Alabama 2nd District is the state's headline race: rated Likely R by Cook Political Report.
Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.
All 7 Alabama House seats carry a rating.
Each rating word is the seat's displayed rating, taken from Cook Political Report for 7 districts. Open a district for every rater and date.
Alabama races rated Toss-Up
0of 8No Alabama race is a Toss-Up this cycle.
Alabama races no rater covers
0of 8Every Alabama race carries a rating this cycle.
How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence
Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.
- Solid D, band
- Likely R, band
- Solid R, band
Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of October 3, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of September 30, 2026.
Fig. 2
Alabama at a glance
No Alabama seat is rated Toss-Up, Tilt or Lean by the raters we carry.
9 seats on the 2026 ballot: 1 Senate, the governor, 7 House seats. Ratings added September 30, 2026. A seat counts by the first rater with a live rating ( Cook Political Report , then Sabato’s Crystal Ball, then Split Ticket, then FiftyPlusOne).
- Favor D 1
- Toss-Up 0
- Favor R 8
- Not rated 0
Lean against the nation
In 2024 this state voted 29.0 points more Republican than the nation. Measured: FEC 2024 presidential results, difference from the national margin.
Of 7 House districts with a baseline, 1 voted more Democratic than the nation in 2024 and 6 more Republican.
House delegation, projected
Our model expects Democrats to win about 1 of 7 House seats here (run of October 18, 2026). Expected value across district win probabilities, not a call on any one seat.
The current party split of the delegation is not shown: seat-holder party is not yet a sourced field in our data.
Every Alabama race our displayed rating calls close
Toss-Up and Lean races by our displayed rating (Cook Political Report when live, Sabato’s Crystal Ball otherwise), ranked as they appear in the delegation above.
No Alabama race has a displayed rating of Toss-Up or Lean this cycle.
Alabama, district by district
Each district is colored by the Cook Political Report rating. Blue and red mean a rated lean; gold is a Toss-up. Hatching means Cook Political Report has not rated the seat. The data table under the map lists every district’s rating and where its lines come from.
- State
- Date
- Source
- Rights
- Key
Cook Political Report rating
- Solid D
- Likely D
- Lean D
- Toss-up
- Lean R
- Likely R
- Solid R
State of each Cook Political Report rating
- Unproven
Cook Political Report rates 7 of 7 House seats in Alabama and calls 0 of them a Toss-up. 7 seats are drawn on the map.
Data table: every House race in Alabama (7)
| District | Cook Political Report | Lines on the map |
|---|---|---|
| Alabama District 1 AL-01 | Solid R | Enacted 2026 map |
| Alabama District 2 AL-02 | Likely R | Enacted 2026 map |
| Alabama District 3 AL-03 | Solid R | Enacted 2026 map |
| Alabama District 4 AL-04 | Solid R | Enacted 2026 map |
| Alabama District 5 AL-05 | Solid R | Enacted 2026 map |
| Alabama District 6 AL-06 | Solid R | Enacted 2026 map |
| Alabama District 7 AL-07 | Solid D | Enacted 2026 map |
Counties, by the numbers
Poverty: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Uninsured under 65: SAHIE, 2024
Rent burden: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Per-capita income: BEA CAINC1, 2024
Alabama: five economic indicators, county by county
Pick an indicator to shade the map. Each indicator gets its own gold ramp, scaled to this state's counties, with stronger gold for a higher value. A hatched county has no reading available yet; it is never estimated.
Median household income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to $46,042
- $46,042 to $51,908
- $51,908 to $57,355
- $57,355 to $65,603
- $65,603 to $97,961
- Not yet available (0 of 67)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 67 counties with a value in Alabama. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Poverty rate · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 14.0%
- 14.0% to 17.1%
- 17.1% to 19.1%
- 19.1% to 22.4%
- 22.4% to 40.1%
- Not yet available (0 of 67)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 67 counties with a value in Alabama. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Uninsured, under 65 · SAHIE, 2024
- up to 9.5%
- 9.5% to 10.0%
- 10.0% to 10.8%
- 10.8% to 11.4%
- 11.4% to 14.6%
- Not yet available (0 of 67)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 67 counties with a value in Alabama. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Renters paying 30% or more of income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 39.7%
- 39.7% to 44.2%
- 44.2% to 47.2%
- 47.2% to 51.8%
- 51.8% to 63.5%
- Not yet available (0 of 67)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 67 counties with a value in Alabama. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Per-capita personal income · BEA CAINC1, 2024
- Not yet available (67 of 67)
No county in Alabama has a reading for this indicator yet, so there is no ramp to show. The ramp, once it has data, is one gold hue: not a party colour, and not a verdict of better or worse.
