17 races are being re-verified and are not shown here yet. They will return once confirmed.
These races are being re-verified and will return once confirmed.
Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.
Pennsylvania's House races are being re-verified and are not shown yet.
Pennsylvania carries no House delegation in Thin Gold's tracked inventory.
Pennsylvania races rated Toss-Up
0of 0No Pennsylvania race is a Toss-Up this cycle.
Pennsylvania races no rater covers
0of 0Every Pennsylvania race carries a rating this cycle.
How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence
Assumption, with reason What we infer, and why it is not yet a fact.
- Not on the 2026 ballot, per our inventory
Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating.
Fig. 2
Pennsylvania at a glance
No Pennsylvania seat is rated Toss-Up, Tilt or Lean by the raters we carry.
1 seat on the 2026 ballot: the governor. Ratings added October 2, 2026. A seat counts by the first rater with a live rating ( Cook Political Report , then Sabato’s Crystal Ball, then Split Ticket, then FiftyPlusOne).
- Favor D 1
- Toss-Up 0
- Favor R 0
- Not rated 0
Lean against the nation
No statewide 2024 baseline is on record for Pennsylvania, because neither a Senate nor a governor race here carries one yet.
House delegation, projected
This state has no House seats in the tracked inventory.
The current party split of the delegation is not shown: seat-holder party is not yet a sourced field in our data.
Every Pennsylvania race our displayed rating calls close
Toss-Up and Lean races by our displayed rating (Cook Political Report when live, Sabato’s Crystal Ball otherwise), ranked as they appear in the delegation above.
No Pennsylvania race has a displayed rating of Toss-Up or Lean this cycle.
Counties, by the numbers
Poverty: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Uninsured under 65: SAHIE, 2024
Rent burden: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Per-capita income: BEA CAINC1, 2024
Pennsylvania: five economic indicators, county by county
Pick an indicator to shade the map. Each indicator gets its own gold ramp, scaled to this state's counties, with stronger gold for a higher value. A hatched county has no reading available yet; it is never estimated.
Median household income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to $61,446
- $61,446 to $63,953
- $63,953 to $69,764
- $69,764 to $79,777
- $79,777 to $127,208
- Not yet available (0 of 67)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 67 counties with a value in Pennsylvania. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Poverty rate · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 9.0%
- 9.0% to 11.2%
- 11.2% to 12.3%
- 12.3% to 13.7%
- 13.7% to 21.4%
- Not yet available (0 of 67)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 67 counties with a value in Pennsylvania. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Uninsured, under 65 · SAHIE, 2024
- up to 6.5%
- 6.5% to 7.3%
- 7.3% to 8.3%
- 8.3% to 9.0%
- 9.0% to 13.5%
- Not yet available (0 of 67)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 67 counties with a value in Pennsylvania. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Renters paying 30% or more of income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 40.3%
- 40.3% to 42.6%
- 42.6% to 46.2%
- 46.2% to 49.0%
- 49.0% to 57.1%
- Not yet available (0 of 67)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 67 counties with a value in Pennsylvania. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Per-capita personal income · BEA CAINC1, 2024
- Not yet available (67 of 67)
No county in Pennsylvania has a reading for this indicator yet, so there is no ramp to show. The ramp, once it has data, is one gold hue: not a party colour, and not a verdict of better or worse.
Pennsylvania has 67 counties. 67 have at least one indicator available; a county with no value for an indicator is hatched and marked "Not yet available", never estimated.
