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New Mexico 2nd District is the state's headline race: rated Lean D by Cook Political Report.

Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.

Fig. 2 · The New Mexico delegation

All 3 New Mexico House seats carry a rating.

Ratings Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, added October 18, 2026. A band means a rater made a claim.
Baselines 2024 presidential vote, The Downballot, as of October 3, 2026. A tint with no band is a measured past result.
Receipts FEC filings, as of September 30, 2026. This is the New Mexico as-of date, not a site-wide one.
01 Solid D 02 Lean D 03 Solid D

Each rating word is the seat's displayed rating, taken from Cook Political Report for 3 districts. Open a district for every rater and date.

Senate seat, on the 2026 ballot. Rated Solid D by Cook Political Report, October 18, 2026. · BEN R LUJAN (D) vs LARRY E MARKER (R)

New Mexico races rated Toss-Up

0of 4

No New Mexico race is a Toss-Up this cycle.

New Mexico races no rater covers

0of 4

Every New Mexico race carries a rating this cycle.

How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence

Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.

  • Lean D, band
  • Solid D, band

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of October 3, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of September 30, 2026.

Fig. 2

New Mexico at a glance

1 of 5 New Mexico seats is rated Toss-Up, Tilt or Lean.

5 seats on the 2026 ballot: 1 Senate, the governor, 3 House seats. Ratings added October 2, 2026. A seat counts by the first rater with a live rating ( Cook Political Report , then Sabato’s Crystal Ball, then Split Ticket, then FiftyPlusOne).

  • Favor D 5
  • Toss-Up 0
  • Favor R 0
  • Not rated 0

In play: 1 leaning D.

Lean against the nation

In 2024 this state voted 7.5 points more Democratic than the nation. Measured: FEC 2024 presidential results, difference from the national margin.

Of 3 House districts with a baseline, 2 voted more Democratic than the nation in 2024 and 1 more Republican.

House delegation, projected

Our model expects Democrats to win about 3 of 3 House seats here (run of October 18, 2026). Expected value across district win probabilities, not a call on any one seat.

The current party split of the delegation is not shown: seat-holder party is not yet a sourced field in our data.

Every New Mexico race our displayed rating calls close

Toss-Up and Lean races by our displayed rating (Cook Political Report when live, Sabato’s Crystal Ball otherwise), ranked as they appear in the delegation above.

#1 · U.S. House

New Mexico 2nd District

New Mexico · U.S. House

Cook Political Report · Lean D Added Aug 25 Sabato's Crystal Ball · Lean D Split Ticket · Safe D Jul 28 FiftyPlusOne · Likely D Sep 1
On the November ballot
Gabriel Vasquez Democrat
vs
Gregory G Cunningham Republican

Roster: New Mexico Secretary of State · state candidate list · as of October 18, 2026

$3.8M / $1.7M

New Mexico 2nd District · $5.5M total raised

Lean D, one of 1 New Mexico race our displayed rating calls close this cycle.

Cook Political Report · Sabato's Crystal Ball

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added . For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

New Mexico, district by district Cook Political Report ratings added October 18, 2026

New Mexico, district by district

Each district is colored by the Cook Political Report rating. Blue and red mean a rated lean; gold is a Toss-up. Hatching means Cook Political Report has not rated the seat. The data table under the map lists every district’s rating and where its lines come from.

New Mexico House districts colored by the Cook Political Report rating. Cook Political Report rates 3 of 3 House seats in New Mexico and calls 0 of them a Toss-up. 3 seats are drawn on the map.New MexicoNew Mexico District 1. Cook Political Report: Solid D.New Mexico District 2. Cook Political Report: Lean D.New Mexico District 3. Cook Political Report: Solid D.

Cook Political Report rating

  • Solid D
  • Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Toss-up
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Solid R

State of each Cook Political Report rating

  • Unproven

Cook Political Report rates 3 of 3 House seats in New Mexico and calls 0 of them a Toss-up. 3 seats are drawn on the map.

Ratings: Cook Political Report , added October 18, 2026. Current ratings and analysis at cookpolitical.com . District lines: U.S. Census Bureau TIGER/Line, 119th Congress districts, a federal work. This state’s districts are unchanged for 2026.
Data table: every House race in New Mexico (3)
Every House race in New Mexico: the Cook Political Report rating and where its lines come from. The date we added the ratings is in the figure's source line. Current ratings and analysis at cookpolitical.com.
DistrictCook Political ReportLines on the map
New Mexico District 1 NM-01Solid DCensus district lines
New Mexico District 2 NM-02Lean DCensus district lines
New Mexico District 3 NM-03Solid DCensus district lines

Counties, by the numbers

New Mexico: five economic indicators, county by county Household income: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Poverty: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Uninsured under 65: SAHIE, 2024
Rent burden: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Per-capita income: BEA CAINC1, 2024

New Mexico: five economic indicators, county by county

Pick an indicator to shade the map. Each indicator gets its own gold ramp, scaled to this state's counties, with stronger gold for a higher value. A hatched county has no reading available yet; it is never estimated.

