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2026 election guide

Races

Senate card tracker, House race table and 2026 governor races rated by competitiveness, with candidate matchups and populist alignment.

Re-verified and open: 262 of 470.

Fig. 1 · The House battlefield 435 seats · Ratings added October 18, 2026 · Baselines as of October 3, 2026
  • Solid D
  • Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Toss-Up
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Solid R
  • Settled · 2024 baseline
  • Unclassified
The House battlefield A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure. AK-AL · settled, baseline R+11.5ME-01 · Solid D (rated)ME-02 · Lean R (rated)VT-AL · Solid D (rated)NH-01 · settled, baseline D+3.6NH-02 · settled, baseline D+5.2WA-01 · Solid D (rated)WA-02 · Solid D (rated)WA-03 · Lean D (rated)WA-04 · Solid R (rated)WA-05 · Solid R (rated)WA-06 · Solid D (rated)WA-07 · Solid D (rated)WA-08 · Solid D (rated)WA-09 · Solid D (rated)WA-10 · Solid D (rated)ID-01 · Solid R (rated)ID-02 · Solid R (rated)MT-01 · Lean R (rated)MT-02 · Solid R (rated)ND-AL · Solid R (rated)MN-01 · settled, baseline R+10.3MN-02 · settled, baseline D+7.5MN-03 · settled, baseline D+22.9MN-04 · settled, baseline D+37.3MN-05 · settled, baseline D+63.5MN-06 · settled, baseline R+18.0MN-07 · settled, baseline R+34.8MN-08 · settled, baseline R+12.6IL-01 · settled, baseline D+33.7IL-02 · settled, baseline D+34.8IL-03 · settled, baseline D+33.0IL-04 · settled, baseline D+30.0IL-05 · settled, baseline D+38.8IL-06 · settled, baseline D+7.1IL-07 · settled, baseline D+67.0IL-08 · settled, baseline D+8.6IL-09 · settled, baseline D+38.2IL-10 · settled, baseline D+23.7IL-11 · settled, baseline D+13.1IL-12 · settled, baseline R+41.8IL-13 · settled, baseline D+12.1IL-14 · settled, baseline D+6.8IL-15 · settled, baseline R+38.1IL-16 · settled, baseline R+21.0IL-17 · settled, baseline D+6.4WI-01 · settled, baseline R+2.9WI-02 · settled, baseline D+41.8WI-03 · settled, baseline R+5.8WI-04 · settled, baseline D+53.2WI-05 · settled, baseline R+20.5WI-06 · settled, baseline R+14.8WI-07 · settled, baseline R+20.9WI-08 · settled, baseline R+14.6MI-01 · settled, baseline R+19.6MI-02 · settled, baseline R+28.4MI-03 · settled, baseline D+9.5MI-04 · settled, baseline R+3.9MI-05 · settled, baseline R+25.4MI-06 · settled, baseline D+25.0MI-07 · settled, baseline D+0.4MI-08 · settled, baseline R+0.3MI-09 · settled, baseline R+30.7MI-10 · settled, baseline R+4.9MI-11 · settled, baseline D+17.7MI-12 · settled, baseline D+39.6MI-13 · settled, baseline D+42.7NY-01 · settled, baseline R+8.4NY-02 · settled, baseline R+12.3NY-03 · settled, baseline R+2.6NY-04 · settled, baseline D+2.9NY-05 · settled, baseline D+43.8NY-06 · settled, baseline D+8.1NY-07 · settled, baseline D+47.5NY-08 · settled, baseline D+45.6NY-09 · settled, baseline D+42.3NY-10 · settled, baseline D+62.1NY-11 · settled, baseline R+22.7NY-12 · settled, baseline D+65.3NY-13 · settled, baseline D+60.9NY-14 · settled, baseline D+33.4NY-15 · settled, baseline D+49.9NY-16 · settled, baseline D+34.8NY-17 · settled, baseline D+2.2NY-18 · settled, baseline D+5.0NY-19 · settled, baseline D+3.4NY-20 · settled, baseline D+15.8NY-21 · settled, baseline R+19.0NY-22 · settled, baseline D+9.3NY-23 · settled, baseline R+19.4NY-24 · settled, baseline R+21.4NY-25 · settled, baseline D+20.1NY-26 · settled, baseline D+20.9RI-01 · Solid D (rated)RI-02 · Solid D (rated)MA-01 · settled, baseline D+15.3MA-02 · Solid D (rated)MA-03 · settled, baseline D+20.6MA-04 · settled, baseline D+21.4MA-05 · Solid D (rated)MA-06 · settled, baseline D+22.3MA-07 · Solid D (rated)MA-08 · settled, baseline D+28.1MA-09 · settled, baseline D+12.4OR-01 · Solid D (rated)OR-02 · Solid R (rated)OR-03 · Solid D (rated)OR-04 · Solid D (rated)OR-05 · Solid D (rated)OR-06 · Solid D (rated)NV-01 · settled, baseline D+3.9NV-02 · settled, baseline R+12.3NV-03 · settled, baseline D+0.9NV-04 · settled, baseline D+4.0WY-AL · Solid R (rated)SD-AL · Solid R (rated)IA-01 · Lean D (rated)IA-02 · Toss-Up (rated)IA-03 · Lean D (rated)IA-04 · Solid R (rated)IN-01 · Likely D (rated)IN-02 · Solid R (rated)IN-03 · Solid R (rated)IN-04 · Solid R (rated)IN-05 · Likely R (rated)IN-06 · Solid R (rated)IN-07 · Solid D (rated)IN-08 · Solid R (rated)IN-09 · Solid R (rated)OH-01 · Likely D (rated)OH-02 · Solid R (rated)OH-03 · Solid D (rated)OH-04 · Solid R (rated)OH-05 · Solid R (rated)OH-06 · Solid R (rated)OH-07 · Toss-Up (rated)OH-08 · Solid R (rated)OH-09 · Toss-Up (rated)OH-10 · Lean R (rated)OH-11 · Solid D (rated)OH-12 · Solid R (rated)OH-13 · Likely D (rated)OH-14 · Solid R (rated)OH-15 · Lean R (rated)PA-01 · settled, baseline D+2.0PA-02 · settled, baseline D+37.4PA-03 · settled, baseline D+79.0PA-04 · settled, baseline D+17.4PA-05 · settled, baseline D+30.3PA-06 · settled, baseline D+13.1PA-07 · settled, baseline R+1.6PA-08 · settled, baseline R+6.8PA-09 · settled, baseline R+36.3PA-10 · settled, baseline R+3.6PA-11 · settled, baseline R+19.7PA-12 · settled, baseline D+20.8PA-13 · settled, baseline R+43.9PA-14 · settled, baseline R+31.7PA-15 · settled, baseline R+36.3PA-16 · settled, baseline R+21.1PA-17 · settled, baseline D+7.2NJ-01 · settled, baseline D+20.4NJ-02 · settled, baseline R+10.9NJ-03 · settled, baseline D+10.0NJ-04 · settled, baseline R+28.5NJ-05 · settled, baseline D+3.2NJ-06 · settled, baseline D+8.1NJ-07 · settled, baseline D+0.5NJ-08 · settled, baseline D+25.8NJ-09 · settled, baseline D+0.5NJ-10 · settled, baseline D+52.4NJ-11 · settled, baseline D+10.4NJ-12 · settled, baseline D+25.5CT-01 · settled, baseline D+24.5CT-02 · settled, baseline D+9.4CT-03 · settled, baseline D+15.7CT-04 · settled, baseline D+25.0CT-05 · settled, baseline D+7.2CA-01 · Solid D (rated)CA-02 · Solid D (rated)CA-03 · Solid D (rated)CA-04 · Solid D (rated)CA-05 · Solid R (rated)CA-06 · Solid D (rated)CA-07 · Solid D (rated)CA-08 · Solid D (rated)CA-09 · Solid D (rated)CA-10 · Solid D (rated)CA-11 · Solid D (rated)CA-12 · Solid D (rated)CA-13 · Lean D (rated)CA-14 · Solid D (rated)CA-15 · Solid D (rated)CA-16 · Solid D (rated)CA-17 · Solid D (rated)CA-18 · Solid