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2026 election guide

Races

Senate card tracker, House race table and 2026 governor races rated by competitiveness, with candidate matchups and populist alignment.

Re-verified and open: 262 of 470.

Fig. 1 · The House battlefield 435 seats · Ratings added October 18, 2026 · Baselines as of October 3, 2026
  • Solid D
  • Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Toss-Up
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Solid R
  • Settled · 2024 baseline
  • Unclassified
The House battlefield A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure. AK-AL · settled, baseline R+11.5ME-01 · Solid D (rated)ME-02 · Lean R (rated)VT-AL · Solid D (rated)NH-01 · settled, baseline D+3.6NH-02 · settled, baseline D+5.2WA-01 · Solid D (rated)WA-02 · Solid D (rated)WA-03 · Lean D (rated)WA-04 · Solid R (rated)WA-05 · Solid R (rated)WA-06 · Solid D (rated)WA-07 · Solid D (rated)WA-08 · Solid D (rated)WA-09 · Solid D (rated)WA-10 · Solid D (rated)ID-01 · Solid R (rated)ID-02 · Solid R (rated)MT-01 · Lean R (rated)MT-02 · Solid R (rated)ND-AL · Solid R (rated)MN-01 · settled, baseline R+10.3MN-02 · settled, baseline D+7.5MN-03 · settled, baseline D+22.9MN-04 · settled, baseline D+37.3MN-05 · settled, baseline D+63.5MN-06 · settled, baseline R+18.0MN-07 · settled, baseline R+34.8MN-08 · settled, baseline R+12.6IL-01 · settled, baseline D+33.7IL-02 · settled, baseline D+34.8IL-03 · settled, baseline D+33.0IL-04 · settled, baseline D+30.0IL-05 · settled, baseline D+38.8IL-06 · settled, baseline D+7.1IL-07 · settled, baseline D+67.0IL-08 · settled, baseline D+8.6IL-09 · settled, baseline D+38.2IL-10 · settled, baseline D+23.7IL-11 · settled, baseline D+13.1IL-12 · settled, baseline R+41.8IL-13 · settled, baseline D+12.1IL-14 · settled, baseline D+6.8IL-15 · settled, baseline R+38.1IL-16 · settled, baseline R+21.0IL-17 · settled, baseline D+6.4WI-01 · settled, baseline R+2.9WI-02 · settled, baseline D+41.8WI-03 · settled, baseline R+5.8WI-04 · settled, baseline D+53.2WI-05 · settled, baseline R+20.5WI-06 · settled, baseline R+14.8WI-07 · settled, baseline R+20.9WI-08 · settled, baseline R+14.6MI-01 · settled, baseline R+19.6MI-02 · settled, baseline R+28.4MI-03 · settled, baseline D+9.5MI-04 · settled, baseline R+3.9MI-05 · settled, baseline R+25.4MI-06 · settled, baseline D+25.0MI-07 · settled, baseline D+0.4MI-08 · settled, baseline R+0.3MI-09 · settled, baseline R+30.7MI-10 · settled, baseline R+4.9MI-11 · settled, baseline D+17.7MI-12 · settled, baseline D+39.6MI-13 · settled, baseline D+42.7NY-01 · settled, baseline R+8.4NY-02 · settled, baseline R+12.3NY-03 · settled, baseline R+2.6NY-04 · settled, baseline D+2.9NY-05 · settled, baseline D+43.8NY-06 · settled, baseline D+8.1NY-07 · settled, baseline D+47.5NY-08 · settled, baseline D+45.6NY-09 · settled, baseline D+42.3NY-10 · settled, baseline D+62.1NY-11 · settled, baseline R+22.7NY-12 · settled, baseline D+65.3NY-13 · settled, baseline D+60.9NY-14 · settled, baseline D+33.4NY-15 · settled, baseline D+49.9NY-16 · settled, baseline D+34.8NY-17 · settled, baseline D+2.2NY-18 · settled, baseline D+5.0NY-19 · settled, baseline D+3.4NY-20 · settled, baseline D+15.8NY-21 · settled, baseline R+19.0NY-22 · settled, baseline D+9.3NY-23 · settled, baseline R+19.4NY-24 · settled, baseline R+21.4NY-25 · settled, baseline D+20.1NY-26 · settled, baseline D+20.9RI-01 · Solid D (rated)RI-02 · Solid D (rated)MA-01 · settled, baseline D+15.3MA-02 · Solid D (rated)MA-03 · settled, baseline D+20.6MA-04 · settled, baseline D+21.4MA-05 · Solid D (rated)MA-06 · settled, baseline D+22.3MA-07 · Solid D (rated)MA-08 · settled, baseline D+28.1MA-09 · settled, baseline D+12.4OR-01 · Solid D (rated)OR-02 · Solid R (rated)OR-03 · Solid D (rated)OR-04 · Solid D (rated)OR-05 · Solid D (rated)OR-06 · Solid D (rated)NV-01 · settled, baseline D+3.9NV-02 · settled, baseline R+12.3NV-03 · settled, baseline D+0.9NV-04 · settled, baseline D+4.0WY-AL · Solid R (rated)SD-AL · Solid R (rated)IA-01 · Lean D (rated)IA-02 · Toss-Up (rated)IA-03 · Lean D (rated)IA-04 · Solid R (rated)IN-01 · Likely D (rated)IN-02 · Solid R (rated)IN-03 · Solid R (rated)IN-04 · Solid R (rated)IN-05 · Likely R (rated)IN-06 · Solid R (rated)IN-07 · Solid D (rated)IN-08 · Solid R (rated)IN-09 · Solid R (rated)OH-01 · Likely D (rated)OH-02 · Solid R (rated)OH-03 · Solid D (rated)OH-04 · Solid R (rated)OH-05 · Solid R (rated)OH-06 · Solid R (rated)OH-07 · Toss-Up (rated)OH-08 · Solid R (rated)OH-09 · Toss-Up (rated)OH-10 · Lean R (rated)OH-11 · Solid D (rated)OH-12 · Solid R (rated)OH-13 · Likely D (rated)OH-14 · Solid R (rated)OH-15 · Lean R (rated)PA-01 · settled, baseline D+2.0PA-02 · settled, baseline D+37.4PA-03 · settled, baseline D+79.0PA-04 · settled, baseline D+17.4PA-05 · settled, baseline D+30.3PA-06 · settled, baseline D+13.1PA-07 · settled, baseline R+1.6PA-08 · settled, baseline R+6.8PA-09 · settled, baseline R+36.3PA-10 · settled, baseline R+3.6PA-11 · settled, baseline R+19.7PA-12 · settled, baseline D+20.8PA-13 · settled, baseline R+43.9PA-14 · settled, baseline R+31.7PA-15 · settled, baseline R+36.3PA-16 · settled, baseline R+21.1PA-17 · settled, baseline D+7.2NJ-01 · settled, baseline D+20.4NJ-02 · settled, baseline R+10.9NJ-03 · settled, baseline D+10.0NJ-04 · settled, baseline R+28.5NJ-05 · settled, baseline D+3.2NJ-06 · settled, baseline D+8.1NJ-07 · settled, baseline D+0.5NJ-08 · settled, baseline D+25.8NJ-09 · settled, baseline D+0.5NJ-10 · settled, baseline D+52.4NJ-11 · settled, baseline D+10.4NJ-12 · settled, baseline D+25.5CT-01 · settled, baseline D+24.5CT-02 · settled, baseline D+9.4CT-03 · settled, baseline D+15.7CT-04 · settled, baseline D+25.0CT-05 · settled, baseline D+7.2CA-01 · Solid D (rated)CA-02 · Solid D (rated)CA-03 · Solid D (rated)CA-04 · Solid D (rated)CA-05 · Solid R (rated)CA-06 · Solid D (rated)CA-07 · Solid D (rated)CA-08 · Solid D (rated)CA-09 · Solid D (rated)CA-10 · Solid D (rated)CA-11 · Solid D (rated)CA-12 · Solid D (rated)CA-13 · Lean D (rated)CA-14 · Solid D (rated)CA-15 · Solid D (rated)CA-16 · Solid D (rated)CA-17 · Solid D (rated)CA-18 · Solid D (rated)CA-19 · Solid D (rated)CA-20 · Solid R (rated)CA-21 · Likely D (rated)CA-22 · Toss-Up (rated)CA-23 · Solid R (rated)CA-24 · Solid D (rated)CA-25 · Solid D (rated)CA-26 · Solid D (rated)CA-27 · Solid D (rated)CA-28 · Solid D (rated)CA-29 · Solid D (rated)CA-30 · Solid D (rated)CA-31 · Solid D (rated)CA-32 · Solid D (rated)CA-33 · Solid D (rated)CA-34 · Solid D (rated)CA-35 · Solid D (rated)CA-36 · Solid D (rated)CA-37 · Solid D (rated)CA-38 · Solid D (rated)CA-39 · Solid D (rated)CA-40 · Solid R (rated)CA-41 · Solid D (rated)CA-42 · Solid D (rated)CA-43 · Solid D (rated)CA-44 · Solid D (rated)CA-45 · Likely D (rated)CA-46 · Solid D (rated)CA-47 · Solid D (rated)CA-48 · Lean D (rated)CA-49 · Solid D (rated)CA-50 · Solid D (rated)CA-51 · Solid D (rated)CA-52 · Solid D (rated)UT-01 · Solid D (rated)UT-02 · Solid R (rated)UT-03 · Solid R (rated)UT-04 · Solid R (rated)CO-01 · settled, baseline D+57.7CO-02 · settled, baseline D+41.4CO-03 · settled, baseline R+8.1CO-04 · settled, baseline R+16.6CO-05 · settled, baseline R+7.4CO-06 · settled, baseline D+21.4CO-07 · settled, baseline D+16.6CO-08 · settled, baseline R+0.2NE-01 · settled, baseline R+11.4NE-02 · settled, baseline D+6.3NE-03 · settled, baseline R+52.1MO-01 · Solid D (rated)MO-02 · Likely R (rated)MO-03 · Solid R (rated)MO-04 · Solid R (rated)MO-05 · Solid D (rated)MO-06 · Solid R (rated)MO-07 · Solid R (rated)MO-08 · Solid R (rated)KY-01 · Solid R (rated)KY-02 · Solid R (rated)KY-03 · Solid D (rated)KY-04 · Solid R (rated)KY-05 · Solid R (rated)KY-06 · Likely R (rated)WV-01 · Solid R (rated)WV-02 · Solid R (rated)VA-01 · settled, baseline R+3.3VA-02 · settled, baseline D+1.4VA-03 · settled, baseline D+36.3VA-04 · settled, baseline D+34.4VA-05 · settled, baseline R+10.6VA-06 · settled, baseline R+22.2VA-07 · settled, baseline D+4.5VA-08 · settled, baseline D+51.4VA-09 · settled, baseline R+42.4VA-10 · settled, baseline D+10.0VA-11 · settled, baseline D+35.9MD-01 · Solid R (rated)MD-02 · Solid D (rated)MD-03 · Solid D (rated)MD-04 · Solid D (rated)MD-05 · Solid D (rated)MD-06 · Solid D (rated)MD-07 · Solid D (rated)MD-08 · Solid D (rated)DE-AL · Solid D (rated)AZ-01 · settled, baseline R+1.5AZ-02 · settled, baseline R+13.3AZ-03 · settled, baseline D+41.4AZ-04 · settled, baseline D+8.3AZ-05 · settled, baseline R+18.3AZ-06 · settled, baseline D+0.9AZ-07 · settled, baseline D+23.8AZ-08 · settled, baseline R+14.7AZ-09 · settled, baseline R+29.4NM-01 · Solid D (rated)NM-02 · Lean D (rated)NM-03 · Solid D (rated)KS-01 · Solid R (rated)KS-02 · Solid R (rated)KS-03 · Solid D (rated)KS-04 · Solid R (rated)AR-01 · settled, baseline R+43.6AR-02 · settled, baseline R+13.9AR-03 · settled, baseline R+23.2AR-04 · settled, baseline R+38.3TN-01 · settled, baseline R+56.2TN-02 · settled, baseline R+32.2TN-03 · settled, baseline R+34.1TN-04 · settled, baseline R+22.3TN-05 · settled, baseline R+21.4TN-06 · settled, baseline R+24.9TN-07 · settled, baseline R+20.8TN-08 · settled, baseline R+18.5TN-09 · settled, baseline R+19.5NC-01 · Toss-Up (rated)NC-02 · Solid D (rated)NC-03 · Solid R (rated)NC-04 · Solid D (rated)NC-05 · Solid R (rated)NC-06 · Solid R (rated)NC-07 · Solid R (rated)NC-08 · Solid R (rated)NC-09 · Solid R (rated)NC-10 · Solid R (rated)NC-11 · Toss-Up (rated)NC-12 · Solid D (rated)NC-13 · Solid R (rated)NC-14 · Solid R (rated)SC-01 · Likely R (rated)SC-02 · Solid R (rated)SC-03 · Solid R (rated)SC-04 · Solid R (rated)SC-05 · Solid R (rated)SC-06 · Solid D (rated)SC-07 · Solid R (rated)OK-01 · Solid R (rated)OK-02 · Solid R (rated)OK-03 · Solid R (rated)OK-04 · Solid R (rated)OK-05 · Solid R (rated)LA-01 · Solid R (rated)LA-02 · Solid D (rated)LA-03 · Solid R (rated)LA-04 · Solid R (rated)LA-05 · Solid R (rated)LA-06 · Solid R (rated)MS-01 · Solid R (rated)MS-02 · Solid D (rated)MS-03 · Solid R (rated)MS-04 · Solid R (rated)AL-01 · Solid R (rated)AL-02 · Likely R (rated)AL-03 · Solid R (rated)AL-04 · Solid R (rated)AL-05 · Solid R (rated)AL-06 · Solid R (rated)AL-07 · Solid D (rated)GA-01 · Solid R (rated)GA-02 · Solid D (rated)GA-03 · Solid R (rated)GA-04 · Solid D (rated)GA-05 · Solid D (rated)GA-06 · Solid D (rated)GA-07 · Solid R (rated)GA-08 · Solid R (rated)GA-09 · Solid R (rated)GA-10 · Solid R (rated)GA-11 · Solid R (rated)GA-12 · Solid R (rated)GA-13 · Solid D (rated)GA-14 · Solid R (rated)HI-01 · Solid D (rated)HI-02 · Solid D (rated)TX-01 · Solid R (rated)TX-02 · Solid R (rated)TX-03 · Solid R (rated)TX-04 · Solid R (rated)TX-05 · Solid R (rated)TX-06 · Solid R (rated)TX-07 · Solid D (rated)TX-08 · Solid R (rated)TX-09 · Likely R (rated)TX-10 · Solid R (rated)TX-11 · Solid R (rated)TX-12 · Solid R (rated)TX-13 · Solid R (rated)TX-14 · Solid R (rated)TX-15 · Toss-Up (rated)TX-16 · Solid D (rated)TX-17 · Solid R (rated)TX-18 · Solid D (rated)TX-19 · Solid R (rated)TX-20 · Solid D (rated)TX-21 · Solid R (rated)TX-22 · Solid R (rated)TX-23 · Likely R (rated)TX-24 · Solid R (rated)TX-25 · Solid R (rated)TX-26 · Solid R (rated)TX-27 · Solid R (rated)TX-28 · Lean D (rated)TX-29 · Solid D (rated)TX-30 · Solid D (rated)TX-31 · Solid R (rated)TX-32 · Solid R (rated)TX-33 · Solid D (rated)TX-34 · Toss-Up (rated)TX-35 · Lean R (rated)TX-36 · Solid R (rated)TX-37 · Solid D (rated)TX-38 · Solid R (rated)FL-01 · settled, baseline R+35.5FL-02 · settled, baseline R+16.4FL-03 · settled, baseline R+19.5FL-04 · settled, baseline R+10.2FL-05 · settled, baseline R+19.8FL-06 · settled, baseline R+28.4FL-07 · settled, baseline R+10.8FL-08 · settled, baseline R+14.6FL-09 · settled, baseline R+16.1FL-10 · settled, baseline D+25.6FL-11 · settled, baseline R+14.0FL-12 · settled, baseline R+13.7FL-13 · settled, baseline R+11.7FL-14 · settled, baseline R+8.9FL-15 · settled, baseline R+18.2FL-16 · settled, baseline R+12.1FL-17 · settled, baseline R+20.4FL-18 · settled, baseline R+15.3FL-19 · settled, baseline R+28.6FL-20 · settled, baseline D+38.8FL-21 · settled, baseline R+14.6FL-22 · settled, baseline R+8.6FL-23 · settled, baseline D+15.4FL-24 · settled, baseline D+40.4FL-25 · settled, baseline R+7.5FL-26 · settled, baseline R+16.7FL-27 · settled, baseline R+12.9FL-28 · settled, baseline R+23.8

