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2026 election guide

Races

Senate card tracker, House race table and 2026 governor races rated by competitiveness, with candidate matchups and populist alignment.

Re-verified and open: 262 of 470.

Fig. 1 · The House battlefield 435 seats · Ratings added October 18, 2026 · Baselines as of October 3, 2026
  • Solid D
  • Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Toss-Up
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Solid R
  • Settled · 2024 baseline
  • Unclassified
The House battlefield A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure. AK-AL · settled, baseline R+11.5ME-01 · Solid D (rated)ME-02 · Lean R (rated)VT-AL · Solid D (rated)NH-01 · settled, baseline D+3.6NH-02 · settled, baseline D+5.2WA-01 · Solid D (rated)WA-02 · Solid D (rated)WA-03 · Lean D (rated)WA-04 · Solid R (rated)WA-05 · Solid R (rated)WA-06 · Solid D (rated)WA-07 · Solid D (rated)WA-08 · Solid D (rated)WA-09 · Solid D (rated)WA-10 · Solid D (rated)ID-01 · Solid R (rated)ID-02 · Solid R (rated)MT-01 · Lean R (rated)MT-02 · Solid R (rated)ND-AL · Solid R (rated)MN-01 · settled, baseline R+10.3MN-02 · settled, baseline D+7.5MN-03 · settled, baseline D+22.9MN-04 · settled, baseline D+37.3MN-05 · settled, baseline D+63.5MN-06 · settled, baseline R+18.0MN-07 · settled, baseline R+34.8MN-08 · settled, baseline R+12.6IL-01 · settled, baseline D+33.7IL-02 · settled, baseline D+34.8IL-03 · settled, baseline D+33.0IL-04 · settled, baseline D+30.0IL-05 · settled, baseline D+38.8IL-06 · settled, baseline D+7.1IL-07 · settled, baseline D+67.0IL-08 · settled, baseline D+8.6IL-09 · settled, baseline D+38.2IL-10 · settled, baseline D+23.7IL-11 · settled, baseline D+13.1IL-12 · settled, baseline R+41.8IL-13 · settled, baseline D+12.1IL-14 · settled, baseline D+6.8IL-15 · settled, baseline R+38.1IL-16 · settled, baseline R+21.0IL-17 · settled, baseline D+6.4WI-01 · settled, baseline R+2.9WI-02 · settled, baseline D+41.8WI-03 · settled, baseline R+5.8WI-04 · settled, baseline D+53.2WI-05 · settled, baseline R+20.5WI-06 · settled, baseline R+14.8WI-07 · settled, baseline R+20.9WI-08 · settled, baseline R+14.6MI-01 · settled, baseline R+19.6MI-02 · settled, baseline R+28.4MI-03 · settled, baseline D+9.5MI-04 · settled, baseline R+3.9MI-05 · settled, baseline R+25.4MI-06 · settled, baseline D+25.0MI-07 · settled, baseline D+0.4MI-08 · settled, baseline R+0.3MI-09 · settled, baseline R+30.7MI-10 · settled, baseline R+4.9MI-11 · settled, baseline D+17.7MI-12 · settled, baseline D+39.6MI-13 · settled, baseline D+42.7NY-01 · settled, baseline R+8.4NY-02 · settled, baseline R+12.3NY-03 · settled, baseline R+2.6NY-04 · settled, baseline D+2.9NY-05 · settled, baseline D+43.8NY-06 · settled, baseline D+8.1NY-07 · settled, baseline D+47.5NY-08 · settled, baseline D+45.6NY-09 · settled, baseline D+42.3NY-10 · settled, baseline D+62.1NY-11 · settled, baseline R+22.7NY-12 · settled, baseline D+65.3NY-13 · settled, baseline D+60.9NY-14 · settled, baseline D+33.4NY-15 · settled, baseline D+49.9NY-16 · settled, baseline D+34.8NY-17 · settled, baseline D+2.2NY-18 · settled, baseline D+5.0NY-19 · settled, baseline D+3.4NY-20 · settled, baseline D+15.8NY-21 · settled, baseline R+19.0NY-22 · settled, baseline D+9.3NY-23 · settled, baseline R+19.4NY-24 · settled, baseline R+21.4NY-25 · settled, baseline D+20.1NY-26 · settled, baseline D+20.9RI-01 · Solid D (rated)RI-02 · Solid D (rated)MA-01 · settled, baseline D+15.3MA-02 · Solid D (rated)MA-03 · settled, baseline D+20.6MA-04 · settled, baseline D+21.4MA-05 · Solid D (rated)MA-06 · settled, baseline D+22.3MA-07 · Solid D (rated)MA-08 · settled, baseline D+28.1MA-09 · settled, baseline D+12.4OR-01 · Solid D (rated)OR-02 · Solid R (rated)OR-03 · Solid D (rated)OR-04 · Solid D (rated)OR-05 · Solid D (rated)OR-06 · Solid D (rated)NV-01 · settled, baseline D+3.9NV-02 · settled, baseline R+12.3NV-03 · settled, baseline D+0.9NV-04 · settled, baseline D+4.0WY-AL · Solid R (rated)SD-AL · Solid R (rated)IA-01 · Lean D (rated)IA-02 · Toss-Up (rated)IA-03 · Lean D (rated)IA-04 · Solid R (rated)IN-01 · Likely D (rated)IN-02 · Solid R (rated)IN-03 · Solid R (rated)IN-04 · Solid R (rated)IN-05 · Likely R (rated)IN-06 · Solid R (rated)IN-07 · Solid D (rated)IN-08 · Solid R (rated)IN-09 · Solid R (rated)OH-01 · Likely D (rated)OH-02 · Solid R (rated)OH-03 · Solid D (rated)OH-04 · Solid R (rated)OH-05 · Solid R (rated)OH-06 · Solid R (rated)OH-07 · Toss-Up (rated)OH-08 · Solid R (rated)OH-09 · Toss-Up (rated)OH-10 · Lean R (rated)OH-11 · Solid D (rated)OH-12 · Solid R (rated)OH-13 · Likely D (rated)OH-14 · Solid R (rated)OH-15 · Lean R (rated)PA-01 · settled, baseline D+2.0PA-02 · settled, baseline D+37.4PA-03 · settled, baseline D+79.0PA-04 · settled, baseline D+17.4PA-05 · settled, baseline D+30.3PA-06 · settled, baseline D+13.1PA-07 · settled, baseline R+1.6PA-08 · settled, baseline R+6.8PA-09 · settled, baseline R+36.3PA-10 · settled, baseline R+3.6PA-11 · settled, baseline R+19.7PA-12 · settled, baseline D+20.8PA-13 · settled, baseline R+43.9PA-14 · settled, baseline R+31.7PA-15 · settled, baseline R+36.3PA-16 · settled, baseline R+21.1PA-17 · settled, baseline D+7.2NJ-01 · settled, baseline D+20.4NJ-02 · settled, baseline R+10.9NJ-03 · settled, baseline D+10.0NJ-04 · settled, baseline R+28.5NJ-05 · settled, baseline D+3.2NJ-06 · settled, baseline D+8.1NJ-07 · settled, baseline D+0.5NJ-08 · settled, baseline D+25.8NJ-09 · settled, baseline D+0.5NJ-10 · settled, baseline D+52.4NJ-11 · settled, baseline D+10.4NJ-12 · settled, baseline D+25.5CT-01 · settled, baseline D+24.5CT-02 · settled, baseline D+9.4CT-03 · settled, baseline D+15.7CT-04 · settled, baseline D+25.0CT-05 · settled, baseline D+7.2CA-01 · Solid D (rated)CA-02 · Solid D (rated)CA-03 · Solid D (rated)CA-04 · Solid D (rated)CA-05 · Solid R (rated)CA-06 · Solid D (rated)CA-07 · Solid D (rated)CA-08 · Solid D (rated)CA-09 · Solid D (rated)CA-10 · Solid D (rated)CA-11 · Solid D (rated)CA-12 · Solid D (rated)CA-13 · Lean D (rated)CA-14 · Solid D (rated)CA-15 · Solid D (rated)CA-16 · Solid D (rated)CA-17 · Solid D (rated)CA-18 · Solid D (rated)CA-19 · Solid D (rated)CA-20 · Solid R (rated)CA-21 · Likely D (rated)CA-22 · Toss-Up (rated)CA-23 · Solid R (rated)CA-24 · Solid D (rated)CA-25 · Solid D (rated)CA-26 · Solid D (rated)CA-27 · Solid D (rated)CA-28 · Solid D (rated)CA-29 · Solid D (rated)CA-30 · Solid D (rated)CA-31 · Solid D (rated)CA-32 · Solid D (rated)CA-33 · Solid D (rated)CA-34 · Solid D (rated)CA-35 · Solid D (rated)CA-36 · Solid D (rated)CA-37 · Solid D (rated)CA-38 · Solid D (rated)CA-39 · Solid D (rated)CA-40 · Solid R (rated)CA-41 · Solid D (rated)CA-42 · Solid D (rated)CA-43 · Solid D (rated)CA-44 · Solid D (rated)CA-45 · Likely D (rated)CA-46 · Solid D (rated)CA-47 · Solid D (rated)CA-48 · Lean D (rated)CA-49 · Solid D (rated)CA-50 · Solid D (rated)CA-51 · Solid D (rated)CA-52 · Solid D (rated)UT-01 · Solid D (rated)UT-02 · Solid R (rated)UT-03 · Solid R (rated)UT-04 · Solid R (rated)CO-01 · settled, baseline D+57.7CO-02 · settled, baseline D+41.4CO-03 · settled, baseline R+8.1CO-04 · settled, baseline R+16.6CO-05 · settled, baseline R+7.4CO-06 · settled, baseline D+21.4CO-07 · settled, baseline D+16.6CO-08 · settled, baseline R+0.2NE-01 · settled, baseline R+11.4NE-02 · settled, baseline D+6.3NE-03 · settled, baseline R+52.1MO-01 · Solid D (rated)MO-02 · Likely R (rated)MO-03 · Solid R (rated)MO-04 · Solid R (rated)MO-05 · Solid D (rated)MO-06 · Solid R (rated)MO-07 · Solid R (rated)MO-08 · Solid R (rated)KY-01 · Solid R (rated)KY-02 · Solid R (rated)KY-03 · Solid D (rated)KY-04 · Solid R (rated)KY-05 · Solid R (rated)KY-06 · Likely R (rated)WV-01 · Solid R (rated)WV-02 · Solid R (rated)VA-01 · settled, baseline R+3.3VA-02 · settled, baseline D+1.4VA-03 · settled, baseline D+36.3VA-04 · settled, baseline D+34.4VA-05 · settled, baseline R+10.6VA-06 · settled, baseline R+22.2VA-07 · settled, baseline D+4.5VA-08 · settled, baseline D+51.4VA-09 · settled, baseline R+42.4VA-10 · settled, baseline D+10.0VA-11 · settled, baseline D+35.9MD-01 · Solid R (rated)MD-02 · Solid D (rated)MD-03 · Solid D (rated)MD-04 · Solid D (rated)MD-05 · Solid D (rated)MD-06 · Solid D (rated)MD-07 · Solid D (rated)MD-08 · Solid D (rated)DE-AL · Solid D (rated)AZ-01 · settled, baseline R+1.5AZ-02 · settled, baseline R+13.3AZ-03 · settled, baseline D+41.4AZ-04 · settled, baseline D+8.3AZ-05 · settled, baseline R+18.3AZ-06 · settled, baseline D+0.9AZ-07 · settled, baseline D+23.8AZ-08 · settled, baseline R+14.7AZ-09 · settled, baseline R+29.4NM-01 · Solid D (rated)NM-02 · Lean D (rated)NM-03 · Solid D (rated)KS-01 · Solid R (rated)KS-02 · Solid R (rated)KS-03 · Solid D (rated)KS-04 · Solid R (rated)AR-01 · settled, baseline R+43.6AR-02 · settled, baseline R+13.9AR-03 · settled, baseline R+23.2AR-04 · settled, baseline R+38.3TN-01 · settled, baseline R+56.2TN-02 · settled, baseline R+32.2TN-03 · settled, baseline R+34.1TN-04 · settled, baseline R+22.3TN-05 · settled, baseline R+21.4TN-06 · settled, baseline R+24.9TN-07 · settled, baseline R+20.8TN-08 · settled, baseline R+18.5TN-09 · settled, baseline R+19.5NC-01 · Toss-Up (rated)NC-02 · Solid D (rated)NC-03 · Solid R (rated)NC-04 · Solid D (rated)NC-05 · Solid R (rated)NC-06 · Solid R (rated)NC-07 · Solid R (rated)NC-08 · Solid R (rated)NC-09 · Solid R (rated)NC-10 · Solid R (rated)NC-11 · Toss-Up (rated)NC-12 · Solid D (rated)NC-13 · Solid R (rated)NC-14 · Solid R (rated)SC-01 · Likely R (rated)SC-02 · Solid R (rated)SC-03 · Solid R (rated)SC-04 · Solid R (rated)SC-05 · Solid R (rated)SC-06 · Solid D (rated)SC-07 · Solid R (rated)OK-01 · Solid R (rated)OK-02 · Solid R (rated)OK-03 · Solid R (rated)OK-04 · Solid R (rated)OK-05 · Solid R (rated)LA-01 · Solid R (rated)LA-02 · Solid D (rated)LA-03 · Solid R (rated)LA-04 · Solid R (rated)LA-05 · Solid R (rated)LA-06 · Solid R (rated)MS-01 · Solid R (rated)MS-02 · Solid D (rated)MS-03 · Solid R (rated)MS-04 · Solid R (rated)AL-01 · Solid R (rated)AL-02 · Likely R (rated)AL-03 · Solid R (rated)AL-04 · Solid R (rated)AL-05 · Solid R (rated)AL-06 · Solid R (rated)AL-07 · Solid D (rated)GA-01 · Solid R (rated)GA-02 · Solid D (rated)GA-03 · Solid R (rated)GA-04 · Solid D (rated)GA-05 · Solid D (rated)GA-06 · Solid D (rated)GA-07 · Solid R (rated)GA-08 · Solid R (rated)GA-09 · Solid R (rated)GA-10 · Solid R (rated)GA-11 · Solid R (rated)GA-12 · Solid R (rated)GA-13 · Solid D (rated)GA-14 · Solid R (rated)HI-01 · Solid D (rated)HI-02 · Solid D (rated)TX-01 · Solid R (rated)TX-02 · Solid R (rated)TX-03 · Solid R (rated)TX-04 · Solid R (rated)TX-05 · Solid R (rated)TX-06 · Solid R (rated)TX-07 · Solid D (rated)TX-08 · Solid R (rated)TX-09 · Likely R (rated)TX-10 · Solid R (rated)TX-11 · Solid R (rated)TX-12 · Solid R (rated)TX-13 · Solid R (rated)TX-14 · Solid R (rated)TX-15 · Toss-Up (rated)TX-16 · Solid D (rated)TX-17 · Solid R (rated)TX-18 · Solid D (rated)TX-19 · Solid R (rated)TX-20 · Solid D (rated)TX-21 · Solid R (rated)TX-22 · Solid R (rated)TX-23 · Likely R (rated)TX-24 · Solid R (rated)TX-25 · Solid R (rated)TX-26 · Solid R (rated)TX-27 · Solid R (rated)TX-28 · Lean D (rated)TX-29 · Solid D (rated)TX-30 · Solid D (rated)TX-31 · Solid R (rated)TX-32 · Solid R (rated)TX-33 · Solid D (rated)TX-34 · Toss-Up (rated)TX-35 · Lean R (rated)TX-36 · Solid R (rated)TX-37 · Solid D (rated)TX-38 · Solid R (rated)FL-01 · settled, baseline R+35.5FL-02 · settled, baseline R+16.4FL-03 · settled, baseline R+19.5FL-04 · settled, baseline R+10.2FL-05 · settled, baseline R+19.8FL-06 · settled, baseline R+28.4FL-07 · settled, baseline R+10.8FL-08 · settled, baseline R+14.6FL-09 · settled, baseline R+16.1FL-10 · settled, baseline D+25.6FL-11 · settled, baseline R+14.0FL-12 · settled, baseline R+13.7FL-13 · settled, baseline R+11.7FL-14 · settled, baseline R+8.9FL-15 · settled, baseline R+18.2FL-16 · settled, baseline R+12.1FL-17 · settled, baseline R+20.4FL-18 · settled, baseline R+15.3FL-19 · settled, baseline R+28.6FL-20 · settled, baseline D+38.8FL-21 · settled, baseline R+14.6FL-22 · settled, baseline R+8.6FL-23 · settled, baseline D+15.4FL-24 · settled, baseline D+40.4FL-25 · settled, baseline R+7.5FL-26 · settled, baseline R+16.7FL-27 · settled, baseline R+12.9FL-28 · settled, baseline R+23.8