D (rated)CA-19 · Solid D (rated)CA-20 · Solid R (rated)CA-21 · Likely D (rated)CA-22 · Toss-Up (rated)CA-23 · Solid R (rated)CA-24 · Solid D (rated)CA-25 · Solid D (rated)CA-26 · Solid D (rated)CA-27 · Solid D (rated)CA-28 · Solid D (rated)CA-29 · Solid D (rated)CA-30 · Solid D (rated)CA-31 · Solid D (rated)CA-32 · Solid D (rated)CA-33 · Solid D (rated)CA-34 · Solid D (rated)CA-35 · Solid D (rated)CA-36 · Solid D (rated)CA-37 · Solid D (rated)CA-38 · Solid D (rated)CA-39 · Solid D (rated)CA-40 · Solid R (rated)CA-41 · Solid D (rated)CA-42 · Solid D (rated)CA-43 · Solid D (rated)CA-44 · Solid D (rated)CA-45 · Likely D (rated)CA-46 · Solid D (rated)CA-47 · Solid D (rated)CA-48 · Lean D (rated)CA-49 · Solid D (rated)CA-50 · Solid D (rated)CA-51 · Solid D (rated)CA-52 · Solid D (rated)UT-01 · Solid D (rated)UT-02 · Solid R (rated)UT-03 · Solid R (rated)UT-04 · Solid R (rated)CO-01 · settled, baseline D+57.7CO-02 · settled, baseline D+41.4CO-03 · settled, baseline R+8.1CO-04 · settled, baseline R+16.6CO-05 · settled, baseline R+7.4CO-06 · settled, baseline D+21.4CO-07 · settled, baseline D+16.6CO-08 · settled, baseline R+0.2NE-01 · settled, baseline R+11.4NE-02 · settled, baseline D+6.3NE-03 · settled, baseline R+52.1MO-01 · Solid D (rated)MO-02 · Likely R (rated)MO-03 · Solid R (rated)MO-04 · Solid R (rated)MO-05 · Solid D (rated)MO-06 · Solid R (rated)MO-07 · Solid R (rated)MO-08 · Solid R (rated)KY-01 · Solid R (rated)KY-02 · Solid R (rated)KY-03 · Solid D (rated)KY-04 · Solid R (rated)KY-05 · Solid R (rated)KY-06 · Likely R (rated)WV-01 · Solid R (rated)WV-02 · Solid R (rated)VA-01 · settled, baseline R+3.3VA-02 · settled, baseline D+1.4VA-03 · settled, baseline D+36.3VA-04 · settled, baseline D+34.4VA-05 · settled, baseline R+10.6VA-06 · settled, baseline R+22.2VA-07 · settled, baseline D+4.5VA-08 · settled, baseline D+51.4VA-09 · settled, baseline R+42.4VA-10 · settled, baseline D+10.0VA-11 · settled, baseline D+35.9MD-01 · Solid R (rated)MD-02 · Solid D (rated)MD-03 · Solid D (rated)MD-04 · Solid D (rated)MD-05 · Solid D (rated)MD-06 · Solid D (rated)MD-07 · Solid D (rated)MD-08 · Solid D (rated)DE-AL · Solid D (rated)AZ-01 · settled, baseline R+1.5AZ-02 · settled, baseline R+13.3AZ-03 · settled, baseline D+41.4AZ-04 · settled, baseline D+8.3AZ-05 · settled, baseline R+18.3AZ-06 · settled, baseline D+0.9AZ-07 · settled, baseline D+23.8AZ-08 · settled, baseline R+14.7AZ-09 · settled, baseline R+29.4NM-01 · Solid D (rated)NM-02 · Lean D (rated)NM-03 · Solid D (rated)KS-01 · Solid R (rated)KS-02 · Solid R (rated)KS-03 · Solid D (rated)KS-04 · Solid R (rated)AR-01 · settled, baseline R+43.6AR-02 · settled, baseline R+13.9AR-03 · settled, baseline R+23.2AR-04 · settled, baseline R+38.3TN-01 · settled, baseline R+56.2TN-02 · settled, baseline R+32.2TN-03 · settled, baseline R+34.1TN-04 · settled, baseline R+22.3TN-05 · settled, baseline R+21.4TN-06 · settled, baseline R+24.9TN-07 · settled, baseline R+20.8TN-08 · settled, baseline R+18.5TN-09 · settled, baseline R+19.5NC-01 · Toss-Up (rated)NC-02 · Solid D (rated)NC-03 · Solid R (rated)NC-04 · Solid D (rated)NC-05 · Solid R (rated)NC-06 · Solid R (rated)NC-07 · Solid R (rated)NC-08 · Solid R (rated)NC-09 · Solid R (rated)NC-10 · Solid R (rated)NC-11 · Toss-Up (rated)NC-12 · Solid D (rated)NC-13 · Solid R (rated)NC-14 · Solid R (rated)SC-01 · Likely R (rated)SC-02 · Solid R (rated)SC-03 · Solid R (rated)SC-04 · Solid R (rated)SC-05 · Solid R (rated)SC-06 · Solid D (rated)SC-07 · Solid R (rated)OK-01 · Solid R (rated)OK-02 · Solid R (rated)OK-03 · Solid R (rated)OK-04 · Solid R (rated)OK-05 · Solid R (rated)LA-01 · Solid R (rated)LA-02 · Solid D (rated)LA-03 · Solid R (rated)LA-04 · Solid R (rated)LA-05 · Solid R (rated)LA-06 · Solid R (rated)MS-01 · Solid R (rated)MS-02 · Solid D (rated)MS-03 · Solid R (rated)MS-04 · Solid R (rated)AL-01 · Solid R (rated)AL-02 · Likely R (rated)AL-03 · Solid R (rated)AL-04 · Solid R (rated)AL-05 · Solid R (rated)AL-06 · Solid R (rated)AL-07 · Solid D (rated)GA-01 · Solid R (rated)GA-02 · Solid D (rated)GA-03 · Solid R (rated)GA-04 · Solid D (rated)GA-05 · Solid D (rated)GA-06 · Solid D (rated)GA-07 · Solid R (rated)GA-08 · Solid R (rated)GA-09 · Solid R (rated)GA-10 · Solid R (rated)GA-11 · Solid R (rated)GA-12 · Solid R (rated)GA-13 · Solid D (rated)GA-14 · Solid R (rated)HI-01 · Solid D (rated)HI-02 · Solid D (rated)TX-01 · Solid R (rated)TX-02 · Solid R (rated)TX-03 · Solid R (rated)TX-04 · Solid R (rated)TX-05 · Solid R (rated)TX-06 · Solid R (rated)TX-07 · Solid D (rated)TX-08 · Solid R (rated)TX-09 · Likely R (rated)TX-10 · Solid R (rated)TX-11 · Solid R (rated)TX-12 · Solid R (rated)TX-13 · Solid R (rated)TX-14 · Solid R (rated)TX-15 · Toss-Up (rated)TX-16 · Solid D (rated)TX-17 · Solid R (rated)TX-18 · Solid D (rated)TX-19 · Solid R (rated)TX-20 · Solid D (rated)TX-21 · Solid R (rated)TX-22 · Solid R (rated)TX-23 · Likely R (rated)TX-24 · Solid R (rated)TX-25 · Solid R (rated)TX-26 · Solid R (rated)TX-27 · Solid R (rated)TX-28 · Lean D (rated)TX-29 · Solid D (rated)TX-30 · Solid D (rated)TX-31 · Solid R (rated)TX-32 · Solid R (rated)TX-33 · Solid D (rated)TX-34 · Toss-Up (rated)TX-35 · Lean R (rated)TX-36 · Solid R (rated)TX-37 · Solid D (rated)TX-38 · Solid R (rated)FL-01 · settled, baseline R+35.5FL-02 · settled, baseline R+16.4FL-03 · settled, baseline R+19.5FL-04 · settled, baseline R+10.2FL-05 · settled, baseline R+19.8FL-06 · settled, baseline R+28.4FL-07 · settled, baseline R+10.8FL-08 · settled, baseline R+14.6FL-09 · settled, baseline R+16.1FL-10 · settled, baseline D+25.6FL-11 · settled, baseline R+14.0FL-12 · settled, baseline R+13.7FL-13 · settled, baseline R+11.7FL-14 · settled, baseline R+8.9FL-15 · settled, baseline R+18.2FL-16 · settled, baseline R+12.1FL-17 · settled, baseline R+20.4FL-18 · settled, baseline R+15.3FL-19 · settled, baseline R+28.6FL-20 · settled, baseline D+38.8FL-21 · settled, baseline R+14.6FL-22 · settled, baseline R+8.6FL-23 · settled, baseline D+15.4FL-24 · settled, baseline D+40.4FL-25 · settled, baseline R+7.5FL-26 · settled, baseline R+16.7FL-27 · settled, baseline R+12.9FL-28 · settled, baseline R+23.8

