The Tennessee Senate race is the state's headline race, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report.
Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.
All 9 Tennessee House seats carry a rating.
Tennessee races rated Toss-Up
0of 10No Tennessee race is a Toss-Up this cycle.
Tennessee races no rater covers
0of 10Every Tennessee race carries a rating this cycle.
How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence
Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.
- Solid R, band
Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , current as of September 3, 2026. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of August 10, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of July 22, 2026.
Fig. 2
What the delegation says
The Tennessee Senate race is the state's headline race, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report.
How to vote in Tennessee
- Register to vote in Tennessee (vote.gov)
- Polling places and election dates · Tennessee’s official election page
Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.
The full Tennessee delegation, all 10 races Open the table · 10 rows
| Race | Rating | Candidates | Raised (D / R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Senate | Bill Hagerty (R) | $11.9K / $7.0M | |
| Tennessee 1st District | Candidates TBD | $102.0K / $1.3M | |
| Tennessee 2nd District | Candidates TBD | $397.6K / $2.4M | |
| Tennessee 3rd District | Candidates TBD | $55.7K / $2.3M | |
| Tennessee 4th District | Candidates TBD | $823.4K / $558.4K | |
| Tennessee 5th District | Candidates TBD | $2.6M / $1.3M | |
| Tennessee 6th District | Candidates TBD | $133.7K / $4.1M | |
| Tennessee 7th District | Candidates TBD | $1.4M / $5.3M | |
| Tennessee 8th District | Candidates TBD | $209.2K / $2.2M | |
| Tennessee 9th District | Candidates TBD | $3.3M / $2.5M |