The Iowa Senate race is the state's headline race, rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.

Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.

Fig. 2 · The Iowa delegation

All 4 Iowa House seats carry a rating.

Ratings Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, as of September 3, 2026. A band means a rater made a claim.

Baselines 2024 presidential vote, The Downballot, as of August 10, 2026. A tint with no band is a measured past result.

Receipts FEC filings, as of July 13, 2026. This is the Iowa as-of date, not a site-wide one.

01 Toss-Up 02 Lean R 03 Toss-Up 04 Solid R

Senate seat, on the 2026 ballot. Rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report, September 3, 2026. · Primary June 2: Wahls, Turek (D) against Ashley Hinson (R)

Iowa races rated Toss-Up

3of 5

Iowa 1st District, Iowa 3rd District, Iowa Senate. These are the only races in Iowa that either rater declines to call for a party.

Iowa races no rater covers

0of 5

Every Iowa race carries a rating this cycle.

How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence

Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.

Toss-Up, band across the top
Lean R, band
Solid R, band

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , current as of September 3, 2026. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of August 10, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of July 13, 2026.

Fig. 2

What the delegation says

The Iowa Senate race is the state's headline race, rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.

How to vote in Iowa

Register to vote in Iowa (vote.gov)
Polling places and election dates · Iowa’s official election page

Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.

The full Iowa delegation, all 5 races Open the table · 5 rows

Race	Rating	Candidates	Raised (D / R)
Iowa Senate	Toss-Up	Primary June 2: Wahls, Turek (D) vs Ashley Hinson (R)	$9.4M / $12.7M
Iowa 1st District	Toss-Up	Candidates TBD	$7.8M / $7.3M
Iowa 3rd District	Toss-Up	Candidates TBD	$5.9M / $4.9M
Iowa 2nd District	Lean R	Candidates TBD	$2.4M / $2.3M
Iowa 4th District	Solid R	Candidates TBD	$174.8K / $2.3M