The Wyoming Senate race is the state's headline race, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report.
Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.
All 1 Wyoming House seat carry a rating.
Each rating word is the seat's displayed rating, taken from Cook Political Report for 1 district. Open a district for every rater and date.
Wyoming races rated Toss-Up
0of 2No Wyoming race is a Toss-Up this cycle.
Wyoming races no rater covers
0of 2Every Wyoming race carries a rating this cycle.
How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence
Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.
- Solid R, band
Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of October 3, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of October 2, 2026.
Fig. 2
Wyoming at a glance
No Wyoming seat is rated Toss-Up, Tilt or Lean by the raters we carry.
3 seats on the 2026 ballot: 1 Senate, the governor, 1 House seat. Ratings added October 2, 2026. A seat counts by the first rater with a live rating ( Cook Political Report , then Sabato’s Crystal Ball, then Split Ticket, then FiftyPlusOne).
- Favor D 0
- Toss-Up 0
- Favor R 3
- Not rated 0
Lean against the nation
In 2024 this state voted 44.3 points more Republican than the nation. Measured: FEC 2024 presidential results, difference from the national margin.
Of 1 House district with a baseline, 0 voted more Democratic than the nation in 2024 and 1 more Republican.
House delegation, projected
Our model expects Democrats to win about 0 of 1 House seat here (run of October 18, 2026). Expected value across district win probabilities, not a call on any one seat.
The current party split of the delegation is not shown: seat-holder party is not yet a sourced field in our data.
Every Wyoming race our displayed rating calls close
Toss-Up and Lean races by our displayed rating (Cook Political Report when live, Sabato’s Crystal Ball otherwise), ranked as they appear in the delegation above.
No Wyoming race has a displayed rating of Toss-Up or Lean this cycle.
Wyoming, its one House seat
Each district is colored by the Cook Political Report rating. Blue and red mean a rated lean; gold is a Toss-up. Hatching means Cook Political Report has not rated the seat. The data table under the map lists every district’s rating and where its lines come from.
- State
- Date
- Source
- Rights
- Key
Cook Political Report rating
- Solid D
- Likely D
- Lean D
- Toss-up
- Lean R
- Likely R
- Solid R
State of each Cook Political Report rating
- Unproven
Cook Political Report rates Wyoming’s one House seat and does not call it a Toss-up. 1 seat is drawn on the map.
Data table: every House race in Wyoming (1)
| District | Cook Political Report | Lines on the map |
|---|---|---|
| Wyoming at-large WY-AL | Solid R | State outline (at-large) |
Counties, by the numbers
Poverty: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Uninsured under 65: SAHIE, 2024
Rent burden: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Per-capita income: BEA CAINC1, 2024
Wyoming: five economic indicators, county by county
Pick an indicator to shade the map. Each indicator gets its own gold ramp, scaled to this state's counties, with stronger gold for a higher value. A hatched county has no reading available yet; it is never estimated.
Median household income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to $64,113
- $64,113 to $70,511
- $70,511 to $75,034
- $75,034 to $83,597
- $83,597 to $124,172
- Not yet available (0 of 23)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 23 counties with a value in Wyoming. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Poverty rate · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 7.7%
- 7.7% to 9.1%
- 9.1% to 10.2%
- 10.2% to 12.8%
- 12.8% to 20.9%
- Not yet available (0 of 23)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 23 counties with a value in Wyoming. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Uninsured, under 65 · SAHIE, 2024
- up to 11.8%
- 11.8% to 12.8%
- 12.8% to 13.2%
- 13.2% to 15.3%
- 15.3% to 17.1%
- Not yet available (0 of 23)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 23 counties with a value in Wyoming. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Renters paying 30% or more of income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 30.7%
- 30.7% to 39.5%
- 39.5% to 43.7%
- 43.7% to 47.8%
- 47.8% to 51.1%
- Not yet available (0 of 23)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 23 counties with a value in Wyoming. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Per-capita personal income · BEA CAINC1, 2024
- Not yet available (23 of 23)
No county in Wyoming has a reading for this indicator yet, so there is no ramp to show. The ramp, once it has data, is one gold hue: not a party colour, and not a verdict of better or worse.
Wyoming has 23 counties. 23 have at least one indicator available; a county with no value for an indicator is hatched and marked "Not yet available", never estimated.
Albany County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $61,917
- Poverty rate
- 20.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 51.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Big Horn County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $62,101
- Poverty rate
- 12.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 17.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 42.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Campbell County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $89,869
- Poverty rate
- 9.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 49.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Carbon County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $70,511
- Poverty rate
- 12.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 15.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 30.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Converse County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $81,558
- Poverty rate
- 10.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 35.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Crook County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $79,637
- Poverty rate
- 6.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 14.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 23.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Fremont County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $64,904
- Poverty rate
- 12.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 15.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 37.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Goshen County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $58,929
- Poverty rate
- 14.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 15.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Hot Springs County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $61,250
- Poverty rate
- 14.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 45.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Johnson County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $64,871
- Poverty rate
- 9.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 39.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Laramie County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $80,173
- Poverty rate
- 8.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lincoln County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $89,330
- Poverty rate
- 7.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 15.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 30.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Natrona County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $72,156
- Poverty rate
- 9.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 44.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Niobrara County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $64,113
- Poverty rate
- 12.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 25.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Park County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $73,035
- Poverty rate
- 8.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 41.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Platte County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $67,718
- Poverty rate
- 7.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 14.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 33.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Sheridan County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $71,388
- Poverty rate
- 10.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Sublette County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $83,597
- Poverty rate
- 6.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 48.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Sweetwater County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $75,034
- Poverty rate
- 12.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 41.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Teton County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $124,172
- Poverty rate
- 5.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 28.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Uinta County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $82,980
- Poverty rate
- 9.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 10.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 31.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Washakie County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $65,714
- Poverty rate
- 8.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 14.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 44.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Weston County, Wyoming
Close- Median household income
- $89,509
- Poverty rate
- 9.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 14.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 43.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
About these indicators
What each measure is and where it comes from. A county card shows only the county's own figures; this applies to all of them.