Alabama has 67 counties. 67 have at least one indicator available; a county with no value for an indicator is hatched and marked "Not yet available", never estimated.
Autauga County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $72,481
- Poverty rate
- 11.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 34.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Baldwin County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $78,775
- Poverty rate
- 10.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Barbour County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $46,042
- Poverty rate
- 21.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 36.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Bibb County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $52,541
- Poverty rate
- 22.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 60.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Blount County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $64,190
- Poverty rate
- 12.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 42.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Bullock County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $31,310
- Poverty rate
- 33.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 51.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Butler County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $44,755
- Poverty rate
- 22.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 45.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Calhoun County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $55,029
- Poverty rate
- 17.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 44.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Chambers County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $49,656
- Poverty rate
- 15.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Cherokee County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $53,863
- Poverty rate
- 14.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 40.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Chilton County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $65,603
- Poverty rate
- 14.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 35.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Choctaw County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $47,813
- Poverty rate
- 16.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 37.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Clarke County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $49,249
- Poverty rate
- 20.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 57.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Clay County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $55,250
- Poverty rate
- 17.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 40.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Cleburne County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $55,345
- Poverty rate
- 13.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 50.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Coffee County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $68,353
- Poverty rate
- 16.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 38.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Colbert County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $60,628
- Poverty rate
- 17.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 40.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Conecuh County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $41,327
- Poverty rate
- 27.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 51.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Coosa County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $57,355
- Poverty rate
- 13.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 63.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Covington County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $52,456
- Poverty rate
- 19.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 50.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Crenshaw County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $48,560
- Poverty rate
- 17.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 44.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Cullman County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $62,656
- Poverty rate
- 15.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 38.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Dale County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $54,963
- Poverty rate
- 18.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 39.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Dallas County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $35,627
- Poverty rate
- 31.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 62.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
DeKalb County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $51,204
- Poverty rate
- 22.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 14.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 44.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Elmore County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $78,243
- Poverty rate
- 10.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 45.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Escambia County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $48,225
- Poverty rate
- 20.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 43.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Etowah County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $54,563
- Poverty rate
- 16.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 48.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Fayette County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $49,488
- Poverty rate
- 21.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 33.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Franklin County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $53,338
- Poverty rate
- 19.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 35.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Geneva County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $52,771
- Poverty rate
- 19.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 39.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Greene County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $29,200
- Poverty rate
