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HOUSE RACE

Ohio 7th District


Raters differ by degree: Lean D to Toss-Up. All four

Where this race stands

Published ratings for Ohio 7th District, one row per rater
Rater Rating Added
Cook Political Report Toss-Up
Sabato's Crystal Ball Tossup
Split Ticket Tossup
FiftyPlusOne Lean D
Thin Gold model Toss-up · about 1 in 2 chance for Democrats

Our model's lean sits inside the range of the raters covering this race.

Model output from our win-odds simulation, under calibration review. Methodology

See the full forecast →
On the November ballot
Brian Poindexter Democrat
vs
Max Miller Republican

Roster: Ohio Secretary of State · state candidate list · as of June 3, 2026

No verified public poll. How we source polling data.

Ohio's 7th congressional district carries a partisan baseline of R+9.41 into a cycle where both major raters have placed it in their most competitive tier. Cook Political Report rates the race "Toss-Up" as of August 25, 2026, and the district was redrawn for the 2026 cycle, meaning the underlying geography no longer maps cleanly onto historical results. When a district with that kind of partisan baseline draws a Toss-Up classification, the gap between the structural lean and the competitive rating is the story: something beyond ordinary partisan gravity is pulling the race toward parity.

Campaign finance · FEC

Brian Poindexter

Raised
$998.3K
Cash on hand
$236K

Campaign finance · FEC

Max Miller

Raised
$2.2M
Cash on hand
$1.4M

Federal Election Commission filings, as of Jun 30, 2026.

Election information


Voter registration deadline
October 4, 2026, per the federal form; this date falls on a Sunday and your state may move it, so confirm with your state (U.S. Election Assistance Commission, National Mail Voter Registration Form, as of October 10, 2026)
Early voting
Not shown. The state's election website does not allow automated access to its election pages, so no state-published date is shown.

What is not on this page

  • Candidate issue positions are not shown. We list a position only when it is tied to a named, dated source.
  • No individual poll results are compiled for this race.
  • District demographics are not shown: the Census figures we hold describe the 2024 district lines, which changed for 2026.
  • The previous result for this seat is not shown: we hold no certified results record for it yet.
Read Full House Analysis → · back soon