Northeast

  • ME-02 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 7 races
  • MA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MA-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • ME-01 Solid D (rated)
  • RI-01 Solid D (rated)
  • RI-02 Solid D (rated)
  • VT-AL Solid D (rated)
CT · 5
MA · 6
NH · 2
NJ · 12
NY · 26
PA · 17

Midwest

  • IA-01 Lean D (rated)
  • IA-02 Toss-Up (rated)
  • IA-03 Lean D (rated)
  • OH-07 Toss-Up (rated)
  • OH-09 Toss-Up (rated)
  • OH-10 Lean R (rated)
  • OH-15 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 35 races
  • IA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-01 Likely D (rated)
  • IN-02 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-03 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-04 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-05 Likely R (rated)
  • IN-06 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-07 Solid D (rated)
  • IN-08 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-09 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-01 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-02 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-03 Solid D (rated)
  • KS-04 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-01 Solid D (rated)
  • MO-02 Likely R (rated)
  • MO-03 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-04 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MO-06 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-07 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-08 Solid R (rated)
  • ND-AL Solid R (rated)
  • OH-01 Likely D (rated)
  • OH-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OH-04 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-05 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-06 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-08 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-11 Solid D (rated)
  • OH-12 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-13 Likely D (rated)
  • OH-14 Solid R (rated)
  • SD-AL Solid R (rated)
IL · 17
MI · 13
MN · 8
NE · 3
WI · 8