New Mexico counties, shaded by the selected economic indicator. New Mexico has 33 counties. 33 have at least one indicator available; a county with no value for an indicator is hatched and marked "Not yet available", never estimated.Bernalillo County. Household income: $69,473. Poverty: 15.2%. Uninsured under 65: 12.2%. Rent burden: 52.0%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Catron County. Household income: $49,864. Poverty: 24.8%. Uninsured under 65: 10.5%. Rent burden: 49.2%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Chaves County. Household income: $52,938. Poverty: 24.3%. Uninsured under 65: 17.2%. Rent burden: 47.8%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Cibola County. Household income: $50,759. Poverty: 28.4%. Uninsured under 65: 12.8%. Rent burden: 54.6%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Colfax County. Household income: $53,554. Poverty: 18.2%. Uninsured under 65: 13.9%. Rent burden: 46.5%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Curry County. Household income: $57,309. Poverty: 20.5%. Uninsured under 65: 15.2%. Rent burden: 48.1%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.De Baca County. Household income: Not yet available. Poverty: 15.5%. Uninsured under 65: 15.5%. Rent burden: 100.0%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Doña Ana County. Household income: $56,848. Poverty: 21.3%. Uninsured under 65: 14.5%. Rent burden: 54.4%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Eddy County. Household income: $78,426. Poverty: 13.8%. Uninsured under 65: 12.9%. Rent burden: 36.4%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Grant County. Household income: $44,958. Poverty: 19.5%. Uninsured under 65: 12.2%. Rent burden: 45.0%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Guadalupe County. Household income: $42,750. Poverty: 25.5%. Uninsured under 65: 13.3%. Rent burden: 39.3%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Harding County. Household income: $48,553. Poverty: 19.4%. Uninsured under 65: 19.5%. Rent burden: 25.0%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Hidalgo County. Household income: $48,882. Poverty: 23.1%. Uninsured under 65: 13.9%. Rent burden: 57.3%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Lea County. Household income: $68,015. Poverty: 18.7%. Uninsured under 65: 17.4%. Rent burden: 48.4%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Lincoln County. Household income: $53,303. Poverty: 19.3%. Uninsured under 65: 15.2%. Rent burden: 51.8%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Los Alamos County. Household income: $147,139. Poverty: 3.5%. Uninsured under 65: 2.9%. Rent burden: 28.9%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Luna County. Household income: $36,419. Poverty: 28.6%. Uninsured under 65: 17.0%. Rent burden: 50.0%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.McKinley County. Household income: $47,668. Poverty: 33.2%. Uninsured under 65: 14.7%. Rent burden: 43.6%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Mora County. Household income: $53,663. Poverty: 21.4%. Uninsured under 65: 12.2%. Rent burden: 18.0%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Otero County. Household income: $55,876. Poverty: 19.3%. Uninsured under 65: 15.2%. Rent burden: 46.8%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Quay County. Household income: $41,946. Poverty: 27.1%. Uninsured under 65: 13.2%. Rent burden: 56.0%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Rio Arriba County. Household income: $57,155. Poverty: 18.2%. Uninsured under 65: 12.5%. Rent burden: 34.3%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Roosevelt County. Household income: $52,685. Poverty: 21.8%. Uninsured under 65: 14.5%. Rent burden: 45.8%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.San Juan County. Household income: $55,872. Poverty: 23.1%. Uninsured under 65: 14.7%. Rent burden: 42.4%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.San Miguel County. Household income: $49,431. Poverty: 24.4%. Uninsured under 65: 12.4%. Rent burden: 56.3%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Sandoval County. Household income: $86,636. Poverty: 10.0%. Uninsured under 65: 10.4%. Rent burden: 50.0%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Santa Fe County. Household income: $79,071. Poverty: 12.0%. Uninsured under 65: 13.7%. Rent burden: 51.0%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Sierra County. Household income: $41,600. Poverty: 21.4%. Uninsured under 65: 16.2%. Rent burden: 51.0%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Socorro County. Household income: $36,570. Poverty: 33.2%. Uninsured under 65: 14.2%. Rent burden: 62.7%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Taos County. Household income: $58,950. Poverty: 15.5%. Uninsured under 65: 14.4%. Rent burden: 56.5%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Torrance County. Household income: $57,842. Poverty: 18.3%. Uninsured under 65: 17.0%. Rent burden: 34.1%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Union County. Household income: $46,694. Poverty: 16.6%. Uninsured under 65: 20.3%. Rent burden: 35.3%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.Valencia County. Household income: $58,933. Poverty: 18.1%. Uninsured under 65: 14.0%. Rent burden: 56.2%. Per-capita income: Not yet available. Open the county card.

