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2026 election guide

Races

Senate card tracker, House race table and 2026 governor races rated by competitiveness, with candidate matchups and populist alignment.

Re-verified and open: 262 of 470.

Fig. 1 · The House battlefield

435 seats · Ratings added October 18, 2026 · Baselines as of October 3, 2026

Solid D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss-Up
Lean R
Likely R
Solid R
Settled · 2024 baseline
Unclassified

Northeast

ME-02 Lean R (rated)

Solid & Likely races Open the list · 7 races

MA-02 Solid D (rated)
MA-05 Solid D (rated)
MA-07 Solid D (rated)
ME-01 Solid D (rated)
RI-01 Solid D (rated)
RI-02 Solid D (rated)
VT-AL Solid D (rated)

CT · 5

MA · 6

NH · 2

NJ · 12

NY · 26

PA · 17

Midwest

IA-01 Lean D (rated)
IA-02 Toss-Up (rated)
IA-03 Lean D (rated)
OH-07 Toss-Up (rated)
OH-09 Toss-Up (rated)
OH-10 Lean R (rated)
OH-15 Lean R (rated)

Solid & Likely races Open the list · 35 races

IA-04 Solid R (rated)
IN-01 Likely D (rated)
IN-02 Solid R (rated)
IN-03 Solid R (rated)
IN-04 Solid R (rated)
IN-05 Likely R (rated)
IN-06 Solid R (rated)
IN-07 Solid D (rated)
IN-08 Solid R (rated)
IN-09 Solid R (rated)
KS-01 Solid R (rated)
KS-02 Solid R (rated)
KS-03 Solid D (rated)
KS-04 Solid R (rated)
MO-01 Solid D (rated)
MO-02 Likely R (rated)
MO-03 Solid R (rated)
MO-04 Solid R (rated)
MO-05 Solid D (rated)
MO-06 Solid R (rated)
MO-07 Solid R (rated)
MO-08 Solid R (rated)
ND-AL Solid R (rated)
OH-01 Likely D (rated)
OH-02 Solid R (rated)
OH-03 Solid D (rated)
OH-04 Solid R (rated)
OH-05 Solid R (rated)
OH-06 Solid R (rated)
OH-08 Solid R (rated)
OH-11 Solid D (rated)
OH-12 Solid R (rated)
OH-13 Likely D (rated)
OH-14 Solid R (rated)
SD-AL Solid R (rated)

IL · 17

MI · 13

MN · 8

NE · 3

WI · 8

South

NC-01 Toss-Up (rated)
NC-11 Toss-Up (rated)
TX-15 Toss-Up (rated)
TX-28 Lean D (rated)
TX-34 Toss-Up (rated)
TX-35 Lean R (rated)

