2 races are being re-verified and are not shown here yet. They will return once confirmed.
These races are being re-verified and will return once confirmed.
Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.
Alaska's House races are being re-verified and are not shown yet.
Alaska carries no House delegation in Thin Gold's tracked inventory.
Alaska races rated Toss-Up
0of 0No Alaska race is a Toss-Up this cycle.
Alaska races no rater covers
0of 0Every Alaska race carries a rating this cycle.
How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence
Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating.
Fig. 2
Alaska at a glance
1 of 1 Alaska seat is rated Toss-Up, Tilt or Lean.
1 seat on the 2026 ballot: the governor. Ratings added October 11, 2026. A seat counts by the first rater with a live rating ( Cook Political Report , then Sabato’s Crystal Ball, then Split Ticket, then FiftyPlusOne).
- Favor D 0
- Toss-Up 1
- Favor R 0
- Not rated 0
In play: 1 Toss-Up.
Lean against the nation
No statewide 2024 baseline is on record for Alaska, because neither a Senate nor a governor race here carries one yet.
House delegation, projected
This state has no House seats in the tracked inventory.
The current party split of the delegation is not shown: seat-holder party is not yet a sourced field in our data.
Every Alaska race our displayed rating calls close
Toss-Up and Lean races by our displayed rating (Cook Political Report when live, Sabato’s Crystal Ball otherwise), ranked as they appear in the delegation above.
No Alaska race has a displayed rating of Toss-Up or Lean this cycle.
Counties, by the numbers
Poverty: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Uninsured under 65: SAHIE, 2024
Rent burden: ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
Per-capita income: BEA CAINC1, 2024
Alaska: five economic indicators, county by county
Pick an indicator to shade the map. Each indicator gets its own gold ramp, scaled to this state's counties, with stronger gold for a higher value. A hatched county has no reading available yet; it is never estimated.
Median household income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to $65,365
- $65,365 to $78,681
- $78,681 to $85,000
- $85,000 to $94,031
- $94,031 to $135,500
- Not yet available (0 of 30)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 30 counties with a value in Alaska. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Poverty rate · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 7.5%
- 7.5% to 8.9%
- 8.9% to 11.9%
- 11.9% to 14.2%
- 14.2% to 32.4%
- Not yet available (0 of 30)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 30 counties with a value in Alaska. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Uninsured, under 65 · SAHIE, 2024
- up to 12.1%
- 12.1% to 13.3%
- 13.3% to 14.0%
- 14.0% to 17.1%
- 17.1% to 23.3%
- Not yet available (0 of 30)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 30 counties with a value in Alaska. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Renters paying 30% or more of income · ACS 5-year, 2020-2024
- up to 25.4%
- 25.4% to 30.5%
- 30.5% to 36.1%
- 36.1% to 46.4%
- 46.4% to 52.9%
- Not yet available (0 of 30)
One gold ramp; stronger gold means a higher value. Classes are quintiles of the 30 counties with a value in Alaska. The ramp is not a party colour and does not mean better or worse.
Per-capita personal income · BEA CAINC1, 2024
- Not yet available (30 of 30)
No county in Alaska has a reading for this indicator yet, so there is no ramp to show. The ramp, once it has data, is one gold hue: not a party colour, and not a verdict of better or worse.
Alaska has 30 counties. 30 have at least one indicator available; a county with no value for an indicator is hatched and marked "Not yet available", never estimated.
Aleutians East County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $65,365
- Poverty rate
- 13.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 23.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 30.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Aleutians West County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $135,500
- Poverty rate
- 11.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 17.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 29.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Anchorage County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $103,284
- Poverty rate
- 8.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 46.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Bethel County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $73,996
- Poverty rate
- 25.6%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 15.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 23.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Bristol Bay County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $95,625
- Poverty rate
- 9.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 13.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Chugach County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $90,509
- Poverty rate
- 5.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 36.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Copper River County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $79,250
- Poverty rate
- 8.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 25.4%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Denali County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $80,781
- Poverty rate
- 8.3%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 25.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Dillingham County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $78,533
- Poverty rate
- 19.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 14.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 34.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Fairbanks North Star County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $88,267
- Poverty rate
- 6.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.5%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 45.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Haines County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $86,927
- Poverty rate
- 5.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 52.9%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Hoonah-Angoon County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $61,406
- Poverty rate
- 14.2%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.8%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 41.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Juneau County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $101,661
- Poverty rate
- 8.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 36.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Kenai Peninsula County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $80,538
- Poverty rate
- 11.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 14.0%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 48.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Ketchikan Gateway County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $92,885
- Poverty rate
- 8.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 49.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Kodiak Island County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $86,250
- Poverty rate
- 8.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 17.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 37.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Kusilvak County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $51,471
- Poverty rate
- 32.4%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 31.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Lake and Peninsula County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $65,625
- Poverty rate
- 12.8%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 17.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 35.3%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Matanuska-Susitna County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $94,031
- Poverty rate
- 10.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 12.7%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 52.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Nome County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $78,681
- Poverty rate
- 21.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 30.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
North Slope County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $95,694
- Poverty rate
- 11.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 13.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 29.6%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Northwest Arctic County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $84,018
- Poverty rate
- 17.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 15.1%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 19.7%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Petersburg County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $75,125
- Poverty rate
- 7.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 17.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 34.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Prince of Wales-Hyder County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $61,156
- Poverty rate
- 12.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 15.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 30.2%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Sitka County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $101,727
- Poverty rate
- 7.5%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 11.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Skagway County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $81,136
- Poverty rate
- 5.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 9.2%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 47.1%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Southeast Fairbanks County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $73,882
- Poverty rate
- 12.7%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 16.4%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 38.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Wrangell County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $63,750
- Poverty rate
- 12.1%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 18.6%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 34.5%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Yakutat County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $85,000
- Poverty rate
- 11.9%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 23.3%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 18.0%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
Yukon-Koyukuk County, Alaska
Close- Median household income
- $55,741
- Poverty rate
- 16.0%
- Uninsured, under 65
- 14.9%
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- 23.8%
- Per-capita personal income
- Not yet available
About these indicators
What each measure is and where it comes from. A county card shows only the county's own figures; this applies to all of them.
