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2026 election guide

Races

Senate card tracker, House race table and 2026 governor races rated by competitiveness, with candidate matchups and populist alignment.

Re-verified and open: 262 of 470.

Fig. 1 · The House battlefield 435 seats · Ratings added October 18, 2026 · Baselines as of October 3, 2026
  • Solid D
  • Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Toss-Up
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Solid R
  • Settled · 2024 baseline
  • Unclassified
The House battlefield A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure. AK-AL · settled, baseline R+11.5ME-01 · Solid D (rated)ME-02 · Lean R (rated)VT-AL · Solid D (rated)NH-01 · settled, baseline D+3.6NH-02 · settled, baseline D+5.2WA-01 · Solid D (rated)WA-02 · Solid D (rated)WA-03 · Lean D (rated)WA-04 · Solid R (rated)WA-05 · Solid R (rated)WA-06 · Solid D (rated)WA-07 · Solid D (rated)WA-08 · Solid D (rated)WA-09 · Solid D (rated)WA-10 · Solid D (rated)ID-01 · Solid R (rated)ID-02 · Solid R (rated)MT-01 · Lean R (rated)MT-02 · Solid R (rated)ND-AL · Solid R (rated)MN-01 · settled, baseline R+10.3MN-02 · settled, baseline D+7.5MN-03 · settled, baseline D+22.9MN-04 · settled, baseline D+37.3MN-05 · settled, baseline D+63.5MN-06 · settled, baseline R+18.0MN-07 · settled, baseline R+34.8MN-08 · settled, baseline R+12.6IL-01 · settled, baseline D+33.7IL-02 · settled, baseline D+34.8IL-03 · settled, baseline D+33.0IL-04 · settled, baseline D+30.0IL-05 · settled, baseline D+38.8IL-06 · settled, baseline D+7.1IL-07 · settled, baseline D+67.0IL-08 · settled, baseline D+8.6IL-09 · settled, baseline D+38.2IL-10 · settled, baseline D+23.7IL-11 · settled, baseline D+13.1IL-12 · settled, baseline R+41.8IL-13 · settled, baseline D+12.1IL-14 · settled, baseline D+6.8IL-15 · settled, baseline R+38.1IL-16 · settled, baseline R+21.0IL-17 · settled, baseline D+6.4WI-01 · settled, baseline R+2.9WI-02 · settled, baseline D+41.8WI-03 · settled, baseline R+5.8WI-04 · settled, baseline D+53.2WI-05 · settled, baseline R+20.5WI-06 · settled, baseline R+14.8WI-07 · settled, baseline R+20.9WI-08 · settled, baseline R+14.6MI-01 · settled, baseline R+19.6MI-02 · settled, baseline R+28.4MI-03 · settled, baseline D+9.5MI-04 · settled, baseline R+3.9MI-05 · settled, baseline R+25.4MI-06 · settled, baseline D+25.0MI-07 · settled, baseline D+0.4MI-08 · settled, baseline R+0.3MI-09 · settled, baseline R+30.7MI-10 · settled, baseline R+4.9MI-11 · settled, baseline D+17.7MI-12 · settled, baseline D+39.6MI-13 · settled, baseline D+42.7NY-01 · settled, baseline R+8.4NY-02 · settled, baseline R+12.3NY-03 · settled, baseline R+2.6NY-04 · settled, baseline D+2.9NY-05 · settled, baseline D+43.8NY-06 · settled, baseline D+8.1NY-07 · settled, baseline D+47.5NY-08 · settled, baseline D+45.6NY-09 · settled, baseline D+42.3NY-10 · settled, baseline D+62.1NY-11 · settled, baseline R+22.7NY-12 · settled, baseline D+65.3NY-13 · settled, baseline D+60.9NY-14 · settled, baseline D+33.4NY-15 · settled, baseline D+49.9NY-16 · settled, baseline D+34.8NY-17 · settled, baseline D+2.2NY-18 · settled, baseline D+5.0NY-19 · settled, baseline D+3.4NY-20 · settled, baseline D+15.8NY-21 · settled, baseline R+19.0NY-22 · settled, baseline D+9.3NY-23 · settled, baseline R+19.4NY-24 · settled, baseline R+21.4NY-25 · settled, baseline D+20.1NY-26 · settled, baseline D+20.9RI-01 · Solid D (rated)RI-02 · Solid D (rated)MA-01 · settled, baseline D+15.3MA-02 · Solid D (rated)MA-03 · settled, baseline D+20.6MA-04 · settled, baseline D+21.4MA-05 · Solid D (rated)MA-06 · settled, baseline D+22.3MA-07 · Solid D (rated)MA-08 · settled, baseline D+28.1MA-09 · settled, baseline D+12.4OR-01 · Solid D (rated)OR-02 · Solid R (rated)OR-03 · Solid D (rated)OR-04 · Solid D (rated)OR-05 · Solid D (rated)OR-06 · Solid D (rated)NV-01 · settled, baseline D+3.9NV-02 · settled, baseline R+12.3NV-03 · settled, baseline D+0.9NV-04 · settled, baseline D+4.0WY-AL · Solid R (rated)SD-AL · Solid R (rated)IA-01 · Lean D (rated)IA-02 · Toss-Up (rated)IA-03 · Lean D (rated)IA-04 · Solid R (rated)IN-01 · Likely D (rated)IN-02 · Solid R (rated)IN-03 · Solid R (rated)IN-04 · Solid R (rated)IN-05 · Likely R (rated)IN-06 · Solid R (rated)IN-07 · Solid D (rated)IN-08 · Solid R (rated)IN-09 · Solid R (rated)OH-01 · Likely D (rated)OH-02 · Solid R (rated)OH-03 · Solid D (rated)OH-04 · Solid R (rated)OH-05 · Solid R (rated)OH-06 · Solid R (rated)OH-07 · Toss-Up (rated)OH-08 · Solid R (rated)OH-09 · Toss-Up (rated)OH-10 · Lean R (rated)OH-11 · Solid D (rated)OH-12 · Solid R (rated)OH-13 · Likely D (rated)OH-14 · Solid R (rated)OH-15 · Lean R (rated)PA-01 · settled, baseline D+2.0PA-02 · settled, baseline D+37.4PA-03 · settled, baseline D+79.0PA-04 · settled, baseline D+17.4PA-05 · settled, baseline D+30.3PA-06 · settled, baseline D+13.1PA-07 · settled, baseline R+1.6PA-08 · settled, baseline R+6.8PA-09 · settled, baseline R+36.3PA-10 · settled, baseline R+3.6PA-11 · settled, baseline R+19.7PA-12 · settled, baseline D+20.8PA-13 · settled, baseline R+43.9PA-14 · settled, baseline R+31.7PA-15 · settled, baseline R+36.3PA-16 · settled, baseline R+21.1PA-17 · settled, baseline D+7.2NJ-01 · settled, baseline D+20.4NJ-02 · settled, baseline R+10.9NJ-03 · settled, baseline D+10.0NJ-04 · settled, baseline R+28.5NJ-05 · settled, baseline D+3.2NJ-06 · settled, baseline D+8.1NJ-07 · settled, baseline D+0.5NJ-08 · settled, baseline D+25.8NJ-09 · settled, baseline D+0.5NJ-10 · settled, baseline D+52.4NJ-11 · settled, baseline D+10.4NJ-12 · settled, baseline D+25.5CT-01 · settled, baseline D+24.5CT-02 · settled, baseline D+9.4CT-03 · settled, baseline D+15.7CT-04 · settled, baseline D+25.0CT-05 · settled, baseline D+7.2CA-01 · Solid D (rated)CA-02 · Solid D (rated)CA-03 · Solid D (rated)CA-04 · Solid D (rated)CA-05 · Solid R (rated)CA-06 · Solid D (rated)CA-07 · Solid D (rated)CA-08 · Solid D (rated)CA-09 · Solid D (rated)CA-10 · Solid D (rated)CA-11 · Solid D (rated)CA-12 · Solid D (rated)CA-13 · Lean D (rated)CA-14 · Solid D (rated)CA-15 · Solid D (rated)CA-16 · Solid D (rated)CA-17 · Solid D (rated)CA-18 · Solid