We’re bringing Thin Gold back online in phases. Some sections are still being checked and will return as each one is ready; our goal is to be fully back before the November 3 midterms.

GOVERNOR RACE

California Governor


California race data was last verified Oct 1, 2026, 4:25 PM EDT. Figures may not reflect the latest developments.

Ratings

We show no win probability for governor races. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections, so these pages carry ratings, polls and fundraising instead.

On the November ballot
Xavier Becerra Democrat
vs
Steve Hilton Republican

Roster: California Secretary of State · state candidate list · as of August 27, 2026

No verified polling margin for this race yet. A figure on file has no verified source document, so it is not shown. How we source polling data.

CAMPAIGN FINANCE · California CAL-ACCESS

Xavier Becerra

Raised
$35M
Cash on hand
$7.6M

CAMPAIGN FINANCE · California CAL-ACCESS

Steve Hilton

Raised
$26.8M
Cash on hand
$2.7M

California Secretary of State filings, as of Sep 19, 2026.

State demographics · Census ACS


Median household income
$99,122 (±$310)
Median gross rent, monthly
$2,036 (±$5)
People below the poverty line
12.0% (±0.1%)
People without health insurance
6.6% (±0.1%)
Renter households paying 30% or more of income on rent
55.3% (±0.2%)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 , statewide; the survey window ends Dec 31, 2024. Survey estimates; the figure after ± is the 90% margin of error. The renter-burden share is derived by Thin Gold from two published Census percentages. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Election information


Voter registration deadline
October 19, 2026 (California Secretary of State, as of October 10, 2026)
Early voting
Begins October 5, 2026; end date not stated on the page we read (California Secretary of State, as of October 10, 2026)

What is not on this page

  • Candidate issue positions are not shown. We list a position only when it is tied to a named, dated source.
  • No individual poll results are compiled for this race.
  • The previous result for this seat is not shown: we hold no certified results record for it yet.
  • We do not yet have the 2024 presidential result for this race.