- Median household income
- Median household income in the past 12 months, in 2024 inflation-adjusted dollars. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table B19013).
- Poverty rate
- Share of people whose income is below the federal poverty threshold. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (table S1701).
- Uninsured, under 65
- Model-based share of people under 65 without health insurance, all incomes. SAHIE, 2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Health Insurance Estimates.
- Renters paying 30% or more of income
- Share of renter households spending 30 percent or more of income on gross rent. ACS 5-year, 2020-2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (profile DP04).
- Per-capita personal income
- Total personal income divided by the county population, before taxes. BEA CAINC1, 2024. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts (CAINC1).
Data table: every county, every indicator (30 counties)
| County | Household income | Poverty | Uninsured under 65 | Rent burden | Per-capita income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleutians East | $65,365 | 13.2% | 23.1% | 30.3% | Not yet available |
| Aleutians West | $135,500 | 11.3% | 17.1% | 29.4% | Not yet available |
| Anchorage | $103,284 | 8.9% | 11.4% | 46.4% | Not yet available |
| Bethel | $73,996 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 23.0% | Not yet available |
| Bristol Bay | $95,625 | 9.3% | 13.3% | 13.6% | Not yet available |
| Chugach | $90,509 | 5.9% | 13.7% | 36.3% | Not yet available |
| Copper River | $79,250 | 8.7% | 13.0% | 25.4% | Not yet available |
| Denali | $80,781 | 8.3% | 13.3% | 25.9% | Not yet available |
| Dillingham | $78,533 | 19.5% | 14.0% | 34.5% | Not yet available |
| Fairbanks North Star | $88,267 | 6.1% | 11.5% | 45.9% | Not yet available |
| Haines | $86,927 | 5.4% | 9.0% | 52.9% | Not yet available |
| Hoonah-Angoon | $61,406 | 14.2% | 13.8% | 41.7% | Not yet available |
| Juneau | $101,661 | 8.9% | 12.6% | 36.1% | Not yet available |
| Kenai Peninsula | $80,538 | 11.8% | 14.0% | 48.8% | Not yet available |
| Ketchikan Gateway | $92,885 | 8.7% | 12.1% | 49.0% | Not yet available |
| Kodiak Island | $86,250 | 8.7% | 17.9% | 37.8% | Not yet available |
| Kusilvak | $51,471 | 32.4% | 12.3% | 31.8% | Not yet available |
| Lake and Peninsula | $65,625 | 12.8% | 17.7% | 35.3% | Not yet available |
| Matanuska-Susitna | $94,031 | 10.0% | 12.7% | 52.6% | Not yet available |
| Nome | $78,681 | 21.5% | 13.9% | 30.5% | Not yet available |
| North Slope | $95,694 | 11.1% | 13.2% | 29.6% | Not yet available |
| Northwest Arctic | $84,018 | 17.9% | 15.1% | 19.7% | Not yet available |
| Petersburg | $75,125 | 7.0% | 17.6% | 34.2% | Not yet available |
| Prince of Wales-Hyder | $61,156 | 12.7% | 15.9% | 30.2% | Not yet available |
| Sitka | $101,727 | 7.5% | 11.9% | 47.0% | Not yet available |
| Skagway | $81,136 | 5.9% | 9.2% | 47.1% | Not yet available |
| Southeast Fairbanks | $73,882 | 12.7% | 16.4% | 38.8% | Not yet available |
| Wrangell | $63,750 | 12.1% | 18.6% | 34.5% | Not yet available |
| Yakutat | $85,000 | 11.9% | 23.3% | 18.0% | Not yet available |
| Yukon-Koyukuk | $55,741 | 16.0% | 14.9% | 23.8% | Not yet available |
What the delegation says
What Alaska is worth
Alaska's stake in House control
0of 20No Alaska House race is rated Toss-Up or Lean this cycle. 20 seats elsewhere carry that rating; Alaska's House delegation is settled ground.
Competitive = rated Toss-Up or Lean by the crediting rater · as of October 18, 2026
U.S. Senate in Alaska
Every rater we carry, with its own date. Candidates, incumbent, poll and forecast sit under each rating.
A race here is being re-verified and is not shown yet. Back soon.
Governor of Alaska
Ratings, candidates and incumbent where we hold them; every gap is marked with its reason.
Governor
Alaska Governor
- Candidates
- Nominee not yet confirmed.
- Incumbent
- Incumbent not yet confirmed.
- Latest poll
- No poll on file.
- Our forecast
- No win probability. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections.
U.S. House seats in Alaska
Every district, in district order (0).
A race here is being re-verified and is not shown yet. Back soon.
Alaska governor, 2026
Alaska Governor race · Incumbent: Mike Dunleavy (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
The Alaska legislature
Thin Gold does not yet cover state legislative races. Coverage is a separate, later track.
-
Upper chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
-
Lower chamber
Not yet covered
Will show which party controls it, how many seats are up in 2026, and how many are rated competitive.
How to vote in Alaska
- Register to vote in Alaska (vote.gov)
- Polling places and election dates · Alaska’s official election page
Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.