Northeast

  • ME-02 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 7 races
  • MA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MA-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • ME-01 Solid D (rated)
  • RI-01 Solid D (rated)
  • RI-02 Solid D (rated)
  • VT-AL Solid D (rated)
CT · 5
MA · 6
NH · 2
NJ · 12
NY · 26
PA · 17

Midwest

  • IA-01 Lean D (rated)
  • IA-02 Toss-Up (rated)
  • IA-03 Lean D (rated)
  • OH-07 Toss-Up (rated)
  • OH-09 Toss-Up (rated)
  • OH-10 Lean R (rated)
  • OH-15 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 35 races
  • IA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-01 Likely D (rated)
  • IN-02 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-03 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-04 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-05 Likely R (rated)
  • IN-06 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-07 Solid D (rated)
  • IN-08 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-09 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-01 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-02 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-03 Solid D (rated)
  • KS-04 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-01 Solid D (rated)
  • MO-02 Likely R (rated)
  • MO-03 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-04 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MO-06 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-07 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-08 Solid R (rated)
  • ND-AL Solid R (rated)
  • OH-01 Likely D (rated)
  • OH-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OH-04 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-05 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-06 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-08 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-11 Solid D (rated)
  • OH-12 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-13 Likely D (rated)
  • OH-14 Solid R (rated)
  • SD-AL Solid R (rated)
IL · 17
MI · 13
MN · 8
NE · 3
WI · 8

South

  • NC-01 Toss-Up (rated)
  • NC-11 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-15 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-28 Lean D (rated)
  • TX-34 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-35 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 106 races
  • AL-01 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-02 Likely R (rated)
  • AL-03 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-04 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-05 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-06 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-07 Solid D (rated)
  • DE-AL Solid D (rated)
  • GA-01 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-03 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-04 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-05 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-07 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-08 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-09 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-10 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-11 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-12 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-13 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-14 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-01 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-02 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-03 Solid D (rated)
  • KY-04 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-05 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-06 Likely R (rated)
  • LA-01 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • LA-03 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-06 Solid R (rated)
  • MD-01 Solid R (rated)
  • MD-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-03 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-04 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-06 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-07 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-08 Solid D (rated)
  • MS-01 Solid R (rated)
  • MS-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MS-03 Solid R (rated)
  • MS-04 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-02 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-03 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-04 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-05 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-06 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-07 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-08 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-09 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-10 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-12 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-13 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-14 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-01 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-03 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-04 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-05 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-01 Likely R (rated)
  • SC-02 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-03 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-04 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-05 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-06 Solid D (rated)
  • SC-07 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-01 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-02 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-03 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-04 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-05 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-06 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-07 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-08 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-09 Likely R (rated)
  • TX-10 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-11 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-12 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-13 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-14 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-16 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-17 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-18 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-19 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-20 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-21 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-22 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-23 Likely R (rated)
  • TX-24 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-25 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-26 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-27 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-29 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-30 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-31 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-32 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-33 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-36 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-37 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-38 Solid R (rated)
  • WV-01 Solid R (rated)
  • WV-02 Solid R (rated)
AR · 4
FL · 28
TN · 9
VA · 11

