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Wisconsin 3rd District is the state's headline race: rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.

Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.

Fig. 2 · The Wisconsin delegation

All 8 Wisconsin House seats carry a rating.

Ratings Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, as of September 3, 2026. A band means a rater made a claim.
Baselines 2024 presidential vote, The Downballot, as of August 10, 2026. A tint with no band is a measured past result.
Receipts FEC filings, as of July 22, 2026. This is the Wisconsin as-of date, not a site-wide one.
01 Likely R 02 Solid D 03 Toss-Up 04 Solid D 05 Solid R 06 Solid R 07 Solid R 08 Solid R
No Senate race is in Thin Gold's tracked inventory for Wisconsin this cycle. This is an assumption, with a reason, not a statutory fact (NBV-394): our inventory not carrying a race may mean no seat is up in Wisconsin, or it may mean our own coverage has a gap, and we cannot currently tell those two apart.

Wisconsin races rated Toss-Up

1of 8

Wisconsin 3rd District. It is the only race in Wisconsin that either rater declines to call for a party.

Wisconsin races no rater covers

0of 8

Every Wisconsin race carries a rating this cycle.

How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence

Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.

  • Toss-Up, band across the top
  • Solid D, band
  • Likely R, band
  • Solid R, band

Assumption, with reason What we infer, and why it is not yet a fact.

  • Not on the 2026 ballot, per our inventory

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , current as of September 3, 2026. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of August 10, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of July 22, 2026.

Fig. 2

What the delegation says

Wisconsin 3rd District is the state's headline race: rated Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.

How to vote in Wisconsin

Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.

The full Wisconsin delegation, all 8 races Open the table · 8 rows
Race Rating Candidates Raised (D / R)
Wisconsin 3rd District Toss-Up Candidates TBD $9.4M / $7.5M
Wisconsin 1st District Likely R Candidates TBD $849.2K / $5.5M
Wisconsin 2nd District Solid D Candidates TBD $814.9K / $2.8K
Wisconsin 4th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.1M / $1.9K
Wisconsin 5th District Solid R Candidates TBD $20.5K / $1.4M
Wisconsin 6th District Solid R Candidates TBD $298.4K / $929.0K
Wisconsin 7th District Solid R Candidates TBD $619.7K / $6.7M
Wisconsin 8th District Solid R Candidates TBD $234.4K / $1.1M