Solid & Likely races Open the list · 106 races

AL-01 Solid R (rated)
AL-02 Likely R (rated)
AL-03 Solid R (rated)
AL-04 Solid R (rated)
AL-05 Solid R (rated)
AL-06 Solid R (rated)
AL-07 Solid D (rated)
DE-AL Solid D (rated)
GA-01 Solid R (rated)
GA-02 Solid D (rated)
GA-03 Solid R (rated)
GA-04 Solid D (rated)
GA-05 Solid D (rated)
GA-06 Solid D (rated)
GA-07 Solid R (rated)
GA-08 Solid R (rated)
GA-09 Solid R (rated)
GA-10 Solid R (rated)
GA-11 Solid R (rated)
GA-12 Solid R (rated)
GA-13 Solid D (rated)
GA-14 Solid R (rated)
KY-01 Solid R (rated)
KY-02 Solid R (rated)
KY-03 Solid D (rated)
KY-04 Solid R (rated)
KY-05 Solid R (rated)
KY-06 Likely R (rated)
LA-01 Solid R (rated)
LA-02 Solid D (rated)
LA-03 Solid R (rated)
LA-04 Solid R (rated)
LA-05 Solid R (rated)
LA-06 Solid R (rated)
MD-01 Solid R (rated)
MD-02 Solid D (rated)
MD-03 Solid D (rated)
MD-04 Solid D (rated)
MD-05 Solid D (rated)
MD-06 Solid D (rated)
MD-07 Solid D (rated)
MD-08 Solid D (rated)
MS-01 Solid R (rated)
MS-02 Solid D (rated)
MS-03 Solid R (rated)
MS-04 Solid R (rated)
NC-02 Solid D (rated)
NC-03 Solid R (rated)
NC-04 Solid D (rated)
NC-05 Solid R (rated)
NC-06 Solid R (rated)
NC-07 Solid R (rated)
NC-08 Solid R (rated)
NC-09 Solid R (rated)
NC-10 Solid R (rated)
NC-12 Solid D (rated)
NC-13 Solid R (rated)
NC-14 Solid R (rated)
OK-01 Solid R (rated)
OK-02 Solid R (rated)
OK-03 Solid R (rated)
OK-04 Solid R (rated)
OK-05 Solid R (rated)
SC-01 Likely R (rated)
SC-02 Solid R (rated)
SC-03 Solid R (rated)
SC-04 Solid R (rated)
SC-05 Solid R (rated)
SC-06 Solid D (rated)
SC-07 Solid R (rated)
TX-01 Solid R (rated)
TX-02 Solid R (rated)
TX-03 Solid R (rated)
TX-04 Solid R (rated)
TX-05 Solid R (rated)
TX-06 Solid R (rated)
TX-07 Solid D (rated)
TX-08 Solid R (rated)
TX-09 Likely R (rated)
TX-10 Solid R (rated)
TX-11 Solid R (rated)
TX-12 Solid R (rated)
TX-13 Solid R (rated)
TX-14 Solid R (rated)
TX-16 Solid D (rated)
TX-17 Solid R (rated)
TX-18 Solid D (rated)
TX-19 Solid R (rated)
TX-20 Solid D (rated)
TX-21 Solid R (rated)
TX-22 Solid R (rated)
TX-23 Likely R (rated)
TX-24 Solid R (rated)
TX-25 Solid R (rated)
TX-26 Solid R (rated)
TX-27 Solid R (rated)
TX-29 Solid D (rated)
TX-30 Solid D (rated)
TX-31 Solid R (rated)
TX-32 Solid R (rated)
TX-33 Solid D (rated)
TX-36 Solid R (rated)
TX-37 Solid D (rated)
TX-38 Solid R (rated)
WV-01 Solid R (rated)
WV-02 Solid R (rated)

AR · 4

FL · 28

TN · 9

VA · 11

West

CA-13 Lean D (rated)
CA-22 Toss-Up (rated)
CA-48 Lean D (rated)
MT-01 Lean R (rated)
NM-02 Lean D (rated)
WA-03 Lean D (rated)