West

  • CA-13 Lean D (rated)
  • CA-22 Toss-Up (rated)
  • CA-48 Lean D (rated)
  • MT-01 Lean R (rated)
  • NM-02 Lean D (rated)
  • WA-03 Lean D (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 76 races
  • CA-01 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-03 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-04 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-08 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-09 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-10 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-11 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-12 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-14 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-15 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-16 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-17 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-18 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-19 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-20 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-21 Likely D (rated)
  • CA-23 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-24 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-25 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-26 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-27 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-28 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-29 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-30 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-31 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-32 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-33 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-34 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-35 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-36 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-37 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-38 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-39 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-40 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-41 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-42 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-43 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-44 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-45 Likely D (rated)
  • CA-46 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-47 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-49 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-50 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-51 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-52 Solid D (rated)
  • HI-01 Solid D (rated)
  • HI-02 Solid D (rated)
  • ID-01 Solid R (rated)
  • ID-02 Solid R (rated)
  • MT-02 Solid R (rated)
  • NM-01 Solid D (rated)
  • NM-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-01 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OR-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-04 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-05 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-06 Solid D (rated)
  • UT-01 Solid D (rated)
  • UT-02 Solid R (rated)
  • UT-03 Solid R (rated)
  • UT-04 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-01 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-08 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-09 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-10 Solid D (rated)
  • WY-AL Solid R (rated)
AK · 1
AZ · 9
CO · 8
NV · 4
A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure.
District Status Baseline
AK-ALSettledR+11.5
AL-01Solid R (rated)
AL-02Likely R (rated)
AL-03Solid R (rated)
AL-04Solid R (rated)
AL-05Solid R (rated)
AL-06Solid R (rated)
AL-07Solid D (rated)
AR-01SettledR+43.6
AR-02SettledR+13.9
AR-03SettledR+23.2
AR-04SettledR+38.3
AZ-01SettledR+1.5
AZ-02SettledR+13.3
AZ-03SettledD+41.4
AZ-04SettledD+8.3
AZ-05SettledR+18.3
AZ-06SettledD+0.9
AZ-07SettledD+23.8
AZ-08SettledR+14.7
AZ-09SettledR+29.4
CA-01Solid D (rated)
CA-02Solid D (rated)
CA-03Solid D (rated)
CA-04Solid D (rated)
CA-05Solid R (rated)
CA-06Solid D (rated)
CA-07Solid D (rated)
CA-08Solid D (rated)
CA-09Solid D (rated)
CA-10Solid D (rated)
CA-11Solid D (rated)
CA-12Solid D (rated)
CA-13Lean D (rated)
CA-14Solid D (rated)
CA-15Solid D (rated)
CA-16Solid D (rated)
CA-17Solid D (rated)
CA-18Solid D (rated)
CA-19Solid D (rated)
CA-20Solid R (rated)
CA-21Likely D (rated)
CA-22Toss-Up (rated)
CA-23Solid R (rated)
CA-24Solid D (rated)
CA-25Solid D (rated)
CA-26Solid D (rated)
CA-27Solid D (rated)
CA-28Solid D (rated)
CA-29Solid D (rated)
CA-30Solid D (rated)
CA-31Solid D (rated)
CA-32Solid D (rated)
CA-33Solid D (rated)
CA-34Solid D (rated)
CA-35Solid D (rated)
CA-36Solid D (rated)
CA-37Solid D (rated)
CA-38Solid D (rated)
CA-39Solid D (rated)
CA-40Solid R (rated)
CA-41Solid D (rated)
CA-42Solid D (rated)
CA-43Solid D (rated)
CA-44Solid D (rated)
CA-45Likely D (rated)
CA-46Solid D (rated)
CA-47Solid D (rated)
CA-48Lean D (rated)
CA-49Solid D (rated)
CA-50Solid D (rated)
CA-51Solid D (rated)
CA-52Solid D (rated)
CO-01SettledD+57.7
CO-02SettledD+41.4
CO-03SettledR+8.1
CO-04SettledR+16.6
CO-05SettledR+7.4
CO-06SettledD+21.4
CO-07SettledD+16.6
CO-08SettledR+0.2
CT-01SettledD+24.5
CT-02SettledD+9.4
CT-03SettledD+15.7
CT-04SettledD+25.0
CT-05SettledD+7.2
DE-ALSolid D (rated)
FL-01SettledR+35.5
FL-02SettledR+16.4
FL-03SettledR+19.5
FL-04SettledR+10.2
FL-05SettledR+19.8
FL-06SettledR+28.4
FL-07SettledR+10.8
FL-08SettledR+14.6
FL-09SettledR+16.1
FL-10SettledD+25.6
FL-11SettledR+14.0
FL-12SettledR+13.7
FL-13SettledR+11.7
FL-14SettledR+8.9
FL-15SettledR+18.2
FL-16SettledR+12.1
FL-17SettledR+20.4
FL-18SettledR+15.3
FL-19SettledR+28.6
FL-20SettledD+38.8
FL-21SettledR+14.6
FL-22SettledR+8.6
FL-23SettledD+15.4
FL-24SettledD+40.4
FL-25SettledR+7.5
FL-26SettledR+16.7
FL-27SettledR+12.9
FL-28SettledR+23.8
GA-01Solid R (rated)
GA-02Solid D (rated)
GA-03Solid R (rated)
GA-04Solid D (rated)
GA-05Solid D (rated)
GA-06Solid D (rated)
GA-07Solid R (rated)
GA-08Solid R (rated)
GA-09Solid R (rated)
GA-10Solid R (rated)
GA-11Solid R (rated)
GA-12Solid R (rated)
