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GOVERNOR RACE

Tennessee Governor

See all four ratings
Tennessee race data was last verified Oct 2, 2026, 2:38 AM EDT. Figures may not reflect the latest developments.

Ratings

We show no win probability for governor races. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections, so these pages carry ratings, polls and fundraising instead.

On the November ballot

We do not carry Tennessee's certified primary result.

Tennessee Secretary of State, Elections Division publishes the certified primary result on its official results page.

Tennessee's election site turns away automated requests, and we do not work around that.

Tennessee held its primary on August 6, 2026.

What we know

  • Per Wikipedia, Jerri Green won the Democratic primary. As of October 12, 2026 · Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), cross-checked against FEC filings · Not state-certified
  • Per Wikipedia, Marsha Blackburn won the Republican primary. As of October 12, 2026 · Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), cross-checked against FEC filings · Not state-certified

State demographics · Census ACS

Median household income
$69,595 (±$429)
Median gross rent, monthly
$1,189 (±$7)
People below the poverty line
13.8% (±0.2%)
People without health insurance
10.0% (±0.2%)
Renter households paying 30% or more of income on rent
48.8% (±0.6%)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 , statewide; the survey window ends Dec 31, 2024. Survey estimates; the figure after ± is the 90% margin of error. The renter-burden share is derived by Thin Gold from two published Census percentages. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Election information

Voter registration deadline
October 4, 2026, per the federal form; this date falls on a Sunday and your state may move it, so confirm with your state (U.S. Election Assistance Commission, National Mail Voter Registration Form, as of October 10, 2026)
Early voting
Not shown. We have not yet built a reader for this state's election office, so no state-published date is shown.

What is not on this page

  • Candidate issue positions are not shown. We list a position only when it is tied to a named, dated source.
  • No individual poll results are compiled for this race.
  • No machine-readable filing data from Tennessee Registry of Election Finance; see apps.tn.gov/tncamp.
  • The previous result for this seat is not shown: we hold no certified results record for it yet.
  • We do not yet have the 2024 presidential result for this race.
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