South

  • NC-01 Toss-Up (rated)
  • NC-11 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-15 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-28 Lean D (rated)
  • TX-34 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-35 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 106 races
  • AL-01 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-02 Likely R (rated)
  • AL-03 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-04 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-05 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-06 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-07 Solid D (rated)
  • DE-AL Solid D (rated)
  • GA-01 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-03 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-04 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-05 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-07 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-08 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-09 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-10 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-11 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-12 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-13 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-14 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-01 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-02 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-03 Solid D (rated)
  • KY-04 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-05 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-06 Likely R (rated)
  • LA-01 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • LA-03 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-06 Solid R (rated)
  • MD-01 Solid R (rated)
  • MD-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-03 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-04 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-06 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-07 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-08 Solid D (rated)
  • MS-01 Solid R (rated)
  • MS-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MS-03 Solid R (rated)
  • MS-04 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-02 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-03 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-04 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-05 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-06 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-07 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-08 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-09 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-10 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-12 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-13 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-14 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-01 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-03 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-04 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-05 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-01 Likely R (rated)
  • SC-02 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-03 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-04 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-05 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-06 Solid D (rated)
  • SC-07 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-01 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-02 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-03 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-04 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-05 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-06 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-07 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-08 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-09 Likely R (rated)
  • TX-10 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-11 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-12 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-13 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-14 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-16 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-17 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-18 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-19 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-20 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-21 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-22 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-23 Likely R (rated)
  • TX-24 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-25 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-26 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-27 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-29 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-30 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-31 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-32 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-33 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-36 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-37 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-38 Solid R (rated)
  • WV-01 Solid R (rated)
  • WV-02 Solid R (rated)
AR · 4
FL · 28
TN · 9
VA · 11