GA-13Solid D (rated)
GA-14Solid R (rated)
HI-01Solid D (rated)
HI-02Solid D (rated)
IA-01Lean D (rated)
IA-02Toss-Up (rated)
IA-03Lean D (rated)
IA-04Solid R (rated)
ID-01Solid R (rated)
ID-02Solid R (rated)
IL-01SettledD+33.7
IL-02SettledD+34.8
IL-03SettledD+33.0
IL-04SettledD+30.0
IL-05SettledD+38.8
IL-06SettledD+7.1
IL-07SettledD+67.0
IL-08SettledD+8.6
IL-09SettledD+38.2
IL-10SettledD+23.7
IL-11SettledD+13.1
IL-12SettledR+41.8
IL-13SettledD+12.1
IL-14SettledD+6.8
IL-15SettledR+38.1
IL-16SettledR+21.0
IL-17SettledD+6.4
IN-01Likely D (rated)
IN-02Solid R (rated)
IN-03Solid R (rated)
IN-04Solid R (rated)
IN-05Likely R (rated)
IN-06Solid R (rated)
IN-07Solid D (rated)
IN-08Solid R (rated)
IN-09Solid R (rated)
KS-01Solid R (rated)
KS-02Solid R (rated)
KS-03Solid D (rated)
KS-04Solid R (rated)
KY-01Solid R (rated)
KY-02Solid R (rated)
KY-03Solid D (rated)
KY-04Solid R (rated)
KY-05Solid R (rated)
KY-06Likely R (rated)
LA-01Solid R (rated)
LA-02Solid D (rated)
LA-03Solid R (rated)
LA-04Solid R (rated)
LA-05Solid R (rated)
LA-06Solid R (rated)
MA-01SettledD+15.3
MA-02Solid D (rated)
MA-03SettledD+20.6
MA-04SettledD+21.4
MA-05Solid D (rated)
MA-06SettledD+22.3
MA-07Solid D (rated)
MA-08SettledD+28.1
MA-09SettledD+12.4
MD-01Solid R (rated)
MD-02Solid D (rated)
MD-03Solid D (rated)
MD-04Solid D (rated)
MD-05Solid D (rated)
MD-06Solid D (rated)
MD-07Solid D (rated)
MD-08Solid D (rated)
ME-01Solid D (rated)
ME-02Lean R (rated)
MI-01SettledR+19.6
MI-02SettledR+28.4
MI-03SettledD+9.5
MI-04SettledR+3.9
MI-05SettledR+25.4
MI-06SettledD+25.0
MI-07SettledD+0.4
MI-08SettledR+0.3
MI-09SettledR+30.7
MI-10SettledR+4.9
MI-11SettledD+17.7
MI-12SettledD+39.6
MI-13SettledD+42.7
MN-01SettledR+10.3
MN-02SettledD+7.5
MN-03SettledD+22.9
MN-04SettledD+37.3
MN-05SettledD+63.5
MN-06SettledR+18.0
MN-07SettledR+34.8
MN-08SettledR+12.6
MO-01Solid D (rated)
MO-02Likely R (rated)
MO-03Solid R (rated)
MO-04Solid R (rated)
MO-05Solid D (rated)
MO-06Solid R (rated)
MO-07Solid R (rated)
MO-08Solid R (rated)
MS-01Solid R (rated)
MS-02Solid D (rated)
MS-03Solid R (rated)
MS-04Solid R (rated)
MT-01Lean R (rated)
MT-02Solid R (rated)
NC-01Toss-Up (rated)
NC-02Solid D (rated)
NC-03Solid R (rated)
NC-04Solid D (rated)
NC-05Solid R (rated)
NC-06Solid R (rated)
NC-07Solid R (rated)
NC-08Solid R (rated)
NC-09Solid R (rated)
NC-10Solid R (rated)
NC-11Toss-Up (rated)
NC-12Solid D (rated)
NC-13Solid R (rated)
NC-14Solid R (rated)
ND-ALSolid R (rated)
NE-01SettledR+11.4
NE-02SettledD+6.3
NE-03SettledR+52.1
NH-01SettledD+3.6
NH-02SettledD+5.2
NJ-01SettledD+20.4
NJ-02SettledR+10.9
NJ-03SettledD+10.0
NJ-04SettledR+28.5
NJ-05SettledD+3.2
NJ-06SettledD+8.1
NJ-07SettledD+0.5
NJ-08SettledD+25.8
NJ-09SettledD+0.5
NJ-10SettledD+52.4
NJ-11SettledD+10.4
NJ-12SettledD+25.5
NM-01Solid D (rated)
NM-02Lean D (rated)
NM-03Solid D (rated)
NV-01SettledD+3.9
NV-02SettledR+12.3
NV-03SettledD+0.9
NV-04SettledD+4.0
NY-01SettledR+8.4
NY-02SettledR+12.3
NY-03SettledR+2.6
NY-04SettledD+2.9
NY-05SettledD+43.8
NY-06SettledD+8.1
NY-07SettledD+47.5
NY-08SettledD+45.6
NY-09SettledD+42.3
NY-10SettledD+62.1
NY-11SettledR+22.7
NY-12SettledD+65.3
NY-13SettledD+60.9
NY-14SettledD+33.4
NY-15SettledD+49.9
NY-16SettledD+34.8
NY-17SettledD+2.2
NY-18SettledD+5.0
NY-19SettledD+3.4
NY-20SettledD+15.8
NY-21SettledR+19.0
NY-22SettledD+9.3
NY-23SettledR+19.4
NY-24SettledR+21.4
NY-25SettledD+20.1
NY-26SettledD+20.9
OH-01Likely D (rated)
OH-02Solid R (rated)
OH-03Solid D (rated)
OH-04Solid R (rated)
OH-05Solid R (rated)
OH-06Solid R (rated)
OH-07Toss-Up (rated)
OH-08Solid R (rated)
OH-09Toss-Up (rated)
OH-10Lean R (rated)
OH-11Solid D (rated)
OH-12Solid R (rated)
OH-13Likely D (rated)
OH-14Solid R (rated)
OH-15Lean R (rated)
OK-01Solid R (rated)
OK-02Solid R (rated)
OK-03Solid R (rated)
OK-04Solid R (rated)
OK-05Solid R (rated)
OR-01Solid D (rated)
OR-02Solid R (rated)
OR-03Solid D (rated)
OR-04Solid D (rated)
OR-05Solid D (rated)
OR-06Solid D (rated)
PA-01SettledD+2.0
PA-02SettledD+37.4
PA-03SettledD+79.0
PA-04SettledD+17.4
PA-05SettledD+30.3
PA-06SettledD+13.1
PA-07SettledR+1.6
PA-08SettledR+6.8
PA-09SettledR+36.3
PA-10SettledR+3.6
PA-11SettledR+19.7
PA-12SettledD+20.8
PA-13SettledR+43.9
PA-14SettledR+31.7
PA-15SettledR+36.3
PA-16SettledR+21.1
PA-17SettledD+7.2
RI-01Solid D (rated)
RI-02Solid D (rated)
SC-01Likely R (rated)
SC-02Solid R (rated)
SC-03Solid R (rated)
SC-04Solid R (rated)
SC-05Solid R (rated)
SC-06Solid D (rated)
SC-07Solid R (rated)
SD-ALSolid R (rated)
TN-01SettledR+56.2
TN-02SettledR+32.2
TN-03SettledR+34.1
TN-04SettledR+22.3
TN-05SettledR+21.4
TN-06SettledR+24.9
TN-07SettledR+20.8
TN-08SettledR+18.5
TN-09SettledR+19.5
TX-01Solid R (rated)
TX-02Solid R (rated)
TX-03Solid R (rated)
TX-04Solid R (rated)
TX-05Solid R (rated)
TX-06Solid R (rated)
TX-07Solid D (rated)
TX-08Solid R (rated)
TX-09Likely R (rated)
TX-10Solid R (rated)
TX-11Solid R (rated)
TX-12Solid R (rated)
TX-13Solid R (rated)
TX-14Solid R (rated)
TX-15Toss-Up (rated)
TX-16Solid D (rated)
TX-17Solid R (rated)
TX-18Solid D (rated)
TX-19Solid R (rated)
TX-20Solid D (rated)
TX-21Solid R (rated)
TX-22Solid R (rated)
TX-23Likely R (rated)
TX-24Solid R (rated)
TX-25Solid R (rated)
TX-26Solid R (rated)
TX-27Solid R (rated)
TX-28Lean D (rated)
TX-29Solid D (rated)
TX-30Solid D (rated)
TX-31Solid R (rated)
TX-32Solid R (rated)
TX-33Solid D (rated)
TX-34Toss-Up (rated)
TX-35Lean R (rated)
TX-36Solid R (rated)
TX-37Solid D (rated)
TX-38Solid R (rated)
UT-01Solid D (rated)
UT-02Solid R (rated)
UT-03Solid R (rated)
UT-04Solid R (rated)
VA-01SettledR+3.3
VA-02SettledD+1.4
VA-03SettledD+36.3
VA-04SettledD+34.4
VA-05SettledR+10.6
VA-06SettledR+22.2
VA-07SettledD+4.5
VA-08SettledD+51.4
VA-09SettledR+42.4
VA-10SettledD+10.0
VA-11SettledD+35.9
VT-ALSolid D (rated)
WA-01Solid D (rated)
WA-02Solid D (rated)
WA-03Lean D (rated)
WA-04Solid R (rated)
WA-05Solid R (rated)
WA-06Solid D (rated)
WA-07Solid D (rated)
WA-08Solid D (rated)
WA-09Solid D (rated)
WA-10Solid D (rated)
WI-01SettledR+2.9
WI-02SettledD+41.8
WI-03SettledR+5.8
WI-04SettledD+53.2
WI-05SettledR+20.5
WI-06SettledR+14.8
WI-07SettledR+20.9
WI-08SettledR+14.6
WV-01Solid R (rated)
WV-02Solid R (rated)
WY-ALSolid R (rated)

