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THE RECORD · SEPTEMBER 2026

September 2026

22 entries published in September 2026, 4 of them major.

Sep 23: S&P 500 7,551.81 → 7,764.64

Senate forecast about 1 in 3 for R up 1 House forecast about 1 in 3 for R down 1 S&P 500 7,764.64 better up 212.83

Unchanged: Generic ballot D+7.5 , Approval -20.6 , Unemployment 4.1% , Production wages 3.3%

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Major Update

Sep 18: Generic ballot D+6.6 → D+7.5

Generic ballot D+7.5 up 0.9

Unchanged: Senate forecast about 2 in 5 for R , House forecast about 2 in 5 for R , Approval -20.6 , Unemployment 4.1% , Production wages 3.3% , S&P 500 7,551.81

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Major Update

Sep 13: Senate races refreshed

Senate forecast about 2 in 5 for R up 1 House forecast about 2 in 5 for R up 4

Unchanged: Generic ballot D+6.6 , Approval -20.6 , Unemployment 4.1% , Production wages 3.3% , S&P 500 7,591.7

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Major Update

Sep 11: S&P 500 7,718.6 → 7,591.7

Senate forecast about 2 in 5 for R up 1 S&P 500 7,591.7 worse down 126.9

Unchanged: House forecast about 2 in 5 for R , Generic ballot D+6.6 , Approval -20.6 , Unemployment 4.1% , Production wages 3.3%

Read update

Major Update