We’re bringing Thin Gold back online in phases. Some sections are still being checked and will return as each one is ready; our goal is to be fully back before the November 3 midterms.

THE RECORD · JULY 2026

July 2026

30 entries published in July 2026, 2 of them major.

Jul 31

Jul 31: Net approval -17.4 → -20.6

Senate races
Iran war
Maine Senate

Senate forecast about 1 in 3 for R House forecast about 1 in 3 for R Approval -20.6

Unchanged: Generic ballot D+4.9 , Unemployment 4.2% , Production wages 3.4% , S&P 500 7,316.15

Read update

Major Update

Jul 30

Senate races, Iran war, and Maine Senate refreshed

28 data refreshes since July 1, 2026, none of them major

Data

Jul 22

Jul 22: Generic ballot D+5.8 → D+4.9

Senate races
Iran war
Maine Senate

House forecast about 1 in 3 for R Generic ballot D+4.9

Unchanged: Senate forecast about 1 in 3 for R , Approval -17.4 , Unemployment 4.2% , Production wages 3.4% , S&P 500 7,457.69

Read update

Major Update