- 40.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 50.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Hale County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $39,250
- Poverty rate
- 24.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 50.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Henry County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $59,931
- Poverty rate
- 18.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Houston County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $58,626
- Poverty rate
- 17.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Jackson County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $51,908
- Poverty rate
- 17.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 44.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Jefferson County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $66,388
- Poverty rate
- 15.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 53.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lamar County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $50,000
- Poverty rate
- 18.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 51.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lauderdale County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $62,649
- Poverty rate
- 12.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 37.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lawrence County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $66,071
- Poverty rate
- 13.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 38.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lee County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $65,824
- Poverty rate
- 18.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 57.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Limestone County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $83,629
- Poverty rate
- 10.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 40.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lowndes County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $37,052
- Poverty rate
- 29.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 53.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Macon County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $43,707
- Poverty rate
- 24.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 51.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Madison County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $86,499
- Poverty rate
- 10.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 44.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Marengo County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $43,825
- Poverty rate
- 21.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 54.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Marion County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $50,088
- Poverty rate
- 16.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Marshall County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $62,571
- Poverty rate
- 16.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Mobile County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $58,880
- Poverty rate
- 16.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 55.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Monroe County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $42,292
- Poverty rate
- 20.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 51.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Montgomery County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $59,386
- Poverty rate
- 19.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 53.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Morgan County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $68,845
- Poverty rate
- 13.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 45.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Perry County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $37,654
- Poverty rate
- 31.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 50.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Pickens County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $46,274
- Poverty rate
- 20.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 40.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Pike County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $48,677
- Poverty rate
- 23.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 54.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Randolph County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $52,338
- Poverty rate
- 19.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Russell County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $51,197
- Poverty rate
- 22.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 54.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Shelby County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $97,961
- Poverty rate
- 7.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
St. Clair County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $77,463
- Poverty rate
- 11.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 42.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Sumter County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $33,310
- Poverty rate
- 26.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 59.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Talladega County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $57,776
- Poverty rate
- 17.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 44.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Tallapoosa County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $59,356
- Poverty rate
- 16.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 36.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Tuscaloosa County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $66,231
- Poverty rate
- 16.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 51.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Walker County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $56,509
- Poverty rate
- 18.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 40.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Washington County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $61,042
- Poverty rate
- 17.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 33.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Wilcox County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $40,640
- Poverty rate
