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HOUSE RACE

Ohio 4th District

See all four ratings

Where this race stands

Published ratings for Ohio 4th District, one row per rater
Rater Rating Added
Cook Political Report Solid R
Sabato's Crystal Ball Not available: Not in the source we read for this rater.
Split Ticket Not available: Not in the source we read for this rater.
FiftyPlusOne Not available: Not in the source we read for this rater.
Thin Gold model Safe R · more than 19 in 20 chance for Republicans

Our model's lean sits inside the range of the raters covering this race.

Model output from our win-odds simulation, under calibration review. Methodology

See the full forecast →
On the November ballot
Joshua D. Kolasinski Democrat
vs
Jim Jordan Republican

Roster: Ohio Secretary of State · state candidate list · as of June 3, 2026

No verified public poll. How we source polling data.

Unproven: Analysis held for checking never verified This text is held until it passes a current check of its candidate, officeholder and party claims against sourced records. How the claim check works

Campaign finance · FEC

Joshua D. Kolasinski
Raised
$34.9K
Cash on hand
$521.3K

Campaign finance · FEC

Jim Jordan
Raised
$4.8M
Cash on hand
$6M

Federal Election Commission filings, as of Jun 30, 2026.

Election information

Voter registration deadline
October 4, 2026, per the federal form; this date falls on a Sunday and your state may move it, so confirm with your state (U.S. Election Assistance Commission, National Mail Voter Registration Form, as of October 10, 2026)
Early voting
Not shown. The state's election website does not allow automated access to its election pages, so no state-published date is shown.

What is not on this page

  • Candidate issue positions are not shown. We list a position only when it is tied to a named, dated source.
  • No individual poll results are compiled for this race.
  • District demographics are not shown: the Census figures we hold describe the 2024 district lines, which changed for 2026.
  • The previous result for this seat is not shown: we hold no certified results record for it yet.
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