West

  • CA-13 Lean D (rated)
  • CA-22 Toss-Up (rated)
  • CA-48 Lean D (rated)
  • MT-01 Lean R (rated)
  • NM-02 Lean D (rated)
  • WA-03 Lean D (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 76 races
  • CA-01 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-03 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-04 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-08 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-09 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-10 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-11 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-12 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-14 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-15 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-16 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-17 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-18 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-19 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-20 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-21 Likely D (rated)
  • CA-23 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-24 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-25 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-26 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-27 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-28 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-29 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-30 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-31 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-32 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-33 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-34 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-35 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-36 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-37 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-38 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-39 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-40 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-41 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-42 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-43 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-44 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-45 Likely D (rated)
  • CA-46 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-47 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-49 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-50 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-51 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-52 Solid D (rated)
  • HI-01 Solid D (rated)
  • HI-02 Solid D (rated)
  • ID-01 Solid R (rated)
  • ID-02 Solid R (rated)
  • MT-02 Solid R (rated)
  • NM-01 Solid D (rated)
  • NM-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-01 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OR-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-04 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-05 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-06 Solid D (rated)
  • UT-01 Solid D (rated)
  • UT-02 Solid R (rated)
  • UT-03 Solid R (rated)
  • UT-04 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-01 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-08 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-09 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-10 Solid D (rated)
  • WY-AL Solid R (rated)
AK · 1
AZ · 9
CO · 8
NV · 4
A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure.
District Status Baseline
AK-ALSettledR+11.5
AL-01Solid R (rated)
AL-02Likely R (rated)
AL-03Solid R (rated)
AL-04Solid R (rated)
AL-05Solid R (rated)
AL-06Solid R (rated)
AL-07Solid D (rated)
AR-01SettledR+43.6
AR-02SettledR+13.9
AR-03SettledR+23.2
AR-04SettledR+38.3
AZ-01SettledR+1.5
AZ-02SettledR+13.3
AZ-03SettledD+41.4
AZ-04SettledD+8.3
AZ-05SettledR+18.3
AZ-06SettledD+0.9
AZ-07SettledD+23.8
AZ-08SettledR+14.7
AZ-09SettledR+29.4
CA-01Solid D (rated)
CA-02Solid D (rated)
CA-03Solid D (rated)
CA-04Solid D (rated)
CA-05Solid R (rated)
CA-06Solid D (rated)
CA-07Solid D (rated)
CA-08Solid D (rated)
CA-09Solid D (rated)
CA-10Solid D (rated)
CA-11Solid D (rated)
CA-12Solid D (rated)
CA-13Lean D (rated)
CA-14Solid D (rated)
CA-15Solid D (rated)
CA-16Solid D (rated)
CA-17Solid D (rated)
CA-18Solid D (rated)
CA-19Solid D (rated)
CA-20Solid R (rated)
CA-21Likely D (rated)
CA-22Toss-Up (rated)
CA-23Solid R (rated)
CA-24Solid D (rated)
CA-25Solid D (rated)
CA-26Solid D (rated)
CA-27Solid D (rated)
CA-28Solid D (rated)
CA-29Solid D (rated)
CA-30Solid D (rated)
CA-31Solid D (rated)
CA-32Solid D (rated)
CA-33Solid D (rated)
CA-34Solid D (rated)
CA-35Solid D (rated)
CA-36Solid D (rated)
CA-37Solid D (rated)
CA-38Solid D (rated)
CA-39Solid D (rated)
CA-40Solid R (rated)
CA-41Solid D (rated)
CA-42Solid D (rated)
CA-43Solid D (rated)
CA-44Solid D (rated)
CA-45Likely D (rated)
CA-46Solid D (rated)
CA-47Solid D (rated)
CA-48Lean D (rated)
CA-49Solid D (rated)
CA-50Solid D (rated)
CA-51Solid D (rated)
CA-52Solid D (rated)
CO-01SettledD+57.7
CO-02SettledD+41.4
CO-03SettledR+8.1
CO-04SettledR+16.6
CO-05SettledR+7.4
CO-06SettledD+21.4
CO-07SettledD+16.6
CO-08SettledR+0.2
CT-01SettledD+24.5
CT-02SettledD+9.4
CT-03SettledD+15.7
CT-04SettledD+25.0
CT-05SettledD+7.2
DE-ALSolid D (rated)
FL-01SettledR+35.5
FL-02SettledR+16.4
FL-03SettledR+19.5
FL-04SettledR+10.2
FL-05SettledR+19.8
FL-06SettledR+28.4
FL-07SettledR+10.8
FL-08SettledR+14.6
FL-09SettledR+16.1
FL-10SettledD+25.6
FL-11SettledR+14.0
FL-12SettledR+13.7
FL-13SettledR+11.7
FL-14SettledR+8.9
FL-15SettledR+18.2
FL-16SettledR+12.1
FL-17SettledR+20.4
FL-18SettledR+15.3
FL-19SettledR+28.6
FL-20SettledD+38.8
FL-21SettledR+14.6
FL-22SettledR+8.6
FL-23SettledD+15.4
FL-24SettledD+40.4
FL-25SettledR+7.5
FL-26SettledR+16.7
FL-27SettledR+12.9
FL-28SettledR+23.8
GA-01Solid R (rated)
GA-02Solid D (rated)
GA-03Solid R (rated)
GA-04Solid D (rated)
GA-05Solid D (rated)
GA-06Solid D (rated)
GA-07Solid R (rated)
GA-08Solid R (rated)
GA-09Solid R (rated)
GA-10Solid R (rated)
GA-11Solid R (rated)
GA-12Solid R (rated)