D (rated)CA-19 · Solid D (rated)CA-20 · Solid R (rated)CA-21 · Likely D (rated)CA-22 · Toss-Up (rated)CA-23 · Solid R (rated)CA-24 · Solid D (rated)CA-25 · Solid D (rated)CA-26 · Solid D (rated)CA-27 · Solid D (rated)CA-28 · Solid D (rated)CA-29 · Solid D (rated)CA-30 · Solid D (rated)CA-31 · Solid D (rated)CA-32 · Solid D (rated)CA-33 · Solid D (rated)CA-34 · Solid D (rated)CA-35 · Solid D (rated)CA-36 · Solid D (rated)CA-37 · Solid D (rated)CA-38 · Solid D (rated)CA-39 · Solid D (rated)CA-40 · Solid R (rated)CA-41 · Solid D (rated)CA-42 · Solid D (rated)CA-43 · Solid D (rated)CA-44 · Solid D (rated)CA-45 · Likely D (rated)CA-46 · Solid D (rated)CA-47 · Solid D (rated)CA-48 · Lean D (rated)CA-49 · Solid D (rated)CA-50 · Solid D (rated)CA-51 · Solid D (rated)CA-52 · Solid D (rated)UT-01 · Solid D (rated)UT-02 · Solid R (rated)UT-03 · Solid R (rated)UT-04 · Solid R (rated)CO-01 · settled, baseline D+57.7CO-02 · settled, baseline D+41.4CO-03 · settled, baseline R+8.1CO-04 · settled, baseline R+16.6CO-05 · settled, baseline R+7.4CO-06 · settled, baseline D+21.4CO-07 · settled, baseline D+16.6CO-08 · settled, baseline R+0.2NE-01 · settled, baseline R+11.4NE-02 · settled, baseline D+6.3NE-03 · settled, baseline R+52.1MO-01 · Solid D (rated)MO-02 · Likely R (rated)MO-03 · Solid R (rated)MO-04 · Solid R (rated)MO-05 · Solid D (rated)MO-06 · Solid R (rated)MO-07 · Solid R (rated)MO-08 · Solid R (rated)KY-01 · Solid R (rated)KY-02 · Solid R (rated)KY-03 · Solid D (rated)KY-04 · Solid R (rated)KY-05 · Solid R (rated)KY-06 · Likely R (rated)WV-01 · Solid R (rated)WV-02 · Solid R (rated)VA-01 · settled, baseline R+3.3VA-02 · settled, baseline D+1.4VA-03 · settled, baseline D+36.3VA-04 · settled, baseline D+34.4VA-05 · settled, baseline R+10.6VA-06 · settled, baseline R+22.2VA-07 · settled, baseline D+4.5VA-08 · settled, baseline D+51.4VA-09 · settled, baseline R+42.4VA-10 · settled, baseline D+10.0VA-11 · settled, baseline D+35.9MD-01 · Solid R (rated)MD-02 · Solid D (rated)MD-03 · Solid D (rated)MD-04 · Solid D (rated)MD-05 · Solid D (rated)MD-06 · Solid D (rated)MD-07 · Solid D (rated)MD-08 · Solid D (rated)DE-AL · Solid D (rated)AZ-01 · settled, baseline R+1.5AZ-02 · settled, baseline R+13.3AZ-03 · settled, baseline D+41.4AZ-04 · settled, baseline D+8.3AZ-05 · settled, baseline R+18.3AZ-06 · settled, baseline D+0.9AZ-07 · settled, baseline D+23.8AZ-08 · settled, baseline R+14.7AZ-09 · settled, baseline R+29.4NM-01 · Solid D (rated)NM-02 · Lean D (rated)NM-03 · Solid D (rated)KS-01 · Solid R (rated)KS-02 · Solid R (rated)KS-03 · Solid D (rated)KS-04 · Solid R (rated)AR-01 · settled, baseline R+43.6AR-02 · settled, baseline R+13.9AR-03 · settled, baseline R+23.2AR-04 · settled, baseline R+38.3TN-01 · settled, baseline R+56.2TN-02 · settled, baseline R+32.2TN-03 · settled, baseline R+34.1TN-04 · settled, baseline R+22.3TN-05 · settled, baseline R+21.4TN-06 · settled, baseline R+24.9TN-07 · settled, baseline R+20.8TN-08 · settled, baseline R+18.5TN-09 · settled, baseline R+19.5NC-01 · Toss-Up (rated)NC-02 · Solid D (rated)NC-03 · Solid R (rated)NC-04 · Solid D (rated)NC-05 · Solid R (rated)NC-06 · Solid R (rated)NC-07 · Solid R (rated)NC-08 · Solid R (rated)NC-09 · Solid R (rated)NC-10 · Solid R (rated)NC-11 · Toss-Up (rated)NC-12 · Solid D (rated)NC-13 · Solid R (rated)NC-14 · Solid R (rated)SC-01 · Likely R (rated)SC-02 · Solid R (rated)SC-03 · Solid R (rated)SC-04 · Solid R (rated)SC-05 · Solid R (rated)SC-06 · Solid D (rated)SC-07 · Solid R (rated)OK-01 · Solid R (rated)OK-02 · Solid R (rated)OK-03 · Solid R (rated)OK-04 · Solid R (rated)OK-05 · Solid R (rated)LA-01 · Solid R (rated)LA-02 · Solid D (rated)LA-03 · Solid R (rated)LA-04 · Solid R (rated)LA-05 · Solid R (rated)LA-06 · Solid R (rated)MS-01 · Solid R (rated)MS-02 · Solid D (rated)MS-03 · Solid R (rated)MS-04 · Solid R (rated)AL-01 · Solid R (rated)AL-02 · Likely R (rated)AL-03 · Solid R (rated)AL-04 · Solid R (rated)AL-05 · Solid R (rated)AL-06 · Solid R (rated)AL-07 · Solid D (rated)GA-01 · Solid R (rated)GA-02 · Solid D (rated)GA-03 · Solid R (rated)GA-04 · Solid D (rated)GA-05 · Solid D (rated)GA-06 · Solid D (rated)GA-07 · Solid R (rated)GA-08 · Solid R (rated)GA-09 · Solid R (rated)GA-10 · Solid R (rated)GA-11 · Solid R (rated)GA-12 · Solid R (rated)GA-13 · Solid D (rated)GA-14 · Solid R (rated)HI-01 · Solid D (rated)HI-02 · Solid D (rated)TX-01 · Solid R (rated)TX-02 · Solid R (rated)TX-03 · Solid R (rated)TX-04 · Solid R (rated)TX-05 · Solid R (rated)TX-06 · Solid R (rated)TX-07 · Solid D (rated)TX-08 · Solid R (rated)TX-09 · Likely R (rated)TX-10 · Solid R (rated)TX-11 · Solid R (rated)TX-12 · Solid R (rated)TX-13 · Solid R (rated)TX-14 · Solid R (rated)TX-15 · Toss-Up (rated)TX-16 · Solid D (rated)TX-17 · Solid R (rated)TX-18 · Solid D (rated)TX-19 · Solid R (rated)TX-20 · Solid D (rated)TX-21 · Solid R (rated)TX-22 · Solid R (rated)TX-23 · Likely R (rated)TX-24 · Solid R (rated)TX-25 · Solid R (rated)TX-26 · Solid R (rated)TX-27 · Solid R (rated)TX-28 · Lean D (rated)TX-29 · Solid D (rated)TX-30 · Solid D (rated)TX-31 · Solid R (rated)TX-32 · Solid R (rated)TX-33 · Solid D (rated)TX-34 · Toss-Up (rated)TX-35 · Lean R (rated)TX-36 · Solid R (rated)TX-37 · Solid D (rated)TX-38 · Solid R (rated)FL-01 · settled, baseline R+35.5FL-02 · settled, baseline R+16.4FL-03 · settled, baseline R+19.5FL-04 · settled, baseline R+10.2FL-05 · settled, baseline R+19.8FL-06 · settled, baseline R+28.4FL-07 · settled, baseline R+10.8FL-08 · settled, baseline R+14.6FL-09 · settled, baseline R+16.1FL-10 · settled, baseline D+25.6FL-11 · settled, baseline R+14.0FL-12 · settled, baseline R+13.7FL-13 · settled, baseline R+11.7FL-14 · settled, baseline R+8.9FL-15 · settled, baseline R+18.2FL-16 · settled, baseline R+12.1FL-17 · settled, baseline R+20.4FL-18 · settled, baseline R+15.3FL-19 · settled, baseline R+28.6FL-20 · settled, baseline D+38.8FL-21 · settled, baseline R+14.6FL-22 · settled, baseline R+8.6FL-23 · settled, baseline D+15.4FL-24 · settled, baseline D+40.4FL-25 · settled, baseline R+7.5FL-26 · settled, baseline R+16.7FL-27 · settled, baseline R+12.9FL-28 · settled, baseline R+23.8