Northeast

  • ME-02 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 7 races
  • MA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MA-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • ME-01 Solid D (rated)
  • RI-01 Solid D (rated)
  • RI-02 Solid D (rated)
  • VT-AL Solid D (rated)
CT · 5
MA · 6
NH · 2
NJ · 12
NY · 26
PA · 17

Midwest

  • IA-01 Lean D (rated)
  • IA-02 Toss-Up (rated)
  • IA-03 Lean D (rated)
  • OH-07 Toss-Up (rated)
  • OH-09 Toss-Up (rated)
  • OH-10 Lean R (rated)
  • OH-15 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 35 races
  • IA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-01 Likely D (rated)
  • IN-02 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-03 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-04 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-05 Likely R (rated)
  • IN-06 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-07 Solid D (rated)
  • IN-08 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-09 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-01 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-02 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-03 Solid D (rated)
  • KS-04 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-01 Solid D (rated)
  • MO-02 Likely R (rated)
  • MO-03 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-04 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MO-06 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-07 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-08 Solid R (rated)
  • ND-AL Solid R (rated)
  • OH-01 Likely D (rated)
  • OH-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OH-04 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-05 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-06 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-08 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-11 Solid D (rated)
  • OH-12 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-13 Likely D (rated)
  • OH-14 Solid R (rated)
  • SD-AL Solid R (rated)
IL · 17
MI · 13
MN · 8
NE · 3
WI · 8

South

  • NC-01 Toss-Up (rated)
  • NC-11 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-15 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-28 Lean D (rated)
  • TX-34 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-35 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 106 races
  • AL-01 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-02 Likely R (rated)
  • AL-03 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-04 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-05 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-06 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-07 Solid D (rated)
  • DE-AL Solid D (rated)
  • GA-01 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-03 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-04 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-05 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-07 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-08 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-09 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-10 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-11 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-12 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-13 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-14 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-01 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-02 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-03 Solid D (rated)
  • KY-04 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-05 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-06 Likely R (rated)
  • LA-01 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • LA-03 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-06 Solid R (rated)
  • MD-01 Solid R (rated)
  • MD-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-03 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-04 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-06 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-07 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-08 Solid D (rated)
  • MS-01 Solid R (rated)
  • MS-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MS-03 Solid R (rated)
  • MS-04 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-02 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-03 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-04 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-05 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-06 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-07 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-08 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-09 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-10 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-12 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-13 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-14 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-01 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-03 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-04 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-05 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-01 Likely R (rated)
  • SC-02 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-03 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-04 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-05 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-06 Solid D (rated)
  • SC-07 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-01 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-02 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-03 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-04 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-05 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-06 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-07 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-08 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-09 Likely R (rated)
  • TX-10 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-11 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-12 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-13 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-14 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-16 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-17 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-18 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-19 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-20 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-21 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-22 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-23 Likely R (rated)
  • TX-24 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-25 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-26 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-27 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-29 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-30 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-31 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-32 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-33 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-36 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-37 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-38 Solid R (rated)
  • WV-01 Solid R (rated)
  • WV-02 Solid R (rated)
AR · 4
FL · 28
TN · 9
VA · 11