Adams County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $84,092
- Poverty rate
- 8.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 44.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Allegheny County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $78,548
- Poverty rate
- 11.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 5.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Armstrong County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $65,008
- Poverty rate
- 11.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 6.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 43.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Beaver County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $71,089
- Poverty rate
- 9.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 5.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 42.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Bedford County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $59,992
- Poverty rate
- 11.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 50.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Berks County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $79,777
- Poverty rate
- 12.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 52.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Blair County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $62,382
- Poverty rate
- 12.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Bradford County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $63,675
- Poverty rate
- 12.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 38.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Bucks County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $114,764
- Poverty rate
- 6.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 5.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Butler County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $89,843
- Poverty rate
- 8.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 5.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 42.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Cambria County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $58,418
- Poverty rate
- 14.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 5.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 42.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Cameron County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $50,573
- Poverty rate
- 13.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 41.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Carbon County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $67,554
- Poverty rate
- 12.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 43.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Centre County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $74,291
- Poverty rate
- 16.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 57.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Chester County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $127,208
- Poverty rate
- 6.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 5.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Clarion County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $62,649
- Poverty rate
- 13.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 44.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Clearfield County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $62,152
- Poverty rate
- 14.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 41.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Clinton County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $60,816
- Poverty rate
- 14.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 43.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Columbia County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $64,644
- Poverty rate
- 13.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 6.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 42.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Crawford County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $60,476
- Poverty rate
- 14.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 45.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Cumberland County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $87,494
- Poverty rate
- 7.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 41.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Dauphin County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $76,242
- Poverty rate
- 12.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 45.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Delaware County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $89,546
- Poverty rate
- 10.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 5.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 54.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Elk County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $66,380
- Poverty rate
- 8.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 6.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 43.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Erie County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $63,354
- Poverty rate
- 15.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 49.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Fayette County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $58,236
- Poverty rate
- 16.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 6.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 43.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Forest County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $52,191
- Poverty rate
- 11.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 29.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Franklin County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $77,003
- Poverty rate
- 8.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 40.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Fulton County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $65,836
- Poverty rate
- 11.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 36.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Greene County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $68,041
- Poverty rate
- 13.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 39.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Huntingdon County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $65,557
- Poverty rate
- 10.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 39.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Indiana County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $60,208
- Poverty rate
- 14.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 49.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Jefferson County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $58,686
- Poverty rate
- 14.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 44.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Juniata County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $66,318
- Poverty rate
- 9.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 25.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $66,223
- Poverty rate
- 14.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 48.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lancaster County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $86,959
- Poverty rate
- 8.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lawrence County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $61,931
- Poverty rate
- 11.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 6.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 50.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lebanon County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $78,425
- Poverty rate
- 10.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lehigh County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $80,079
- Poverty rate
- 11.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 54.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Luzerne County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $63,691
- Poverty rate
- 15.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lycoming County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $63,917
- Poverty rate
- 12.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
McKean County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $62,905
- Poverty rate
- 13.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 41.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Mercer County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $59,976
- Poverty rate
- 13.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 45.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Mifflin County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $63,953
- Poverty rate
- 16.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 38.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Monroe County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $83,565
- Poverty rate
- 10.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 57.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Montgomery County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $113,915
- Poverty rate
- 6.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 4.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 49.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Montour County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $76,976
- Poverty rate
- 8.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 5.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 38.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Northampton County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $89,184
- Poverty rate
- 8.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 6.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 50.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Northumberland County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $60,583
- Poverty rate
- 12.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 42.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Perry County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $79,444
- Poverty rate
- 8.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 42.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $61,953
- Poverty rate
- 21.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 52.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Pike County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $81,323
- Poverty rate
- 9.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 50.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Potter County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $59,020
- Poverty rate
- 13.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 41.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Schuylkill County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $68,313
- Poverty rate
- 12.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 42.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Snyder County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $66,876
- Poverty rate
- 9.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 42.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Somerset County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $61,446
- Poverty rate
- 11.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 39.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Sullivan County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $69,764
- Poverty rate
- 11.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 34.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Susquehanna County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $68,487
- Poverty rate
- 11.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 44.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Tioga County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $64,899
- Poverty rate
- 11.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Union County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $76,404
- Poverty rate
- 9.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Venango County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $61,522
- Poverty rate
- 13.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Warren County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $60,480
- Poverty rate
- 10.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 6.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 33.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Washington County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $78,958
- Poverty rate
- 9.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 5.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 40.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Wayne County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $62,381
- Poverty rate
- 12.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 52.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Westmoreland County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $74,109
- Poverty rate
- 10.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 5.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 39.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Wyoming County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $72,460
- Poverty rate
- 11.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 6.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 36.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
York County, Pennsylvania
Close- Median household income
- $84,829
- Poverty rate
- 8.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 6.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 48.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
About these indicators
What each measure is and where it comes from. A county card shows only the county's own figures; this applies to all of them.
- Median household income
- Median household income in the past 12 months, in 2024 inflation-adjusted dollars. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table B19013).
- Poverty rate
- Share of people whose income is below the federal poverty threshold. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table S1701).
