Update

Jul 3: Senate races, Iran war, and Maine Senate refreshed

Senate forecast31% Rdown 1House forecast30% Rdown 1Generic ballotD+5.4unchangedApproval-17.8unchangedUnemployment4.2%down 0.1Real wages3.4%down 0.2S&P 5007,440.43unchanged

Data refresh only. No further detail for this update.