Northeast

  • ME-02 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 7 races
  • MA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MA-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • ME-01 Solid D (rated)
  • RI-01 Solid D (rated)
  • RI-02 Solid D (rated)
  • VT-AL Solid D (rated)
CT · 5
MA · 6
NH · 2
NJ · 12
NY · 26
PA · 17

Midwest

  • IA-01 Lean D (rated)
  • IA-02 Toss-Up (rated)
  • IA-03 Lean D (rated)
  • OH-07 Toss-Up (rated)
  • OH-09 Toss-Up (rated)
  • OH-10 Lean R (rated)
  • OH-15 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 35 races
  • IA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-01 Likely D (rated)
  • IN-02 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-03 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-04 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-05 Likely R (rated)
  • IN-06 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-07 Solid D (rated)
  • IN-08 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-09 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-01 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-02 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-03 Solid D (rated)
  • KS-04 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-01 Solid D (rated)
  • MO-02 Likely R (rated)
  • MO-03 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-04 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MO-06 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-07 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-08 Solid R (rated)
  • ND-AL Solid R (rated)
  • OH-01 Likely D (rated)
  • OH-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OH-04 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-05 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-06 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-08 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-11 Solid D (rated)
  • OH-12 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-13 Likely D (rated)
  • OH-14 Solid R (rated)
  • SD-AL Solid R (rated)
IL · 17
MI · 13
MN · 8
NE · 3
WI · 8

South

  • NC-01 Toss-Up (rated)
  • NC-11 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-15 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-28 Lean D (rated)
  • TX-34 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-35 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 106 races
  • AL-01 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-02 Likely R (rated)
  • AL-03 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-04 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-05 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-06 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-07 Solid D (rated)
  • DE-AL Solid D (rated)
  • GA-01 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-03 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-04 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-05 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-07 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-08 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-09 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-10 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-11 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-12 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-13 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-14 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-01 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-02 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-03 Solid D (rated)
  • KY-04 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-05 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-06 Likely R (rated)
  • LA-01 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • LA-03 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-06 Solid R (rated)
  • MD-01 Solid R (rated)
  • MD-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-03 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-04 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-06 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-07 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-08 Solid D (rated)
  • MS-01 Solid R (rated)
  • MS-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MS-03 Solid R (rated)
  • MS-04 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-02 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-03 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-04 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-05 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-06 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-07 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-08 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-09 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-10 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-12 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-13 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-14 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-01 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-03 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-04 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-05 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-01 Likely R (rated)
  • SC-02 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-03 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-04 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-05 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-06 Solid D (rated)
  • SC-07 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-01 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-02 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-03 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-04 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-05 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-06 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-07 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-08 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-09 Likely R (rated)
  • TX-10 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-11 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-12 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-13 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-14 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-16 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-17 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-18 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-19 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-20 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-21 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-22 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-23 Likely R (rated)
  • TX-24 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-25 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-26 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-27 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-29 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-30 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-31 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-32 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-33 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-36 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-37 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-38 Solid R (rated)
  • WV-01 Solid R (rated)
  • WV-02 Solid R (rated)
AR · 4
FL · 28
TN · 9
VA · 11

