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The North Carolina Senate race is the state's headline race, rated Lean D by Cook Political Report.

Every seat in the delegation below, in district order. A colored band across the top of a cell means a rater has made a claim about that race. A cell with no band is a settled seat, tinted by its 2024 presidential margin, which is a measured past result and not a 2026 forecast.

Fig. 2 · The North Carolina delegation

All 14 North Carolina House seats carry a rating.

Ratings Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, as of September 3, 2026. A band means a rater made a claim.
Baselines 2024 presidential vote, The Downballot, as of August 10, 2026. A tint with no band is a measured past result.
Receipts FEC filings, as of July 15, 2026. This is the North Carolina as-of date, not a site-wide one.
01 Lean R 02 Solid D 03 Solid R 04 Solid D 05 Solid R 06 Solid R 07 Solid R 08 Solid R 09 Solid R 10 Solid R 11 Lean R 12 Solid D 13 Solid R 14 Solid R
Senate seat, on the 2026 ballot. Rated Lean D by Cook Political Report, September 3, 2026. · Roy Cooper (D) against Michael Whatley (R)

North Carolina races rated Toss-Up

0of 15

No North Carolina race is a Toss-Up this cycle.

North Carolina races no rater covers

0of 15

Every North Carolina race carries a rating this cycle.

How a cell is encoded, and on what evidence

Rater judgment A handicapper's published claim about a specific race.

  • Lean D, band
  • Solid D, band
  • Lean R, band
  • Solid R, band

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball , current as of September 3, 2026. Settled seats are tinted by their 2024 presidential-vote baseline as of August 10, 2026, sourced from The Downballot, and carry no band, because a baseline is a measured past result and never a rating. Fundraising figures from FEC filings, as of July 15, 2026.

Fig. 2

What the delegation says

The North Carolina Senate race is the state's headline race, rated Lean D by Cook Political Report.

How to vote in North Carolina

Registration deadlines, ID rules, and early-voting dates vary by state and by election. Thin Gold does not track these facts directly; the links above go straight to the authorities that do. Link set checked August 13, 2026.

The full North Carolina delegation, all 15 races Open the table · 15 rows
Race Rating Candidates Raised (D / R)
North Carolina Senate Lean D Roy Cooper (D) vs Michael Whatley (R) $35.6M / $16.2M
North Carolina 1st District Lean R Candidates TBD $4.3M / $8.3M
North Carolina 11th District Lean R Candidates TBD $3.5M / $1.0M
North Carolina 2nd District Solid D Candidates TBD $1.7M / ·
North Carolina 3rd District Solid R Candidates TBD $551.0K / $2.4M
North Carolina 4th District Solid D Candidates TBD $2.0M / $11.9K
North Carolina 5th District Solid R Candidates TBD $402.1K / $1.7M
North Carolina 6th District Solid R Candidates TBD $294.1K / $1.2M
North Carolina 7th District Solid R Candidates TBD $293.8K / $2.0M
North Carolina 8th District Solid R Candidates TBD $353.7K / $2.0M
North Carolina 9th District Solid R Candidates TBD $2.2M / $3.2M
North Carolina 10th District Solid R Candidates TBD $164.6K / $1.1M
North Carolina 12th District Solid D Candidates TBD $433.4K / $46.5K
North Carolina 13th District Solid R Candidates TBD $1.0M / $1.3M
North Carolina 14th District Solid R Candidates TBD $103.0K / $1.6M