GA-13Solid D (rated)
GA-14Solid R (rated)
HI-01Solid D (rated)
HI-02Solid D (rated)
IA-01Lean D (rated)
IA-02Toss-Up (rated)
IA-03Lean D (rated)
IA-04Solid R (rated)
ID-01Solid R (rated)
ID-02Solid R (rated)
IL-01SettledD+33.7
IL-02SettledD+34.8
IL-03SettledD+33.0
IL-04SettledD+30.0
IL-05SettledD+38.8
IL-06SettledD+7.1
IL-07SettledD+67.0
IL-08SettledD+8.6
IL-09SettledD+38.2
IL-10SettledD+23.7
IL-11SettledD+13.1
IL-12SettledR+41.8
IL-13SettledD+12.1
IL-14SettledD+6.8
IL-15SettledR+38.1
IL-16SettledR+21.0
IL-17SettledD+6.4
IN-01Likely D (rated)
IN-02Solid R (rated)
IN-03Solid R (rated)
IN-04Solid R (rated)
IN-05Likely R (rated)
IN-06Solid R (rated)
IN-07Solid D (rated)
IN-08Solid R (rated)
IN-09Solid R (rated)
KS-01Solid R (rated)
KS-02Solid R (rated)
KS-03Solid D (rated)
KS-04Solid R (rated)
KY-01Solid R (rated)
KY-02Solid R (rated)
KY-03Solid D (rated)
KY-04Solid R (rated)
KY-05Solid R (rated)
KY-06Likely R (rated)
LA-01Solid R (rated)
LA-02Solid D (rated)
LA-03Solid R (rated)
LA-04Solid R (rated)
LA-05Solid R (rated)
LA-06Solid R (rated)
MA-01SettledD+15.3
MA-02Solid D (rated)
MA-03SettledD+20.6
MA-04SettledD+21.4
MA-05Solid D (rated)
MA-06SettledD+22.3
MA-07Solid D (rated)
MA-08SettledD+28.1
MA-09SettledD+12.4
MD-01Solid R (rated)
MD-02Solid D (rated)
MD-03Solid D (rated)
MD-04Solid D (rated)
MD-05Solid D (rated)
MD-06Solid D (rated)
MD-07Solid D (rated)
MD-08Solid D (rated)
ME-01Solid D (rated)
ME-02Lean R (rated)
MI-01SettledR+19.6
MI-02SettledR+28.4
MI-03SettledD+9.5
MI-04SettledR+3.9
MI-05SettledR+25.4
MI-06SettledD+25.0
MI-07SettledD+0.4
MI-08SettledR+0.3
MI-09SettledR+30.7
MI-10SettledR+4.9
MI-11SettledD+17.7
MI-12SettledD+39.6
MI-13SettledD+42.7
MN-01SettledR+10.3
MN-02SettledD+7.5
MN-03SettledD+22.9
MN-04SettledD+37.3
MN-05SettledD+63.5
MN-06SettledR+18.0
MN-07SettledR+34.8
MN-08SettledR+12.6
MO-01Solid D (rated)
MO-02Likely R (rated)
MO-03Solid R (rated)
MO-04Solid R (rated)
MO-05Solid D (rated)
MO-06Solid R (rated)
MO-07Solid R (rated)
MO-08Solid R (rated)
MS-01Solid R (rated)
MS-02Solid D (rated)
MS-03Solid R (rated)
MS-04Solid R (rated)
MT-01Lean R (rated)
MT-02Solid R (rated)
NC-01Toss-Up (rated)
NC-02Solid D (rated)
NC-03Solid R (rated)
NC-04Solid D (rated)
NC-05Solid R (rated)
NC-06Solid R (rated)
NC-07Solid R (rated)
NC-08Solid R (rated)
NC-09Solid R (rated)
NC-10Solid R (rated)
NC-11Toss-Up (rated)
NC-12Solid D (rated)
NC-13Solid R (rated)
NC-14Solid R (rated)
ND-ALSolid R (rated)
NE-01SettledR+11.4
NE-02SettledD+6.3
NE-03SettledR+52.1
NH-01SettledD+3.6
NH-02SettledD+5.2
NJ-01SettledD+20.4
NJ-02SettledR+10.9
NJ-03SettledD+10.0
NJ-04SettledR+28.5
NJ-05SettledD+3.2
NJ-06SettledD+8.1
NJ-07SettledD+0.5
NJ-08SettledD+25.8
NJ-09SettledD+0.5
NJ-10SettledD+52.4
NJ-11SettledD+10.4
NJ-12SettledD+25.5
NM-01Solid D (rated)
NM-02Lean D (rated)
NM-03Solid D (rated)
NV-01SettledD+3.9
NV-02SettledR+12.3
NV-03SettledD+0.9
NV-04SettledD+4.0
NY-01SettledR+8.4
NY-02SettledR+12.3
NY-03SettledR+2.6
NY-04SettledD+2.9
NY-05SettledD+43.8
NY-06SettledD+8.1
NY-07SettledD+47.5
NY-08SettledD+45.6
NY-09SettledD+42.3
NY-10SettledD+62.1
NY-11SettledR+22.7
NY-12SettledD+65.3
NY-13SettledD+60.9
NY-14SettledD+33.4
NY-15SettledD+49.9
NY-16SettledD+34.8
NY-17SettledD+2.2
NY-18SettledD+5.0
NY-19SettledD+3.4
NY-20SettledD+15.8
NY-21SettledR+19.0
NY-22SettledD+9.3
NY-23SettledR+19.4
NY-24SettledR+21.4
NY-25SettledD+20.1
NY-26SettledD+20.9
OH-01Likely D (rated)
OH-02Solid R (rated)
OH-03Solid D (rated)
OH-04Solid R (rated)
OH-05Solid R (rated)
OH-06Solid R (rated)
OH-07Toss-Up (rated)
OH-08Solid R (rated)
OH-09Toss-Up (rated)
OH-10Lean R (rated)
OH-11Solid D (rated)
OH-12Solid R (rated)
OH-13Likely D (rated)
OH-14Solid R (rated)
OH-15Lean R (rated)
OK-01Solid R (rated)
OK-02Solid R (rated)
OK-03Solid R (rated)
OK-04Solid R (rated)
OK-05Solid R (rated)
OR-01Solid D (rated)
OR-02Solid R (rated)
OR-03Solid D (rated)
OR-04Solid D (rated)
OR-05Solid D (rated)
OR-06Solid D (rated)
PA-01SettledD+2.0
PA-02SettledD+37.4
PA-03SettledD+79.0
PA-04SettledD+17.4
PA-05SettledD+30.3
PA-06SettledD+13.1
PA-07SettledR+1.6
PA-08SettledR+6.8
PA-09SettledR+36.3
PA-10SettledR+3.6
PA-11SettledR+19.7
PA-12SettledD+20.8
PA-13SettledR+43.9
PA-14SettledR+31.7
PA-15SettledR+36.3
PA-16SettledR+21.1
PA-17SettledD+7.2
RI-01Solid D (rated)
RI-02Solid D (rated)
SC-01Likely R (rated)
SC-02Solid R (rated)
SC-03Solid R (rated)
SC-04Solid R (rated)
SC-05Solid R (rated)
SC-06Solid D (rated)
SC-07Solid R (rated)
SD-ALSolid R (rated)
TN-01SettledR+56.2
TN-02SettledR+32.2
TN-03SettledR+34.1
TN-04SettledR+22.3
TN-05SettledR+21.4
TN-06SettledR+24.9
TN-07SettledR+20.8
TN-08SettledR+18.5
TN-09SettledR+19.5
TX-01Solid R (rated)
TX-02Solid R (rated)
TX-03Solid R (rated)
TX-04Solid R (rated)
TX-05Solid R (rated)
TX-06Solid R (rated)
TX-07Solid D (rated)
TX-08Solid R (rated)
TX-09Likely R (rated)
TX-10Solid R (rated)
TX-11Solid R (rated)
TX-12Solid R (rated)
TX-13Solid R (rated)
TX-14Solid R (rated)
TX-15Toss-Up (rated)
TX-16Solid D (rated)
TX-17Solid R (rated)
TX-18Solid D (rated)
TX-19Solid R (rated)
TX-20Solid D (rated)
TX-21Solid R (rated)
TX-22Solid R (rated)
TX-23Likely R (rated)
TX-24Solid R (rated)
TX-25Solid R (rated)
TX-26Solid R (rated)
TX-27Solid R (rated)
TX-28Lean D (rated)
TX-29Solid D (rated)
TX-30Solid D (rated)
TX-31Solid R (rated)
TX-32Solid R (rated)
TX-33Solid D (rated)
TX-34Toss-Up (rated)
TX-35Lean R (rated)
TX-36Solid R (rated)
TX-37Solid D (rated)
TX-38Solid R (rated)
UT-01Solid D (rated)
UT-02Solid R (rated)
UT-03Solid R (rated)
UT-04Solid R (rated)
VA-01SettledR+3.3
VA-02SettledD+1.4
VA-03SettledD+36.3
VA-04SettledD+34.4
VA-05SettledR+10.6
VA-06SettledR+22.2
VA-07SettledD+4.5
VA-08SettledD+51.4
VA-09SettledR+42.4
VA-10SettledD+10.0
VA-11SettledD+35.9
VT-ALSolid D (rated)
WA-01Solid D (rated)
WA-02Solid D (rated)
WA-03Lean D (rated)
WA-04Solid R (rated)
WA-05Solid R (rated)
WA-06Solid D (rated)
WA-07Solid D (rated)
WA-08Solid D (rated)
WA-09Solid D (rated)
WA-10Solid D (rated)
WI-01SettledR+2.9
WI-02SettledD+41.8
WI-03SettledR+5.8
WI-04SettledD+53.2
WI-05SettledR+20.5
WI-06SettledR+14.8
WI-07SettledR+20.9
WI-08SettledR+14.6
WV-01Solid R (rated)
WV-02Solid R (rated)
WY-ALSolid R (rated)