- Uninsured, under 65
- Model-based share of people under 65 without health insurance, all incomes. SAHIE, 2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Health Insurance Estimates.
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- Share of renter households spending 30 percent or more of income on gross rent. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (profile DP04).
- Per-capita personal income
- Total personal income divided by the county population, before taxes. BEA CAINC1, 2024. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts (CAINC1).
Data table: every county, every indicator (67 counties)
| County | Household income | Poverty | Uninsured under 65 | Rent burden | Per-capita income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams | $84,092 | 8.2% | 7.9% | 44.0% | Not yet available |
| Allegheny | $78,548 | 11.5% | 5.1% | 46.2% | Not yet available |
| Armstrong | $65,008 | 11.8% | 6.6% | 43.3% | Not yet available |
| Beaver | $71,089 | 9.9% | 5.6% | 42.3% | Not yet available |
| Bedford | $59,992 | 11.6% | 9.3% | 50.0% | Not yet available |
| Berks | $79,777 | 12.2% | 9.5% | 52.0% | Not yet available |
| Blair | $62,382 | 12.0% | 7.3% | 46.4% | Not yet available |
| Bradford | $63,675 | 12.6% | 8.0% | 38.8% | Not yet available |
| Bucks | $114,764 | 6.1% | 5.5% | 47.9% | Not yet available |
| Butler | $89,843 | 8.1% | 5.1% | 42.0% | Not yet available |
| Cambria | $58,418 | 14.2% | 5.5% | 42.6% | Not yet available |
| Cameron | $50,573 | 13.5% | 7.7% | 41.1% | Not yet available |
| Carbon | $67,554 | 12.3% | 7.3% | 43.5% | Not yet available |
| Centre | $74,291 | 16.3% | 7.7% | 57.1% | Not yet available |
| Chester | $127,208 | 6.0% | 5.8% | 47.7% | Not yet available |
| Clarion | $62,649 | 13.1% | 8.4% | 44.5% | Not yet available |
| Clearfield | $62,152 | 14.6% | 7.2% | 41.7% | Not yet available |
| Clinton | $60,816 | 14.8% | 10.1% | 43.4% | Not yet available |
| Columbia | $64,644 | 13.7% | 6.5% | 42.0% | Not yet available |
| Crawford | $60,476 | 14.3% | 10.6% | 45.4% | Not yet available |
| Cumberland | $87,494 | 7.5% | 7.4% | 41.7% | Not yet available |
| Dauphin | $76,242 | 12.9% | 8.3% | 45.4% | Not yet available |
| Delaware | $89,546 | 10.2% | 5.6% | 54.8% | Not yet available |
| Elk | $66,380 | 8.7% | 6.5% | 43.6% | Not yet available |
| Erie | $63,354 | 15.0% | 7.1% | 49.1% | Not yet available |
| Fayette | $58,236 | 16.8% | 6.8% | 43.5% | Not yet available |
| Forest | $52,191 | 11.9% | 9.1% | 29.0% | Not yet available |
| Franklin | $77,003 | 8.5% | 9.0% | 40.7% | Not yet available |
| Fulton | $65,836 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 36.6% | Not yet available |
| Greene | $68,041 | 13.5% | 7.3% | 39.0% | Not yet available |
| Huntingdon | $65,557 | 10.6% | 7.2% | 39.3% | Not yet available |
| Indiana | $60,208 | 14.0% | 8.7% | 49.2% | Not yet available |
| Jefferson | $58,686 | 14.1% | 9.0% | 44.0% | Not yet available |
| Juniata | $66,318 | 9.7% | 13.5% | 25.8% | Not yet available |
| Lackawanna | $66,223 | 14.4% | 8.1% | 48.3% | Not yet available |
| Lancaster | $86,959 | 8.2% | 11.6% | 46.4% | Not yet available |
| Lawrence | $61,931 | 11.9% | 6.6% | 50.9% | Not yet available |
| Lebanon | $78,425 | 10.1% | 9.3% | 46.9% | Not yet available |
| Lehigh | $80,079 | 11.6% | 8.8% | 54.9% | Not yet available |
| Luzerne | $63,691 | 15.3% | 8.6% | 46.4% | Not yet available |
| Lycoming | $63,917 | 12.8% | 7.4% | 47.2% | Not yet available |
| McKean | $62,905 | 13.7% | 7.4% | 41.5% | Not yet available |
| Mercer | $59,976 | 13.2% | 8.3% | 45.7% | Not yet available |
| Mifflin | $63,953 | 16.2% | 11.1% | 38.7% | Not yet available |
| Monroe | $83,565 | 10.7% | 8.4% | 57.0% | Not yet available |
| Montgomery | $113,915 | 6.5% | 4.5% | 49.0% | Not yet available |
