One race is being re-verified and is not shown here yet. It will return once it is confirmed.
Delaware At-Large District is the state's headline race: rated Solid D by Cook Political Report.
Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.
All 1 Delaware House seat carry a rating.
Each rating word is the seat's displayed rating, taken from Cook Political Report for 1 district. Open a district for every rater and date.
Delaware races rated Toss-Up
0of 1No Delaware race is a Toss-Up this cycle.
Delaware races no rater covers
0of 1Every Delaware race carries a rating this cycle.
How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence
Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.
- Solid D, band
Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of October 3, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of June 30, 2026.
Fig. 2
Delaware at a glance
No Delaware seat is rated Toss-Up, Tilt or Lean by the raters we carry.
1 seat on the 2026 ballot: 1 House seat. Ratings added August 25, 2026. A seat counts by the first rater with a live rating ( Cook Political Report , then Sabato’s Crystal Ball, then Split Ticket, then FiftyPlusOne).
- Favor D 1
- Toss-Up 0
- Favor R 0
- Not rated 0
Lean against the nation
No statewide 2024 baseline is on record for Delaware, because neither a Senate nor a governor race here carries one yet.
Of 1 House district with a baseline, 1 voted more Democratic than the nation in 2024 and 0 more Republican.
House delegation, projected
Our model expects Democrats to win about 1 of 1 House seat here (run of October 18, 2026). Expected value across district win probabilities, not a call on any one seat.
The current party split of the delegation is not shown: seat-holder party is not yet a sourced field in our data.
Every Delaware race our displayed rating calls close
Toss-Up and Lean races by our displayed rating (Cook Political Report when live, Sabato’s Crystal Ball otherwise), ranked as they appear in the delegation above.
No Delaware race has a displayed rating of Toss-Up or Lean this cycle.
Delaware, its one House seat
Each district is colored by the Cook Political Report rating. Blue and red mean a rated lean; gold is a Toss-up. Hatching means Cook Political Report has not rated the seat. The data table under the map lists every district’s rating and where its lines come from.
- State
- Date
- Source
- Rights
- Key
Cook Political Report rating
- Solid D
- Likely D
- Lean D
- Toss-up
- Lean R
- Likely R
- Solid R
State of each Cook Political Report rating
- Unproven
Cook Political Report rates Delaware’s one House seat and does not call it a Toss-up. 1 seat is drawn on the map.
Data table: every House race in Delaware (1)
| District | Cook Political Report | Lines on the map |
|---|---|---|
| Delaware at-large DE-AL | Solid D | State outline (at-large) |
Counties, by the numbers
Poverty: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Uninsured under 65: SAHIE, 2024
Rent burden: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Per-capita income: BEA CAINC1, 2024
Delaware: five economic indicators, county by county
Pick an indicator to shade the map. Each indicator gets its own gold ramp, scaled to this state's counties, with stronger gold for a higher value. A hatched county has no reading available yet; it is never estimated.
Median household income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to $74,477
- $74,477 to $81,497
- $81,497 to $91,166
- Not yet available (0 of 3)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 3 counties with a value in Delaware. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Poverty rate · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 10.1%
- 10.1% to 10.6%
- 10.6% to 10.9%
- Not yet available (0 of 3)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 3 counties with a value in Delaware. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Uninsured, under 65 · SAHIE, 2024
- up to 7.6%
- 7.6% to 7.8%
- 7.8% to 10.3%
- Not yet available (0 of 3)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 3 counties with a value in Delaware. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Renters paying 30% or more of income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 47.8%
- 47.8% to 52.5%
- 52.5% to 53.5%
- Not yet available (0 of 3)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 3 counties with a value in Delaware. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Per-capita personal income · BEA CAINC1, 2024
- Not yet available (3 of 3)
No county in Delaware has a reading for this indicator yet, so there is no ramp to show. The ramp, once it has data, is one gold hue: not a party colour, and not a verdict of better or worse.
Delaware has 3 counties. 3 have at least one indicator available; a county with no value for an indicator is hatched and marked "Not yet available", never estimated.
Kent County, Delaware
Close- Median household income
- $74,477
- Poverty rate
- 10.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 52.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
New Castle County, Delaware
Close- Median household income
- $91,166
- Poverty rate
- 10.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 7.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Sussex County, Delaware
Close- Median household income
- $81,497
- Poverty rate
- 10.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 53.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
About these indicators
What each measure is and where it comes from. A county card shows only the county's own figures; this applies to all of them.
- Median household income
- Median household income in the past 12 months, in 2024 inflation-adjusted dollars. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table B19013).
- Poverty rate
- Share of people whose income is below the federal poverty threshold. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table S1701).
- Uninsured, under 65
- Model-based share of people under 65 without health insurance, all incomes. SAHIE, 2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Health Insurance Estimates.
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- Share of renter households spending 30 percent or more of income on gross rent. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (profile DP04).
- Per-capita personal income
- Total personal income divided by the county population, before taxes. BEA CAINC1, 2024. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts (CAINC1).
Data table: every county, every indicator (3 counties)
| County | Household income | Poverty | Uninsured under 65 | Rent burden | Per-capita income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent | $74,477 | 10.6% | 7.8% | 52.5% | Not yet available |
| New Castle | $91,166 | 10.1% | 7.6% | 47.8% | Not yet available |
| Sussex | $81,497 | 10.9% | 10.3% | 53.5% | Not yet available |
What the delegation says
What Delaware is worth
Delaware's stake in House control
0of 20No Delaware House race is rated Toss-Up or Lean this cycle. 20 seats elsewhere carry that rating; Delaware's House delegation is settled ground.
Competitive = rated Toss-Up or Lean by the crediting rater · as of October 18, 2026
U.S. Senate in Delaware
Every rater we carry, with its own date. Candidates, incumbent, poll and forecast sit under each rating.
A race here is being re-verified and is not shown yet. Back soon.
Governor of Delaware
Ratings, candidates and incumbent where we hold them; every gap is marked with its reason.
Our inventory carries no governor race for Delaware this cycle. That may mean none is on the ballot, or that our coverage has a gap; we cannot yet tell the two apart.
U.S. House seats in Delaware
Every district, in district order (1).
For the district: no poll on file.
U.S. House
Delaware At-Large District
- Candidates
-
- D Sarah McBride
- R Joseph "Dr. Joe" Arminio
- Incumbent
- Sarah McBride (as of September 29, 2026)
- Our forecast
- more than 19 in 20 · Safe D
- Raised this cycle (D / R)
- $4.7M / $769
The Delaware legislature
Thin Gold does not yet cover state legislative races. Coverage is a separate, later track.
-
Upper chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
-
Lower chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
How to vote in Delaware
- Register to vote in Delaware (vote.gov)
- Polling places and election dates · Delaware’s official election page
Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.