We’re bringing Thin Gold back online in phases. Some sections are still being checked and will return as each one is ready; our goal is to be fully back before the November 3 midterms.

Every House race, on one map Cook Political Report ratings added October 18, 2026

Every House race, on one map

Each district is colored by the Cook Political Report rating. Blue and red mean a rated lean; gold is a Toss-up. Hatching means no rating yet: Cook Political Report has not rated the seat, or the race is being re-checked. A dotted state has new 2026 lines that are not drawn yet.

Cook Political Report rating

Solid D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss-up
Lean R
Likely R
Solid R
No rating yet (hatched)

No rating yet: Cook Political Report has not rated the seat, or the race is being re-checked and held back until it is verified. A hatched area is not a call for either party; we leave it uncolored rather than guess.

State of each Cook Political Report rating

Unproven
Not available no Cook Political Report rating: hatched

Cook Political Report rates 244 of 244 House seats and calls 8 of them a Toss-up. 244 seats are drawn on the map. 18 states have no rating shown yet, because no race is shown for them yet, so they are hatched.

No rating yet (hatched): Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, Wisconsin.

Ratings: Cook Political Report , added October 18, 2026. Current ratings and analysis at cookpolitical.com . Lines: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundaries and TIGER/Line (federal works), plus each redrawn state's enacted map where one is drawn. Utah district lines are licensed under CC BY 4.0 by Utah Geospatial Resource Center (UGRC), State of Utah (SGID "Utah US Congress Districts 2026 to 2032").

Data table: every House race (244)

