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Race Tracker

2026 Race Tracker

Senate card tracker and House race table rated by competitiveness, with candidate matchups and populist alignment.


Chamber
Rating
Senate
Lean R
Alaska
Mary Peltola (D) vs Dan Sullivan (R)
Tilt High
Senate
Solid R
Alabama
Tommy Tuberville (R)
Safe Moderate
Senate
Solid R
Arkansas
Tom Cotton (R)
Safe Low
Senate
Solid D
Colorado
John Hickenlooper (D)
Safe Low
Senate
Solid D
Delaware
Chris Coons (D)
Safe Low
Senate
Likely R
Florida (Special)
Primary Aug 18: Vindman, Mucarsel-Powell (D) vs Ashley Moody (R)
Safe Low
Senate
Toss-Up
Georgia
Jon Ossoff (D) vs R primary: Carter, Collins (R)
Competitive Moderate
Senate
Likely R
Iowa
Primary June 2: Wahls, Turek (D) vs Ashley Hinson (R)
Safe Moderate
Senate
Solid R
Idaho
Jim Risch (R)
Safe Low
Senate
Likely D
Illinois
Juliana Stratton (D)
Safe Moderate
Senate
Solid R
Kansas
Roger Marshall (R)
Safe Low
Senate
Likely R
Kentucky
Primary May 19: Booker, McGrath (D) vs Primary May 19: Cameron, Barr, Morris (R)
Tilt High
Senate
Likely R
Louisiana
Runoff June 27: Letlow, Fleming (R)
Safe High
Senate
Solid D
Massachusetts
Primary Sep 1: Markey, Moulton (D)
Safe Moderate
Senate
Toss-Up
Maine
Primary June 9: Platner, Mills, Costello (D) vs Susan Collins (R)
Competitive High
Senate
Toss-Up
Michigan
Primary Aug 4: McMorrow, El-Sayed, Stevens (D) vs Mike Rogers (R)
Competitive High
Senate
Likely D
Minnesota
Primary Aug 4: Flanagan, Craig (D) vs Michele Tafoya (R)
Safe Moderate
Senate
Solid R
Mississippi
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
Safe Low
Senate
Likely R
Montana
Reilly Neill (weak field) (D) vs Primary June 2: Kurt Alme (R)
Safe Moderate
Senate
Toss-Up
North Carolina
Roy Cooper (D) vs Michael Whatley (R)
Competitive Moderate
Senate
Likely R
Nebraska
Cindy Burbank (D) vs Pete Ricketts (R)
Tilt High
Senate
Lean D
New Hampshire
Chris Pappas (D) vs Primary: John E. Sununu, Scott Brown (R)
Tilt Moderate
Senate
Solid D
New Jersey
Cory Booker (D)
Safe Low
Senate
Solid D
New Mexico
Ben Ray Luján (D)
Safe Moderate
Senate
Lean R
Ohio
Sherrod Brown (D) vs Jon Husted (R)
Tilt High
Senate
Solid R
Oklahoma
James Lankford (R)
Safe Low
Senate
Solid D
Oregon
Jeff Merkley (D)
Safe High
Senate
Solid D
Rhode Island
Jack Reed (D)
Safe Low
Senate
Solid R
South Carolina
Lindsey Graham (R)
Safe Low
Senate
Solid R
South Dakota
Mike Rounds (R)
Safe Low
Senate
Solid R
Tennessee
Bill Hagerty (R)
Safe Low
Senate
Likely R
Texas
James Talarico (D) vs Runoff May 26: Cornyn vs Paxton (R)
Tilt High
Senate
Solid D
Virginia
Mark Warner (D)
Safe Low
Senate
Solid R
West Virginia
Shelley Moore Capito (R)
Safe Moderate
Senate
Solid R
Wyoming
Cynthia Lummis (R)
Safe Low