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SENATE RACE

South Carolina

Raters differ by degree: Lean R to Likely R. All four

Where this race stands

Published ratings for South Carolina, one row per rater
Rater Rating Added
Cook Political Report Likely R
Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely R
Split Ticket Likely R
FiftyPlusOne Lean R
Thin Gold model Safe R · about 9 in 10 chance for Republicans

Our model reads this race more Republican than every rater covering it.

Model output from our win-odds simulation, under calibration review. Methodology

See the full forecast →
On the November ballot
Annie Andrews Democrat
vs
Darline Graham Republican
Mark Hackett CONSTITUTION
Kasie Whitener LIBERTARIAN

Roster: South Carolina Election Commission · state candidate list · as of October 4, 2026

No verified polling margin for this race yet. A figure on file has no verified source document, so it is not shown. How we source polling data.

Unproven: Analysis held for checking never verified This text is held until it passes a current check of its candidate, officeholder and party claims against sourced records. How the claim check works

Campaign finance · FEC

Annie Andrews
Raised
$11.5M
Cash on hand
$4.1M

Campaign finance · FEC

Darline Graham
Raised
$16.1M
Cash on hand
$5.3M

Federal Election Commission filings, as of Sep 30, 2026.

State demographics · Census ACS

Median household income
$69,324 (±$570)
Median gross rent, monthly
$1,180 (±$9)
People below the poverty line
14.1% (±0.2%)
People without health insurance
9.6% (±0.2%)
Renter households paying 30% or more of income on rent
52.1% (±0.8%)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024 , statewide; the survey window ends Dec 31, 2024. Survey estimates; the figure after ± is the 90% margin of error. The renter-burden share is derived by Thin Gold from two published Census percentages. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Election information

Voter registration deadline
October 4, 2026, per the federal form; this date falls on a Sunday and your state may move it, so confirm with your state (U.S. Election Assistance Commission, National Mail Voter Registration Form, as of October 10, 2026)
Early voting
Not shown. We have not yet built a reader for this state's election office, so no state-published date is shown.

What is not on this page

  • Candidate issue positions are not shown. We list a position only when it is tied to a named, dated source.
  • No individual poll results are compiled for this race.
  • The previous result for this seat is not shown: we hold no certified results record for it yet.
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