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Nevada 3rd District is the state's headline race: rated Lean D by Cook Political Report.

Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.

Fig. 2 · The Nevada delegation

All 4 Nevada House seats carry a rating.

Ratings Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, as of September 3, 2026. A band means a rater made a claim.
Baselines 2024 presidential vote, The Downballot, as of August 10, 2026. A tint with no band is a measured past result.
Receipts FEC filings, as of July 30, 2026. This is the Nevada as-of date, not a site-wide one.
01 Likely D 02 Solid R 03 Lean D 04 Likely D
No Senate race is in Thin Gold's tracked inventory for Nevada this cycle. This is an assumption, with a reason, not a statutory fact (NBV-394): our inventory not carrying a race may mean no seat is up in Nevada, or it may mean our own coverage has a gap, and we cannot currently tell those two apart.

Nevada races rated Toss-Up

0of 4

No Nevada race is a Toss-Up this cycle.

Nevada races no rater covers

0of 4

Every Nevada race carries a rating this cycle.

How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence

Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.

  • Lean D, band
  • Likely D, band
  • Solid R, band

Assumption, with reason What we infer, and why it is not yet a fact.

  • Not on the 2026 ballot, per our inventory

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , current as of September 3, 2026. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of August 10, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of July 30, 2026.

Fig. 2

What the delegation says

Nevada 3rd District is the state's headline race: rated Lean D by Cook Political Report.

How to vote in Nevada

Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.

The full Nevada delegation, all 4 races Open the table · 4 rows
Race Rating Candidates Raised (D / R)
Nevada 3rd District Lean D Candidates TBD $5.7M / $10.9M
Nevada 1st District Likely D Candidates TBD $1.6M / $2.1M
Nevada 4th District Likely D Candidates TBD $3.4M / $1.3M
Nevada 2nd District Solid R Candidates TBD $1.6M / $3.3M