Florida 14th District is the state's headline race: rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.

Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.

Fig. 2 · The Florida delegation

All 28 Florida House seats carry a rating.

Ratings Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, as of September 3, 2026. A band means a rater made a claim.

Baselines 2024 presidential vote, The Downballot, as of August 10, 2026. A tint with no band is a measured past result.

Receipts FEC filings, as of August 8, 2026. This is the Florida as-of date, not a site-wide one.

01 Solid R 02 Solid R 03 Solid R 04 Solid R 05 Solid R 06 Solid R 07 Likely R 08 Solid R 09 Likely R 10 Solid D 11 Solid R 12 Solid R 13 Likely R 14 Toss-Up 15 Solid R 16 Solid R 17 Solid R 18 Solid R 19 Solid R 20 Solid D 21 Solid R 22 Lean R 23 Solid D 24 Solid D 25 Toss-Up 26 Solid R 27 Likely R 28 Solid R

No Senate race is in Thin Gold's tracked inventory for Florida this cycle. This is an assumption, with a reason, not a statutory fact (NBV-394): our inventory not carrying a race may mean no seat is up in Florida, or it may mean our own coverage has a gap, and we cannot currently tell those two apart.

Florida races rated Toss-Up

2of 28

Florida 14th District, Florida 25th District. These are the only races in Florida that either rater declines to call for a party.

Florida races no rater covers

0of 28

Every Florida race carries a rating this cycle.

How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence

Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.

Toss-Up, band across the top
Solid D, band
Lean R, band
Likely R, band
Solid R, band

Assumption, with reason What we infer, and why it is not yet a fact.

Not on the 2026 ballot, per our inventory

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , current as of September 3, 2026. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of August 10, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of August 8, 2026.

Fig. 2

What the delegation says

Florida 14th District is the state's headline race: rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.

How to vote in Florida

Register to vote in Florida (vote.gov)
Polling places and election dates · Florida’s official election page

Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.

The full Florida delegation, all 28 races Open the table · 28 rows

Race	Rating	Candidates	Raised (D / R)
Florida 14th District	Toss-Up	Candidates TBD	$2.3M / $5.6M
Florida 25th District	Toss-Up	Candidates TBD	$3.7M / $6.1M
Florida 22nd District	Lean R	Candidates TBD	$2.3M / $17.3M
Florida 7th District	Likely R	Candidates TBD	$2.4M / $1.3M
Florida 9th District	Likely R	Candidates TBD	$2.2M / $6.0M
Florida 13th District	Likely R	Candidates TBD	$1.9M / $3.2M
Florida 27th District	Likely R	Candidates TBD	$2.5M / $2.2M
Florida 1st District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$174.3K / $4.8M
Florida 2nd District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$1.3M / $15.9M
Florida 3rd District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$68.3K / $2.0M
Florida 4th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$804.5K / $2.2M
Florida 5th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$343.6K / $758.2K
Florida 6th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$706.3K / $6.2M
Florida 8th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$739.3K / $1.8M
Florida 10th District	Solid D	Candidates TBD	$3.5M / $109.0
Florida 11th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$161.5K / $7.2M
Florida 12th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$915.7K / $1.6M
Florida 15th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$62.3K / $2.3M
Florida 16th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$603.2K / $2.1M
Florida 17th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$169.0K / $1.3M
Florida 18th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$12.2K / $850.0K
Florida 19th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$114.0K / $14.7M
Florida 20th District	Solid D	Candidates TBD	$5.3M / $191.2K
Florida 21st District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$1.2M / $4.3M
Florida 23rd District	Solid D	Candidates TBD	$2.8M / $233.1K
Florida 24th District	Solid D	Candidates TBD	$2.7M / $314.7K
Florida 26th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$386.3K / $2.1M
Florida 28th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$678.0K / $601.3K