Solid & Likely races Open the list · 76 races

CA-01 Solid D (rated)
CA-02 Solid D (rated)
CA-03 Solid D (rated)
CA-04 Solid D (rated)
CA-05 Solid R (rated)
CA-06 Solid D (rated)
CA-07 Solid D (rated)
CA-08 Solid D (rated)
CA-09 Solid D (rated)
CA-10 Solid D (rated)
CA-11 Solid D (rated)
CA-12 Solid D (rated)
CA-14 Solid D (rated)
CA-15 Solid D (rated)
CA-16 Solid D (rated)
CA-17 Solid D (rated)
CA-18 Solid D (rated)
CA-19 Solid D (rated)
CA-20 Solid R (rated)
CA-21 Likely D (rated)
CA-23 Solid R (rated)
CA-24 Solid D (rated)
CA-25 Solid D (rated)
CA-26 Solid D (rated)
CA-27 Solid D (rated)
CA-28 Solid D (rated)
CA-29 Solid D (rated)
CA-30 Solid D (rated)
CA-31 Solid D (rated)
CA-32 Solid D (rated)
CA-33 Solid D (rated)
CA-34 Solid D (rated)
CA-35 Solid D (rated)
CA-36 Solid D (rated)
CA-37 Solid D (rated)
CA-38 Solid D (rated)
CA-39 Solid D (rated)
CA-40 Solid R (rated)
CA-41 Solid D (rated)
CA-42 Solid D (rated)
CA-43 Solid D (rated)
CA-44 Solid D (rated)
CA-45 Likely D (rated)
CA-46 Solid D (rated)
CA-47 Solid D (rated)
CA-49 Solid D (rated)
CA-50 Solid D (rated)
CA-51 Solid D (rated)
CA-52 Solid D (rated)
HI-01 Solid D (rated)
HI-02 Solid D (rated)
ID-01 Solid R (rated)
ID-02 Solid R (rated)
MT-02 Solid R (rated)
NM-01 Solid D (rated)
NM-03 Solid D (rated)
OR-01 Solid D (rated)
OR-02 Solid R (rated)
OR-03 Solid D (rated)
OR-04 Solid D (rated)
OR-05 Solid D (rated)
OR-06 Solid D (rated)
UT-01 Solid D (rated)
UT-02 Solid R (rated)
UT-03 Solid R (rated)
UT-04 Solid R (rated)
WA-01 Solid D (rated)
WA-02 Solid D (rated)
WA-04 Solid R (rated)
WA-05 Solid R (rated)
WA-06 Solid D (rated)
WA-07 Solid D (rated)
WA-08 Solid D (rated)
WA-09 Solid D (rated)
WA-10 Solid D (rated)
WY-AL Solid R (rated)

