SENATE RACE
Alaska
CANDIDATES
Mary Peltola
Democrat · Challenger
43.2%
538
vs.
Dan Sullivan
Republican · Incumbent
49.5%
538
Former Rep. Mary Peltola attempts a crossover from the House to the Senate in a deep-red state where ranked-choice voting changes the calculus. Sullivan, a Marine veteran aligned with Trump on defense, benefits from Alaska's rightward lean but faces headwinds from the Iran war's impact on military families and oil-price volatility. Peltola's brand — pro-fish, pro-gun, pro-union — defies partisan categories and plays well with Alaska Natives and independents who decide RCV outcomes.
OUTSIDE SPENDING
Pro-D $2.1M
Pro-R $1.5M
D groups investing early to test RCV strategy
RECENT POLLS
| Pollster | Date | D% | R% | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dittman Research | 2026-03-10 | 43 | 50 | R+7 |
| PPP | 2026-02-18 | 44 | 48 | R+4 |
| Harstad Strategic | 2026-01-25 | 42 | 51 | R+9 |
KEY ISSUES
| Issue / Topic | Democrat | Republican |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | Balanced development, protect subsistence rights | Maximize oil and gas production |
| Native Issues | Tribal sovereignty, healthcare funding | Resource development, economic growth |
| Cost of Living | Permanent fund protection, rural infrastructure | Energy production lowers costs |
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
Mary Peltola
- Raised
- $4.8M
- Spent
- $2.6M
- Cash on Hand
- $2.4M
- Small Donors
- 52%
- PAC / Super PAC
- $0.9M
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
Dan Sullivan
- Raised
- $6.3M
- Spent
- $3.4M
- Cash on Hand
- $3.1M
- Small Donors
- 28%
- PAC / Super PAC
- $2.6M
DEMOGRAPHICS · CENSUS
- Population
- 0.73M
- Median Household Income
- $77,790
- White Non-Hispanic
- 60.2%
- Black
- 3.7%
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.8%
- College Educated (25+)
- 29.0%
- Union Membership
- 18.2%
ELECTION INFO
- Election Date
- November 3, 2026 (RCV)
- Primary Date
- August 18, 2026 (open primary, top-4 RCV)
- Term Length
- 6 years (Class II)
- Voter Registration Deadline
- October 4, 2026
- Early Voting
- Yes, absentee and early in-person available