One race is being re-verified and is not shown here yet. It will return once it is confirmed.
South Dakota At-Large District is the state's headline race: rated Solid R by Cook Political Report.
Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.
All 1 South Dakota House seat carry a rating.
Each rating word is the seat's displayed rating, taken from Cook Political Report for 1 district. Open a district for every rater and date.
South Dakota races rated Toss-Up
0of 1No South Dakota race is a Toss-Up this cycle.
South Dakota races no rater covers
0of 1Every South Dakota race carries a rating this cycle.
How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence
Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.
- Solid R, band
Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of October 3, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of June 30, 2026.
Fig. 2
South Dakota at a glance
No South Dakota seat is rated Toss-Up, Tilt or Lean by the raters we carry.
2 seats on the 2026 ballot: the governor, 1 House seat. Ratings added October 2, 2026. A seat counts by the first rater with a live rating ( Cook Political Report , then Sabato’s Crystal Ball, then Split Ticket, then FiftyPlusOne).
- Favor D 0
- Toss-Up 0
- Favor R 2
- Not rated 0
Lean against the nation
No statewide 2024 baseline is on record for South Dakota, because neither a Senate nor a governor race here carries one yet.
Of 1 House district with a baseline, 0 voted more Democratic than the nation in 2024 and 1 more Republican.
House delegation, projected
Our model expects Democrats to win about 0 of 1 House seat here (run of October 18, 2026). Expected value across district win probabilities, not a call on any one seat.
The current party split of the delegation is not shown: seat-holder party is not yet a sourced field in our data.
Every South Dakota race our displayed rating calls close
Toss-Up and Lean races by our displayed rating (Cook Political Report when live, Sabato’s Crystal Ball otherwise), ranked as they appear in the delegation above.
No South Dakota race has a displayed rating of Toss-Up or Lean this cycle.
South Dakota, its one House seat
Each district is colored by the Cook Political Report rating. Blue and red mean a rated lean; gold is a Toss-up. Hatching means Cook Political Report has not rated the seat. The data table under the map lists every district’s rating and where its lines come from.
- State
- Date
- Source
- Rights
- Key
Cook Political Report rating
- Solid D
- Likely D
- Lean D
- Toss-up
- Lean R
- Likely R
- Solid R
State of each Cook Political Report rating
- Unproven
Cook Political Report rates South Dakota’s one House seat and does not call it a Toss-up. 1 seat is drawn on the map.
Data table: every House race in South Dakota (1)
| District | Cook Political Report | Lines on the map |
|---|---|---|
| South Dakota at-large SD-AL | Solid R | State outline (at-large) |
Counties, by the numbers
Poverty: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Uninsured under 65: SAHIE, 2024
Rent burden: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Per-capita income: BEA CAINC1, 2024
South Dakota: five economic indicators, county by county
Pick an indicator to shade the map. Each indicator gets its own gold ramp, scaled to this state's counties, with stronger gold for a higher value. A hatched county has no reading available yet; it is never estimated.
Median household income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to $64,038
- $64,038 to $68,929
- $68,929 to $73,750
- $73,750 to $78,427
- $78,427 to $99,166
- Not yet available (0 of 66)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 66 counties with a value in South Dakota. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Poverty rate · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 7.7%
- 7.7% to 9.9%
- 9.9% to 11.6%
- 11.6% to 18.4%
- 18.4% to 57.6%
- Not yet available (0 of 66)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 66 counties with a value in South Dakota. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Uninsured, under 65 · SAHIE, 2024
- up to 9.0%
- 9.0% to 9.9%
- 9.9% to 10.9%
- 10.9% to 12.9%
- 12.9% to 16.9%
- Not yet available (0 of 66)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 66 counties with a value in South Dakota. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Renters paying 30% or more of income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 25.3%
- 25.3% to 30.0%
- 30.0% to 36.2%
- 36.2% to 41.7%
- 41.7% to 57.3%
- Not yet available (0 of 66)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 66 counties with a value in South Dakota. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Per-capita personal income · BEA CAINC1, 2024
- Not yet available (66 of 66)
No county in South Dakota has a reading for this indicator yet, so there is no ramp to show. The ramp, once it has data, is one gold hue: not a party colour, and not a verdict of better or worse.
South Dakota has 66 counties. 66 have at least one indicator available; a county with no value for an indicator is hatched and marked "Not yet available", never estimated.
