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SENATE RACE

North Carolina


Toss-Up Cook Political Report · Updated
CANDIDATES
Roy Cooper
Democrat · Challenger
48.3%
538
vs.
Michael Whatley
Republican · Challenger
44.6%
538

Former Governor Roy Cooper enters as the strongest Democratic recruit of the cycle, bringing statewide name recognition and moderate appeal to a state Trump won narrowly. RNC Chair Michael Whatley faces the challenge of running as a Trump loyalist in a rapidly suburbanizing state where the Iran war and gas prices are top-of-mind. Cooper's pragmatic record on Medicaid and education plays well in the Research Triangle suburbs that have trended blue.

OUTSIDE SPENDING
Pro-D
$8.5M
Pro-R
$7.2M

Most expensive Senate race so far

RECENT POLLS
Pollster Date D% R% Spread
SurveyUSA 2026-03-20 49 44 D+5
Emerson 2026-03-10 48 45 D+3
PPP 2026-02-25 47 46 D+1
Trafalgar 2026-02-15 46 47 R+1
KEY ISSUES
Issue / Topic Democrat Republican
Economy Medicaid expansion, infrastructure spending Tax cuts, reduced regulation
Education Public school funding, teacher pay School choice, voucher programs
Iran War Opposes open-ended commitment Supports administration approach
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
Roy Cooper

Raised
$12.5M
Spent
$6.2M
Cash on Hand
$6.8M
Small Donors
38%
PAC / Super PAC
$3.2M
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
Michael Whatley

Raised
$7.8M
Spent
$4.9M
Cash on Hand
$3.4M
Small Donors
22%
PAC / Super PAC
$4.5M
DEMOGRAPHICS · CENSUS

Population
10.7M
Median Household Income
$61,972
White Non-Hispanic
61.4%
Black
21.5%
Hispanic / Latino
10.7%
College Educated (25+)
33.7%
Union Membership
2.8%
ELECTION INFO

Election Date
November 3, 2026
Primary Date
Completed March 3, 2026
Term Length
6 years (Class II)
Voter Registration Deadline
October 9, 2026
Early Voting
Yes, October 15 - October 31, 2026