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The Texas Senate race is the state's headline race, rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.

Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.

Fig. 2 · The Texas delegation

All 38 Texas House seats carry a rating.

Ratings Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, as of September 3, 2026. A band means a rater made a claim.
Baselines 2024 presidential vote, The Downballot, as of August 10, 2026. A tint with no band is a measured past result.
Receipts FEC filings, as of August 13, 2026. This is the Texas as-of date, not a site-wide one.
01 Solid R 02 Solid R 03 Solid R 04 Solid R 05 Solid R 06 Solid R 07 Solid D 08 Solid R 09 Solid R 10 Solid R 11 Solid R 12 Solid R 13 Solid R 14 Solid R 15 Lean R 16 Solid D 17 Solid R 18 Solid D 19 Solid R 20 Solid D 21 Solid R 22 Solid R 23 Likely R 24 Solid R 25 Solid R 26 Solid R 27 Solid R 28 Lean D 29 Solid D 30 Solid D 31 Solid R 32 Solid R 33 Solid D 34 Toss-Up 35 Likely R 36 Solid R 37 Solid D 38 Solid R
Senate seat, on the 2026 ballot. Rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report, September 3, 2026. · James Talarico (D) against Runoff May 26: Cornyn vs Paxton (R)

Texas races rated Toss-Up

2of 39

Texas 34th District, Texas Senate. These are the only races in Texas that either rater declines to call for a party.

Texas races no rater covers

0of 39

Every Texas race carries a rating this cycle.

How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence

Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.

  • Toss-Up, band across the top
  • Lean D, band
  • Solid D, band
  • Lean R, band
  • Likely R, band
  • Solid R, band

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , current as of September 3, 2026. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of August 10, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of August 13, 2026.

Fig. 2

What the delegation says

The Texas Senate race is the state's headline race, rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.

How to vote in Texas

Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.

The full Texas delegation, all 39 races Open the table · 39 rows
Race Rating Candidates Raised (D / R)
Texas Senate Toss-Up James Talarico (D) vs Runoff May 26: Cornyn vs Paxton (R) $87.3M / $20.0M
Texas 34th District Toss-Up Candidates TBD $3.9M / $5.6M
Texas 15th District Lean R Candidates TBD $4.2M / $5.3M
Texas 28th District Lean D Candidates TBD $2.3M / $1.4M
Texas 23rd District Likely R Candidates TBD $940.2K / $4.7M
Texas 35th District Likely R Candidates TBD $1.2M / $2.8M
Texas 1st District Solid R Candidates TBD $42.4K / $1.8M
Texas 2nd District Solid R Candidates TBD $2.7M / $3.6M
Texas 3rd District Solid R Candidates TBD $467.1K / $816.2K
Texas 4th District Solid R Candidates TBD $20.7K / $790.5K
Texas 5th District Solid R Candidates TBD $46.1K / $1.4M
Texas 6th District Solid R Candidates TBD $44.3K / $4.8M
Texas 7th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.4M / $391.7K
Texas 8th District Solid R Candidates TBD $34.0K / $5.6M
Texas 9th District Solid R Candidates TBD $990.5K / $3.6M
Texas 10th District Solid R Candidates TBD $676.3K / $4.2M
Texas 11th District Solid R Candidates TBD $89.3K / $3.2M
Texas 12th District Solid R Candidates TBD $10.4K / $1.8M
Texas 13th District Solid R Candidates TBD $98.4K / $4.0M
Texas 14th District Solid R Candidates TBD $84.3K / $975.6K
Texas 16th District Solid D Candidates TBD $858.8K / $22.3K
Texas 17th District Solid R Candidates TBD $28.2K / $1.1M
Texas 18th District Solid D Candidates TBD $9.0M / $8.5K
Texas 19th District Solid R Candidates TBD $31.3K / $5.3M
Texas 20th District Solid D Candidates TBD $514.8K / $48.5K
Texas 21st District Solid R Candidates TBD $277.6K / $6.3M
Texas 22nd District Solid R Candidates TBD $80.7K / $687.6K
Texas 24th District Solid R Candidates TBD $520.8K / $2.5M
Texas 25th District Solid R Candidates TBD $79.1K / $1.4M
Texas 26th District Solid R Candidates TBD $139.7K / $4.2M
Texas 27th District Solid R Candidates TBD $139.8K / $1.1M
Texas 29th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.2M / $0.0
Texas 30th District Solid D Candidates TBD $8.5M / $551.1K
Texas 31st District Solid R Candidates TBD $327.5K / $2.2M
Texas 32nd District Solid R Candidates TBD $153.4K / $7.7M
Texas 33rd District Solid D Candidates TBD $10.9M / $13.2K
Texas 36th District Solid R Candidates TBD $231.0K / $1.0M
Texas 37th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.6M / $134.0K
Texas 38th District Solid R Candidates TBD $208.5K / $3.9M