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HOUSE RACE

California 12th District

See all four ratings

Where this race stands

Published ratings for California 12th District, one row per rater
Rater Rating Added
Cook Political Report Solid D
Sabato's Crystal Ball Not available: Not in the source we read for this rater.
Split Ticket Not available: Not in the source we read for this rater.
FiftyPlusOne Not available: Not in the source we read for this rater.
Thin Gold model Safe D · more than 19 in 20 chance for Democrats

Our model's lean sits inside the range of the raters covering this race.

Model output from our win-odds simulation, under calibration review. Methodology

The full district profile is still being assembled. Candidate details appear here once an official source confirms them.

See the full forecast →
On the November ballot

California does not choose one nominee per party.

California Secretary of State publishes the certified result on its official results page.

California holds a top-two primary. Every candidate runs on one ballot, and the two with the most votes advance to November whatever their party. A race can end with two Democrats, two Republicans or one of each, so there is no single Democratic or Republican nominee to name.

Unproven: Analysis held for checking never verified This text is held until it passes a current check of its candidate, officeholder and party claims against sourced records. How the claim check works

Campaign finance · FEC

Democratic
Raised
$1.5M
Cash on hand
$786.4K

Federal Election Commission filings, as of Jun 30, 2026.

Election information

Voter registration deadline
October 19, 2026 (California Secretary of State, as of October 10, 2026)
Early voting
Begins October 5, 2026; end date not stated on the page we read (California Secretary of State, as of October 10, 2026)

What is not on this page

  • Candidate issue positions are not shown. We list a position only when it is tied to a named, dated source.
  • No individual poll results are compiled for this race.
  • District demographics are not shown: the Census figures we hold describe the 2024 district lines, which changed for 2026.
  • The previous result for this seat is not shown: we hold no certified results record for it yet.
Read Full House Analysis → · back soon