Back to the chart

Ratings: Cook Political Report, Race Ratings (added October 18, 2026), with Sabato's Crystal Ball where a Cook Political Report rating is unavailable. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com . Settled seats carry no rating: each is shown by the sign and depth of its 2024 presidential-vote margin in the district's current lines, sourced from The Downballot and receipted at ingestion: a measured past result, not a projection of this race.

Fig. 2  ·  Every House race, on one map Ratings: Added October 18, 2026
2024 lean: as of October 3, 2026
Forecast: run of October 18, 2026

Every House race, on one map

Each district is colored by the layer you pick: a rater’s call, where the raters differ, the latest poll we can verify, the 2024 presidential lean, or the forecast’s coarse reading. The key under the map says what each color means, and the data table prints every layer for every district.

United States House districts colored by the Split Ticket rating. Split Ticket rates 82 of 435 House seats and calls 4 of them a Toss-up. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched. 162 seats have no Split Ticket rating and are hatched.Alaska at-large. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.AlabamaArkansasArizonaCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDCDelaware at-large. Split Ticket: Not rated.FloridaGeorgiaHawaiiIowaIdahoIllinoisIndianaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMassachusettsMarylandMaineMichiganMinnesotaMissouriMississippiMontanaNorth CarolinaNorth Dakota at-large. Split Ticket: Not rated.NebraskaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNevadaNew YorkOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth Dakota at-large. Split Ticket: Not rated.TennesseeTexasUtahVirginiaVermont at-large. Split Ticket: Not rated.WashingtonWisconsinWest VirginiaWyoming at-large. Split Ticket: Not rated.Alabama District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.Alabama District 2. Split Ticket: Toss-Up.Alabama District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.Alabama District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Alabama District 5. Split Ticket: Not rated.Alabama District 6. Split Ticket: Not rated.Alabama District 7. Split Ticket: Not rated.Arkansas District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Arizona District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Arizona District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Arizona District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Arizona District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Arizona District 5. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Arizona District 6. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Arizona District 7. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Arizona District 8. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Arizona District 9. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.California District 1. Split Ticket: Safe D.California District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 5. Split Ticket: Safe R.California District 6. Split Ticket: Safe D.California District 7. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 8. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 9. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 10. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 11. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 12. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 13. Split Ticket: Safe D.California District 14. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 15. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 16. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 17. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 18. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 19. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 20. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 21. Split Ticket: Safe D.California District 22. Split Ticket: Lean D.California District 23. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 24. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 25. Split Ticket: Safe D.California District 26. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 27. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 28. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 29. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 30. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 31. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 32. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 33. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 34. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 35. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 36. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 37. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 38. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 39. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 40. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 41. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 42. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 43. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 44. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 45. Split Ticket: Safe D.California District 46. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 47. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 48. Split Ticket: Likely D.California District 49. Split Ticket: Safe D.California District 50. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 51. Split Ticket: Not rated.California District 52. Split Ticket: Not rated.Colorado District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Colorado District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Colorado District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Colorado District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Colorado District 5. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Colorado District 6. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Colorado District 7. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Colorado District 8. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 5. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 5. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 6. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 7. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 8. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 9. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 10. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 11. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 12. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 13. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 14. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 15. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 16. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 17. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 18. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 19. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 20. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 21. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 22. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 23. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 24. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 25. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 26. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 27. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Florida District 28. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Georgia District 1. Split Ticket: Safe R.Georgia District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Georgia District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.Georgia District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Georgia District 5. Split Ticket: Not rated.Georgia District 6. Split Ticket: Not rated.Georgia District 7. Split Ticket: Safe R.Georgia District 8. Split Ticket: Not rated.Georgia District 9. Split Ticket: Not rated.Georgia District 10. Split Ticket: Safe R.Georgia District 11. Split Ticket: Safe R.Georgia District 12. Split Ticket: Safe R.Georgia District 13. Split Ticket: Not rated.Georgia District 14. Split Ticket: Safe R.Hawaii District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.Hawaii District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Iowa District 1. Split Ticket: Likely D.Iowa District 2. Split Ticket: Lean D.Iowa District 3. Split Ticket: Likely D.Iowa District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Idaho District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.Idaho District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Illinois District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 5. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 6. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 7. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 8. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 9. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 10. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 11. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 12. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 13. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 14. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 15. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 16. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Illinois District 17. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Indiana District 1. Split Ticket: Safe D.Indiana District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Indiana District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.Indiana District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Indiana District 5. Split Ticket: Likely R.Indiana District 6. Split Ticket: Not rated.Indiana District 7. Split Ticket: Not rated.Indiana District 8. Split Ticket: Not rated.Indiana District 9. Split Ticket: Not rated.Kansas District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.Kansas District 2. Split Ticket: Safe R.Kansas District 3. Split Ticket: Safe D.Kansas District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Kentucky District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.Kentucky District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Kentucky District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.Kentucky District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Kentucky District 5. Split Ticket: Not rated.Kentucky District 6. Split Ticket: Lean R.Louisiana District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.Louisiana District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Louisiana District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.Louisiana District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Louisiana District 5. Split Ticket: Not rated.Louisiana District 6. Split Ticket: Safe R.Massachusetts District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Massachusetts District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 5. Split Ticket: Not rated.Massachusetts District 6. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 7. Split Ticket: Not rated.Massachusetts District 8. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 9. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Maryland District 1. Split Ticket: Safe R.Maryland District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Maryland District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.Maryland District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Maryland District 5. Split Ticket: Not rated.Maryland District 6. Split Ticket: Safe D.Maryland District 7. Split Ticket: Not rated.Maryland District 8. Split Ticket: Not rated.Maine District 1. Split Ticket: Safe D.Maine District 2. Split Ticket: Lean R.Michigan District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Michigan District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Michigan District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Michigan District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Michigan District 5. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Michigan District 6. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Michigan District 7. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Michigan District 8. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Michigan District 9. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Michigan District 10. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Michigan District 11. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Michigan District 12. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Michigan District 13. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 5. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 6. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 7. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 8. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Missouri District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.Missouri District 2. Split Ticket: Lean R.Missouri District 3. Split Ticket: Safe R.Missouri District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Missouri District 5. Split Ticket: Safe D.Missouri District 6. Split Ticket: Not rated.Missouri District 7. Split Ticket: Not rated.Missouri District 8. Split Ticket: Not rated.Mississippi District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.Mississippi District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Mississippi District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.Mississippi District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Montana District 1. Split Ticket: Lean R.Montana District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.North Carolina District 1. Split Ticket: Lean D.North Carolina District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.North Carolina District 3. Split Ticket: Safe R.North Carolina District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.North Carolina District 5. Split Ticket: Safe R.North Carolina District 6. Split Ticket: Safe R.North Carolina District 7. Split Ticket: Likely R.North Carolina District 8. Split Ticket: Safe R.North Carolina District 9. Split Ticket: Likely R.North Carolina District 10. Split Ticket: Safe R.North Carolina District 11. Split Ticket: Lean D.North Carolina District 12. Split Ticket: Not rated.North Carolina District 13. Split Ticket: Likely R.North Carolina District 14. Split Ticket: Safe R.Nebraska District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Nebraska District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Nebraska District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Hampshire District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Hampshire District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 5. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 6. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 7. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 8. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 9. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 10. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 11. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 12. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New Mexico District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.New Mexico District 2. Split Ticket: Safe D.New Mexico District 3. Split Ticket: Safe D.Nevada District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Nevada District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Nevada District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Nevada District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 5. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 6. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 7. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 8. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 9. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 10. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 11. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 12. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 13. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 14. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 15. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 16. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 17. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 18. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 19. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 20. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 21. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 22. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 23. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 24. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 25. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.New York District 26. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Ohio District 1. Split Ticket: Likely D.Ohio District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Ohio District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.Ohio District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Ohio District 5. Split Ticket: Not rated.Ohio District 6. Split Ticket: Not rated.Ohio District 7. Split Ticket: Toss-Up.Ohio District 8. Split Ticket: Safe R.Ohio District 9. Split Ticket: Likely D.Ohio District 10. Split Ticket: Likely R.Ohio District 11. Split Ticket: Not rated.Ohio District 12. Split Ticket: Not rated.Ohio District 13. Split Ticket: Safe D.Ohio District 14. Split Ticket: Not rated.Ohio District 15. Split Ticket: Likely R.Oklahoma District 1. Split Ticket: Safe R.Oklahoma District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Oklahoma District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.Oklahoma District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Oklahoma District 5. Split Ticket: Safe R.Oregon District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.Oregon District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Oregon District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.Oregon District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Oregon District 5. Split Ticket: Safe D.Oregon District 6. Split Ticket: Not rated.Pennsylvania District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 5. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 6. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 7. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 8. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 9. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 10. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 11. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 12. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 13. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 14. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 15. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 16. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 17. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Rhode Island District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.Rhode Island District 2. Split Ticket: Safe D.South Carolina District 1. Split Ticket: Lean R.South Carolina District 2. Split Ticket: Safe R.South Carolina District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.South Carolina District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.South Carolina District 5. Split Ticket: Safe R.South Carolina District 6. Split Ticket: Not rated.South Carolina District 7. Split Ticket: Not rated.Tennessee District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 5. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 6. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 7. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 8. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 9. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Texas District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 2. Split Ticket: Likely R.Texas District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 5. Split Ticket: Safe R.Texas District 6. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 7. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 8. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 9. Split Ticket: Safe R.Texas District 10. Split Ticket: Safe R.Texas District 11. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 12. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 13. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 14. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 15. Split Ticket: Toss-Up.Texas District 16. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 17. Split Ticket: Safe R.Texas District 18. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 19. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 20. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 21. Split Ticket: Safe R.Texas District 22. Split Ticket: Safe R.Texas District 23. Split Ticket: Toss-Up.Texas District 24. Split Ticket: Safe R.Texas District 25. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 26. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 27. Split Ticket: Safe R.Texas District 28. Split Ticket: Safe D.Texas District 29. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 30. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 31. Split Ticket: Safe R.Texas District 32. Split Ticket: Likely R.Texas District 33. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 34. Split Ticket: Likely D.Texas District 35. Split Ticket: Lean D.Texas District 36. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 37. Split Ticket: Not rated.Texas District 38. Split Ticket: Safe R.Utah District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.Utah District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Utah District 3. Split Ticket: Not rated.Utah District 4. Split Ticket: Not rated.Virginia District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Virginia District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Virginia District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Virginia District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Virginia District 5. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Virginia District 6. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Virginia District 7. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Virginia District 8. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Virginia District 9. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Virginia District 10. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Virginia District 11. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Washington District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.Washington District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.Washington District 3. Split Ticket: Likely D.Washington District 4. Split Ticket: Safe R.Washington District 5. Split Ticket: Safe R.Washington District 6. Split Ticket: Not rated.Washington District 7. Split Ticket: Not rated.Washington District 8. Split Ticket: Safe D.Washington District 9. Split Ticket: Not rated.Washington District 10. Split Ticket: Not rated.Wisconsin District 1. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 2. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 3. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 4. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 5. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 6. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 7. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 8. Split Ticket: Being re-verified.West Virginia District 1. Split Ticket: Not rated.West Virginia District 2. Split Ticket: Not rated.

