California 11th District
Where this race stands
| Rater | Rating | Added |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Solid D | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Not available: Not in the source we read for this rater. | |
| Split Ticket | Not available: Not in the source we read for this rater. | |
| FiftyPlusOne | Not available: Not in the source we read for this rater. |
Our model's lean sits inside the range of the raters covering this race.
Model output from our win-odds simulation, under calibration review. Methodology
The full district profile is still being assembled. Candidate details appear here once an official source confirms them.
See the full forecast →California does not choose one nominee per party.
California Secretary of State publishes the certified result on its official results page.
California holds a top-two primary. Every candidate runs on one ballot, and the two with the most votes advance to November whatever their party. A race can end with two Democrats, two Republicans or one of each, so there is no single Democratic or Republican nominee to name.
Campaign finance · FEC
- Raised
- $9M
- Cash on hand
- $2.4M
Campaign finance · FEC
- Raised
- $60
- Cash on hand
- $8
Federal Election Commission filings, as of Jun 30, 2026.
District demographics · Census ACS
- Median household income
- $143,154 (±$2,740)
- Median gross rent, monthly
- $2,496 (±$33)
- People below the poverty line
- 11.4% (±0.4%)
- People without health insurance
- 3.1% (±0.2%)
- Renter households paying 30% or more of income on rent
- 39.2% (±1.2%)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 , 119th Congress district lines (this district is unchanged for 2026); the survey window ends Dec 31, 2024. Survey estimates; the figure after ± is the 90% margin of error. The renter-burden share is derived by Thin Gold from two published Census percentages. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
Election information
- Voter registration deadline
- October 19, 2026 (California Secretary of State, as of October 10, 2026)
- Early voting
- Begins October 5, 2026; end date not stated on the page we read (California Secretary of State, as of October 10, 2026)
What is not on this page
- Candidate issue positions are not shown. We list a position only when it is tied to a named, dated source.
- No individual poll results are compiled for this race.
- The previous result for this seat is not shown: we hold no certified results record for it yet.