Every House race: the Cook Political Report rating and where its lines come from. The date we added the ratings is in the figure's source line. Current ratings and analysis at cookpolitical.com.
District	Cook Political Report	Lines on the map
Alabama District 1 AL-01	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Alabama District 2 AL-02	Likely R	Enacted 2026 map
Alabama District 3 AL-03	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Alabama District 4 AL-04	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Alabama District 5 AL-05	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Alabama District 6 AL-06	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Alabama District 7 AL-07	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 1 CA-01	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 2 CA-02	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 3 CA-03	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 4 CA-04	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 5 CA-05	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
California District 6 CA-06	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 7 CA-07	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 8 CA-08	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 9 CA-09	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 10 CA-10	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 11 CA-11	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 12 CA-12	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 13 CA-13	Lean D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 14 CA-14	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 15 CA-15	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 16 CA-16	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 17 CA-17	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 18 CA-18	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 19 CA-19	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 20 CA-20	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
California District 21 CA-21	Likely D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 22 CA-22	Toss-Up	Enacted 2026 map
California District 23 CA-23	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
California District 24 CA-24	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 25 CA-25	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 26 CA-26	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 27 CA-27	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 28 CA-28	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 29 CA-29	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 30 CA-30	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 31 CA-31	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 32 CA-32	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 33 CA-33	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 34 CA-34	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 35 CA-35	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 36 CA-36	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 37 CA-37	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 38 CA-38	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 39 CA-39	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 40 CA-40	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
California District 41 CA-41	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 42 CA-42	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 43 CA-43	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 44 CA-44	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 45 CA-45	Likely D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 46 CA-46	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 47 CA-47	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 48 CA-48	Lean D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 49 CA-49	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 50 CA-50	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 51 CA-51	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
California District 52 CA-52	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
Delaware at-large DE-AL	Solid D	State outline (at-large)
Georgia District 1 GA-01	Solid R	Census district lines
Georgia District 2 GA-02	Solid D	Census district lines
Georgia District 3 GA-03	Solid R	Census district lines
Georgia District 4 GA-04	Solid D	Census district lines
Georgia District 5 GA-05	Solid D	Census district lines
Georgia District 6 GA-06	Solid D	Census district lines
Georgia District 7 GA-07	Solid R	Census district lines
Georgia District 8 GA-08	Solid R	Census district lines
Georgia District 9 GA-09	Solid R	Census district lines
Georgia District 10 GA-10	Solid R	Census district lines
Georgia District 11 GA-11	Solid R	Census district lines
Georgia District 12 GA-12	Solid R	Census district lines
Georgia District 13 GA-13	Solid D	Census district lines
Georgia District 14 GA-14	Solid R	Census district lines
Hawaii District 1 HI-01	Solid D	Census district lines
Hawaii District 2 HI-02	Solid D	Census district lines
Iowa District 1 IA-01	Lean D	Census district lines
Iowa District 2 IA-02	Toss-Up	Census district lines
Iowa District 3 IA-03	Lean D	Census district lines
Iowa District 4 IA-04	Solid R	Census district lines
Idaho District 1 ID-01	Solid R	Census district lines
Idaho District 2 ID-02	Solid R	Census district lines
Indiana District 1 IN-01	Likely D	Census district lines
Indiana District 2 IN-02	Solid R	Census district lines
Indiana District 3 IN-03	Solid R	Census district lines
Indiana District 4 IN-04	Solid R	Census district lines
Indiana District 5 IN-05	Likely R	Census district lines
Indiana District 6 IN-06	Solid R	Census district lines
Indiana District 7 IN-07	Solid D	Census district lines
Indiana District 8 IN-08	Solid R	Census district lines
Indiana District 9 IN-09	Solid R	Census district lines
Kansas District 1 KS-01	Solid R	Census district lines
Kansas District 2 KS-02	Solid R	Census district lines
Kansas District 3 KS-03	Solid D	Census district lines
Kansas District 4 KS-04	Solid R	Census district lines
Kentucky District 1 KY-01	Solid R	Census district lines
Kentucky District 2 KY-02	Solid R	Census district lines
Kentucky District 3 KY-03	Solid D	Census district lines
Kentucky District 4 KY-04	Solid R	Census district lines
Kentucky District 5 KY-05	Solid R	Census district lines
Kentucky District 6 KY-06	Likely R	Census district lines
Louisiana District 1 LA-01	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Louisiana District 2 LA-02	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
Louisiana District 3 LA-03	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Louisiana District 4 LA-04	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Louisiana District 5 LA-05	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Louisiana District 6 LA-06	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Massachusetts District 2 MA-02	Solid D	Census district lines
Massachusetts District 5 MA-05	Solid D	Census district lines
Massachusetts District 7 MA-07	Solid D	Census district lines
Maryland District 1 MD-01	Solid R	Census district lines
Maryland District 2 MD-02	Solid D	Census district lines
Maryland District 3 MD-03	Solid D	Census district lines
Maryland District 4 MD-04	Solid D	Census district lines
Maryland District 5 MD-05	Solid D	Census district lines
Maryland District 6 MD-06	Solid D	Census district lines
Maryland District 7 MD-07	Solid D	Census district lines
Maryland District 8 MD-08	Solid D	Census district lines
Maine District 1 ME-01	Solid D	Census district lines
Maine District 2 ME-02	Lean R	Census district lines