West

  • CA-13 Lean D (rated)
  • CA-22 Toss-Up (rated)
  • CA-48 Lean D (rated)
  • MT-01 Lean R (rated)
  • NM-02 Lean D (rated)
  • WA-03 Lean D (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 76 races
  • CA-01 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-03 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-04 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-08 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-09 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-10 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-11 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-12 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-14 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-15 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-16 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-17 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-18 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-19 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-20 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-21 Likely D (rated)
  • CA-23 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-24 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-25 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-26 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-27 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-28 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-29 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-30 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-31 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-32 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-33 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-34 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-35 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-36 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-37 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-38 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-39 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-40 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-41 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-42 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-43 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-44 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-45 Likely D (rated)
  • CA-46 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-47 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-49 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-50 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-51 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-52 Solid D (rated)
  • HI-01 Solid D (rated)
  • HI-02 Solid D (rated)
  • ID-01 Solid R (rated)
  • ID-02 Solid R (rated)
  • MT-02 Solid R (rated)
  • NM-01 Solid D (rated)
  • NM-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-01 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OR-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-04 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-05 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-06 Solid D (rated)
  • UT-01 Solid D (rated)
  • UT-02 Solid R (rated)
  • UT-03 Solid R (rated)
  • UT-04 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-01 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-08 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-09 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-10 Solid D (rated)
  • WY-AL Solid R (rated)
AK · 1
AZ · 9
CO · 8
NV · 4
A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure.
District Status Baseline
AK-ALSettledR+11.5
AL-01Solid R (rated)
AL-02Likely R (rated)
AL-03Solid R (rated)
AL-04Solid R (rated)
AL-05Solid R (rated)
AL-06Solid R (rated)
AL-07Solid D (rated)
AR-01SettledR+43.6
AR-02SettledR+13.9
AR-03SettledR+23.2
AR-04SettledR+38.3
AZ-01SettledR+1.5
AZ-02SettledR+13.3
AZ-03SettledD+41.4
AZ-04SettledD+8.3
AZ-05SettledR+18.3
AZ-06SettledD+0.9
AZ-07SettledD+23.8
AZ-08SettledR+14.7
AZ-09SettledR+29.4
CA-01Solid D (rated)
CA-02Solid D (rated)
CA-03Solid D (rated)
CA-04Solid D (rated)
CA-05Solid R (rated)
CA-06Solid D (rated)
CA-07Solid D (rated)
CA-08Solid D (rated)
CA-09Solid D (rated)
CA-10Solid D (rated)
CA-11Solid D (rated)
CA-12Solid D (rated)
CA-13Lean D (rated)
CA-14Solid D (rated)
CA-15Solid D (rated)
CA-16Solid D (rated)
CA-17Solid D (rated)
CA-18Solid D (rated)
CA-19Solid D (rated)
CA-20Solid R (rated)
CA-21Likely D (rated)
CA-22Toss-Up (rated)
CA-23Solid R (rated)
CA-24Solid D (rated)
CA-25Solid D (rated)
CA-26Solid D (rated)
CA-27Solid D (rated)
CA-28Solid D (rated)
CA-29Solid D (rated)
CA-30Solid D (rated)
CA-31Solid D (rated)
CA-32Solid D (rated)
CA-33Solid D (rated)
CA-34Solid D (rated)
CA-35Solid D (rated)
CA-36Solid D (rated)
CA-37Solid D (rated)
CA-38Solid D (rated)
CA-39Solid D (rated)
CA-40Solid R (rated)
CA-41Solid D (rated)
CA-42Solid D (rated)
CA-43Solid D (rated)
CA-44Solid D (rated)
CA-45Likely D (rated)
CA-46Solid D (rated)
CA-47Solid D (rated)
CA-48Lean D (rated)
CA-49Solid D (rated)
CA-50Solid D (rated)
CA-51Solid D (rated)
CA-52Solid D (rated)
CO-01SettledD+57.7
CO-02SettledD+41.4
CO-03SettledR+8.1
CO-04SettledR+16.6
CO-05SettledR+7.4
CO-06SettledD+21.4
CO-07SettledD+16.6
CO-08SettledR+0.2
CT-01SettledD+24.5
CT-02SettledD+9.4
CT-03SettledD+15.7
CT-04SettledD+25.0
CT-05SettledD+7.2
DE-ALSolid D (rated)
FL-01SettledR+35.5
FL-02SettledR+16.4
FL-03SettledR+19.5
FL-04SettledR+10.2
FL-05SettledR+19.8
FL-06SettledR+28.4
FL-07SettledR+10.8
FL-08SettledR+14.6
FL-09SettledR+16.1
FL-10SettledD+25.6
FL-11SettledR+14.0
FL-12SettledR+13.7
FL-13SettledR+11.7
FL-14SettledR+8.9
FL-15SettledR+18.2
FL-16SettledR+12.1
FL-17SettledR+20.4
FL-18SettledR+15.3
FL-19SettledR+28.6
FL-20SettledD+38.8
FL-21SettledR+14.6
FL-22SettledR+8.6
FL-23SettledD+15.4
FL-24SettledD+40.4
FL-25SettledR+7.5
FL-26SettledR+16.7
FL-27SettledR+12.9
FL-28SettledR+23.8
GA-01Solid R (rated)
GA-02Solid D (rated)
GA-03Solid R (rated)
GA-04Solid D (rated)
GA-05Solid D (rated)
GA-06Solid D (rated)
GA-07Solid R (rated)
GA-08Solid R (rated)
GA-09Solid R (rated)
GA-10Solid R (rated)
GA-11Solid R (rated)
GA-12Solid R (rated)