Split Ticket

  • Solid D
  • Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Toss-up
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Solid R
  • No Split Ticket rating (hatched)

State of each Split Ticket rating

  • Unproven
  • Not available no Split Ticket rating: hatched

Split Ticket rates 82 of 435 House seats and calls 4 of them a Toss-up. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched. 162 seats have no Split Ticket rating and are hatched.

Ratings: Split Ticket, Added October 18, 2026. The rater’s own wording is in the data table.

Lines: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundaries and TIGER/Line (federal works), plus each redrawn state's enacted map where one is drawn. Utah district lines are licensed under CC BY 4.0 by Utah Geospatial Resource Center (UGRC), State of Utah (SGID "Utah US Congress Districts 2026 to 2032").
Data table: every House race (435)

The table prints every layer of the map for all 435 seats. Open the full table

2026 forecast
Control of the Senate is a coin flip. Democrats are slightly favored to take the House.
Senate 51 D · 49 R

about a 2 in 5 chance of an R majority

House about a 1 in 5 chance of an R majority

Seat range under calibration review.

Probabilities, not predictions. The margin of error is wide this far out. See the full forecast →

Chamber Senate
Rating
Senate
Alaska

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Arkansas

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Colorado

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Delaware

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Florida (Special)

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Illinois

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Kentucky

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Louisiana

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Massachusetts

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Michigan

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Minnesota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Cook Political Report Likely D
North Carolina
Nominees not yet confirmed
Senate
New Hampshire

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
New Jersey

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Ohio

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Cook Political Report Likely R
South Carolina
Nominees not yet confirmed
Senate
South Dakota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Tennessee

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Virginia

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added . For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Governors

36 governorships are on the November 2026 ballot. Ratings are shown only where a rater has published one; an unrated race carries no party colour.

We show no win probability for governor races. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections, so these pages carry ratings, polls and fundraising instead.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Alabama Governor
Incumbent: Kay Ivey (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Alaska Governor
Incumbent: Mike Dunleavy (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Arizona Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Arkansas Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
California Governor
Incumbent: Gavin Newsom (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Colorado Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Connecticut Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Florida Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Georgia Governor
Incumbent: Brian Kemp (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Hawaii Governor
Incumbent: Josh Green Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Idaho Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Illinois Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Iowa Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Lean R
Kansas Governor
Incumbent: Laura Kelly (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Maine Governor
Incumbent: Janet Mills (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Maryland Governor
Incumbent: Wes Moore Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Massachusetts Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Lean D
Michigan Governor
Incumbent: Gretchen Whitmer (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Minnesota Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Nebraska Governor
Incumbent: Jim Pillen Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Nevada Governor
Incumbent: Joe Lombardo Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Likely R
New Hampshire Governor
Incumbent: Kelly Ayotte Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
New Mexico Governor
Incumbent: Michelle Lujan Grisham (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
New York Governor
Incumbent: Kathy Hochul Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Ohio Governor
Incumbent: Mike DeWine (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Oklahoma Governor
Incumbent: Kevin Stitt (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Lean D
Oregon Governor
Incumbent: Tina Kotek Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Pennsylvania Governor
Incumbent: Josh Shapiro Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Rhode Island Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
South Carolina Governor
Incumbent: Henry McMaster (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
South Dakota Governor
Incumbent: Larry Rhoden Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Tennessee Governor
Incumbent: Bill Lee (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Lean R
Texas Governor
Incumbent: Greg Abbott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Vermont Governor
Incumbent: Phil Scott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Wisconsin Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Wyoming Governor
Incumbent: Mark Gordon (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added . For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Full 470-race forecast table

The model’s full race-by-race table, with win odds for every modeled seat, lives on the forecast page. See the full table on the forecast page.

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Read the full analysis for race-by-race breakdowns.