AK · 1

AZ · 9

CO · 8

NV · 4

A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure.
District	Status	Baseline
AK-AL	Settled	R+11.5
AL-01	Solid R (rated)
AL-02	Likely R (rated)
AL-03	Solid R (rated)
AL-04	Solid R (rated)
AL-05	Solid R (rated)
AL-06	Solid R (rated)
AL-07	Solid D (rated)
AR-01	Settled	R+43.6
AR-02	Settled	R+13.9
AR-03	Settled	R+23.2
AR-04	Settled	R+38.3
AZ-01	Settled	R+1.5
AZ-02	Settled	R+13.3
AZ-03	Settled	D+41.4
AZ-04	Settled	D+8.3
AZ-05	Settled	R+18.3
AZ-06	Settled	D+0.9
AZ-07	Settled	D+23.8
AZ-08	Settled	R+14.7
AZ-09	Settled	R+29.4
CA-01	Solid D (rated)
CA-02	Solid D (rated)
CA-03	Solid D (rated)
CA-04	Solid D (rated)
CA-05	Solid R (rated)
CA-06	Solid D (rated)
CA-07	Solid D (rated)
CA-08	Solid D (rated)
CA-09	Solid D (rated)
CA-10	Solid D (rated)
CA-11	Solid D (rated)
CA-12	Solid D (rated)
CA-13	Lean D (rated)
CA-14	Solid D (rated)
CA-15	Solid D (rated)
CA-16	Solid D (rated)
CA-17	Solid D (rated)
CA-18	Solid D (rated)
CA-19	Solid D (rated)
CA-20	Solid R (rated)
CA-21	Likely D (rated)
CA-22	Toss-Up (rated)
CA-23	Solid R (rated)
CA-24	Solid D (rated)
CA-25	Solid D (rated)
CA-26	Solid D (rated)
CA-27	Solid D (rated)
CA-28	Solid D (rated)
CA-29	Solid D (rated)
CA-30	Solid D (rated)
CA-31	Solid D (rated)
CA-32	Solid D (rated)
CA-33	Solid D (rated)
CA-34	Solid D (rated)
CA-35	Solid D (rated)
CA-36	Solid D (rated)
CA-37	Solid D (rated)
CA-38	Solid D (rated)
CA-39	Solid D (rated)
CA-40	Solid R (rated)
CA-41	Solid D (rated)
CA-42	Solid D (rated)
CA-43	Solid D (rated)
CA-44	Solid D (rated)
CA-45	Likely D (rated)
CA-46	Solid D (rated)
CA-47	Solid D (rated)
CA-48	Lean D (rated)
CA-49	Solid D (rated)
CA-50	Solid D (rated)
CA-51	Solid D (rated)
CA-52	Solid D (rated)
CO-01	Settled	D+57.7
CO-02	Settled	D+41.4
CO-03	Settled	R+8.1
CO-04	Settled	R+16.6
CO-05	Settled	R+7.4
CO-06	Settled	D+21.4
CO-07	Settled	D+16.6
CO-08	Settled	R+0.2
CT-01	Settled	D+24.5
CT-02	Settled	D+9.4
CT-03	Settled	D+15.7
CT-04	Settled	D+25.0
CT-05	Settled	D+7.2
DE-AL	Solid D (rated)
FL-01	Settled	R+35.5
FL-02	Settled	R+16.4
FL-03	Settled	R+19.5
FL-04	Settled	R+10.2
FL-05	Settled	R+19.8
FL-06	Settled	R+28.4
FL-07	Settled	R+10.8
FL-08	Settled	R+14.6
FL-09	Settled	R+16.1
FL-10	Settled	D+25.6
FL-11	Settled	R+14.0
FL-12	Settled	R+13.7
FL-13	Settled	R+11.7
FL-14	Settled	R+8.9
FL-15	Settled	R+18.2
FL-16	Settled	R+12.1
FL-17	Settled	R+20.4
FL-18	Settled	R+15.3
FL-19	Settled	R+28.6
FL-20	Settled	D+38.8
FL-21	Settled	R+14.6
FL-22	Settled	R+8.6
FL-23	Settled	D+15.4
FL-24	Settled	D+40.4
FL-25	Settled	R+7.5
FL-26	Settled	R+16.7
FL-27	Settled	R+12.9
FL-28	Settled	R+23.8
GA-01	Solid R (rated)
GA-02	Solid D (rated)
GA-03	Solid R (rated)
GA-04	Solid D (rated)
GA-05	Solid D (rated)
GA-06	Solid D (rated)
GA-07	Solid R (rated)
GA-08	Solid R (rated)
GA-09	Solid R (rated)
GA-10	Solid R (rated)
GA-11	Solid R (rated)
GA-12	Solid R (rated)
GA-13	Solid D (rated)
GA-14	Solid R (rated)
HI-01	Solid D (rated)
HI-02	Solid D (rated)
IA-01	Lean D (rated)
IA-02	Toss-Up (rated)
IA-03	Lean D (rated)
IA-04	Solid R (rated)
ID-01	Solid R (rated)
ID-02	Solid R (rated)
IL-01	Settled	D+33.7
IL-02	Settled	D+34.8
IL-03	Settled	D+33.0
IL-04	Settled	D+30.0