| Montour | $76,976 | 8.8% | 5.7% | 38.2% | Not yet available |
| Northampton | $89,184 | 8.8% | 6.0% | 50.0% | Not yet available |
| Northumberland | $60,583 | 12.6% | 8.4% | 42.6% | Not yet available |
| Perry | $79,444 | 8.0% | 10.3% | 42.8% | Not yet available |
| Philadelphia | $61,953 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 52.3% | Not yet available |
| Pike | $81,323 | 9.8% | 8.1% | 50.4% | Not yet available |
| Potter | $59,020 | 13.0% | 8.5% | 41.0% | Not yet available |
| Schuylkill | $68,313 | 12.8% | 7.6% | 42.2% | Not yet available |
| Snyder | $66,876 | 9.4% | 11.7% | 42.0% | Not yet available |
| Somerset | $61,446 | 11.0% | 9.2% | 39.5% | Not yet available |
| Sullivan | $69,764 | 11.6% | 8.8% | 34.8% | Not yet available |
| Susquehanna | $68,487 | 11.4% | 8.4% | 44.4% | Not yet available |
| Tioga | $64,899 | 11.7% | 8.3% | 46.2% | Not yet available |
| Union | $76,404 | 9.0% | 11.1% | 47.6% | Not yet available |
| Venango | $61,522 | 13.2% | 7.6% | 47.9% | Not yet available |
| Warren | $60,480 | 10.8% | 6.8% | 33.0% | Not yet available |
| Washington | $78,958 | 9.6% | 5.6% | 40.3% | Not yet available |
| Wayne | $62,381 | 12.1% | 8.6% | 52.0% | Not yet available |
| Westmoreland | $74,109 | 10.3% | 5.0% | 39.7% | Not yet available |
| Wyoming | $72,460 | 11.5% | 6.8% | 36.9% | Not yet available |
| York | $84,829 | 8.4% | 6.7% | 48.0% | Not yet available |
What the delegation says
What Pennsylvania is worth
Pennsylvania's stake in House control
0of 20No Pennsylvania House race is rated Toss-Up or Lean this cycle. 20 seats elsewhere carry that rating; Pennsylvania's House delegation is settled ground.
Competitive = rated Toss-Up or Lean by the crediting rater · as of October 18, 2026
U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania
Every rater we carry, with its own date. Candidates, incumbent, poll and forecast sit under each rating.
No Senate race is in Thin Gold's tracked inventory for Pennsylvania this cycle.
This is an assumption, not a statutory fact: our inventory not carrying a race may mean no seat is up in Pennsylvania, or it may mean our own coverage has a gap, and we cannot currently tell those two apart.
Governor of Pennsylvania
Ratings, candidates and incumbent where we hold them; every gap is marked with its reason.
Governor
Pennsylvania Governor
- Candidates
-
We do not carry Pennsylvania's certified primary result.
Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections publishes the certified primary result on its official results page.
Pennsylvania's election site turns away automated requests, and we do not work around that.
Pennsylvania held its primary on May 19, 2026.
What we know
- Per Wikipedia, Josh Shapiro won the Democratic primary.
- Per Wikipedia, Stacy Garrity won the Republican primary.
- Incumbent
- Incumbent not yet confirmed.
- Latest poll
- The latest poll margin for this race is withheld because it may come from a pollster whose results inform our forecast but which we do not republish.
- Our forecast
- No win probability. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections.
U.S. House seats in Pennsylvania
Every district, in district order (0).
A race here is being re-verified and is not shown yet. Back soon.
Pennsylvania governor, 2026
Pennsylvania Governor race · Incumbent: Josh Shapiro Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
The Pennsylvania legislature
Thin Gold does not yet cover state legislative races. Coverage is a separate, later track.
-
Upper chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
-
Lower chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
How to vote in Pennsylvania
- Register to vote in Pennsylvania (vote.gov)
- Polling places and election dates · Pennsylvania’s official election page
Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.