- 28.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 48.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Winston County, Alabama
Close- Median household income
- $57,256
- Poverty rate
- 18.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 33.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
About these indicators
What each measure is and where it comes from. A county card shows only the county's own figures; this applies to all of them.
- Median household income
- Median household income in the past 12 months, in 2024 inflation-adjusted dollars. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table B19013).
- Poverty rate
- Share of people whose income is below the federal poverty threshold. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table S1701).
- Uninsured, under 65
- Model-based share of people under 65 without health insurance, all incomes. SAHIE, 2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Health Insurance Estimates.
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- Share of renter households spending 30 percent or more of income on gross rent. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (profile DP04).
- Per-capita personal income
- Total personal income divided by the county population, before taxes. BEA CAINC1, 2024. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts (CAINC1).
Data table: every county, every indicator (67 counties)
| County | Household income | Poverty | Uninsured under 65 | Rent burden | Per-capita income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Autauga | $72,481 | 11.3% | 8.1% | 34.6% | Not yet available |
| Baldwin | $78,775 | 10.1% | 9.5% | 47.2% | Not yet available |
| Barbour | $46,042 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 36.7% | Not yet available |
| Bibb | $52,541 | 22.5% | 11.4% | 60.0% | Not yet available |
| Blount | $64,190 | 12.9% | 12.7% | 42.3% | Not yet available |
| Bullock | $31,310 | 33.3% | 13.2% | 51.3% | Not yet available |
| Butler | $44,755 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 45.7% | Not yet available |
| Calhoun | $55,029 | 17.9% | 10.3% | 44.9% | Not yet available |
| Chambers | $49,656 | 15.7% | 10.3% | 46.9% | Not yet available |
| Cherokee | $53,863 | 14.8% | 11.2% | 40.0% | Not yet available |
| Chilton | $65,603 | 14.0% | 11.9% | 35.4% | Not yet available |
| Choctaw | $47,813 | 16.5% | 10.5% | 37.5% | Not yet available |
| Clarke | $49,249 | 20.1% | 10.0% | 57.5% | Not yet available |
| Clay | $55,250 | 17.6% | 10.9% | 40.7% | Not yet available |
| Cleburne | $55,345 | 13.7% | 10.9% | 50.5% | Not yet available |
| Coffee | $68,353 | 16.7% | 10.3% | 38.9% | Not yet available |
| Colbert | $60,628 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 40.6% | Not yet available |
| Conecuh | $41,327 | 27.8% | 10.2% | 51.1% | Not yet available |
| Coosa | $57,355 | 13.1% | 10.2% | 63.5% | Not yet available |
| Covington | $52,456 | 19.2% | 11.4% | 50.0% | Not yet available |
| Crenshaw | $48,560 | 17.9% | 11.3% | 44.1% | Not yet available |
| Cullman | $62,656 | 15.3% | 11.9% | 38.9% | Not yet available |
| Dale | $54,963 | 18.7% | 11.3% | 39.9% | Not yet available |
| Dallas | $35,627 | 31.0% | 8.8% | 62.1% | Not yet available |
| DeKalb | $51,204 | 22.4% | 14.6% | 44.4% | Not yet available |
| Elmore | $78,243 | 10.3% | 7.9% | 45.4% | Not yet available |
| Escambia | $48,225 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 43.5% | Not yet available |
| Etowah | $54,563 | 16.9% | 10.9% | 48.4% | Not yet available |
| Fayette | $49,488 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 33.2% | Not yet available |
| Franklin | $53,338 | 19.1% | 13.3% | 35.8% | Not yet available |
| Geneva | $52,771 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 39.7% | Not yet available |
| Greene | $29,200 | 40.1% | 9.0% | 50.1% | Not yet available |
| Hale | $39,250 | 24.6% | 10.2% | 50.1% | Not yet available |
| Henry | $59,931 | 18.3% | 11.8% | 47.2% | Not yet available |
| Houston | $58,626 | 17.5% | 11.3% | 46.0% | Not yet available |
| Jackson | $51,908 | 17.3% | 12.4% | 44.8% | Not yet available |
| Jefferson | $66,388 | 15.7% | 10.4% | 53.5% | Not yet available |
| Lamar | $50,000 | 18.0% | 10.0% | 51.8% | Not yet available |
| Lauderdale | $62,649 | 12.2% | 9.8% | 37.5% | Not yet available |
| Lawrence | $66,071 | 13.3% | 11.0% | 38.0% | Not yet available |
| Lee | $65,824 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 57.3% | Not yet available |
| Limestone | $83,629 | 10.0% | 8.4% | 40.8% | Not yet available |
| Lowndes | $37,052 | 29.9% | 9.3% | 53.9% | Not yet available |
| Macon | $43,707 | 24.3% | 9.5% | 51.8% | Not yet available |
| Madison | $86,499 | 10.1% | 8.3% | 44.2% | Not yet available |
| Marengo | $43,825 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 54.2% | Not yet available |
| Marion | $50,088 | 16.2% | 11.0% | 46.3% | Not yet available |
| Marshall | $62,571 | 16.6% | 12.7% | 46.5% | Not yet available |
| Mobile | $58,880 | 16.2% | 9.8% | 55.6% | Not yet available |
| Monroe | $42,292 | 20.1% | 10.5% | 51.3% | Not yet available |
| Montgomery | $59,386 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 53.4% | Not yet available |
| Morgan | $68,845 | 13.5% | 10.8% | 45.1% | Not yet available |
| Perry | $37,654 | 31.4% | 8.9% | 50.6% | Not yet available |
| Pickens | $46,274 | 20.0% | 9.8% | 40.4% | Not yet available |
| Pike | $48,677 | 23.3% | 10.0% | 54.9% | Not yet available |
| Randolph | $52,338 | 19.9% | 11.7% | 47.1% | Not yet available |
| Russell | $51,197 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 54.4% | Not yet available |
| Shelby | $97,961 | 7.2% | 7.1% | 47.1% | Not yet available |
| St. Clair | $77,463 | 11.4% | 8.9% | 42.5% | Not yet available |
| Sumter | $33,310 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 59.6% | Not yet available |
| Talladega | $57,776 | 17.8% | 9.5% | 44.2% | Not yet available |
| Tallapoosa | $59,356 | 16.3% | 11.0% | 36.4% | Not yet available |
| Tuscaloosa | $66,231 | 16.8% | 8.6% | 51.5% | Not yet available |
| Walker | $56,509 | 18.5% | 11.3% | 40.6% | Not yet available |
| Washington | $61,042 | 17.1% | 7.9% | 33.1% | Not yet available |
| Wilcox | $40,640 | 28.2% | 10.6% | 48.5% | Not yet available |
| Winston | $57,256 | 18.7% | 13.0% | 33.4% | Not yet available |
What the delegation says
What Alabama is worth
Alabama's stake in House control
0of 20No Alabama House race is rated Toss-Up or Lean this cycle. 20 seats elsewhere carry that rating; Alabama's House delegation is settled ground.