GA-13Solid D (rated)
GA-14Solid R (rated)
HI-01Solid D (rated)
HI-02Solid D (rated)
IA-01Lean D (rated)
IA-02Toss-Up (rated)
IA-03Lean D (rated)
IA-04Solid R (rated)
ID-01Solid R (rated)
ID-02Solid R (rated)
IL-01SettledD+33.7
IL-02SettledD+34.8
IL-03SettledD+33.0
IL-04SettledD+30.0
IL-05SettledD+38.8
IL-06SettledD+7.1
IL-07SettledD+67.0
IL-08SettledD+8.6
IL-09SettledD+38.2
IL-10SettledD+23.7
IL-11SettledD+13.1
IL-12SettledR+41.8
IL-13SettledD+12.1
IL-14SettledD+6.8
IL-15SettledR+38.1
IL-16SettledR+21.0
IL-17SettledD+6.4
IN-01Likely D (rated)
IN-02Solid R (rated)
IN-03Solid R (rated)
IN-04Solid R (rated)
IN-05Likely R (rated)
IN-06Solid R (rated)
IN-07Solid D (rated)
IN-08Solid R (rated)
IN-09Solid R (rated)
KS-01Solid R (rated)
KS-02Solid R (rated)
KS-03Solid D (rated)
KS-04Solid R (rated)
KY-01Solid R (rated)
KY-02Solid R (rated)
KY-03Solid D (rated)
KY-04Solid R (rated)
KY-05Solid R (rated)
KY-06Likely R (rated)
LA-01Solid R (rated)
LA-02Solid D (rated)
LA-03Solid R (rated)
LA-04Solid R (rated)
LA-05Solid R (rated)
LA-06Solid R (rated)
MA-01SettledD+15.3
MA-02Solid D (rated)
MA-03SettledD+20.6
MA-04SettledD+21.4
MA-05Solid D (rated)
MA-06SettledD+22.3
MA-07Solid D (rated)
MA-08SettledD+28.1
MA-09SettledD+12.4
MD-01Solid R (rated)
MD-02Solid D (rated)
MD-03Solid D (rated)
MD-04Solid D (rated)
MD-05Solid D (rated)
MD-06Solid D (rated)
MD-07Solid D (rated)
MD-08Solid D (rated)
ME-01Solid D (rated)
ME-02Lean R (rated)
MI-01SettledR+19.6
MI-02SettledR+28.4
MI-03SettledD+9.5
MI-04SettledR+3.9
MI-05SettledR+25.4
MI-06SettledD+25.0
MI-07SettledD+0.4
MI-08SettledR+0.3
MI-09SettledR+30.7
MI-10SettledR+4.9
MI-11SettledD+17.7
MI-12SettledD+39.6
MI-13SettledD+42.7
MN-01SettledR+10.3
MN-02SettledD+7.5
MN-03SettledD+22.9
MN-04SettledD+37.3
MN-05SettledD+63.5
MN-06SettledR+18.0
MN-07SettledR+34.8
MN-08SettledR+12.6
MO-01Solid D (rated)
MO-02Likely R (rated)
MO-03Solid R (rated)
MO-04Solid R (rated)
MO-05Solid D (rated)
MO-06Solid R (rated)
MO-07Solid R (rated)
MO-08Solid R (rated)
MS-01Solid R (rated)
MS-02Solid D (rated)
MS-03Solid R (rated)
MS-04Solid R (rated)
MT-01Lean R (rated)
MT-02Solid R (rated)
NC-01Toss-Up (rated)
NC-02Solid D (rated)
NC-03Solid R (rated)
NC-04Solid D (rated)
NC-05Solid R (rated)
NC-06Solid R (rated)
NC-07Solid R (rated)
NC-08Solid R (rated)
NC-09Solid R (rated)
NC-10Solid R (rated)
NC-11Toss-Up (rated)
NC-12Solid D (rated)
NC-13Solid R (rated)
NC-14Solid R (rated)
ND-ALSolid R (rated)
NE-01SettledR+11.4
NE-02SettledD+6.3
NE-03SettledR+52.1
NH-01SettledD+3.6
NH-02SettledD+5.2
NJ-01SettledD+20.4
NJ-02SettledR+10.9
NJ-03SettledD+10.0
NJ-04SettledR+28.5
NJ-05SettledD+3.2
NJ-06SettledD+8.1
NJ-07SettledD+0.5
NJ-08SettledD+25.8
NJ-09SettledD+0.5
NJ-10SettledD+52.4
NJ-11SettledD+10.4
NJ-12SettledD+25.5
NM-01Solid D (rated)
NM-02Lean D (rated)
NM-03Solid D (rated)
NV-01SettledD+3.9
NV-02SettledR+12.3
NV-03SettledD+0.9
NV-04SettledD+4.0
NY-01SettledR+8.4
NY-02SettledR+12.3
NY-03SettledR+2.6
NY-04SettledD+2.9
NY-05SettledD+43.8
NY-06SettledD+8.1
NY-07SettledD+47.5
NY-08SettledD+45.6
NY-09SettledD+42.3
NY-10SettledD+62.1
NY-11SettledR+22.7
NY-12SettledD+65.3
NY-13SettledD+60.9
NY-14SettledD+33.4
NY-15SettledD+49.9
NY-16SettledD+34.8
NY-17SettledD+2.2
NY-18SettledD+5.0
NY-19SettledD+3.4
NY-20SettledD+15.8
NY-21SettledR+19.0
NY-22SettledD+9.3
NY-23SettledR+19.4
NY-24SettledR+21.4
NY-25SettledD+20.1
NY-26SettledD+20.9
OH-01Likely D (rated)
OH-02Solid R (rated)
OH-03Solid D (rated)
OH-04Solid R (rated)
OH-05Solid R (rated)
OH-06Solid R (rated)
OH-07Toss-Up (rated)
OH-08Solid R (rated)
OH-09Toss-Up (rated)
OH-10Lean R (rated)
OH-11Solid D (rated)
OH-12Solid R (rated)
OH-13Likely D (rated)
OH-14Solid R (rated)
OH-15Lean R (rated)
OK-01Solid R (rated)
OK-02Solid R (rated)
OK-03Solid R (rated)
OK-04Solid R (rated)
OK-05Solid R (rated)
OR-01Solid D (rated)
OR-02Solid R (rated)
OR-03Solid D (rated)
OR-04Solid D (rated)
OR-05Solid D (rated)
OR-06Solid D (rated)
PA-01SettledD+2.0
PA-02SettledD+37.4
PA-03SettledD+79.0
PA-04SettledD+17.4
PA-05SettledD+30.3
PA-06SettledD+13.1
PA-07SettledR+1.6
PA-08SettledR+6.8
PA-09SettledR+36.3
PA-10SettledR+3.6
PA-11SettledR+19.7
PA-12SettledD+20.8
PA-13SettledR+43.9
PA-14SettledR+31.7
PA-15SettledR+36.3
PA-16SettledR+21.1
PA-17SettledD+7.2
RI-01Solid D (rated)
RI-02Solid D (rated)
SC-01Likely R (rated)
SC-02Solid R (rated)
SC-03Solid R (rated)
SC-04Solid R (rated)
SC-05Solid R (rated)
SC-06Solid D (rated)
SC-07Solid R (rated)
SD-ALSolid R (rated)
TN-01SettledR+56.2
TN-02SettledR+32.2
TN-03SettledR+34.1
TN-04SettledR+22.3
TN-05SettledR+21.4
TN-06SettledR+24.9
TN-07SettledR+20.8
TN-08SettledR+18.5
TN-09SettledR+19.5
TX-01Solid R (rated)
TX-02Solid R (rated)
TX-03Solid R (rated)
TX-04Solid R (rated)
TX-05Solid R (rated)
TX-06Solid R (rated)
TX-07Solid D (rated)
TX-08Solid R (rated)
TX-09Likely R (rated)
TX-10Solid R (rated)
TX-11Solid R (rated)
TX-12Solid R (rated)
TX-13Solid R (rated)
TX-14Solid R (rated)
TX-15Toss-Up (rated)
TX-16Solid D (rated)
TX-17Solid R (rated)
TX-18Solid D (rated)
TX-19Solid R (rated)
TX-20Solid D (rated)
TX-21Solid R (rated)
TX-22Solid R (rated)
TX-23Likely R (rated)
TX-24Solid R (rated)
TX-25Solid R (rated)
TX-26Solid R (rated)
TX-27Solid R (rated)
TX-28Lean D (rated)
TX-29Solid D (rated)
TX-30Solid D (rated)
TX-31Solid R (rated)
TX-32Solid R (rated)
TX-33Solid D (rated)
TX-34Toss-Up (rated)
TX-35Lean R (rated)
TX-36Solid R (rated)
TX-37Solid D (rated)
TX-38Solid R (rated)
UT-01Solid D (rated)
UT-02Solid R (rated)
UT-03Solid R (rated)
UT-04Solid R (rated)
VA-01SettledR+3.3
VA-02SettledD+1.4
VA-03SettledD+36.3
VA-04SettledD+34.4
VA-05SettledR+10.6
VA-06SettledR+22.2
VA-07SettledD+4.5
VA-08SettledD+51.4
VA-09SettledR+42.4
VA-10SettledD+10.0
VA-11SettledD+35.9
VT-ALSolid D (rated)
WA-01Solid D (rated)
WA-02Solid D (rated)
WA-03Lean D (rated)
WA-04Solid R (rated)
WA-05Solid R (rated)
WA-06Solid D (rated)
WA-07Solid D (rated)
WA-08Solid D (rated)
WA-09Solid D (rated)
WA-10Solid D (rated)
WI-01SettledR+2.9
WI-02SettledD+41.8
WI-03SettledR+5.8
WI-04SettledD+53.2
WI-05SettledR+20.5
WI-06SettledR+14.8
WI-07SettledR+20.9
WI-08SettledR+14.6
WV-01Solid R (rated)
WV-02Solid R (rated)
WY-ALSolid R (rated)

