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The Michigan Senate race is the state's headline race, rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.

Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.

Fig. 2 · The Michigan delegation

All 13 Michigan House seats carry a rating.

Ratings Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, as of September 3, 2026. A band means a rater made a claim.
Baselines 2024 presidential vote, The Downballot, as of August 10, 2026. A tint with no band is a measured past result.
Receipts FEC filings, as of July 17, 2026. This is the Michigan as-of date, not a site-wide one.
01 Solid R 02 Solid R 03 Solid D 04 Lean R 05 Solid R 06 Solid D 07 Toss-Up 08 Likely D 09 Solid R 10 Toss-Up 11 Solid D 12 Solid D 13 Solid D
Senate seat, on the 2026 ballot. Rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report, September 3, 2026. · Primary Aug 4: McMorrow, El-Sayed, Stevens (D) against Mike Rogers (R)

Michigan races rated Toss-Up

3of 14

Michigan 7th District, Michigan 10th District, Michigan Senate. These are the only races in Michigan that either rater declines to call for a party.

Michigan races no rater covers

0of 14

Every Michigan race carries a rating this cycle.

How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence

Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.

  • Toss-Up, band across the top
  • Likely D, band
  • Solid D, band
  • Lean R, band
  • Solid R, band

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , current as of September 3, 2026. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of August 10, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of July 17, 2026.

Fig. 2

What the delegation says

The Michigan Senate race is the state's headline race, rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.

How to vote in Michigan

Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.

The full Michigan delegation, all 14 races Open the table · 14 rows
Race Rating Candidates Raised (D / R)
Michigan Senate Toss-Up Primary Aug 4: McMorrow, El-Sayed, Stevens (D) vs Mike Rogers (R) $38.3M / $11.1M
Michigan 7th District Toss-Up Candidates TBD $6.4M / $6.3M
Michigan 10th District Toss-Up Candidates TBD $5.0M / $3.8M
Michigan 4th District Lean R Candidates TBD $3.1M / $4.1M
Michigan 8th District Likely D Candidates TBD $5.6M / $947.6K
Michigan 1st District Solid R Candidates TBD $1.1M / $3.9M
Michigan 2nd District Solid R Candidates TBD $102.1K / $1.7M
Michigan 3rd District Solid D Candidates TBD $2.3M / $668.1K
Michigan 5th District Solid R Candidates TBD $55.8K / $1.7M
Michigan 6th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.2M / ·
Michigan 9th District Solid R Candidates TBD $8.1K / $5.3M
Michigan 11th District Solid D Candidates TBD $4.6M / $179.5K
Michigan 12th District Solid D Candidates TBD $2.9M / $775.0
Michigan 13th District Solid D Candidates TBD $2.1M / $0.0