New Mexico 2nd District is the state's headline race: rated Lean D by Cook Political Report.
Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.
All 3 New Mexico House seats carry a rating.
New Mexico races rated Toss-Up
0of 4No New Mexico race is a Toss-Up this cycle.
New Mexico races no rater covers
0of 4Every New Mexico race carries a rating this cycle.
How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence
Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.
- Lean D, band
- Solid D, band
Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , current as of September 3, 2026. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of August 10, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of June 30, 2026.
Fig. 2
What the delegation says
New Mexico 2nd District is the state's headline race: rated Lean D by Cook Political Report.
How to vote in New Mexico
- Register to vote in New Mexico (vote.gov)
- Polling places and election dates · New Mexico’s official election page
Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.
The full New Mexico delegation, all 4 races Open the table · 4 rows
| Race | Rating | Candidates | Raised (D / R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico 2nd District | Candidates TBD | $3.8M / $1.7M | |
| New Mexico Senate | Ben Ray Luján (D) | $5.0M / $33.5K | |
| New Mexico 1st District | Candidates TBD | $1.4M / $101.0K | |
| New Mexico 3rd District | Candidates TBD | $1.2M / $440.6K |