IL-05	Settled	D+38.8
IL-06	Settled	D+7.1
IL-07	Settled	D+67.0
IL-08	Settled	D+8.6
IL-09	Settled	D+38.2
IL-10	Settled	D+23.7
IL-11	Settled	D+13.1
IL-12	Settled	R+41.8
IL-13	Settled	D+12.1
IL-14	Settled	D+6.8
IL-15	Settled	R+38.1
IL-16	Settled	R+21.0
IL-17	Settled	D+6.4
IN-01	Likely D (rated)
IN-02	Solid R (rated)
IN-03	Solid R (rated)
IN-04	Solid R (rated)
IN-05	Likely R (rated)
IN-06	Solid R (rated)
IN-07	Solid D (rated)
IN-08	Solid R (rated)
IN-09	Solid R (rated)
KS-01	Solid R (rated)
KS-02	Solid R (rated)
KS-03	Solid D (rated)
KS-04	Solid R (rated)
KY-01	Solid R (rated)
KY-02	Solid R (rated)
KY-03	Solid D (rated)
KY-04	Solid R (rated)
KY-05	Solid R (rated)
KY-06	Likely R (rated)
LA-01	Solid R (rated)
LA-02	Solid D (rated)
LA-03	Solid R (rated)
LA-04	Solid R (rated)
LA-05	Solid R (rated)
LA-06	Solid R (rated)
MA-01	Settled	D+15.3
MA-02	Solid D (rated)
MA-03	Settled	D+20.6
MA-04	Settled	D+21.4
MA-05	Solid D (rated)
MA-06	Settled	D+22.3
MA-07	Solid D (rated)
MA-08	Settled	D+28.1
MA-09	Settled	D+12.4
MD-01	Solid R (rated)
MD-02	Solid D (rated)
MD-03	Solid D (rated)
MD-04	Solid D (rated)
MD-05	Solid D (rated)
MD-06	Solid D (rated)
MD-07	Solid D (rated)
MD-08	Solid D (rated)
ME-01	Solid D (rated)
ME-02	Lean R (rated)
MI-01	Settled	R+19.6
MI-02	Settled	R+28.4
MI-03	Settled	D+9.5
MI-04	Settled	R+3.9
MI-05	Settled	R+25.4
MI-06	Settled	D+25.0
MI-07	Settled	D+0.4
MI-08	Settled	R+0.3
MI-09	Settled	R+30.7
MI-10	Settled	R+4.9
MI-11	Settled	D+17.7
MI-12	Settled	D+39.6
MI-13	Settled	D+42.7
MN-01	Settled	R+10.3
MN-02	Settled	D+7.5
MN-03	Settled	D+22.9
MN-04	Settled	D+37.3
MN-05	Settled	D+63.5
MN-06	Settled	R+18.0
MN-07	Settled	R+34.8
MN-08	Settled	R+12.6
MO-01	Solid D (rated)
MO-02	Likely R (rated)
MO-03	Solid R (rated)
MO-04	Solid R (rated)
MO-05	Solid D (rated)
MO-06	Solid R (rated)
MO-07	Solid R (rated)
MO-08	Solid R (rated)
MS-01	Solid R (rated)
MS-02	Solid D (rated)
MS-03	Solid R (rated)
MS-04	Solid R (rated)
MT-01	Lean R (rated)
MT-02	Solid R (rated)
NC-01	Toss-Up (rated)
NC-02	Solid D (rated)
NC-03	Solid R (rated)
NC-04	Solid D (rated)
NC-05	Solid R (rated)
NC-06	Solid R (rated)
NC-07	Solid R (rated)
NC-08	Solid R (rated)
NC-09	Solid R (rated)
NC-10	Solid R (rated)
NC-11	Toss-Up (rated)
NC-12	Solid D (rated)
NC-13	Solid R (rated)
NC-14	Solid R (rated)
ND-AL	Solid R (rated)
NE-01	Settled	R+11.4
NE-02	Settled	D+6.3
NE-03	Settled	R+52.1
NH-01	Settled	D+3.6
NH-02	Settled	D+5.2
NJ-01	Settled	D+20.4
NJ-02	Settled	R+10.9
NJ-03	Settled	D+10.0
NJ-04	Settled	R+28.5
NJ-05	Settled	D+3.2
NJ-06	Settled	D+8.1
NJ-07	Settled	D+0.5
NJ-08	Settled	D+25.8
NJ-09	Settled	D+0.5
NJ-10	Settled	D+52.4
NJ-11	Settled	D+10.4
NJ-12	Settled	D+25.5
NM-01	Solid D (rated)
NM-02	Lean D (rated)
NM-03	Solid D (rated)
NV-01	Settled	D+3.9
NV-02	Settled	R+12.3
NV-03	Settled	D+0.9
NV-04	Settled	D+4.0
NY-01	Settled	R+8.4
NY-02	Settled	R+12.3
NY-03	Settled	R+2.6
NY-04	Settled	D+2.9
NY-05	Settled	D+43.8
NY-06	Settled	D+8.1
NY-07	Settled	D+47.5
NY-08	Settled	D+45.6
NY-09	Settled	D+42.3
NY-10	Settled	D+62.1
NY-11	Settled	R+22.7
NY-12	Settled	D+65.3
NY-13	Settled	D+60.9
NY-14	Settled	D+33.4
NY-15	Settled	D+49.9
NY-16	Settled	D+34.8
NY-17	Settled	D+2.2
