Update

Jul 30: Senate races, Iran war, and Maine Senate refreshed

Senate forecast33% Rup 1House forecast31% Rdown 1Generic ballotD+4.9unchangedApproval-17.4unchangedUnemployment4.2%unchangedReal wages3.4%unchangedS&P 5007,316.15down 92.15

Data refresh only. No further detail for this update.