Median household income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024

  • up to $46,694
  • $46,694 to $50,759
  • $50,759 to $55,876
  • $55,876 to $58,950
  • $58,950 to $147,139
  • Not yet available (1 of 33)

One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 32 counties with a value in New Mexico. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.

Poverty rate · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024

  • up to 15.5%
  • 15.5% to 19.3%
  • 19.3% to 21.4%
  • 21.4% to 24.8%
  • 24.8% to 33.2%
  • Not yet available (0 of 33)

One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 33 counties with a value in New Mexico. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.

Uninsured, under 65 · SAHIE, 2024

  • up to 12.4%
  • 12.4% to 13.9%
  • 13.9% to 14.5%
  • 14.5% to 16.2%
  • 16.2% to 20.3%
  • Not yet available (0 of 33)

One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 33 counties with a value in New Mexico. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.

Renters paying 30% or more of income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024

  • up to 36.4%
  • 36.4% to 46.8%
  • 46.8% to 50.0%
  • 50.0% to 56.0%
  • 56.0% to 100.0%
  • Not yet available (0 of 33)

One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 33 counties with a value in New Mexico. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.

Per-capita personal income · BEA CAINC1, 2024

  • Not yet available (33 of 33)

No county in New Mexico has a reading for this indicator yet, so there is no ramp to show. The ramp, once it has data, is one gold hue: not a party colour, and not a verdict of better or worse.

New Mexico has 33 counties. 33 have at least one indicator available; a county with no value for an indicator is hatched and marked "Not yet available", never estimated.

Bernalillo County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$69,473Margin of error ±$1,449 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
15.2%Margin of error ±0.7 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
12.2%90% interval 11.5% to 12.9%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
52.0%Margin of error ±1.8 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Catron County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$49,864Margin of error ±$16,681 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
24.8%Margin of error ±8.4 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
10.5%90% interval 8.8% to 12.2%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
49.2%Margin of error ±52.9 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Chaves County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$52,938Margin of error ±$2,795 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
24.3%Margin of error ±2.8 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
17.2%90% interval 15.5% to 18.9%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
47.8%Margin of error ±6.3 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Cibola County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$50,759Margin of error ±$9,447 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
28.4%Margin of error ±4.5 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
12.8%90% interval 11.3% to 14.3%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
54.6%Margin of error ±14.4 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Colfax County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$53,554Margin of error ±$3,097 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
18.2%Margin of error ±3.2 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
13.9%90% interval 12.3% to 15.5%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
46.5%Margin of error ±10.9 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Curry County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$57,309Margin of error ±$5,684 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
20.5%Margin of error ±3.6 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
15.2%90% interval 13.5% to 16.9%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
48.1%Margin of error ±7.3 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

De Baca County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.
Poverty rate
15.5%Margin of error ±7.2 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
15.5%90% interval 13.4% to 17.6%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
100.0%Margin of error ±39.0 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Doña Ana County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$56,848Margin of error ±$2,642 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
21.3%Margin of error ±1.4 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
14.5%90% interval 13.3% to 15.7%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
54.4%Margin of error ±4.0 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Eddy County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$78,426Margin of error ±$5,993 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
13.8%Margin of error ±2.3 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
12.9%90% interval 11.6% to 14.2%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
36.4%Margin of error ±8.6 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Grant County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$44,958Margin of error ±$4,212 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
19.5%Margin of error ±2.9 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
12.2%90% interval 10.7% to 13.7%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
45.0%Margin of error ±10.0 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Guadalupe County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$42,750Margin of error ±$8,581 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
25.5%Margin of error ±7.3 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
13.3%90% interval 11.6% to 15.0%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
39.3%Margin of error ±22.4 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Harding County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$48,553Margin of error ±$8,018 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
19.4%Margin of error ±6.8 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
19.5%90% interval 16.5% to 22.5%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
25.0%Margin of error ±25.4 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Hidalgo County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$48,882Margin of error ±$8,524 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
23.1%Margin of error ±4.5 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
13.9%90% interval 12.1% to 15.7%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
57.3%Margin of error ±17.4 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Lea County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$68,015Margin of error ±$5,605 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
18.7%Margin of error ±2.6 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
17.4%90% interval 15.8% to 19.0%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
48.4%Margin of error ±7.7 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Lincoln County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$53,303Margin of error ±$2,293 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
19.3%Margin of error ±3.4 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
15.2%90% interval 13.5% to 16.9%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
51.8%Margin of error ±11.9 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Los Alamos County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$147,139Margin of error ±$10,556 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
3.5%Margin of error ±1.5 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
2.9%90% interval 2.5% to 3.3%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
28.9%Margin of error ±9.1 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Luna County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$36,419Margin of error ±$4,439 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
28.6%Margin of error ±3.6 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
17.0%90% interval 15.0% to 19.0%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
50.0%Margin of error ±13.3 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