NY-18	Settled	D+5.0
NY-19	Settled	D+3.4
NY-20	Settled	D+15.8
NY-21	Settled	R+19.0
NY-22	Settled	D+9.3
NY-23	Settled	R+19.4
NY-24	Settled	R+21.4
NY-25	Settled	D+20.1
NY-26	Settled	D+20.9
OH-01	Likely D (rated)
OH-02	Solid R (rated)
OH-03	Solid D (rated)
OH-04	Solid R (rated)
OH-05	Solid R (rated)
OH-06	Solid R (rated)
OH-07	Toss-Up (rated)
OH-08	Solid R (rated)
OH-09	Toss-Up (rated)
OH-10	Lean R (rated)
OH-11	Solid D (rated)
OH-12	Solid R (rated)
OH-13	Likely D (rated)
OH-14	Solid R (rated)
OH-15	Lean R (rated)
OK-01	Solid R (rated)
OK-02	Solid R (rated)
OK-03	Solid R (rated)
OK-04	Solid R (rated)
OK-05	Solid R (rated)
OR-01	Solid D (rated)
OR-02	Solid R (rated)
OR-03	Solid D (rated)
OR-04	Solid D (rated)
OR-05	Solid D (rated)
OR-06	Solid D (rated)
PA-01	Settled	D+2.0
PA-02	Settled	D+37.4
PA-03	Settled	D+79.0
PA-04	Settled	D+17.4
PA-05	Settled	D+30.3
PA-06	Settled	D+13.1
PA-07	Settled	R+1.6
PA-08	Settled	R+6.8
PA-09	Settled	R+36.3
PA-10	Settled	R+3.6
PA-11	Settled	R+19.7
PA-12	Settled	D+20.8
PA-13	Settled	R+43.9
PA-14	Settled	R+31.7
PA-15	Settled	R+36.3
PA-16	Settled	R+21.1
PA-17	Settled	D+7.2
RI-01	Solid D (rated)
RI-02	Solid D (rated)
SC-01	Likely R (rated)
SC-02	Solid R (rated)
SC-03	Solid R (rated)
SC-04	Solid R (rated)
SC-05	Solid R (rated)
SC-06	Solid D (rated)
SC-07	Solid R (rated)
SD-AL	Solid R (rated)
TN-01	Settled	R+56.2
TN-02	Settled	R+32.2
TN-03	Settled	R+34.1
TN-04	Settled	R+22.3
TN-05	Settled	R+21.4
TN-06	Settled	R+24.9
TN-07	Settled	R+20.8
TN-08	Settled	R+18.5
TN-09	Settled	R+19.5
TX-01	Solid R (rated)
TX-02	Solid R (rated)
TX-03	Solid R (rated)
TX-04	Solid R (rated)
TX-05	Solid R (rated)
TX-06	Solid R (rated)
TX-07	Solid D (rated)
TX-08	Solid R (rated)
TX-09	Likely R (rated)
TX-10	Solid R (rated)
TX-11	Solid R (rated)
TX-12	Solid R (rated)
TX-13	Solid R (rated)
TX-14	Solid R (rated)
TX-15	Toss-Up (rated)
TX-16	Solid D (rated)
TX-17	Solid R (rated)
TX-18	Solid D (rated)
TX-19	Solid R (rated)
TX-20	Solid D (rated)
TX-21	Solid R (rated)
TX-22	Solid R (rated)
TX-23	Likely R (rated)
TX-24	Solid R (rated)
TX-25	Solid R (rated)
TX-26	Solid R (rated)
TX-27	Solid R (rated)
TX-28	Lean D (rated)
TX-29	Solid D (rated)
TX-30	Solid D (rated)
TX-31	Solid R (rated)
TX-32	Solid R (rated)
TX-33	Solid D (rated)
TX-34	Toss-Up (rated)
TX-35	Lean R (rated)
TX-36	Solid R (rated)
TX-37	Solid D (rated)
TX-38	Solid R (rated)
UT-01	Solid D (rated)
UT-02	Solid R (rated)
UT-03	Solid R (rated)
UT-04	Solid R (rated)
VA-01	Settled	R+3.3
VA-02	Settled	D+1.4
VA-03	Settled	D+36.3
VA-04	Settled	D+34.4
VA-05	Settled	R+10.6
VA-06	Settled	R+22.2
VA-07	Settled	D+4.5
VA-08	Settled	D+51.4
VA-09	Settled	R+42.4
VA-10	Settled	D+10.0
VA-11	Settled	D+35.9
VT-AL	Solid D (rated)
WA-01	Solid D (rated)
WA-02	Solid D (rated)
WA-03	Lean D (rated)
WA-04	Solid R (rated)
WA-05	Solid R (rated)
WA-06	Solid D (rated)
WA-07	Solid D (rated)
WA-08	Solid D (rated)
WA-09	Solid D (rated)
WA-10	Solid D (rated)
WI-01	Settled	R+2.9
WI-02	Settled	D+41.8
WI-03	Settled	R+5.8
WI-04	Settled	D+53.2
WI-05	Settled	R+20.5
WI-06	Settled	R+14.8
WI-07	Settled	R+20.9
WI-08	Settled	R+14.6
WV-01	Solid R (rated)
WV-02	Solid R (rated)
WY-AL	Solid R (rated)

