Montana 1st District is the state's headline race: rated Likely R by Cook Political Report.
Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.
All 2 Montana House seats carry a rating.
Montana races rated Toss-Up
0of 3No Montana race is a Toss-Up this cycle.
Montana races no rater covers
0of 3Every Montana race carries a rating this cycle.
How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence
Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.
- Likely R, band
- Solid R, band
Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , current as of September 3, 2026. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of August 10, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of June 30, 2026.
Fig. 2
What the delegation says
Montana 1st District is the state's headline race: rated Likely R by Cook Political Report.
How to vote in Montana
- Register to vote in Montana (vote.gov)
- Polling places and election dates · Montana’s official election page
Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.
The full Montana delegation, all 3 races Open the table · 3 rows
| Race | Rating | Candidates | Raised (D / R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana 1st District | Candidates TBD | $2.9M / $2.3M | |
| Montana Senate | Reilly Neill (weak field) (D) vs Primary June 2: Kurt Alme (R) | $392.9K / $5.9M | |
| Montana 2nd District | Candidates TBD | $34.3K / $2.1M |