Aurora County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $72,885
- Poverty rate
- 10.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 33.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Beadle County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $67,681
- Poverty rate
- 13.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 14.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 40.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Bennett County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $53,750
- Poverty rate
- 29.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 28.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Bon Homme County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $64,435
- Poverty rate
- 10.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 38.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Brookings County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $70,064
- Poverty rate
- 13.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 38.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Brown County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $70,898
- Poverty rate
- 11.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 45.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Brule County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $73,720
- Poverty rate
- 10.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 37.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Buffalo County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $47,045
- Poverty rate
- 33.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 41.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Butte County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $75,652
- Poverty rate
- 8.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 15.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 45.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Campbell County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $68,929
- Poverty rate
- 7.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 42.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Charles Mix County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $64,038
- Poverty rate
- 24.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 14.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 33.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Clark County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $70,726
- Poverty rate
- 10.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 15.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 25.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Clay County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $56,850
- Poverty rate
- 19.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 49.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Codington County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $72,727
- Poverty rate
- 8.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 36.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Corson County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $46,406
- Poverty rate
- 44.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 28.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Custer County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $84,112
- Poverty rate
- 9.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 20.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Davison County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $66,208
- Poverty rate
- 11.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 38.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Day County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $66,033
- Poverty rate
- 14.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 29.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Deuel County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $83,112
- Poverty rate
- 8.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 23.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Dewey County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $54,104
- Poverty rate
- 33.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 31.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Douglas County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $86,442
- Poverty rate
- 11.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 33.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Edmunds County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $81,630
- Poverty rate
- 9.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 30.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Fall River County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $67,917
- Poverty rate
- 16.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 41.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Faulk County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $57,750
- Poverty rate
- 28.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 31.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Grant County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $75,028
- Poverty rate
- 11.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 28.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Gregory County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $62,917
- Poverty rate
- 9.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 29.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Haakon County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $65,625
- Poverty rate
- 7.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 23.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Hamlin County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $87,101
- Poverty rate
- 6.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 20.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Hand County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $74,635
- Poverty rate
- 5.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 21.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Hanson County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $81,071
- Poverty rate
- 7.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 11.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Harding County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $80,441
- Poverty rate
- 6.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 5.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Hughes County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $81,395
- Poverty rate
- 9.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 6.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 35.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Hutchinson County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $73,977
- Poverty rate
- 12.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 28.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Hyde County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $73,472
- Poverty rate
- 5.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 27.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Jackson County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $35,417
- Poverty rate
- 42.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 43.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Jerauld County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $73,750
- Poverty rate
- 8.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 15.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Jones County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $65,119
- Poverty rate
- 18.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 3.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Kingsbury County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $74,000
- Poverty rate
- 10.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lake County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $76,808
- Poverty rate
- 8.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lawrence County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $73,384
- Poverty rate
- 11.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 33.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lincoln County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $99,166
- Poverty rate
- 5.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 6.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 37.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lyman County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $67,143
- Poverty rate
- 23.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 24.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Marshall County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $78,156
- Poverty rate
- 6.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 24.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
McCook County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $83,852
- Poverty rate
- 6.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 35.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
McPherson County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $66,906
- Poverty rate
- 12.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 24.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Meade County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $74,790
- Poverty rate
- 7.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 38.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Mellette County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $54,076
- Poverty rate
- 41.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 14.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 26.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Miner County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $76,140
- Poverty rate
- 11.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 20.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Minnehaha County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $76,880
- Poverty rate
- 8.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 41.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Moody County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $78,427
- Poverty rate
- 11.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 41.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Oglala Lakota County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $41,417
- Poverty rate
- 57.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 25.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Pennington County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $74,517
- Poverty rate
- 11.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 48.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Perkins County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $66,908
- Poverty rate
- 13.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 16.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 30.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Potter County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $72,045
- Poverty rate
- 6.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 6.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 43.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Roberts County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $65,130
- Poverty rate
- 15.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 29.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Sanborn County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $78,750
- Poverty rate
- 8.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 15.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Spink County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $70,139
- Poverty rate
- 10.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 25.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Stanley County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $87,712
- Poverty rate
- 5.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Sully County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $72,578
- Poverty rate
- 6.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 8.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 33.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Todd County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $42,075
- Poverty rate
- 48.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 28.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Tripp County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $58,987
- Poverty rate
- 18.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 14.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 57.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Turner County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $75,771
- Poverty rate
- 9.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 31.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Union County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $89,636
- Poverty rate
- 6.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 38.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Walworth County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $65,026
- Poverty rate
- 14.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 40.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Yankton County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $72,821
- Poverty rate
- 11.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 33.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Ziebach County, South Dakota
Close- Median household income
- $53,958
- Poverty rate
- 33.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
About these indicators
What each measure is and where it comes from. A county card shows only the county's own figures; this applies to all of them.