Competitive = rated Toss-Up or Lean by the crediting rater · as of October 18, 2026
U.S. Senate in Alabama
Every rater we carry, with its own date. Candidates, incumbent, poll and forecast sit under each rating.
U.S. Senate
Alabama Senate
- Candidates
-
- D Everett Wess
- R Barry Moore
- Incumbent
- Tommy Tuberville (as of October 8, 2026)
- Latest poll
- No poll on file.
- Our forecast
- more than 19 in 20 · Safe R
- Raised this cycle (D / R)
- $418.5K / $9.8M
Governor of Alabama
Ratings, candidates and incumbent where we hold them; every gap is marked with its reason.
Governor
Alabama Governor
- Candidates
-
- D Doug Jones
- R Tommy Tuberville
- Incumbent
- Incumbent not yet confirmed.
- Latest poll
- A poll reading is on file, but its source document is not verifiable, so it is withheld.
- Our forecast
- No win probability. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections.
U.S. House seats in Alabama
Every district, in district order (7).
U.S. House
Alabama 1st District
- Candidates
-
- D Clyde Jones
- R Jerry Carl
- Incumbent
- Barry Moore (as of September 29, 2026)
- Latest poll
- No poll on file.
- Our forecast
- more than 19 in 20 · Safe R
- Raised this cycle (D / R)
- $86K / $1.4M
U.S. House
Alabama 2nd District
- Candidates
-
- D Shomari C. Figures
- R Rhett Marques
- Incumbent
- Shomari Figures (as of September 29, 2026)
- Latest poll
- A poll reading is on file, but its source document is not verifiable, so it is withheld.
- Our forecast
- about 4 in 5 · Likely R
- Raised this cycle (D / R)
- $1.4M / $2.1M
U.S. House
Alabama 3rd District
- Candidates
-
- D Lee McInnis
- R Mike Rogers
- Incumbent
- Mike Rogers (as of September 29, 2026)
- Latest poll
- No poll on file.
- Our forecast
- more than 19 in 20 · Safe R
- Raised this cycle (D / R)
- $60.8K / $2.1M
U.S. House
Alabama 4th District
- Candidates
-
- D Amanda N. Pusczek
- R Robert B. Aderholt
- Incumbent
- Robert B. Aderholt (as of September 29, 2026)
- Latest poll
- No poll on file.
- Our forecast
- more than 19 in 20 · Safe R
- Raised this cycle (D / R)
- $23.1K / $1.1M
U.S. House
Alabama 5th District
- Candidates
-
- D Andrew Sneed
- R Dale W. Strong
- Incumbent
- Dale W. Strong (as of September 29, 2026)
- Latest poll
- No poll on file.
- Our forecast
- more than 19 in 20 · Safe R
- Raised this cycle (D / R)
- $719.9K / $1.5M
U.S. House
Alabama 6th District
- Candidates
-
- D Maurice Mercer
- R Gary Palmer
- Incumbent
- Gary J. Palmer (as of September 29, 2026)
- Latest poll
- No poll on file.
- Our forecast
- more than 19 in 20 · Safe R
- Raised this cycle (D / R)
- $32.4K / $1.1M
U.S. House
Alabama 7th District
- Candidates
-
- D Terri Sewell
- R Ammie Akin
- Incumbent
- Terri A. Sewell (as of September 29, 2026)
- Latest poll
- No poll on file.
- Our forecast
- more than 19 in 20 · Safe D
- Raised this cycle (D / R)
- $2M / $150.7K
Alabama governor, 2026
Alabama Governor race · Incumbent: Kay Ivey (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
The Alabama legislature
Thin Gold does not yet cover state legislative races. Coverage is a separate, later track.
-
Upper chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
-
Lower chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
How to vote in Alabama
- Register to vote in Alabama (vote.gov)
- Polling places and election dates · Alabama’s official election page
Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.