HOUSE RACE
California 48th District
Where this race stands
| Rater | Rating | Added |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Lean D | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D | |
| Split Ticket | Likely D | |
| FiftyPlusOne | Safe D |
Thin Gold model
Likely D · about 4 in 5 chance for Democrats
Our model's lean sits inside the range of the raters covering this race.
Model output from our win-odds simulation, under calibration review. Methodology
See the full forecast →On the November ballot
Marni von Wilpert
Democrat
vs
Jim Desmond
Republican
Roster: California Secretary of State · state candidate list · as of August 27, 2026
No verified public poll. How we source polling data.
Unproven: Analysis held for checking never verified This text is held until it passes a current check of its candidate, officeholder and party claims against sourced records. How the claim check works
Campaign finance · FEC
Marni von Wilpert
- Raised
- $6.9M
- Cash on hand
- $1.2M
Campaign finance · FEC
Jim Desmond
- Raised
- $4.3M
- Cash on hand
- $3.9M
Federal Election Commission filings, as of Jun 30, 2026.
Election information
- Voter registration deadline
- October 19, 2026 (California Secretary of State, as of October 10, 2026)
- Early voting
- Begins October 5, 2026; end date not stated on the page we read (California Secretary of State, as of October 10, 2026)
What is not on this page
- Candidate issue positions are not shown. We list a position only when it is tied to a named, dated source.
- No individual poll results are compiled for this race.
- District demographics are not shown: the Census figures we hold describe the 2024 district lines, which changed for 2026.
- The previous result for this seat is not shown: we hold no certified results record for it yet.
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