Missouri District 1 MO-01	Solid D	Census district lines
Missouri District 2 MO-02	Likely R	Census district lines
Missouri District 3 MO-03	Solid R	Census district lines
Missouri District 4 MO-04	Solid R	Census district lines
Missouri District 5 MO-05	Solid D	Census district lines
Missouri District 6 MO-06	Solid R	Census district lines
Missouri District 7 MO-07	Solid R	Census district lines
Missouri District 8 MO-08	Solid R	Census district lines
Mississippi District 1 MS-01	Solid R	Census district lines
Mississippi District 2 MS-02	Solid D	Census district lines
Mississippi District 3 MS-03	Solid R	Census district lines
Mississippi District 4 MS-04	Solid R	Census district lines
Montana District 1 MT-01	Lean R	Census district lines
Montana District 2 MT-02	Solid R	Census district lines
North Carolina District 1 NC-01	Toss-Up	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 2 NC-02	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 3 NC-03	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 4 NC-04	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 5 NC-05	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 6 NC-06	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 7 NC-07	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 8 NC-08	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 9 NC-09	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 10 NC-10	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 11 NC-11	Toss-Up	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 12 NC-12	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 13 NC-13	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
North Carolina District 14 NC-14	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
North Dakota at-large ND-AL	Solid R	State outline (at-large)
New Mexico District 1 NM-01	Solid D	Census district lines
New Mexico District 2 NM-02	Lean D	Census district lines
New Mexico District 3 NM-03	Solid D	Census district lines
Ohio District 1 OH-01	Likely D	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 2 OH-02	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 3 OH-03	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 4 OH-04	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 5 OH-05	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 6 OH-06	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 7 OH-07	Toss-Up	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 8 OH-08	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 9 OH-09	Toss-Up	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 10 OH-10	Lean R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 11 OH-11	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 12 OH-12	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 13 OH-13	Likely D	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 14 OH-14	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Ohio District 15 OH-15	Lean R	Enacted 2026 map
Oklahoma District 1 OK-01	Solid R	Census district lines
Oklahoma District 2 OK-02	Solid R	Census district lines
Oklahoma District 3 OK-03	Solid R	Census district lines
Oklahoma District 4 OK-04	Solid R	Census district lines
Oklahoma District 5 OK-05	Solid R	Census district lines
Oregon District 1 OR-01	Solid D	Census district lines
Oregon District 2 OR-02	Solid R	Census district lines
Oregon District 3 OR-03	Solid D	Census district lines
Oregon District 4 OR-04	Solid D	Census district lines
Oregon District 5 OR-05	Solid D	Census district lines
Oregon District 6 OR-06	Solid D	Census district lines
Rhode Island District 1 RI-01	Solid D	Census district lines
Rhode Island District 2 RI-02	Solid D	Census district lines
South Carolina District 1 SC-01	Likely R	Census district lines
South Carolina District 2 SC-02	Solid R	Census district lines
South Carolina District 3 SC-03	Solid R	Census district lines
South Carolina District 4 SC-04	Solid R	Census district lines
South Carolina District 5 SC-05	Solid R	Census district lines
South Carolina District 6 SC-06	Solid D	Census district lines
South Carolina District 7 SC-07	Solid R	Census district lines
South Dakota at-large SD-AL	Solid R	State outline (at-large)
Texas District 1 TX-01	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 2 TX-02	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 3 TX-03	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 4 TX-04	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 5 TX-05	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 6 TX-06	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 7 TX-07	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 8 TX-08	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 9 TX-09	Likely R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 10 TX-10	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 11 TX-11	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 12 TX-12	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 13 TX-13	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 14 TX-14	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 15 TX-15	Toss-Up	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 16 TX-16	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 17 TX-17	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 18 TX-18	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 19 TX-19	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 20 TX-20	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 21 TX-21	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 22 TX-22	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 23 TX-23	Likely R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 24 TX-24	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 25 TX-25	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 26 TX-26	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 27 TX-27	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 28 TX-28	Lean D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 29 TX-29	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 30 TX-30	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 31 TX-31	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 32 TX-32	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 33 TX-33	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 34 TX-34	Toss-Up	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 35 TX-35	Lean R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 36 TX-36	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 37 TX-37	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
Texas District 38 TX-38	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Utah District 1 UT-01	Solid D	Enacted 2026 map
Utah District 2 UT-02	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Utah District 3 UT-03	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Utah District 4 UT-04	Solid R	Enacted 2026 map
Vermont at-large VT-AL	Solid D	State outline (at-large)
Washington District 1 WA-01	Solid D	Census district lines
Washington District 2 WA-02	Solid D	Census district lines
Washington District 3 WA-03	Lean D	Census district lines
Washington District 4 WA-04	Solid R	Census district lines
Washington District 5 WA-05	Solid R	Census district lines
Washington District 6 WA-06	Solid D	Census district lines
Washington District 7 WA-07	Solid D	Census district lines
Washington District 8 WA-08	Solid D	Census district lines
Washington District 9 WA-09	Solid D	Census district lines
Washington District 10 WA-10	Solid D	Census district lines
West Virginia District 1 WV-01	Solid R	Census district lines
West Virginia District 2 WV-02	Solid R	Census district lines
Wyoming at-large WY-AL	Solid R	State outline (at-large)