West

  • CA-13 Lean D (rated)
  • CA-22 Toss-Up (rated)
  • CA-48 Lean D (rated)
  • MT-01 Lean R (rated)
  • NM-02 Lean D (rated)
  • WA-03 Lean D (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 76 races
  • CA-01 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-03 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-04 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-08 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-09 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-10 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-11 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-12 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-14 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-15 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-16 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-17 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-18 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-19 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-20 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-21 Likely D (rated)
  • CA-23 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-24 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-25 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-26 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-27 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-28 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-29 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-30 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-31 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-32 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-33 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-34 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-35 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-36 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-37 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-38 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-39 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-40 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-41 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-42 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-43 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-44 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-45 Likely D (rated)
  • CA-46 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-47 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-49 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-50 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-51 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-52 Solid D (rated)
  • HI-01 Solid D (rated)
  • HI-02 Solid D (rated)
  • ID-01 Solid R (rated)
  • ID-02 Solid R (rated)
  • MT-02 Solid R (rated)
  • NM-01 Solid D (rated)
  • NM-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-01 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OR-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-04 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-05 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-06 Solid D (rated)
  • UT-01 Solid D (rated)
  • UT-02 Solid R (rated)
  • UT-03 Solid R (rated)
  • UT-04 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-01 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-08 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-09 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-10 Solid D (rated)
  • WY-AL Solid R (rated)
AK · 1
AZ · 9
CO · 8
NV · 4
A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure.
District Status Baseline
AK-ALSettledR+11.5
AL-01Solid R (rated)
AL-02Likely R (rated)
AL-03Solid R (rated)
AL-04Solid R (rated)
AL-05Solid R (rated)
AL-06Solid R (rated)
AL-07Solid D (rated)
AR-01SettledR+43.6
AR-02SettledR+13.9
AR-03SettledR+23.2
AR-04SettledR+38.3
AZ-01SettledR+1.5
AZ-02SettledR+13.3
AZ-03SettledD+41.4
AZ-04SettledD+8.3
AZ-05SettledR+18.3
AZ-06SettledD+0.9
AZ-07SettledD+23.8
AZ-08SettledR+14.7
AZ-09SettledR+29.4
CA-01Solid D (rated)
CA-02Solid D (rated)
CA-03Solid D (rated)
CA-04Solid D (rated)
CA-05Solid R (rated)
CA-06Solid D (rated)
CA-07Solid D (rated)
CA-08Solid D (rated)
CA-09Solid D (rated)
CA-10Solid D (rated)
CA-11Solid D (rated)
CA-12Solid D (rated)
CA-13Lean D (rated)
CA-14Solid D (rated)
CA-15Solid D (rated)
CA-16Solid D (rated)
CA-17Solid D (rated)
CA-18Solid D (rated)
CA-19Solid D (rated)
CA-20Solid R (rated)
CA-21Likely D (rated)
CA-22Toss-Up (rated)
CA-23Solid R (rated)
CA-24Solid D (rated)
CA-25Solid D (rated)
CA-26Solid D (rated)
CA-27Solid D (rated)
CA-28Solid D (rated)
CA-29Solid D (rated)
CA-30Solid D (rated)
CA-31Solid D (rated)
CA-32Solid D (rated)
CA-33Solid D (rated)
CA-34Solid D (rated)
CA-35Solid D (rated)
CA-36Solid D (rated)
CA-37Solid D (rated)
CA-38Solid D (rated)
CA-39Solid D (rated)
CA-40Solid R (rated)
CA-41Solid D (rated)
CA-42Solid D (rated)
CA-43Solid D (rated)
CA-44Solid D (rated)
CA-45Likely D (rated)
CA-46Solid D (rated)
CA-47Solid D (rated)
CA-48Lean D (rated)
CA-49Solid D (rated)
CA-50Solid D (rated)
CA-51Solid D (rated)
CA-52Solid D (rated)
CO-01SettledD+57.7
CO-02SettledD+41.4
CO-03SettledR+8.1
CO-04SettledR+16.6
CO-05SettledR+7.4
CO-06SettledD+21.4
CO-07SettledD+16.6
CO-08SettledR+0.2
CT-01SettledD+24.5
CT-02SettledD+9.4
CT-03SettledD+15.7
CT-04SettledD+25.0
CT-05SettledD+7.2
DE-ALSolid D (rated)
FL-01SettledR+35.5
FL-02SettledR+16.4
FL-03SettledR+19.5
FL-04SettledR+10.2
FL-05SettledR+19.8
FL-06SettledR+28.4
FL-07SettledR+10.8
FL-08SettledR+14.6
FL-09SettledR+16.1
FL-10SettledD+25.6
FL-11SettledR+14.0
FL-12SettledR+13.7
FL-13SettledR+11.7
FL-14SettledR+8.9
FL-15SettledR+18.2
FL-16SettledR+12.1
FL-17SettledR+20.4
FL-18SettledR+15.3
FL-19SettledR+28.6
FL-20SettledD+38.8
FL-21SettledR+14.6
FL-22SettledR+8.6
FL-23SettledD+15.4
FL-24SettledD+40.4
FL-25SettledR+7.5
FL-26SettledR+16.7
FL-27SettledR+12.9
FL-28SettledR+23.8
GA-01Solid R (rated)
GA-02Solid D (rated)
GA-03Solid R (rated)
GA-04Solid D (rated)
GA-05Solid D (rated)
GA-06Solid D (rated)
GA-07Solid R (rated)
GA-08Solid R (rated)
GA-09Solid R (rated)
GA-10Solid R (rated)
GA-11Solid R (rated)
GA-12Solid R (rated)
