Update

Jul 1: Senate races, Iran war, and Maine Senate refreshed

Senate forecast31% Rdown 3House forecast30% Rdown 3Generic ballotD+5.4unchangedApproval-17.8up 1.1Unemployment4.3%unchangedReal wages3.6%unchangedS&P 5007,440.43down 60.15

Data refresh only. No further detail for this update.