Maine 1st District House Race

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Where this race stands

Published ratings for Maine 1st District, one row per rater
Rater	Rating	Added
Cook Political Report	Solid D	August 25, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe D	August 11, 2026
Split Ticket	Safe D	September 1, 2026 as of Jul 28
FiftyPlusOne	Safe D	September 1, 2026

Thin Gold model October 18, 2026 Safe D · more than 19 in 20

Our model's lean sits inside the range of the raters covering this race.

Model output from our win-odds simulation, under calibration review. Methodology

See the full forecast →

On the November ballot

Chellie Pingree Democrat

Ronald C. Russell Republican

Roster: Maine Secretary of State · state candidate list · as of September 30, 2026

No verified public poll. How we source polling data.

Analysis held for checking never verified This text is held until it passes a current check of its candidate, officeholder and party claims against sourced records. How the claim check works

Campaign finance · FEC

Chellie Pingree

Raised: $449.7K
Cash on hand: $428K

Campaign finance · FEC

Ronald C. Russell

Raised: $101.8K
Cash on hand: $20K

Federal Election Commission filings, as of Jun 30, 2026.

District demographics · Census ACS

Median household income: $88,029 (±$1,512)
Median gross rent, monthly: $1,400 (±$22)
People below the poverty line: 8.0% (±0.4%)
People without health insurance: 5.1% (±0.4%)
Renter households paying 30% or more of income on rent: 48.0% (±1.9%)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 , 119th Congress district lines (this district is unchanged for 2026); the survey window ends Dec 31, 2024. Survey estimates; the figure after ± is the 90% margin of error. The renter-burden share is derived by Thin Gold from two published Census percentages. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Election information

Voter registration deadline: October 13, 2026, per the federal form; confirm with your state (U.S. Election Assistance Commission, National Mail Voter Registration Form, as of October 10, 2026)
Early voting: Not shown. We have not yet built a reader for this state's election office, so no state-published date is shown.

What is not on this page

Candidate issue positions are not shown. We list a position only when it is tied to a named, dated source.
No individual poll results are compiled for this race.
The previous result for this seat is not shown: we hold no certified results record for it yet.

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