Back to the chart

Ratings: Cook Political Report, Race Ratings (added October 18, 2026), with Sabato's Crystal Ball where a Cook Political Report rating is unavailable. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com . Settled seats carry no rating: each is shown by the sign and depth of its 2024 presidential-vote margin in the district's current lines, sourced from The Downballot and receipted at ingestion: a measured past result, not a projection of this race.

Fig. 2  ·  Every House race, on one map Ratings: Added October 18, 2026
2024 lean: as of October 3, 2026
Forecast: run of October 18, 2026

Every House race, on one map

Each district is colored by the layer you pick: a rater’s call, where the raters differ, the latest poll we can verify, the 2024 presidential lean, or the forecast’s coarse reading. The key under the map says what each color means, and the data table prints every layer for every district.

United States House districts colored by the FiftyPlusOne rating. FiftyPlusOne rates 77 of 435 House seats and calls 5 of them a Toss-up. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched. 167 seats have no FiftyPlusOne rating and are hatched.Alaska at-large. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.AlabamaArkansasArizonaCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDCDelaware at-large. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.FloridaGeorgiaHawaiiIowaIdahoIllinoisIndianaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMassachusettsMarylandMaineMichiganMinnesotaMissouriMississippiMontanaNorth CarolinaNorth Dakota at-large. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.NebraskaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNevadaNew YorkOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth Dakota at-large. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.TennesseeTexasUtahVirginiaVermont at-large. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.WashingtonWisconsinWest VirginiaWyoming at-large. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Alabama District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Alabama District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Lean R.Alabama District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Alabama District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Alabama District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Alabama District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Alabama District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Arkansas District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Arizona District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Arizona District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Arizona District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Arizona District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Arizona District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Arizona District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Arizona District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Arizona District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Arizona District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.California District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.California District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.California District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.California District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 10. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 11. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 12. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 13. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.California District 14. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 15. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 16. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 17. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 18. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 19. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 20. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 21. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.California District 22. FiftyPlusOne: Likely D.California District 23. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 24. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 25. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.California District 26. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 27. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 28. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 29. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 30. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 31. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 32. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 33. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 34. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 35. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 36. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 37. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 38. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 39. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 40. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 41. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 42. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 43. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 44. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 45. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.California District 46. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 47. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 48. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.California District 49. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.California District 50. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 51. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.California District 52. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Colorado District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Colorado District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Colorado District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Colorado District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Colorado District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Colorado District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Colorado District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Colorado District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 10. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 11. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 12. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 13. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 14. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 15. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 16. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 17. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 18. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 19. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 20. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 21. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 22. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 23. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 24. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 25. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 26. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 27. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Florida District 28. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Georgia District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.Georgia District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Georgia District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Georgia District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Georgia District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Georgia District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Georgia District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Georgia District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Georgia District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Georgia District 10. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Georgia District 11. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Georgia District 12. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.Georgia District 13. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Georgia District 14. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Hawaii District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Hawaii District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Iowa District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Likely D.Iowa District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Lean D.Iowa District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Likely D.Iowa District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Idaho District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Idaho District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Illinois District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 10. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 11. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 12. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 13. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 14. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 15. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 16. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Illinois District 17. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Indiana District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.Indiana District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Indiana District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Indiana District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Indiana District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.Indiana District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Indiana District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Indiana District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Indiana District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Kansas District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Kansas District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Kansas District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.Kansas District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Kentucky District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Kentucky District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Kentucky District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Kentucky District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Kentucky District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Kentucky District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Lean R.Louisiana District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Louisiana District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Louisiana District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Louisiana District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Louisiana District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Louisiana District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Massachusetts District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Massachusetts District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Massachusetts District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Massachusetts District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Maryland District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.Maryland District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Maryland District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Maryland District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Maryland District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Maryland District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.Maryland District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Maryland District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Maine District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.Maine District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Toss-Up.Michigan District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Michigan District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Michigan District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Michigan District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Michigan District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Michigan District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Michigan District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Michigan District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Michigan District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Michigan District 10. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Michigan District 11. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Michigan District 12. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Michigan District 13. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Missouri District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Missouri District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Toss-Up.Missouri District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Missouri District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Missouri District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.Missouri District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Missouri District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Missouri District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Mississippi District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Mississippi District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Mississippi District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Mississippi District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Montana District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Toss-Up.Montana District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.North Carolina District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Lean D.North Carolina District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.North Carolina District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.North Carolina District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.North Carolina District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.North Carolina District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.North Carolina District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.North Carolina District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.North Carolina District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.North Carolina District 10. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.North Carolina District 11. FiftyPlusOne: Toss-Up.North Carolina District 12. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.North Carolina District 13. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.North Carolina District 14. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.Nebraska District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Nebraska District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Nebraska District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Hampshire District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Hampshire District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 10. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 11. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 12. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New Mexico District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.New Mexico District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Likely D.New Mexico District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.Nevada District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Nevada District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Nevada District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Nevada District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 10. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 11. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 12. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 13. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 14. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 15. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 16. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 17. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 18. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 19. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 20. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 21. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 22. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 23. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 24. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 25. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.New York District 26. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Ohio District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Likely D.Ohio District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Ohio District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Ohio District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Ohio District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Ohio District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Ohio District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Lean D.Ohio District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Ohio District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Lean D.Ohio District 10. FiftyPlusOne: Lean R.Ohio District 11. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Ohio District 12. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Ohio District 13. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.Ohio District 14. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Ohio District 15. FiftyPlusOne: Lean R.Oklahoma District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Oklahoma District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Oklahoma District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Oklahoma District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Oklahoma District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.Oregon District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Oregon District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Oregon District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Oregon District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Oregon District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.Oregon District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Pennsylvania District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 10. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 11. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 12. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 13. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 14. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 15. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 16. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 17. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Rhode Island District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Rhode Island District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.South Carolina District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Lean R.South Carolina District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.South Carolina District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.South Carolina District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.South Carolina District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.South Carolina District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.South Carolina District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Tennessee District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Texas District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Texas District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Texas District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.Texas District 10. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Texas District 11. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 12. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 13. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 14. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 15. FiftyPlusOne: Lean R.Texas District 16. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 17. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 18. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 19. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 20. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 21. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Texas District 22. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Texas District 23. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.Texas District 24. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.Texas District 25. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 26. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 27. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Texas District 28. FiftyPlusOne: Likely D.Texas District 29. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 30. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 31. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 32. FiftyPlusOne: Likely R.Texas District 33. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 34. FiftyPlusOne: Lean D.Texas District 35. FiftyPlusOne: Toss-Up.Texas District 36. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 37. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Texas District 38. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Utah District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Utah District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Utah District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Utah District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Virginia District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Virginia District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Virginia District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Virginia District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Virginia District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Virginia District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Virginia District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Virginia District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Virginia District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Virginia District 10. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Virginia District 11. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Washington District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Washington District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Washington District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Likely D.Washington District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Safe R.Washington District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Lean R.Washington District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Washington District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Washington District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Safe D.Washington District 9. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Washington District 10. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.Wisconsin District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 3. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 4. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 5. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 6. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 7. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 8. FiftyPlusOne: Being re-verified.West Virginia District 1. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.West Virginia District 2. FiftyPlusOne: Not rated.

