Update

Jul 1: Senate races, Iran war, and Maine Senate refreshed

Senate forecast 31% R down 3 House forecast 30% R down 3 Generic ballot D+5.4 unchanged Approval -17.8 up 1.1 Unemployment 4.3% unchanged Real wages 3.6% unchanged S&P 500 7,440.43 worse down 60.15

Data refresh only. No further detail for this update.