Back to the chart

Ratings: Cook Political Report, Race Ratings (added October 18, 2026), with Sabato's Crystal Ball where a Cook Political Report rating is unavailable. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com . Settled seats carry no rating: each is shown by the sign and depth of its 2024 presidential-vote margin in the district's current lines, sourced from The Downballot and receipted at ingestion: a measured past result, not a projection of this race.

Fig. 2  ·  Every House race, on one map Ratings: Added October 18, 2026
2024 lean: as of October 3, 2026
Forecast: run of October 18, 2026

Every House race, on one map

Each district is colored by the layer you pick: a rater’s call, where the raters differ, the latest poll we can verify, the 2024 presidential lean, or the forecast’s coarse reading. The key under the map says what each color means, and the data table prints every layer for every district.

United States House districts colored by the Sabato's Crystal Ball rating. Sabato's Crystal Ball rates 82 of 435 House seats and calls 7 of them a Toss-up. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched. 162 seats have no Sabato's Crystal Ball rating and are hatched.Alaska at-large. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.AlabamaArkansasArizonaCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDCDelaware at-large. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.FloridaGeorgiaHawaiiIowaIdahoIllinoisIndianaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMassachusettsMarylandMaineMichiganMinnesotaMissouriMississippiMontanaNorth CarolinaNorth Dakota at-large. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.NebraskaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNevadaNew YorkOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth Dakota at-large. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.TennesseeTexasUtahVirginiaVermont at-large. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.WashingtonWisconsinWest VirginiaWyoming at-large. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Alabama District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Alabama District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean R.Alabama District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Alabama District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Alabama District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Alabama District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Alabama District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Arkansas District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Arizona District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Arizona District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Arizona District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Arizona District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Arizona District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Arizona District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Arizona District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Arizona District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Arizona District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.California District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe D.California District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.California District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely D.California District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 10. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 11. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 12. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 13. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D.California District 14. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 15. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 16. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 17. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 18. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 19. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 20. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 21. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely D.California District 22. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D.California District 23. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 24. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 25. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe D.California District 26. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 27. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 28. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 29. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 30. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 31. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 32. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 33. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 34. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 35. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 36. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 37. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 38. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 39. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 40. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 41. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 42. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 43. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 44. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 45. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely D.California District 46. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 47. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 48. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D.California District 49. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe D.California District 50. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 51. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.California District 52. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Colorado District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Colorado District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Colorado District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Colorado District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Colorado District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Colorado District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Colorado District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Colorado District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 10. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 11. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 12. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 13. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 14. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 15. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 16. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 17. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 18. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 19. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 20. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 21. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 22. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 23. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 24. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 25. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 26. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 27. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Florida District 28. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Georgia District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Georgia District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Georgia District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Georgia District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Georgia District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Georgia District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Georgia District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Georgia District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Georgia District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Georgia District 10. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Georgia District 11. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Georgia District 12. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Georgia District 13. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Georgia District 14. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Hawaii District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Hawaii District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Iowa District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D.Iowa District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-Up.Iowa District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-Up.Iowa District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Idaho District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Idaho District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Illinois District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 10. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 11. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 12. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 13. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 14. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 15. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 16. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Illinois District 17. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Indiana District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely D.Indiana District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Indiana District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Indiana District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Indiana District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Indiana District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Indiana District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Indiana District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Indiana District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Kansas District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Kansas District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Kansas District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe D.Kansas District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Kentucky District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Kentucky District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Kentucky District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Kentucky District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Kentucky District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Kentucky District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean R.Louisiana District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Louisiana District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Louisiana District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Louisiana District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Louisiana District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Louisiana District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Massachusetts District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Massachusetts District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Massachusetts District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Massachusetts District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Maryland District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Maryland District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Maryland District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Maryland District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Maryland District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Maryland District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe D.Maryland District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Maryland District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Maine District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe D.Maine District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean R.Michigan District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Michigan District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Michigan District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Michigan District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Michigan District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Michigan District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Michigan District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Michigan District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Michigan District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Michigan District 10. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Michigan District 11. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Michigan District 12. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Michigan District 13. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Missouri District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Missouri District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean R.Missouri District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Missouri District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Missouri District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe D.Missouri District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Missouri District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Missouri District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Mississippi District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Mississippi District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Mississippi District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Mississippi District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Montana District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean R.Montana District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.North Carolina District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-Up.North Carolina District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.North Carolina District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R.North Carolina District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.North Carolina District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.North Carolina District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.North Carolina District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.North Carolina District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.North Carolina District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.North Carolina District 10. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.North Carolina District 11. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-Up.North Carolina District 12. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.North Carolina District 13. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.North Carolina District 14. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Nebraska District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Nebraska District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Nebraska District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Hampshire District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Hampshire District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 10. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 11. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 12. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New Mexico District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.New Mexico District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D.New Mexico District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe D.Nevada District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Nevada District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Nevada District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Nevada District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 10. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 11. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 12. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 13. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 14. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 15. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 16. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 17. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 18. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 19. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 20. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 21. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 22. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 23. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 24. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 25. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.New York District 26. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Ohio District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D.Ohio District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Ohio District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Ohio District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Ohio District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Ohio District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Ohio District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-Up.Ohio District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Ohio District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-Up.Ohio District 10. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R.Ohio District 11. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Ohio District 12. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Ohio District 13. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely D.Ohio District 14. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Ohio District 15. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R.Oklahoma District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Oklahoma District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Oklahoma District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Oklahoma District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Oklahoma District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Oregon District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Oregon District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Oregon District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Oregon District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Oregon District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely D.Oregon District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Pennsylvania District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 10. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 11. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 12. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 13. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 14. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 15. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 16. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 17. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Rhode Island District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Rhode Island District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe D.South Carolina District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R.South Carolina District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.South Carolina District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.South Carolina District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.South Carolina District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.South Carolina District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.South Carolina District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Tennessee District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Texas District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Texas District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Texas District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R.Texas District 10. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Texas District 11. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 12. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 13. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 14. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 15. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-Up.Texas District 16. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 17. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Texas District 18. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 19. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 20. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 21. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Texas District 22. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Texas District 23. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R.Texas District 24. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Texas District 25. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 26. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 27. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Texas District 28. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D.Texas District 29. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 30. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 31. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Texas District 32. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Texas District 33. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 34. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D.Texas District 35. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean R.Texas District 36. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 37. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Texas District 38. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Utah District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Utah District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Utah District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Utah District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Virginia District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Virginia District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Virginia District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Virginia District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Virginia District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Virginia District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Virginia District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Virginia District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Virginia District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Virginia District 10. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Virginia District 11. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Washington District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Washington District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Washington District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D.Washington District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Washington District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R.Washington District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Washington District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Washington District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe D.Washington District 9. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Washington District 10. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.Wisconsin District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 4. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 5. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Being re-verified.West Virginia District 1. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.West Virginia District 2. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Not rated.