Back to the chart

Ratings: Cook Political Report, Race Ratings (added October 18, 2026), with Sabato's Crystal Ball where a Cook Political Report rating is unavailable. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com . Settled seats carry no rating: each is shown by the sign and depth of its 2024 presidential-vote margin in the district's current lines, sourced from The Downballot and receipted at ingestion: a measured past result, not a projection of this race.

Fig. 2 · Every House race, on one map Ratings: Added October 18, 2026
2024 lean: as of October 3, 2026
Forecast: run of October 18, 2026

Every House race, on one map

Each district is colored by the layer you pick: a rater’s call, where the raters differ, the latest poll we can verify, the 2024 presidential lean, or the forecast’s coarse reading. The key under the map says what each color means, and the data table prints every layer for every district.

Cook Political Report

Solid D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss-up
Lean R
Likely R
Solid R
No Cook Political Report rating (hatched)

State of each Cook Political Report rating

Unproven
Not available no Cook Political Report rating: hatched

Cook Political Report rates 244 of 435 House seats and calls 8 of them a Toss-up. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched.

Ratings: Cook Political Report, Added October 18, 2026. Current ratings and analysis at cookpolitical.com. The rater’s own wording is in the data table.

Lines: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundaries and TIGER/Line (federal works), plus each redrawn state's enacted map where one is drawn. Utah district lines are licensed under CC BY 4.0 by Utah Geospatial Resource Center (UGRC), State of Utah (SGID "Utah US Congress Districts 2026 to 2032").

Data table: every House race (435)

The table prints every layer of the map for all 435 seats. Open the full table

2026 forecast

Control of the Senate is a coin flip. Democrats are slightly favored to take the House.

Senate 51 D · 49 R

about a 2 in 5 chance of an R majority

House about a 1 in 5 chance of an R majority

Seat range under calibration review.

As of Oct 18, 2026, 9:34 AM EDT

Probabilities, not predictions. The margin of error is wide this far out. See the full forecast →

Senate

Alaska

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

Alabama

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Arkansas

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Colorado

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Delaware

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Florida (Special)

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Likely D

Georgia

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Toss-Up

Iowa

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

Idaho

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Illinois

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Toss-Up

Kansas

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Kentucky

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Louisiana

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Massachusetts

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Toss-Up

Maine

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Michigan

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Minnesota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