States with no race on the map: why each carries no rating
State	Why there is no rating	Mark on the map
Alaska	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Arizona	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Arkansas	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Colorado	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Connecticut	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Florida	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Illinois	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Michigan	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Minnesota	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Nebraska	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Nevada	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
New Hampshire	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
New Jersey	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
New York	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Pennsylvania	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Tennessee	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Virginia	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched
Wisconsin	No rating yet: no race is shown for it yet	Hatched

The battlefield, fifty states at once

262 races tracked across 50 states this cycle. Every tile below is a real link to that state's full delegation. 208 races are being re-verified and are not shown here yet. They will return once confirmed.

Fig. 1 · The state lattice

10 states carry a race rated Toss-Up or Lean, 23 states are rated and settled, 0 states carry no rating at all. 17 states are being re-verified and not shown yet.

Ratings Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, added October 18, 2026. A band means a rater made a claim.

Tile positions Schematic, not geographic: each state sits at a fixed lattice position, not a map projection.

Coverage 33 of 50 states carry a rated race; 0 do not. 17 states are being re-verified and not shown yet.

AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY

17 states are being re-verified. Shown plain, with no rating and no color, until their races return.

States carrying a Toss-Up or Lean race

10of 50

The contested ground this cycle. Every code links to that state's full delegation.

States no rater covers

0of 50

No rated race on record for these states this cycle.

How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence

Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.

Toss-Up, band across the top
Lean D, band
Likely D, band
Solid D, band
Lean R, band
Likely R, band
Solid R, band

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Tile position is schematic, not geographic. An unrated state carries no partisan color: a rating is a claim about a specific race, never a derived guess.

Fig. 1

The contested-money rail

The 6 states scoring highest on contest weight, ranked and ties broken exactly as the block below states.

#1 · 39 races

Texas

Texas Senate

Cook Political Report · Toss-Up Added Aug 25 Sabato's Crystal Ball · Toss-Up Split Ticket · Lean D Sep 5 FiftyPlusOne · Lean D Sep 24

$87.3M / $20M

Texas Senate · $107.3M total raised

15 contest-weight points from 3 Toss-Up, 2 Lean and 2 Likely races put Texas at rank 1 of this cycle's rail. Candidate names are not shown at this grain; see the linked race page for the sourced roster.

3 Toss-Up · 2 Lean · 2 Likely · 32 Solid · 0 unrated · state total $256.5M

Cook Political Report · Sabato's Crystal Ball

#2 · 15 races

Ohio

Ohio 7th District

Cook Political Report · Toss-Up Added Aug 25 Sabato's Crystal Ball · Toss-Up Split Ticket · Toss-Up Sep 24 FiftyPlusOne · Lean D Sep 26

$998.3K / $2.2M

Ohio 7th District · $3.2M total raised

12 contest-weight points from 2 Toss-Up, 2 Lean and 2 Likely races put Ohio at rank 2 of this cycle's rail. Candidate names are not shown at this grain; see the linked race page for the sourced roster.

2 Toss-Up · 2 Lean · 2 Likely · 9 Solid · 0 unrated · state total $43.1M

Cook Political Report · Sabato's Crystal Ball

#3 · 5 races

Iowa

Iowa Senate

Cook Political Report · Toss-Up Added Aug 25 Sabato's Crystal Ball · Toss-Up Split Ticket · Toss-Up Sep 24 FiftyPlusOne · Toss-Up Sep 1

$8.3M / $12.7M

Iowa Senate · $21M total raised

10 contest-weight points from 2 Toss-Up, 2 Lean and 0 Likely races put Iowa at rank 3 of this cycle's rail. Candidate names are not shown at this grain; see the linked race page for the sourced roster.

2 Toss-Up · 2 Lean · 0 Likely · 1 Solid · 0 unrated · state total $54.1M

Cook Political Report · Sabato's Crystal Ball

#4 · 52 races

California

California 22nd District

Cook Political Report · Toss-Up Added Aug 25 Sabato's Crystal Ball · Lean D Split Ticket · Lean D Jul 28 FiftyPlusOne · Likely D Sep 1

$4.2M / $4.9M

California 22nd District · $9.2M total raised

9 contest-weight points from 1 Toss-Up, 2 Lean and 2 Likely races put California at rank 4 of this cycle's rail. Candidate names are not shown at this grain; see the linked race page for the sourced roster.

