Update

Jul 9: Senate races, Iran war, and Maine Senate refreshed

Senate forecast 27% R down 2 House forecast 30% R up 2 Generic ballot D+5.8 unchanged Approval -17.8 unchanged Unemployment 4.2% unchanged Real wages 3.4% unchanged S&P 500 7,482.71 worse down 0.53

Data refresh only. No further detail for this update.