are thin. That dynamic is itself a structural fact worth noting. Districts at this end of the spectrum rarely generate the accountability pressures that come from contested general elections, which means the political-economic relationships embedded in the local party infrastructure tend to persist with less external scrutiny.

Campaign finance · FEC

Democratic

Raised
$3.1M
Cash on hand
$446.7K

Campaign finance · FEC

Republican

Raised
$2.1K
Cash on hand
$1.7K

Federal Election Commission filings, as of Jun 30, 2026.

District demographics · Census ACS


Median household income
$94,592 (±$1,718)
Median gross rent, monthly
$1,832 (±$17)
People below the poverty line
11.2% (±0.5%)
People without health insurance
9.0% (±0.4%)
Renter households paying 30% or more of income on rent
47.6% (±1.3%)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 , 119th Congress district lines (this district is unchanged for 2026); the survey window ends Dec 31, 2024. Survey estimates; the figure after ± is the 90% margin of error. The renter-burden share is derived by Thin Gold from two published Census percentages. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Election information


Voter registration deadline
Not shown. The federal form states this deadline in words that are not a plain "N days before the election" rule, so we do not compute a date. We have not yet built a reader for this state's election office, so no state-published date is shown.
Early voting
Not shown. We have not yet built a reader for this state's election office, so no state-published date is shown.

What is not on this page

  • Candidate issue positions are not shown. We list a position only when it is tied to a named, dated source.
  • No individual poll results are compiled for this race.
  • The previous result for this seat is not shown: we hold no certified results record for it yet.
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