1 Toss-Up · 2 Lean · 2 Likely · 47 Solid · 0 unrated · state total $194M

Cook Political Report · Sabato's Crystal Ball

#5 · 15 races

North Carolina

North Carolina 1st District

Cook Political Report · Toss-Up Added Oct 11 Sabato's Crystal Ball · Toss-Up Split Ticket · Lean D Sep 24 FiftyPlusOne · Lean D Sep 20

$4.3M / $8.3M

North Carolina 1st District · $12.5M total raised

7 contest-weight points from 2 Toss-Up, 0 Lean and 1 Likely races put North Carolina at rank 5 of this cycle's rail. Candidate names are not shown at this grain; see the linked race page for the sourced roster.

2 Toss-Up · 0 Lean · 1 Likely · 12 Solid · 0 unrated · state total $95.1M

Cook Political Report · Sabato's Crystal Ball

#6 · 3 races

Maine

Maine Senate

Cook Political Report · Toss-Up Added Aug 25 Sabato's Crystal Ball · Toss-Up Split Ticket · Lean D Jul 28 FiftyPlusOne · Lean D Sep 1

$34.5M / $16.2M

Maine Senate · $50.7M total raised

5 contest-weight points from 1 Toss-Up, 1 Lean and 0 Likely races put Maine at rank 6 of this cycle's rail. Candidate names are not shown at this grain; see the linked race page for the sourced roster.

1 Toss-Up · 1 Lean · 0 Likely · 1 Solid · 0 unrated · state total $58.3M

Cook Political Report · Sabato's Crystal Ball

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

How this rail is built

The disclosed method

Recompute it: 3 points per Toss-Up, 2 per Lean (Tilt counts as Lean), 1 per Likely, ties on total tracked receipts. Ranking as of October 18, 2026.

The ranking rule

Contest weight: 3 points per race rated Toss-Up, 2 per Lean (Tilt scores as Lean), 1 per Likely. Solid, Safe and unrated races score zero.

States are ranked by total weight; ties break on total tracked receipts, highest first.

Where the fold cuts

Kansas sits just below the rail at rank 7, weight 3, $19.3M tracked receipts.

1 race rated Toss-Up sits in a state outside this rail.

What the money bar means

The bar is a share of one race's own total, never a length compared across cards. Two races with the same split render the same bar even if their totals differ by 10x; the printed dollar totals carry the scale.

What counts as a contest

Toss-Up, Lean and Likely races score. Solid, Safe and unrated races do not: a state can carry many races and still score zero if none of them are competitive by rating.

Receipts FEC filings, scoped to the 17 states this ranking considered. Each state's own as-of date is on its dossier page, never one blended site-wide date.

Every other state

The lattice above and the rail together do not exhaust the board. Every remaining state is here, exactly once.

Rated states outside the rail Open the list · 27 states

These states carry a rated race that did not score into the top 6 by contest weight. Most are Solid or Safe calls, decided but still on the ballot.

Kansas 5 races · Toss-Up Montana 3 races · Lean R New Mexico 4 races · Lean D Washington 10 races · Lean D Alabama 8 races · Likely R Delaware 1 race · Solid D Georgia 15 races · Likely D Hawaii 2 races · Solid D Idaho 3 races · Solid R Indiana 9 races · Likely D Kentucky 6 races · Likely R Louisiana 6 races · Solid R Maryland 8 races · Solid R Massachusetts 3 races · Solid D Mississippi 5 races · Solid R Missouri 8 races · Likely R Nebraska 1 race · Likely R North Dakota 1 race · Solid R Oklahoma 6 races · Solid R Oregon 7 races · Solid D Rhode Island 3 races · Solid D South Carolina 8 races · Likely R South Dakota 1 race · Solid R Utah 4 races · Solid D Vermont 1 race · Solid D West Virginia 3 races · Solid R Wyoming 2 races · Solid R

States being re-verified Open the list · 17 states

Every race in these states is being re-verified and is not shown yet. That says nothing about whether a rater covers them.

Alaska Being re-verified Arizona Being re-verified Arkansas Being re-verified Colorado Being re-verified Connecticut Being re-verified Florida Being re-verified Illinois Being re-verified Michigan Being re-verified Minnesota Being re-verified Nevada Being re-verified New Hampshire Being re-verified New Jersey Being re-verified New York Being re-verified Pennsylvania Being re-verified Tennessee Being re-verified Virginia Being re-verified Wisconsin Being re-verified