- Median household income
- Median household income in the past 12 months, in 2024 inflation-adjusted dollars. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table B19013).
- Poverty rate
- Share of people whose income is below the federal poverty threshold. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table S1701).
- Uninsured, under 65
- Model-based share of people under 65 without health insurance, all incomes. SAHIE, 2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Health Insurance Estimates.
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- Share of renter households spending 30 percent or more of income on gross rent. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (profile DP04).
- Per-capita personal income
- Total personal income divided by the county population, before taxes. BEA CAINC1, 2024. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts (CAINC1).
Data table: every county, every indicator (23 counties)
| County | Household income | Poverty | Uninsured under 65 | Rent burden | Per-capita income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albany | $61,917 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 51.1% | Not yet available |
| Big Horn | $62,101 | 12.7% | 17.1% | 42.0% | Not yet available |
| Campbell | $89,869 | 9.4% | 13.2% | 49.9% | Not yet available |
| Carbon | $70,511 | 12.2% | 15.4% | 30.7% | Not yet available |
| Converse | $81,558 | 10.6% | 12.4% | 35.6% | Not yet available |
| Crook | $79,637 | 6.0% | 14.3% | 23.8% | Not yet available |
| Fremont | $64,904 | 12.8% | 15.3% | 37.7% | Not yet available |
| Goshen | $58,929 | 14.7% | 15.6% | 47.8% | Not yet available |
| Hot Springs | $61,250 | 14.7% | 13.0% | 45.3% | Not yet available |
| Johnson | $64,871 | 9.1% | 12.6% | 39.5% | Not yet available |
| Laramie | $80,173 | 8.9% | 10.2% | 47.4% | Not yet available |
| Lincoln | $89,330 | 7.5% | 15.6% | 30.2% | Not yet available |
| Natrona | $72,156 | 9.6% | 11.8% | 44.5% | Not yet available |
| Niobrara | $64,113 | 12.0% | 12.3% | 25.0% | Not yet available |
| Park | $73,035 | 8.9% | 13.0% | 41.5% | Not yet available |
| Platte | $67,718 | 7.7% | 14.6% | 33.9% | Not yet available |
| Sheridan | $71,388 | 10.2% | 12.8% | 47.8% | Not yet available |
| Sublette | $83,597 | 6.9% | 12.9% | 48.1% | Not yet available |
| Sweetwater | $75,034 | 12.9% | 11.7% | 41.4% | Not yet available |
| Teton | $124,172 | 5.7% | 12.0% | 28.0% | Not yet available |
| Uinta | $82,980 | 9.2% | 10.4% | 31.5% | Not yet available |
| Washakie | $65,714 | 8.8% | 14.4% | 44.4% | Not yet available |
| Weston | $89,509 | 9.0% | 14.1% | 43.7% | Not yet available |
What the delegation says
What Wyoming is worth
Wyoming's stake in House control
0of 20No Wyoming House race is rated Toss-Up or Lean this cycle. 20 seats elsewhere carry that rating; Wyoming's House delegation is settled ground.
Competitive = rated Toss-Up or Lean by the crediting rater · as of October 18, 2026
U.S. Senate in Wyoming
Every rater we carry, with its own date. Candidates, incumbent, poll and forecast sit under each rating.
U.S. Senate
Wyoming Senate
- Candidates
-
- D James Byrd
- R Harriet Hageman
- Incumbent
- Cynthia M. Lummis (as of October 8, 2026)
- Latest poll
- No poll on file.
- Our forecast
- more than 19 in 20 · Safe R
- Raised this cycle (D / R)
- $22.6K / $4.2M
Governor of Wyoming
Ratings, candidates and incumbent where we hold them; every gap is marked with its reason.
Governor
Wyoming Governor
- Candidates
-
- D Kenneth R. Casner
- R Eric Barlow
- Incumbent
- Incumbent not yet confirmed.
- Latest poll
- No poll on file.
- Our forecast
- No win probability. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections.
U.S. House seats in Wyoming
Every district, in district order (1).
For the district: no poll on file.
U.S. House
Wyoming At-Large District
- Candidates
-
- D Lisa Kinney
- R Chuck Gray
- Incumbent
- Harriet M. Hageman (seeking other office) (as of September 29, 2026)
- Our forecast
- more than 19 in 20 · Safe R
- Raised this cycle (D / R)
- $17.9K / $8.9M
Wyoming governor, 2026
Wyoming Governor race · Incumbent: Mark Gordon (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
The Wyoming legislature
Thin Gold does not yet cover state legislative races. Coverage is a separate, later track.
-
Upper chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
-
Lower chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
How to vote in Wyoming
- Register to vote in Wyoming (vote.gov)
- Polling places and election dates · Wyoming’s official election page
Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.