THE RECORD · Through October 18, 2026
Updates
A running record of what is moving on the beat: economic power, the populist response, and the 2026 midterms.
What counts as major
An entry is major when the kind marked beside it is Correction, Method or Model; or when a headline number moved at least this much since the entry before it (generic ballot 0.5, net approval 2.0, production wages 0.3, unemployment 0.2, S&P 500 100, electoral movement ranked first); or when it changed a race page or published a dispatch. Everything else is routine. Nothing is hidden: routine entries are one click away under All entries, and every dated entry keeps its own page. Touching a race page or publishing a dispatch does not on its own make a day inside a collapsed run of repeated refreshes major.
OCTOBER 2026
Oct 17: Net approval -20.6 → -24.4
Unchanged: Production wages 3.3%
Major Update
SEPTEMBER 2026
Sep 23: S&P 500 7,551.81 → 7,764.64
Unchanged: Generic ballot D+7.5 , Approval -20.6 , Unemployment 4.1% , Production wages 3.3%
Major Update
Sep 18: Generic ballot D+6.6 → D+7.5
Unchanged: Senate forecast about 2 in 5 for R , House forecast about 2 in 5 for R , Approval -20.6 , Unemployment 4.1% , Production wages 3.3% , S&P 500 7,551.81
Major Update
Sep 13: Senate races refreshed
Unchanged: Generic ballot D+6.6 , Approval -20.6 , Unemployment 4.1% , Production wages 3.3% , S&P 500 7,591.7
Major Update
Sep 11: S&P 500 7,718.6 → 7,591.7
Unchanged: House forecast about 2 in 5 for R , Generic ballot D+6.6 , Approval -20.6 , Unemployment 4.1% , Production wages 3.3%
Major Update
This page shows October 2026 and September 2026. The record begins June 18, 2026; every earlier month has its own page, linked under Jump to and in Contents, and every entry keeps its own page. The one routine entry in these months is one click away under All entries.