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California 22nd District is the state's headline race: rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.

Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.

Fig. 2 · The California delegation

All 52 California House seats carry a rating.

Ratings Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, as of September 3, 2026. A band means a rater made a claim.
Baselines 2024 presidential vote, The Downballot, as of August 10, 2026. A tint with no band is a measured past result.
Receipts FEC filings, as of July 31, 2026. This is the California as-of date, not a site-wide one.
01 Solid D 02 Solid D 03 Solid D 04 Solid D 05 Solid R 06 Solid D 07 Solid D 08 Solid D 09 Solid D 10 Solid D 11 Solid D 12 Solid D 13 Lean D 14 Solid D 15 Solid D 16 Solid D 17 Solid D 18 Solid D 19 Solid D 20 Solid R 21 Likely D 22 Toss-Up 23 Solid R 24 Solid D 25 Solid D 26 Solid D 27 Solid D 28 Solid D 29 Solid D 30 Solid D 31 Solid D 32 Solid D 33 Solid D 34 Solid D 35 Solid D 36 Solid D 37 Solid D 38 Solid D 39 Solid D 40 Solid R 41 Solid D 42 Solid D 43 Solid D 44 Solid D 45 Likely D 46 Solid D 47 Solid D 48 Lean D 49 Solid D 50 Solid D 51 Solid D 52 Solid D
No Senate race is in Thin Gold's tracked inventory for California this cycle. This is an assumption, with a reason, not a statutory fact (NBV-394): our inventory not carrying a race may mean no seat is up in California, or it may mean our own coverage has a gap, and we cannot currently tell those two apart.

California races rated Toss-Up

1of 52

California 22nd District. It is the only race in California that either rater declines to call for a party.

California races no rater covers

0of 52

Every California race carries a rating this cycle.

How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence

Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.

  • Toss-Up, band across the top
  • Lean D, band
  • Likely D, band
  • Solid D, band
  • Solid R, band

Assumption, with reason What we infer, and why it is not yet a fact.

  • Not on the 2026 ballot, per our inventory

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , current as of September 3, 2026. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of August 10, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of July 31, 2026.

Fig. 2

What the delegation says

California 22nd District is the state's headline race: rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.

How to vote in California

Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.

The full California delegation, all 52 races Open the table · 52 rows
Race Rating Candidates Raised (D / R)
California 22nd District Toss-Up Candidates TBD $4.2M / $4.9M
California 13th District Lean D Candidates TBD $4.2M / $6.1M
California 48th District Lean D Candidates TBD $6.9M / $4.3M
California 21st District Likely D Candidates TBD $1.3M / $769.3K
California 45th District Likely D Candidates TBD $5.0M / $3.1M
California 1st District Solid D Candidates TBD $2.7M / $2.3M
California 2nd District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.0M / $25.8K
California 3rd District Solid D Candidates TBD $2.1M / $402.1K
California 4th District Solid D Candidates TBD $12.6M / $143.0K
California 5th District Solid R Candidates TBD $454.9K / $928.8K
California 6th District Solid D Candidates TBD $2.9M / $17.4K
California 7th District Solid D Candidates TBD $4.3M / $25.0
California 8th District Solid D Candidates TBD $551.9K / $8.6K
California 9th District Solid D Candidates TBD $4.1M / $81.8K
California 10th District Solid D Candidates TBD $584.8K / $32.9K
California 11th District Solid D Candidates TBD $9.0M / $60.0
California 12th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.5M / ·
California 14th District Solid D Candidates TBD $6.4M / $41.0K
California 15th District Solid D Candidates TBD $860.0K / $5.4K
California 16th District Solid D Candidates TBD $3.5M / $400.0
California 17th District Solid D Candidates TBD $14.6M / $37.7K
California 18th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.7M / $60.2K
California 19th District Solid D Candidates TBD $2.9M / $76.3K
California 20th District Solid R Candidates TBD $141.6K / $1.8M
California 23rd District Solid R Candidates TBD $227.7K / $1.5M
California 24th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.7M / $203.3K
California 25th District Solid D Candidates TBD $2.1M / $1.3M
California 26th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.6M / $490.6K
California 27th District Solid D Candidates TBD $4.0M / $380.0K
California 28th District Solid D Candidates TBD $930.1K / $250.0
California 29th District Solid D Candidates TBD $707.8K / $0.0
California 30th District Solid D Candidates TBD $886.2K / $71.7K
California 31st District Solid D Candidates TBD $705.3K / $81.6K
California 32nd District Solid D Candidates TBD $6.0M / $34.3K
California 33rd District Solid D Candidates TBD $4.7M / $82.8K
California 34th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.6M / ·
California 35th District Solid D Candidates TBD $769.1K / $4.8K
California 36th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.9M / $36.1K
California 37th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.2M / ·
California 38th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.3M / ·
California 39th District Solid D Candidates TBD $893.8K / ·
California 40th District Solid R Candidates TBD $4.7M / $15.0M
California 41st District Solid D Candidates TBD $2.7M / $3.4K
California 42nd District Solid D Candidates TBD $2.6M / $394.0K
California 43rd District Solid D Candidates TBD $879.5K / ·
California 44th District Solid D Candidates TBD $785.8K / $13.9K
California 46th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.2M / $80.7K
California 47th District Solid D Candidates TBD $3.4M / $663.4K
California 49th District Solid D Candidates TBD $3.2M / $58.8K
California 50th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.9M / ·
California 51st District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.6M / ·
California 52nd District Solid D Candidates TBD $573.9K / $25.5K