McKinley County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$47,668Margin of error ±$2,757 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
33.2%Margin of error ±2.3 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
14.7%90% interval 13.3% to 16.1%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
43.6%Margin of error ±5.6 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Mora County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$53,663Margin of error ±$3,996 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
21.4%Margin of error ±8.8 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
12.2%90% interval 10.2% to 14.2%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
18.0%Margin of error ±18.5 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Otero County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$55,876Margin of error ±$2,502 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
19.3%Margin of error ±2.3 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
15.2%90% interval 13.5% to 16.9%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
46.8%Margin of error ±6.7 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Quay County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$41,946Margin of error ±$14,822 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
27.1%Margin of error ±5.1 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
13.2%90% interval 11.5% to 14.9%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
56.0%Margin of error ±19.6 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Rio Arriba County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$57,155Margin of error ±$4,325 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
18.2%Margin of error ±2.2 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
12.5%90% interval 11.2% to 13.8%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
34.3%Margin of error ±6.5 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Roosevelt County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$52,685Margin of error ±$5,040 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
21.8%Margin of error ±3.3 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
14.5%90% interval 12.7% to 16.3%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
45.8%Margin of error ±10.6 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

San Juan County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$55,872Margin of error ±$1,667 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
23.1%Margin of error ±1.5 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
14.7%90% interval 13.4% to 16.0%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
42.4%Margin of error ±5.1 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

San Miguel County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$49,431Margin of error ±$3,657 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
24.4%Margin of error ±3.8 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
12.4%90% interval 10.8% to 14.0%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
56.3%Margin of error ±11.0 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Sandoval County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$86,636Margin of error ±$3,118 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
10.0%Margin of error ±0.9 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
10.4%90% interval 9.5% to 11.3%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
50.0%Margin of error ±5.1 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Santa Fe County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$79,071Margin of error ±$2,820 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
12.0%Margin of error ±1.2 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
13.7%90% interval 12.5% to 14.9%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
51.0%Margin of error ±3.2 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Sierra County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$41,600Margin of error ±$5,700 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
21.4%Margin of error ±5.2 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
16.2%90% interval 13.8% to 18.6%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
51.0%Margin of error ±13.9 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Socorro County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$36,570Margin of error ±$11,077 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
33.2%Margin of error ±7.2 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
14.2%90% interval 12.5% to 15.9%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
62.7%Margin of error ±14.1 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Taos County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$58,950Margin of error ±$7,027 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
15.5%Margin of error ±2.5 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
14.4%90% interval 12.8% to 16.0%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
56.5%Margin of error ±10.0 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Torrance County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$57,842Margin of error ±$6,305 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
18.3%Margin of error ±4.1 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
17.0%90% interval 15.0% to 19.0%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
34.1%Margin of error ±13.4 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Union County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$46,694Margin of error ±$17,202 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
16.6%Margin of error ±5.2 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
20.3%90% interval 17.0% to 23.6%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
35.3%Margin of error ±22.4 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

Valencia County, New Mexico

Close
Median household income
$58,933Margin of error ±$4,230 (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Poverty rate
18.1%Margin of error ±2.0 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Uninsured, under 65
14.0%90% interval 12.6% to 15.4%. SAHIE, 2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
56.2%Margin of error ±9.3 points (90% confidence). ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Last checked 2026-10-12.
Per-capita personal income
Not yet availableNo reading for this county is on file yet. It is not estimated.

Definition and source for each figure: see About these indicators, below the map.

About these indicators

What each measure is and where it comes from. A county card shows only the county's own figures; this applies to all of them.

