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The Minnesota Senate race is the state's headline race, rated Likely D by Cook Political Report.

Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.

Fig. 2 · The Minnesota delegation

All 8 Minnesota House seats carry a rating.

Ratings Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, as of September 3, 2026. A band means a rater made a claim.
Baselines 2024 presidential vote, The Downballot, as of August 10, 2026. A tint with no band is a measured past result.
Receipts FEC filings, as of July 22, 2026. This is the Minnesota as-of date, not a site-wide one.
01 Likely R 02 Likely D 03 Solid D 04 Solid D 05 Solid D 06 Solid R 07 Solid R 08 Solid R
Senate seat, on the 2026 ballot. Rated Likely D by Cook Political Report, September 3, 2026. · Primary Aug 4: Flanagan, Craig (D) against Michele Tafoya (R)

Minnesota races rated Toss-Up

0of 9

No Minnesota race is a Toss-Up this cycle.

Minnesota races no rater covers

0of 9

Every Minnesota race carries a rating this cycle.

How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence

Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.

  • Likely D, band
  • Solid D, band
  • Likely R, band
  • Solid R, band

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , current as of September 3, 2026. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of August 10, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of July 22, 2026.

Fig. 2

What the delegation says

The Minnesota Senate race is the state's headline race, rated Likely D by Cook Political Report.

How to vote in Minnesota

Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.

The full Minnesota delegation, all 9 races Open the table · 9 rows
Race Rating Candidates Raised (D / R)
Minnesota Senate Likely D Primary Aug 4: Flanagan, Craig (D) vs Michele Tafoya (R) $9.6M / $7.1M
Minnesota 1st District Likely R Candidates TBD · / $2.0M
Minnesota 2nd District Likely D Candidates TBD $2.6M / $977.2K
Minnesota 3rd District Solid D Candidates TBD · / $265.5K
Minnesota 4th District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.3M / $88.6K
Minnesota 5th District Solid D Candidates TBD $45.8K / $1.9M
Minnesota 6th District Solid R Candidates TBD · / $9.8M
Minnesota 7th District Solid R Candidates TBD · / $1.3M
Minnesota 8th District Solid R Candidates TBD $198.3K / $2.0M