- Median household income
- Median household income in the past 12 months, in 2024 inflation-adjusted dollars. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table B19013).
- Poverty rate
- Share of people whose income is below the federal poverty threshold. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table S1701).
- Uninsured, under 65
- Model-based share of people under 65 without health insurance, all incomes. SAHIE, 2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Health Insurance Estimates.
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- Share of renter households spending 30 percent or more of income on gross rent. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (profile DP04).
- Per-capita personal income
- Total personal income divided by the county population, before taxes. BEA CAINC1, 2024. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts (CAINC1).
Data table: every county, every indicator (66 counties)
| County | Household income | Poverty | Uninsured under 65 | Rent burden | Per-capita income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | $72,885 | 10.6% | 12.9% | 33.9% | Not yet available |
| Beadle | $67,681 | 13.6% | 14.4% | 40.2% | Not yet available |
| Bennett | $53,750 | 29.9% | 13.7% | 28.8% | Not yet available |
| Bon Homme | $64,435 | 10.6% | 9.0% | 38.0% | Not yet available |
| Brookings | $70,064 | 13.2% | 8.4% | 38.2% | Not yet available |
| Brown | $70,898 | 11.7% | 9.4% | 45.8% | Not yet available |
| Brule | $73,720 | 10.7% | 12.7% | 37.4% | Not yet available |
| Buffalo | $47,045 | 33.9% | 10.3% | 41.3% | Not yet available |
| Butte | $75,652 | 8.6% | 15.7% | 45.6% | Not yet available |
| Campbell | $68,929 | 7.7% | 8.4% | 42.8% | Not yet available |
| Charles Mix | $64,038 | 24.0% | 14.8% | 33.1% | Not yet available |
| Clark | $70,726 | 10.9% | 15.1% | 25.9% | Not yet available |
| Clay | $56,850 | 19.7% | 11.0% | 49.2% | Not yet available |
| Codington | $72,727 | 8.8% | 9.5% | 36.2% | Not yet available |
| Corson | $46,406 | 44.2% | 10.2% | 28.1% | Not yet available |
| Custer | $84,112 | 9.0% | 9.9% | 20.5% | Not yet available |
| Davison | $66,208 | 11.2% | 9.6% | 38.7% | Not yet available |
| Day | $66,033 | 14.8% | 11.5% | 29.8% | Not yet available |
| Deuel | $83,112 | 8.8% | 9.8% | 23.5% | Not yet available |
| Dewey | $54,104 | 33.0% | 12.7% | 31.2% | Not yet available |
| Douglas | $86,442 | 11.0% | 11.1% | 33.0% | Not yet available |
| Edmunds | $81,630 | 9.9% | 9.0% | 30.0% | Not yet available |
| Fall River | $67,917 | 16.6% | 12.0% | 41.0% | Not yet available |
| Faulk | $57,750 | 28.3% | 11.1% | 31.0% | Not yet available |
| Grant | $75,028 | 11.6% | 11.2% | 28.7% | Not yet available |
| Gregory | $62,917 | 9.5% | 13.4% | 29.7% | Not yet available |
| Haakon | $65,625 | 7.7% | 11.2% | 23.2% | Not yet available |
| Hamlin | $87,101 | 6.9% | 10.2% | 20.6% | Not yet available |
| Hand | $74,635 | 5.2% | 7.0% | 21.8% | Not yet available |
| Hanson | $81,071 | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | Not yet available |
| Harding | $80,441 | 6.3% | 9.7% | 5.1% | Not yet available |
| Hughes | $81,395 | 9.2% | 6.7% | 35.7% | Not yet available |
| Hutchinson | $73,977 | 12.2% | 8.9% | 28.7% | Not yet available |
| Hyde | $73,472 | 5.7% | 10.6% | 27.9% | Not yet available |
| Jackson | $35,417 | 42.4% | 13.6% | 43.0% | Not yet available |
| Jerauld | $73,750 | 8.3% | 8.2% | 15.8% | Not yet available |
| Jones | $65,119 | 18.3% | 8.1% | 3.8% | Not yet available |
| Kingsbury | $74,000 | 10.6% | 10.7% | 47.9% | Not yet available |
| Lake | $76,808 | 8.4% | 9.6% | 47.5% | Not yet available |