Median household income
Median household income in the past 12 months, in 2024 inflation-adjusted dollars. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table B19013).
Poverty rate
Share of people whose income is below the federal poverty threshold. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table S1701).
Uninsured, under 65
Model-based share of people under 65 without health insurance, all incomes. SAHIE, 2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Health Insurance Estimates.
Renters paying 30% or more of income
Share of renter households spending 30 percent or more of income on gross rent. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (profile DP04).
Per-capita personal income
Total personal income divided by the county population, before taxes. BEA CAINC1, 2024. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts (CAINC1).
U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table B19013) · U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table S1701) · U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Health Insurance Estimates · U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (profile DP04) · U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts (CAINC1). County boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundaries (federal works). This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
Data table: every county, every indicator (33 counties)
New Mexico counties: every indicator, 33 rows
CountyHousehold incomePovertyUninsured under 65Rent burdenPer-capita income
Bernalillo$69,47315.2%12.2%52.0%Not yet available
Catron$49,86424.8%10.5%49.2%Not yet available
Chaves$52,93824.3%17.2%47.8%Not yet available
Cibola$50,75928.4%12.8%54.6%Not yet available
Colfax$53,55418.2%13.9%46.5%Not yet available
Curry$57,30920.5%15.2%48.1%Not yet available
De BacaNot yet available15.5%15.5%100.0%Not yet available
Doña Ana$56,84821.3%14.5%54.4%Not yet available
Eddy$78,42613.8%12.9%36.4%Not yet available
Grant$44,95819.5%12.2%45.0%Not yet available
Guadalupe$42,75025.5%13.3%39.3%Not yet available
Harding$48,55319.4%19.5%25.0%Not yet available
Hidalgo$48,88223.1%13.9%57.3%Not yet available
Lea$68,01518.7%17.4%48.4%Not yet available
Lincoln$53,30319.3%15.2%51.8%Not yet available
Los Alamos$147,1393.5%2.9%28.9%Not yet available
Luna$36,41928.6%17.0%50.0%Not yet available
McKinley$47,66833.2%14.7%43.6%Not yet available
Mora$53,66321.4%12.2%18.0%Not yet available
Otero$55,87619.3%15.2%46.8%Not yet available
Quay$41,94627.1%13.2%56.0%Not yet available
Rio Arriba$57,15518.2%12.5%34.3%Not yet available
Roosevelt$52,68521.8%14.5%45.8%Not yet available
San Juan$55,87223.1%14.7%42.4%Not yet available
San Miguel$49,43124.4%12.4%56.3%Not yet available
Sandoval$86,63610.0%10.4%50.0%Not yet available
Santa Fe$79,07112.0%13.7%51.0%Not yet available
Sierra$41,60021.4%16.2%51.0%Not yet available
Socorro$36,57033.2%14.2%62.7%Not yet available
Taos$58,95015.5%14.4%56.5%Not yet available
Torrance$57,84218.3%17.0%34.1%Not yet available
Union$46,69416.6%20.3%35.3%Not yet available
Valencia$58,93318.1%14.0%56.2%Not yet available

What the delegation says

What New Mexico is worth

New Mexico's stake in House control

1of 20

One of the 20 seats that decide House control this cycle sits in New Mexico's delegation. The rest of the delegation is settled ground.

Competitive = rated Toss-Up or Lean by the crediting rater · as of October 18, 2026

Rating and model, side by side

Model output from our win-odds simulation, under calibration review. Methodology

U.S. Senate in New Mexico

Every rater we carry, with its own date. Candidates, incumbent, poll and forecast sit under each rating.

Governor of New Mexico

Ratings, candidates and incumbent where we hold them; every gap is marked with its reason.

Governor

New Mexico Governor

No rating on file from Split Ticket, FiftyPlusOne.

Candidates
  • D DEB HAALAND
  • R GREGGORY D HULL
Incumbent
Incumbent not yet confirmed.
Latest poll
A poll reading is on file, but its source document is not verifiable, so it is withheld.
Our forecast
No win probability. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections.

Race page

U.S. House seats in New Mexico

Every district, in district order (3).

For all 3 districts: no poll on file.

U.S. House

New Mexico 1st District

No rating on file from Sabato's Crystal Ball, Split Ticket, FiftyPlusOne.

Candidates
  • D MELANIE ANN STANSBURY
  • R NDIDIAMAKA EKWUA CHARLENE OKPAREKE
Incumbent
Melanie A. Stansbury (as of September 29, 2026)
Our forecast
more than 19 in 20 · Safe D
Raised this cycle (D / R)
$1.4M / $101K

Race page

New Mexico governor, 2026

Cook Political Report Solid D

New Mexico Governor race · Incumbent: Michelle Lujan Grisham (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

The New Mexico legislature

Thin Gold does not yet cover state legislative races. Coverage is a separate, later track.

  • Upper chamber

    Not yet covered

    Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.

  • Lower chamber

    Not yet covered

    Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.

How to vote in New Mexico

Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.