FiftyPlusOne

  • Solid D
  • Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Toss-up
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Solid R
  • No FiftyPlusOne rating (hatched)

State of each FiftyPlusOne rating

  • Unproven
  • Not available no FiftyPlusOne rating: hatched

FiftyPlusOne rates 77 of 435 House seats and calls 5 of them a Toss-up. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched. 167 seats have no FiftyPlusOne rating and are hatched.

Ratings: FiftyPlusOne, Added October 18, 2026. The rater’s own wording is in the data table.

Lines: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundaries and TIGER/Line (federal works), plus each redrawn state's enacted map where one is drawn. Utah district lines are licensed under CC BY 4.0 by Utah Geospatial Resource Center (UGRC), State of Utah (SGID "Utah US Congress Districts 2026 to 2032").
Data table: every House race (435)

The table prints every layer of the map for all 435 seats. Open the full table

2026 forecast
Control of the Senate is a coin flip. Democrats are slightly favored to take the House.
Senate 51 D · 49 R

about a 2 in 5 chance of an R majority

House about a 1 in 5 chance of an R majority

Seat range under calibration review.

Probabilities, not predictions. The margin of error is wide this far out. See the full forecast →

Chamber Senate
Rating
Senate
Alaska

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Arkansas

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Colorado

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Delaware

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Florida (Special)

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Illinois

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Kentucky

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Louisiana

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Massachusetts

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Michigan

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Minnesota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Cook Political Report Likely D
North Carolina
Nominees not yet confirmed
Senate
New Hampshire

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
New Jersey

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Ohio

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Cook Political Report Likely R
South Carolina
Nominees not yet confirmed
Senate
South Dakota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Tennessee

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Virginia

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added . For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Governors

36 governorships are on the November 2026 ballot. Ratings are shown only where a rater has published one; an unrated race carries no party colour.

We show no win probability for governor races. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections, so these pages carry ratings, polls and fundraising instead.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Alabama Governor
Incumbent: Kay Ivey (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Alaska Governor
Incumbent: Mike Dunleavy (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Arizona Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Arkansas Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
California Governor
Incumbent: Gavin Newsom (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Colorado Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Connecticut Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Florida Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Georgia Governor
Incumbent: Brian Kemp (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Hawaii Governor
Incumbent: Josh Green Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Idaho Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Illinois Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Iowa Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Lean R
Kansas Governor
Incumbent: Laura Kelly (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Maine Governor
Incumbent: Janet Mills (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Maryland Governor
Incumbent: Wes Moore Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Massachusetts Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Lean D
Michigan Governor
Incumbent: Gretchen Whitmer (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Minnesota Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Nebraska Governor
Incumbent: Jim Pillen Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Nevada Governor
Incumbent: Joe Lombardo Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Likely R
New Hampshire Governor
Incumbent: Kelly Ayotte Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
New Mexico Governor
Incumbent: Michelle Lujan Grisham (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
New York Governor
Incumbent: Kathy Hochul Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Ohio Governor
Incumbent: Mike DeWine (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Oklahoma Governor
Incumbent: Kevin Stitt (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Lean D
Oregon Governor
Incumbent: Tina Kotek Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Pennsylvania Governor
Incumbent: Josh Shapiro Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Rhode Island Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
South Carolina Governor
Incumbent: Henry McMaster (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
South Dakota Governor
Incumbent: Larry Rhoden Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Tennessee Governor
Incumbent: Bill Lee (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Lean R
Texas Governor
Incumbent: Greg Abbott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Vermont Governor
Incumbent: Phil Scott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Wisconsin Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Wyoming Governor
Incumbent: Mark Gordon (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added . For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Full 470-race forecast table

The model’s full race-by-race table, with win odds for every modeled seat, lives on the forecast page. See the full table on the forecast page.

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Read the full analysis for race-by-race breakdowns.