| Lawrence | $73,384 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 33.9% | Not yet available |
| Lincoln | $99,166 | 5.6% | 6.9% | 37.0% | Not yet available |
| Lyman | $67,143 | 23.7% | 13.9% | 24.4% | Not yet available |
| Marshall | $78,156 | 6.1% | 12.1% | 24.9% | Not yet available |
| McCook | $83,852 | 6.8% | 9.2% | 35.9% | Not yet available |
| McPherson | $66,906 | 12.9% | 13.2% | 24.2% | Not yet available |
| Meade | $74,790 | 7.1% | 10.1% | 38.2% | Not yet available |
| Mellette | $54,076 | 41.7% | 14.9% | 26.2% | Not yet available |
| Miner | $76,140 | 11.2% | 9.2% | 20.2% | Not yet available |
| Minnehaha | $76,880 | 8.8% | 9.4% | 41.2% | Not yet available |
| Moody | $78,427 | 11.6% | 10.9% | 41.7% | Not yet available |
| Oglala Lakota | $41,417 | 57.6% | 10.7% | 25.7% | Not yet available |
| Pennington | $74,517 | 11.2% | 10.5% | 48.7% | Not yet available |
| Perkins | $66,908 | 13.7% | 16.9% | 30.8% | Not yet available |
| Potter | $72,045 | 6.2% | 6.7% | 43.1% | Not yet available |
| Roberts | $65,130 | 15.7% | 12.2% | 29.8% | Not yet available |
| Sanborn | $78,750 | 8.5% | 15.2% | 46.1% | Not yet available |
| Spink | $70,139 | 10.1% | 11.2% | 25.3% | Not yet available |
| Stanley | $87,712 | 5.1% | 8.2% | 46.4% | Not yet available |
| Sully | $72,578 | 6.3% | 8.4% | 33.0% | Not yet available |
| Todd | $42,075 | 48.4% | 10.4% | 28.2% | Not yet available |
| Tripp | $58,987 | 18.4% | 14.7% | 57.3% | Not yet available |
| Turner | $75,771 | 9.3% | 10.9% | 31.5% | Not yet available |
| Union | $89,636 | 6.2% | 7.7% | 38.6% | Not yet available |
| Walworth | $65,026 | 14.9% | 10.0% | 40.9% | Not yet available |
| Yankton | $72,821 | 11.9% | 9.5% | 33.9% | Not yet available |
| Ziebach | $53,958 | 33.5% | 10.1% | 46.2% | Not yet available |
What the delegation says
What South Dakota is worth
South Dakota's stake in House control
0of 20No South Dakota House race is rated Toss-Up or Lean this cycle. 20 seats elsewhere carry that rating; South Dakota's House delegation is settled ground.
Competitive = rated Toss-Up or Lean by the crediting rater · as of October 18, 2026
U.S. Senate in South Dakota
Every rater we carry, with its own date. Candidates, incumbent, poll and forecast sit under each rating.
A race here is being re-verified and is not shown yet. Back soon.
Governor of South Dakota
Ratings, candidates and incumbent where we hold them; every gap is marked with its reason.
Governor
South Dakota Governor
- Candidates
-
- D Dan Ahlers
- R Larry Rhoden
- Incumbent
- Incumbent not yet confirmed.
- Latest poll
- No poll on file.
- Our forecast
- No win probability. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections.
U.S. House seats in South Dakota
Every district, in district order (1).
For the district: no poll on file.
U.S. House
South Dakota At-Large District
- Candidates
-
- D Nicole "Nikki" Gronli
- R Marty Jackley
- Incumbent
- Dusty Johnson (as of September 29, 2026)
- Our forecast
- more than 19 in 20 · Safe R
- Raised this cycle (D / R)
- $292.9K / $3.4M
South Dakota governor, 2026
South Dakota Governor race · Incumbent: Larry Rhoden Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
The South Dakota legislature
Thin Gold does not yet cover state legislative races. Coverage is a separate, later track.
-
Upper chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
-
Lower chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
How to vote in South Dakota
- Register to vote in South Dakota (vote.gov)
- Polling places and election dates · South Dakota’s official election page
Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.