GA-13Solid D (rated)
GA-14Solid R (rated)
HI-01Solid D (rated)
HI-02Solid D (rated)
IA-01Lean D (rated)
IA-02Toss-Up (rated)
IA-03Lean D (rated)
IA-04Solid R (rated)
ID-01Solid R (rated)
ID-02Solid R (rated)
IL-01SettledD+33.7
IL-02SettledD+34.8
IL-03SettledD+33.0
IL-04SettledD+30.0
IL-05SettledD+38.8
IL-06SettledD+7.1
IL-07SettledD+67.0
IL-08SettledD+8.6
IL-09SettledD+38.2
IL-10SettledD+23.7
IL-11SettledD+13.1
IL-12SettledR+41.8
IL-13SettledD+12.1
IL-14SettledD+6.8
IL-15SettledR+38.1
IL-16SettledR+21.0
IL-17SettledD+6.4
IN-01Likely D (rated)
IN-02Solid R (rated)
IN-03Solid R (rated)
IN-04Solid R (rated)
IN-05Likely R (rated)
IN-06Solid R (rated)
IN-07Solid D (rated)
IN-08Solid R (rated)
IN-09Solid R (rated)
KS-01Solid R (rated)
KS-02Solid R (rated)
KS-03Solid D (rated)
KS-04Solid R (rated)
KY-01Solid R (rated)
KY-02Solid R (rated)
KY-03Solid D (rated)
KY-04Solid R (rated)
KY-05Solid R (rated)
KY-06Likely R (rated)
LA-01Solid R (rated)
LA-02Solid D (rated)
LA-03Solid R (rated)
LA-04Solid R (rated)
LA-05Solid R (rated)
LA-06Solid R (rated)
MA-01SettledD+15.3
MA-02Solid D (rated)
MA-03SettledD+20.6
MA-04SettledD+21.4
MA-05Solid D (rated)
MA-06SettledD+22.3
MA-07Solid D (rated)
MA-08SettledD+28.1
MA-09SettledD+12.4
MD-01Solid R (rated)
MD-02Solid D (rated)
MD-03Solid D (rated)
MD-04Solid D (rated)
MD-05Solid D (rated)
MD-06Solid D (rated)
MD-07Solid D (rated)
MD-08Solid D (rated)
ME-01Solid D (rated)
ME-02Lean R (rated)
MI-01SettledR+19.6
MI-02SettledR+28.4
MI-03SettledD+9.5
MI-04SettledR+3.9
MI-05SettledR+25.4
MI-06SettledD+25.0
MI-07SettledD+0.4
MI-08SettledR+0.3
MI-09SettledR+30.7
MI-10SettledR+4.9
MI-11SettledD+17.7
MI-12SettledD+39.6
MI-13SettledD+42.7
MN-01SettledR+10.3
MN-02SettledD+7.5
MN-03SettledD+22.9
MN-04SettledD+37.3
MN-05SettledD+63.5
MN-06SettledR+18.0
MN-07SettledR+34.8
MN-08SettledR+12.6
MO-01Solid D (rated)
MO-02Likely R (rated)
MO-03Solid R (rated)
MO-04Solid R (rated)
MO-05Solid D (rated)
MO-06Solid R (rated)
MO-07Solid R (rated)
MO-08Solid R (rated)
MS-01Solid R (rated)
MS-02Solid D (rated)
MS-03Solid R (rated)
MS-04Solid R (rated)
MT-01Lean R (rated)
MT-02Solid R (rated)
NC-01Toss-Up (rated)
NC-02Solid D (rated)
NC-03Solid R (rated)
NC-04Solid D (rated)
NC-05Solid R (rated)
NC-06Solid R (rated)
NC-07Solid R (rated)
NC-08Solid R (rated)
NC-09Solid R (rated)
NC-10Solid R (rated)
NC-11Toss-Up (rated)
NC-12Solid D (rated)
NC-13Solid R (rated)
NC-14Solid R (rated)
ND-ALSolid R (rated)
NE-01SettledR+11.4
NE-02SettledD+6.3
NE-03SettledR+52.1
NH-01SettledD+3.6
NH-02SettledD+5.2
NJ-01SettledD+20.4
NJ-02SettledR+10.9
NJ-03SettledD+10.0
NJ-04SettledR+28.5
NJ-05SettledD+3.2
NJ-06SettledD+8.1
NJ-07SettledD+0.5
NJ-08SettledD+25.8
NJ-09SettledD+0.5
NJ-10SettledD+52.4
NJ-11SettledD+10.4
NJ-12SettledD+25.5
NM-01Solid D (rated)
NM-02Lean D (rated)
NM-03Solid D (rated)
NV-01SettledD+3.9
NV-02SettledR+12.3
NV-03SettledD+0.9
NV-04SettledD+4.0
NY-01SettledR+8.4
NY-02SettledR+12.3
NY-03SettledR+2.6
NY-04SettledD+2.9
NY-05SettledD+43.8
NY-06SettledD+8.1
NY-07SettledD+47.5
NY-08SettledD+45.6
NY-09SettledD+42.3
NY-10SettledD+62.1
NY-11SettledR+22.7
NY-12SettledD+65.3
NY-13SettledD+60.9
NY-14SettledD+33.4
NY-15SettledD+49.9
NY-16SettledD+34.8
NY-17SettledD+2.2
NY-18SettledD+5.0
NY-19SettledD+3.4
NY-20SettledD+15.8
NY-21SettledR+19.0
NY-22SettledD+9.3
NY-23SettledR+19.4
NY-24SettledR+21.4
NY-25SettledD+20.1
NY-26SettledD+20.9
OH-01Likely D (rated)
OH-02Solid R (rated)
OH-03Solid D (rated)
OH-04Solid R (rated)
OH-05Solid R (rated)
OH-06Solid R (rated)
OH-07Toss-Up (rated)
OH-08Solid R (rated)
OH-09Toss-Up (rated)
OH-10Lean R (rated)
OH-11Solid D (rated)
OH-12Solid R (rated)
OH-13Likely D (rated)
OH-14Solid R (rated)
OH-15Lean R (rated)
OK-01Solid R (rated)
OK-02Solid R (rated)
OK-03Solid R (rated)
OK-04Solid R (rated)
OK-05Solid R (rated)
OR-01Solid D (rated)
OR-02Solid R (rated)
OR-03Solid D (rated)
OR-04Solid D (rated)
OR-05Solid D (rated)
OR-06Solid D (rated)
PA-01SettledD+2.0
PA-02SettledD+37.4
PA-03SettledD+79.0
PA-04SettledD+17.4
PA-05SettledD+30.3
PA-06SettledD+13.1
PA-07SettledR+1.6
PA-08SettledR+6.8
PA-09SettledR+36.3
PA-10SettledR+3.6
PA-11SettledR+19.7
PA-12SettledD+20.8
PA-13SettledR+43.9
PA-14SettledR+31.7
PA-15SettledR+36.3
PA-16SettledR+21.1
PA-17SettledD+7.2
RI-01Solid D (rated)
RI-02Solid D (rated)
SC-01Likely R (rated)
SC-02Solid R (rated)
SC-03Solid R (rated)
SC-04Solid R (rated)
SC-05Solid R (rated)
SC-06Solid D (rated)
SC-07Solid R (rated)
SD-ALSolid R (rated)
TN-01SettledR+56.2
TN-02SettledR+32.2
TN-03SettledR+34.1
TN-04SettledR+22.3
TN-05SettledR+21.4
TN-06SettledR+24.9
TN-07SettledR+20.8
TN-08SettledR+18.5
TN-09SettledR+19.5
TX-01Solid R (rated)
TX-02Solid R (rated)
TX-03Solid R (rated)
TX-04Solid R (rated)
TX-05Solid R (rated)
TX-06Solid R (rated)
TX-07Solid D (rated)
TX-08Solid R (rated)
TX-09Likely R (rated)
TX-10Solid R (rated)
TX-11Solid R (rated)
TX-12Solid R (rated)
TX-13Solid R (rated)
TX-14Solid R (rated)
TX-15Toss-Up (rated)
TX-16Solid D (rated)
TX-17Solid R (rated)
TX-18Solid D (rated)
TX-19Solid R (rated)
TX-20Solid D (rated)
TX-21Solid R (rated)
TX-22Solid R (rated)
TX-23Likely R (rated)
TX-24Solid R (rated)
TX-25Solid R (rated)
TX-26Solid R (rated)
TX-27Solid R (rated)
TX-28Lean D (rated)
TX-29Solid D (rated)
TX-30Solid D (rated)
TX-31Solid R (rated)
TX-32Solid R (rated)
TX-33Solid D (rated)
TX-34Toss-Up (rated)
TX-35Lean R (rated)
TX-36Solid R (rated)
TX-37Solid D (rated)
TX-38Solid R (rated)
UT-01Solid D (rated)
UT-02Solid R (rated)
UT-03Solid R (rated)
UT-04Solid R (rated)
VA-01SettledR+3.3
VA-02SettledD+1.4
VA-03SettledD+36.3
VA-04SettledD+34.4
VA-05SettledR+10.6
VA-06SettledR+22.2
VA-07SettledD+4.5
VA-08SettledD+51.4
VA-09SettledR+42.4
VA-10SettledD+10.0
VA-11SettledD+35.9
VT-ALSolid D (rated)
WA-01Solid D (rated)
WA-02Solid D (rated)
WA-03Lean D (rated)
WA-04Solid R (rated)
WA-05Solid R (rated)
WA-06Solid D (rated)
WA-07Solid D (rated)
WA-08Solid D (rated)
WA-09Solid D (rated)
WA-10Solid D (rated)
WI-01SettledR+2.9
WI-02SettledD+41.8
WI-03SettledR+5.8
WI-04SettledD+53.2
WI-05SettledR+20.5
WI-06SettledR+14.8
WI-07SettledR+20.9
WI-08SettledR+14.6
WV-01Solid R (rated)
WV-02Solid R (rated)
WY-ALSolid R (rated)