Sabato's Crystal Ball

  • Solid D
  • Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Toss-up
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Solid R
  • No Sabato's Crystal Ball rating (hatched)

State of each Sabato's Crystal Ball rating

  • Unproven
  • Not available no Sabato's Crystal Ball rating: hatched

Sabato's Crystal Ball rates 82 of 435 House seats and calls 7 of them a Toss-up. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched. 162 seats have no Sabato's Crystal Ball rating and are hatched.

Ratings: Sabato's Crystal Ball, Added October 18, 2026. The rater’s own wording is in the data table.

Lines: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundaries and TIGER/Line (federal works), plus each redrawn state's enacted map where one is drawn. Utah district lines are licensed under CC BY 4.0 by Utah Geospatial Resource Center (UGRC), State of Utah (SGID "Utah US Congress Districts 2026 to 2032").
Data table: every House race (435)

The table prints every layer of the map for all 435 seats. Open the full table

2026 forecast
Control of the Senate is a coin flip. Democrats are slightly favored to take the House.
Senate 51 D · 49 R

about a 2 in 5 chance of an R majority

House about a 1 in 5 chance of an R majority

Seat range under calibration review.

Probabilities, not predictions. The margin of error is wide this far out. See the full forecast →

Chamber Senate
Rating
Senate
Alaska

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Arkansas

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Colorado

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Delaware

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Florida (Special)

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Illinois

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Kentucky

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Louisiana

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Massachusetts

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Michigan

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Minnesota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Cook Political Report Likely D
North Carolina
Nominees not yet confirmed
Senate
New Hampshire

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
New Jersey

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Ohio

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Cook Political Report Likely R
South Carolina
Nominees not yet confirmed
Senate
South Dakota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Tennessee

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Virginia

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added . For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Governors

36 governorships are on the November 2026 ballot. Ratings are shown only where a rater has published one; an unrated race carries no party colour.

We show no win probability for governor races. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections, so these pages carry ratings, polls and fundraising instead.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Alabama Governor
Incumbent: Kay Ivey (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Alaska Governor
Incumbent: Mike Dunleavy (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Arizona Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Arkansas Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
California Governor
Incumbent: Gavin Newsom (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Colorado Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Connecticut Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Florida Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Georgia Governor
Incumbent: Brian Kemp (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Hawaii Governor
Incumbent: Josh Green Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Idaho Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Illinois Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Iowa Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Lean R
Kansas Governor
Incumbent: Laura Kelly (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Maine Governor
Incumbent: Janet Mills (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Maryland Governor
Incumbent: Wes Moore Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Massachusetts Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Lean D
Michigan Governor
Incumbent: Gretchen Whitmer (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Minnesota Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Nebraska Governor
Incumbent: Jim Pillen Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Nevada Governor
Incumbent: Joe Lombardo Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Likely R
New Hampshire Governor
Incumbent: Kelly Ayotte Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
New Mexico Governor
Incumbent: Michelle Lujan Grisham (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
New York Governor
Incumbent: Kathy Hochul Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Ohio Governor
Incumbent: Mike DeWine (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Oklahoma Governor
Incumbent: Kevin Stitt (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Lean D
Oregon Governor
Incumbent: Tina Kotek Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Pennsylvania Governor
Incumbent: Josh Shapiro Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Rhode Island Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
South Carolina Governor
Incumbent: Henry McMaster (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
South Dakota Governor
Incumbent: Larry Rhoden Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Tennessee Governor
Incumbent: Bill Lee (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Lean R
Texas Governor
Incumbent: Greg Abbott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Vermont Governor
Incumbent: Phil Scott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Wisconsin Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Wyoming Governor
Incumbent: Mark Gordon (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added . For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Full 470-race forecast table

The model’s full race-by-race table, with win odds for every modeled seat, lives on the forecast page. See the full table on the forecast page.

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Read the full analysis for race-by-race breakdowns.