Jul 3: Senate races, Iran war, and Maine Senate refreshed
Senate forecast 31% R down 1 House forecast 30% R down 1 Generic ballot D+5.4 unchanged Approval -17.8 unchanged Unemployment 4.2% better down 0.1 Real wages 3.4% worse down 0.2 S&P 500 7,440.43 unchanged
Data refresh only. No further detail for this update.