Back to the chart

Ratings: Cook Political Report, Race Ratings (added October 18, 2026), with Sabato's Crystal Ball where a Cook Political Report rating is unavailable. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com . Settled seats carry no rating: each is shown by the sign and depth of its 2024 presidential-vote margin in the district's current lines, sourced from The Downballot and receipted at ingestion: a measured past result, not a projection of this race.

Fig. 2  ·  Every House race, on one map Ratings: Added October 18, 2026
2024 lean: as of October 3, 2026
Forecast: run of October 18, 2026

Every House race, on one map

Each district is colored by the layer you pick: a rater’s call, where the raters differ, the latest poll we can verify, the 2024 presidential lean, or the forecast’s coarse reading. The key under the map says what each color means, and the data table prints every layer for every district.

United States House districts colored by the forecast’s coarse reading. The forecast gives a coarse reading for 244 of 435 House seats and calls 6 of them a Toss-up. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched.Alaska at-large. Forecast: Being re-verified.AlabamaArkansasArizonaCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDCDelaware at-large. Forecast: Safe D.FloridaGeorgiaHawaiiIowaIdahoIllinoisIndianaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMassachusettsMarylandMaineMichiganMinnesotaMissouriMississippiMontanaNorth CarolinaNorth Dakota at-large. Forecast: Safe R.NebraskaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNevadaNew YorkOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth Dakota at-large. Forecast: Safe R.TennesseeTexasUtahVirginiaVermont at-large. Forecast: Safe D.WashingtonWisconsinWest VirginiaWyoming at-large. Forecast: Safe R.Alabama District 1. Forecast: Safe R.Alabama District 2. Forecast: Likely R.Alabama District 3. Forecast: Safe R.Alabama District 4. Forecast: Safe R.Alabama District 5. Forecast: Safe R.Alabama District 6. Forecast: Safe R.Alabama District 7. Forecast: Safe D.Arkansas District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.Arizona District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Arizona District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Arizona District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Arizona District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.Arizona District 5. Forecast: Being re-verified.Arizona District 6. Forecast: Being re-verified.Arizona District 7. Forecast: Being re-verified.Arizona District 8. Forecast: Being re-verified.Arizona District 9. Forecast: Being re-verified.California District 1. Forecast: Safe D.California District 2. Forecast: Safe D.California District 3. Forecast: Safe D.California District 4. Forecast: Safe D.California District 5. Forecast: Safe R.California District 6. Forecast: Safe D.California District 7. Forecast: Safe D.California District 8. Forecast: Safe D.California District 9. Forecast: Safe D.California District 10. Forecast: Safe D.California District 11. Forecast: Safe D.California District 12. Forecast: Safe D.California District 13. Forecast: Likely D.California District 14. Forecast: Safe D.California District 15. Forecast: Safe D.California District 16. Forecast: Safe D.California District 17. Forecast: Safe D.California District 18. Forecast: Safe D.California District 19. Forecast: Safe D.California District 20. Forecast: Safe R.California District 21. Forecast: Safe D.California District 22. Forecast: Likely D.California District 23. Forecast: Safe R.California District 24. Forecast: Safe D.California District 25. Forecast: Safe D.California District 26. Forecast: Safe D.California District 27. Forecast: Safe D.California District 28. Forecast: Safe D.California District 29. Forecast: Safe D.California District 30. Forecast: Safe D.California District 31. Forecast: Safe D.California District 32. Forecast: Safe D.California District 33. Forecast: Safe D.California District 34. Forecast: Safe D.California District 35. Forecast: Safe D.California District 36. Forecast: Safe D.California District 37. Forecast: Safe D.California District 38. Forecast: Safe D.California District 39. Forecast: Safe D.California District 40. Forecast: Safe R.California District 41. Forecast: Safe D.California District 42. Forecast: Safe D.California District 43. Forecast: Safe D.California District 44. Forecast: Safe D.California District 45. Forecast: Safe D.California District 46. Forecast: Safe D.California District 47. Forecast: Safe D.California District 48. Forecast: Likely D.California District 49. Forecast: Safe D.California District 50. Forecast: Safe D.California District 51. Forecast: Safe D.California District 52. Forecast: Safe D.Colorado District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Colorado District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Colorado District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Colorado District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.Colorado District 5. Forecast: Being re-verified.Colorado District 6. Forecast: Being re-verified.Colorado District 7. Forecast: Being re-verified.Colorado District 8. Forecast: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 5. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 5. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 6. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 7. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 8. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 9. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 10. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 11. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 12. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 13. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 14. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 15. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 16. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 17. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 18. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 19. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 20. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 21. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 22. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 23. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 24. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 25. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 26. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 27. Forecast: Being re-verified.Florida District 28. Forecast: Being re-verified.Georgia District 1. Forecast: Safe R.Georgia District 2. Forecast: Safe D.Georgia District 3. Forecast: Safe R.Georgia District 4. Forecast: Safe D.Georgia District 5. Forecast: Safe D.Georgia District 6. Forecast: Safe D.Georgia District 7. Forecast: Safe R.Georgia District 8. Forecast: Safe R.Georgia District 9. Forecast: Safe R.Georgia District 10. Forecast: Safe R.Georgia District 11. Forecast: Safe R.Georgia District 12. Forecast: Safe R.Georgia District 13. Forecast: Safe D.Georgia District 14. Forecast: Safe R.Hawaii District 1. Forecast: Safe D.Hawaii District 2. Forecast: Safe D.Iowa District 1. Forecast: Lean D.Iowa District 2. Forecast: Toss-up.Iowa District 3. Forecast: Lean D.Iowa District 4. Forecast: Safe R.Idaho District 1. Forecast: Safe R.Idaho District 2. Forecast: Safe R.Illinois District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 5. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 6. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 7. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 8. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 9. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 10. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 11. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 12. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 13. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 14. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 15. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 16. Forecast: Being re-verified.Illinois District 17. Forecast: Being re-verified.Indiana District 1. Forecast: Safe D.Indiana District 2. Forecast: Safe R.Indiana District 3. Forecast: Safe R.Indiana District 4. Forecast: Safe R.Indiana District 5. Forecast: Safe R.Indiana District 6. Forecast: Safe R.Indiana District 7. Forecast: Safe D.Indiana District 8. Forecast: Safe R.Indiana District 9. Forecast: Safe R.Kansas District 1. Forecast: Safe R.Kansas District 2. Forecast: Safe R.Kansas District 3. Forecast: Safe D.Kansas District 4. Forecast: Safe R.Kentucky District 1. Forecast: Safe R.Kentucky District 2. Forecast: Safe R.Kentucky District 3. Forecast: Safe D.Kentucky District 4. Forecast: Safe R.Kentucky District 5. Forecast: Safe R.Kentucky District 6. Forecast: Likely R.Louisiana District 1. Forecast: Safe R.Louisiana District 2. Forecast: Safe D.Louisiana District 3. Forecast: Safe R.Louisiana District 4. Forecast: Safe R.Louisiana District 5. Forecast: Safe R.Louisiana District 6. Forecast: Safe R.Massachusetts District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 2. Forecast: Safe D.Massachusetts District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 5. Forecast: Safe D.Massachusetts District 6. Forecast: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 7. Forecast: Safe D.Massachusetts District 8. Forecast: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 9. Forecast: Being re-verified.Maryland District 1. Forecast: Safe R.Maryland District 2. Forecast: Safe D.Maryland District 3. Forecast: Safe D.Maryland District 4. Forecast: Safe D.Maryland District 5. Forecast: Safe D.Maryland District 6. Forecast: Safe D.Maryland District 7. Forecast: Safe D.Maryland District 8. Forecast: Safe D.Maine District 1. Forecast: Safe D.Maine District 2. Forecast: Lean R.Michigan District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Michigan District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Michigan District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Michigan District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.Michigan District 5. Forecast: Being re-verified.Michigan District 6. Forecast: Being re-verified.Michigan District 7. Forecast: Being re-verified.Michigan District 8. Forecast: Being re-verified.Michigan District 9. Forecast: Being re-verified.Michigan District 10. Forecast: Being re-verified.Michigan District 11. Forecast: Being re-verified.Michigan District 12. Forecast: Being re-verified.Michigan District 13. Forecast: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 5. Forecast: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 6. Forecast: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 7. Forecast: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 8. Forecast: Being re-verified.Missouri District 1. Forecast: Safe D.Missouri District 2. Forecast: Lean R.Missouri District 3. Forecast: Safe R.Missouri District 4. Forecast: Safe R.Missouri District 5. Forecast: Safe D.Missouri District 6. Forecast: Safe R.Missouri District 7. Forecast: Safe R.Missouri District 8. Forecast: Safe R.Mississippi District 1. Forecast: Safe R.Mississippi District 2. Forecast: Safe D.Mississippi District 3. Forecast: Safe R.Mississippi District 4. Forecast: Safe R.Montana District 1. Forecast: Lean R.Montana District 2. Forecast: Safe R.North Carolina District 1. Forecast: Toss-up.North Carolina District 2. Forecast: Safe D.North Carolina District 3. Forecast: Safe R.North Carolina District 4. Forecast: Safe D.North Carolina District 5. Forecast: Safe R.North Carolina District 6. Forecast: Safe R.North Carolina District 7. Forecast: Safe R.North Carolina District 8. Forecast: Safe R.North Carolina District 9. Forecast: Safe R.North Carolina District 10. Forecast: Safe R.North Carolina District 11. Forecast: Toss-up.North Carolina District 12. Forecast: Safe D.North Carolina District 13. Forecast: Safe R.North Carolina District 14. Forecast: Safe R.Nebraska District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Nebraska District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Nebraska District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Hampshire District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Hampshire District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 5. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 6. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 7. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 8. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 9. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 10. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 11. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 12. Forecast: Being re-verified.New Mexico District 1. Forecast: Safe D.New Mexico District 2. Forecast: Likely D.New Mexico District 3. Forecast: Safe D.Nevada District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Nevada District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Nevada District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Nevada District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 5. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 6. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 7. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 8. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 9. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 10. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 11. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 12. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 13. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 14. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 15. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 16. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 17. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 18. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 19. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 20. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 21. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 22. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 23. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 24. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 25. Forecast: Being re-verified.New York District 26. Forecast: Being re-verified.Ohio District 1. Forecast: Likely D.Ohio District 2. Forecast: Safe R.Ohio District 3. Forecast: Safe D.Ohio District 4. Forecast: Safe R.Ohio District 5. Forecast: Safe R.Ohio District 6. Forecast: Safe R.Ohio District 7. Forecast: Toss-up.Ohio District 8. Forecast: Safe R.Ohio District 9. Forecast: Toss-up.Ohio District 10. Forecast: Likely R.Ohio District 11. Forecast: Safe D.Ohio District 12. Forecast: Safe R.Ohio District 13. Forecast: Safe D.Ohio District 14. Forecast: Safe R.Ohio District 15. Forecast: Likely R.Oklahoma District 1. Forecast: Safe R.Oklahoma District 2. Forecast: Safe R.Oklahoma District 3. Forecast: Safe R.Oklahoma District 4. Forecast: Safe R.Oklahoma District 5. Forecast: Safe R.Oregon District 1. Forecast: Safe D.Oregon District 2. Forecast: Safe R.Oregon District 3. Forecast: Safe D.Oregon District 4. Forecast: Safe D.Oregon District 5. Forecast: Safe D.Oregon District 6. Forecast: Safe D.Pennsylvania District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 5. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 6. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 7. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 8. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 9. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 10. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 11. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 12. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 13. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 14. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 15. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 16. Forecast: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 17. Forecast: Being re-verified.Rhode Island District 1. Forecast: Safe D.Rhode Island District 2. Forecast: Safe D.South Carolina District 1. Forecast: Likely R.South Carolina District 2. Forecast: Safe R.South Carolina District 3. Forecast: Safe R.South Carolina District 4. Forecast: Safe R.South Carolina District 5. Forecast: Safe R.South Carolina District 6. Forecast: Safe D.South Carolina District 7. Forecast: Safe R.Tennessee District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 5. Forecast: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 6. Forecast: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 7. Forecast: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 8. Forecast: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 9. Forecast: Being re-verified.Texas District 1. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 2. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 3. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 4. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 5. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 6. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 7. Forecast: Safe D.Texas District 8. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 9. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 10. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 11. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 12. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 13. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 14. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 15. Forecast: Toss-up.Texas District 16. Forecast: Safe D.Texas District 17. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 18. Forecast: Safe D.Texas District 19. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 20. Forecast: Safe D.Texas District 21. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 22. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 23. Forecast: Likely R.Texas District 24. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 25. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 26. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 27. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 28. Forecast: Lean D.Texas District 29. Forecast: Safe D.Texas District 30. Forecast: Safe D.Texas District 31. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 32. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 33. Forecast: Safe D.Texas District 34. Forecast: Lean D.Texas District 35. Forecast: Lean R.Texas District 36. Forecast: Safe R.Texas District 37. Forecast: Safe D.Texas District 38. Forecast: Safe R.Utah District 1. Forecast: Safe D.Utah District 2. Forecast: Safe R.Utah District 3. Forecast: Safe R.Utah District 4. Forecast: Safe R.Virginia District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Virginia District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Virginia District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Virginia District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.Virginia District 5. Forecast: Being re-verified.Virginia District 6. Forecast: Being re-verified.Virginia District 7. Forecast: Being re-verified.Virginia District 8. Forecast: Being re-verified.Virginia District 9. Forecast: Being re-verified.Virginia District 10. Forecast: Being re-verified.Virginia District 11. Forecast: Being re-verified.Washington District 1. Forecast: Safe D.Washington District 2. Forecast: Safe D.Washington District 3. Forecast: Likely D.Washington District 4. Forecast: Safe R.Washington District 5. Forecast: Safe R.Washington District 6. Forecast: Safe D.Washington District 7. Forecast: Safe D.Washington District 8. Forecast: Safe D.Washington District 9. Forecast: Safe D.Washington District 10. Forecast: Safe D.Wisconsin District 1. Forecast: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 2. Forecast: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 3. Forecast: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 4. Forecast: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 5. Forecast: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 6. Forecast: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 7. Forecast: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 8. Forecast: Being re-verified.West Virginia District 1. Forecast: Safe R.West Virginia District 2. Forecast: Safe R.

