THE RECORD · AUGUST 2026
August 2026
30 entries published in August 2026, 3 of them major.
Aug 27: daily refresh
Senate forecast about 2 in 5 for R down 8 House forecast about 2 in 5 for R down 2 S&P 500 7,675.7 better up 34.54
Read update Unchanged: Generic ballot D+6.7 , Approval -20.6 , Unemployment 4.1% , Production wages 3.2%
Update
Aug 21: S&P 500 7,785.76 → 7,641.16
Senate forecast about 1 in 3 for R up 3 S&P 500 7,641.16 worse down 144.6
Read update Unchanged: House forecast about 1 in 4 for R , Generic ballot D+6.7 , Approval -20.4 , Unemployment 4.1% , Production wages 3.2%
Major Update
Aug 12: Generic ballot D+6 → D+6.7
House forecast about 1 in 4 for R down 1 Generic ballot D+6.7 up 0.7 Approval -20.4 up 0.2
Read update Unchanged: Senate forecast about 1 in 4 for R , Unemployment 4.1% , Production wages 3.2% , S&P 500 7,753.11
Major Update
Aug 5: Generic ballot D+4.9 → D+6
Senate forecast about 1 in 3 for R down 6 House forecast about 1 in 4 for R down 6 Generic ballot D+6 up 1.1 S&P 500 7,736.52 better up 420.37
Read update Unchanged: Approval -20.6 , Unemployment 4.2% , Production wages 3.4%
Major Update