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SENATE RACE

Ohio


Lean R Cook Political Report · Updated
CANDIDATES
Sherrod Brown
Democrat · Challenger
46.0%
538
vs.
Jon Husted
Republican · Challenger
47.8%
538

Sherrod Brown attempts a comeback for the seat he lost in 2024, running in a special election to fill JD Vance's vacated seat. Brown, the Rust Belt's most successful economic populist, faces Lt. Gov. Jon Husted, a polished establishment Republican. Brown's 'dignity of work' message resonates with the union and working-class voters who define Ohio's political identity, but Trump's +10 margin in 2024 means Brown must massively overperform his party — as he's done before.

OUTSIDE SPENDING
Pro-D
$7.8M
Pro-R
$9.2M

SLF and Club for Growth making OH a top priority

RECENT POLLS
Pollster Date D% R% Spread
Emerson 2026-03-20 46 48 R+2
Fox News/Beacon 2026-03-05 47 47 EVEN
PPP 2026-02-22 45 49 R+4
Quinnipiac 2026-02-08 46 48 R+2
KEY ISSUES
Issue / Topic Democrat Republican
Trade Fair trade enforcement, worker protections Free markets, reduce trade barriers
Manufacturing Buy American, union protections Deregulation, tax incentives
Economy Working-class wage growth, pension protection Business-friendly tax environment
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
Sherrod Brown

Raised
$11.2M
Spent
$5.8M
Cash on Hand
$5.9M
Small Donors
58%
PAC / Super PAC
$1.8M
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
Jon Husted

Raised
$8.4M
Spent
$4.6M
Cash on Hand
$4.2M
Small Donors
15%
PAC / Super PAC
$5.2M
DEMOGRAPHICS · CENSUS

Population
11.8M
Median Household Income
$58,116
White Non-Hispanic
76.7%
Black
13.1%
Hispanic / Latino
4.4%
College Educated (25+)
28.9%
Union Membership
12.4%
ELECTION INFO

Election Date
November 3, 2026
Primary Date
May 5, 2026 (special election)
Term Length
Remainder of Vance term + 6 years (Class I)
Voter Registration Deadline
October 5, 2026
Early Voting
Yes, October 6 - November 2, 2026