Forecast

  • Safe D
  • Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Toss-up
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Safe R
  • No reading for this seat (hatched)

State of each forecast reading

  • Unproven
  • Not available no forecast reading: hatched

The forecast gives a coarse reading for 244 of 435 House seats and calls 6 of them a Toss-up. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched.

Governor races are not on this map and carry no forecast probability anywhere.

Forecast: the latest model run, run of October 18, 2026. The forecast page explains the model and its limits.

Lines: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundaries and TIGER/Line (federal works), plus each redrawn state's enacted map where one is drawn. Utah district lines are licensed under CC BY 4.0 by Utah Geospatial Resource Center (UGRC), State of Utah (SGID "Utah US Congress Districts 2026 to 2032").
Data table: every House race (435)

The table prints every layer of the map for all 435 seats. Open the full table

2026 forecast
Control of the Senate is a coin flip. Democrats are slightly favored to take the House.
Senate 51 D · 49 R

about a 2 in 5 chance of an R majority

House about a 1 in 5 chance of an R majority

Seat range under calibration review.

Probabilities, not predictions. The margin of error is wide this far out. See the full forecast →

Chamber Senate
Rating
Senate
Alaska

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Arkansas

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Colorado

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Delaware

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Florida (Special)

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Illinois

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Kentucky

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Louisiana

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Massachusetts

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Michigan

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Minnesota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Cook Political Report Likely D
North Carolina
Nominees not yet confirmed
Senate
New Hampshire

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
New Jersey

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Ohio

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Cook Political Report Likely R
South Carolina
Nominees not yet confirmed
Senate
South Dakota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Tennessee

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Virginia

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added . For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Governors

36 governorships are on the November 2026 ballot. Ratings are shown only where a rater has published one; an unrated race carries no party colour.

We show no win probability for governor races. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections, so these pages carry ratings, polls and fundraising instead.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Alabama Governor
Incumbent: Kay Ivey (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Alaska Governor
Incumbent: Mike Dunleavy (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Arizona Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Arkansas Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
California Governor
Incumbent: Gavin Newsom (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Colorado Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Connecticut Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Florida Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Georgia Governor
Incumbent: Brian Kemp (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Hawaii Governor
Incumbent: Josh Green Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Idaho Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Illinois Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Iowa Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Lean R
Kansas Governor
Incumbent: Laura Kelly (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Maine Governor
Incumbent: Janet Mills (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Maryland Governor
Incumbent: Wes Moore Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Massachusetts Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Lean D
Michigan Governor
Incumbent: Gretchen Whitmer (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Minnesota Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Nebraska Governor
Incumbent: Jim Pillen Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Nevada Governor
Incumbent: Joe Lombardo Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Likely R
New Hampshire Governor
Incumbent: Kelly Ayotte Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
New Mexico Governor
Incumbent: Michelle Lujan Grisham (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
New York Governor
Incumbent: Kathy Hochul Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Ohio Governor
Incumbent: Mike DeWine (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Oklahoma Governor
Incumbent: Kevin Stitt (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Lean D
Oregon Governor
Incumbent: Tina Kotek Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Pennsylvania Governor
Incumbent: Josh Shapiro Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Rhode Island Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
South Carolina Governor
Incumbent: Henry McMaster (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
South Dakota Governor
Incumbent: Larry Rhoden Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Tennessee Governor
Incumbent: Bill Lee (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Lean R
Texas Governor
Incumbent: Greg Abbott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Vermont Governor
Incumbent: Phil Scott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Wisconsin Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Wyoming Governor
Incumbent: Mark Gordon (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added . For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Full 470-race forecast table

The model’s full race-by-race table, with win odds for every modeled seat, lives on the forecast page. See the full table on the forecast page.

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Read the full analysis for race-by-race breakdowns.