10 races are being re-verified and are not shown here yet. They will return once confirmed.
These races are being re-verified and will return once confirmed.
Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.
Arizona's House races are being re-verified and are not shown yet.
Arizona carries no House delegation in Thin Gold's tracked inventory.
Arizona races rated Toss-Up
0of 0No Arizona race is a Toss-Up this cycle.
Arizona races no rater covers
0of 0Every Arizona race carries a rating this cycle.
How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence
Assumption, with reason What we infer, and why it is not yet a fact.
- Not on the 2026 ballot, per our inventory
Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating.
Fig. 2
Arizona at a glance
Arizona has no races in our 2026 inventory.
Lean against the nation
No statewide 2024 baseline is on record for Arizona, because neither a Senate nor a governor race here carries one yet.
House delegation, projected
This state has no House seats in the tracked inventory.
The current party split of the delegation is not shown: seat-holder party is not yet a sourced field in our data.
Every Arizona race our displayed rating calls close
Toss-Up and Lean races by our displayed rating (Cook Political Report when live, Sabato’s Crystal Ball otherwise), ranked as they appear in the delegation above.
No Arizona race has a displayed rating of Toss-Up or Lean this cycle.
Counties, by the numbers
Poverty: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Uninsured under 65: SAHIE, 2024
Rent burden: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Per-capita income: BEA CAINC1, 2024
Arizona: five economic indicators, county by county
Pick an indicator to shade the map. Each indicator gets its own gold ramp, scaled to this state's counties, with stronger gold for a higher value. A hatched county has no reading available yet; it is never estimated.
Median household income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to $54,606
- $54,606 to $59,742
- $59,742 to $67,325
- $67,325 to $71,164
- $71,164 to $89,300
- Not yet available (0 of 15)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 15 counties with a value in Arizona. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Poverty rate · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 11.1%
- 11.1% to 15.4%
- 15.4% to 16.8%
- 16.8% to 17.5%
- 17.5% to 30.5%
- Not yet available (0 of 15)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 15 counties with a value in Arizona. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Uninsured, under 65 · SAHIE, 2024
- up to 11.8%
- 11.8% to 12.7%
- 12.7% to 13.9%
- 13.9% to 15.3%
- 15.3% to 19.5%
- Not yet available (0 of 15)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 15 counties with a value in Arizona. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Renters paying 30% or more of income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 28.3%
- 28.3% to 38.6%
- 38.6% to 48.0%
- 48.0% to 49.9%
- 49.9% to 53.2%
- Not yet available (0 of 15)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 15 counties with a value in Arizona. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Per-capita personal income · BEA CAINC1, 2024
- Not yet available (15 of 15)
No county in Arizona has a reading for this indicator yet, so there is no ramp to show. The ramp, once it has data, is one gold hue: not a party colour, and not a verdict of better or worse.
Arizona has 15 counties. 15 have at least one indicator available; a county with no value for an indicator is hatched and marked "Not yet available", never estimated.
Apache County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $41,438
- Poverty rate
- 30.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 24.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Cochise County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $59,742
- Poverty rate
- 15.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 48.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Coconino County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $72,966
- Poverty rate
- 16.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 51.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Gila County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $61,986
- Poverty rate
- 16.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 14.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 38.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Graham County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $67,325
- Poverty rate
- 17.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 30.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Greenlee County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $71,164
- Poverty rate
- 8.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 10.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
La Paz County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $49,478
- Poverty rate
- 17.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 17.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 28.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Maricopa County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $89,300
- Poverty rate
- 11.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 52.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Mohave County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $57,684
- Poverty rate
- 16.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 49.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Navajo County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $54,606
- Poverty rate
- 24.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 15.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 34.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Pima County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $70,315
- Poverty rate
- 14.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 53.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Pinal County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $80,266
- Poverty rate
- 11.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Santa Cruz County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $55,217
- Poverty rate
- 20.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 19.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 49.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Yavapai County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $69,613
- Poverty rate
- 12.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 15.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Yuma County, Arizona
Close- Median household income
- $62,876
- Poverty rate
- 15.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 15.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 48.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
About these indicators
What each measure is and where it comes from. A county card shows only the county's own figures; this applies to all of them.
- Median household income
- Median household income in the past 12 months, in 2024 inflation-adjusted dollars. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table B19013).
- Poverty rate
- Share of people whose income is below the federal poverty threshold. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table S1701).
- Uninsured, under 65
- Model-based share of people under 65 without health insurance, all incomes. SAHIE, 2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Health Insurance Estimates.
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- Share of renter households spending 30 percent or more of income on gross rent. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (profile DP04).
- Per-capita personal income
- Total personal income divided by the county population, before taxes. BEA CAINC1, 2024. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts (CAINC1).
Data table: every county, every indicator (15 counties)
| County | Household income | Poverty | Uninsured under 65 | Rent burden | Per-capita income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apache | $41,438 | 30.5% | 13.3% | 24.2% | Not yet available |
| Cochise | $59,742 | 15.4% | 12.3% | 48.2% | Not yet available |
| Coconino | $72,966 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 51.6% | Not yet available |
| Gila | $61,986 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 38.6% | Not yet available |
| Graham | $67,325 | 17.3% | 11.5% | 30.0% | Not yet available |
| Greenlee | $71,164 | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | Not yet available |
| La Paz | $49,478 | 17.5% | 17.6% | 28.3% | Not yet available |
| Maricopa | $89,300 | 11.0% | 12.6% | 52.6% | Not yet available |
| Mohave | $57,684 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 49.0% | Not yet available |
| Navajo | $54,606 | 24.7% | 15.7% | 34.5% | Not yet available |
| Pima | $70,315 | 14.3% | 11.8% | 53.2% | Not yet available |
| Pinal | $80,266 | 11.1% | 13.9% | 46.7% | Not yet available |
| Santa Cruz | $55,217 | 20.2% | 19.5% | 49.9% | Not yet available |
| Yavapai | $69,613 | 12.0% | 15.2% | 46.2% | Not yet available |
| Yuma | $62,876 | 15.6% | 15.3% | 48.0% | Not yet available |
What the delegation says
What Arizona is worth
Arizona's stake in House control
0of 20No Arizona House race is rated Toss-Up or Lean this cycle. 20 seats elsewhere carry that rating; Arizona's House delegation is settled ground.
Competitive = rated Toss-Up or Lean by the crediting rater · as of October 18, 2026
U.S. Senate in Arizona
Every rater we carry, with its own date. Candidates, incumbent, poll and forecast sit under each rating.
No Senate race is in Thin Gold's tracked inventory for Arizona this cycle.
This is an assumption, not a statutory fact: our inventory not carrying a race may mean no seat is up in Arizona, or it may mean our own coverage has a gap, and we cannot currently tell those two apart.
Governor of Arizona
Ratings, candidates and incumbent where we hold them; every gap is marked with its reason.
A race here is being re-verified and is not shown yet. Back soon.
U.S. House seats in Arizona
Every district, in district order (0).
A race here is being re-verified and is not shown yet. Back soon.
The Arizona legislature
Thin Gold does not yet cover state legislative races. Coverage is a separate, later track.
-
Upper chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
-
Lower chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
How to vote in Arizona
- Register to vote in Arizona (vote.gov)
- Polling places and election dates · Arizona’s official election page
Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.