Mississippi

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

Montana

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Likely D

North Carolina

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Likely R

Nebraska

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

New Hampshire

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

New Jersey

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid D

New Mexico

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Ohio

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

Oklahoma

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid D

Oregon

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid D

Rhode Island

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Likely R

South Carolina

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

South Dakota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Tennessee

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Toss-Up

Texas

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Virginia

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

West Virginia

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Senate

Cook Political Report Solid R

Wyoming

Nominees not yet confirmed

updated Oct 18, 2026, 2:59 PM EDT

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

2026 House Races

House Race Tracker

Showing 30 competitive of 31 races

Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Split Ticket and FiftyPlusOne. Each rating is printed in that rater’s own words. Added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

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Scroll to see all columns →


CA-13	Lean D	Toss-Up	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Suburban Swing
CA-22	Toss-Up	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Suburban Swing
CA-27	Toss-Up	Lean D	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Suburban Swing
CA-45	Lean D	Lean D	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Suburban Swing
CA-48	Lean D	Lean D	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Suburban Swing
NY-04					Suburban Swing
NY-17					Suburban Swing
NY-19					Suburban Swing
NY-22					Suburban Swing
NJ-07					Suburban Swing
PA-01					Suburban Swing
PA-07					Suburban Swing
PA-08					Suburban Swing
PA-10					Suburban Swing
VA-02					Suburban Swing
ME-02	Lean R	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Working-Class
IA-01	Toss-Up	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Working-Class
IA-03	Toss-Up	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Working-Class
OH-09	Lean R	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Working-Class
OH-13	Lean R	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Working-Class
MI-07					Working-Class
MI-08					Working-Class
WI-01					Working-Class
WI-03					Working-Class
MN-01					Working-Class
PA-17					Working-Class
TX-15	Toss-Up	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Sun Belt
TX-23	Likely R	Lean R	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Sun Belt
TX-34	Toss-Up	Lean D	Not yet confirmed	Not yet confirmed	Sun Belt
AZ-01					Sun Belt
AZ-06					Sun Belt

Governors

36 governorships are on the November 2026 ballot. Ratings are shown only where a rater has published one; an unrated race carries no party colour.

We show no win probability for governor races. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections, so these pages carry ratings, polls and fundraising instead.

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

Alabama Governor

Incumbent: Kay Ivey (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Tossup

Alaska Governor

Incumbent: Mike Dunleavy (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Arizona Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Arkansas Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

California Governor

Incumbent: Gavin Newsom (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Colorado Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Connecticut Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Florida Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Tossup

Georgia Governor

Incumbent: Brian Kemp (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

Hawaii Governor

Incumbent: Josh Green Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Idaho Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Illinois Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Iowa Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Lean R

Kansas Governor

Incumbent: Laura Kelly (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

Maine Governor

Incumbent: Janet Mills (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

Maryland Governor

Incumbent: Wes Moore Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Massachusetts Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Lean D

Michigan Governor

Incumbent: Gretchen Whitmer (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Minnesota Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

Nebraska Governor

Incumbent: Jim Pillen Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Tossup

Nevada Governor

Incumbent: Joe Lombardo Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Likely R

New Hampshire Governor

Incumbent: Kelly Ayotte Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

New Mexico Governor

Incumbent: Michelle Lujan Grisham (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

New York Governor

Incumbent: Kathy Hochul Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Tossup

Ohio Governor

Incumbent: Mike DeWine (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

Oklahoma Governor

Incumbent: Kevin Stitt (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Lean D

Oregon Governor

Incumbent: Tina Kotek Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid D

Pennsylvania Governor

Incumbent: Josh Shapiro Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Rhode Island Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

South Carolina Governor

Incumbent: Henry McMaster (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

South Dakota Governor

Incumbent: Larry Rhoden Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

Tennessee Governor

Incumbent: Bill Lee (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Lean R

Texas Governor

Incumbent: Greg Abbott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

Vermont Governor

Incumbent: Phil Scott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Governor

Wisconsin Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor

Cook Political Report Solid R

Wyoming Governor

Incumbent: Mark Gordon (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Full 470-race forecast table

The model’s full race-by-race table, with win odds for every modeled seat, lives on the forecast page. See the full table on the forecast page.