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2026 election guide

Races

Senate card tracker, House race table and 2026 governor races rated by competitiveness, with candidate matchups and populist alignment.

Re-verified and open: 262 of 470.

Fig. 1 · The House battlefield 435 seats · Ratings added October 18, 2026 · Baselines as of October 3, 2026
  • Solid D
  • Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Toss-Up
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Solid R
  • Settled · 2024 baseline
  • Unclassified
The House battlefield A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure. AK-AL · settled, baseline R+11.5ME-01 · Solid D (rated)ME-02 · Lean R (rated)VT-AL · Solid D (rated)NH-01 · settled, baseline D+3.6NH-02 · settled, baseline D+5.2WA-01 · Solid D (rated)WA-02 · Solid D (rated)WA-03 · Lean D (rated)WA-04 · Solid R (rated)WA-05 · Solid R (rated)WA-06 · Solid D (rated)WA-07 · Solid D (rated)WA-08 · Solid D (rated)WA-09 · Solid D (rated)WA-10 · Solid D (rated)ID-01 · Solid R (rated)ID-02 · Solid R (rated)MT-01 · Lean R (rated)MT-02 · Solid R (rated)ND-AL · Solid R (rated)MN-01 · settled, baseline R+10.3MN-02 · settled, baseline D+7.5MN-03 · settled, baseline D+22.9MN-04 · settled, baseline D+37.3MN-05 · settled, baseline D+63.5MN-06 · settled, baseline R+18.0MN-07 · settled, baseline R+34.8MN-08 · settled, baseline R+12.6IL-01 · settled, baseline D+33.7IL-02 · settled, baseline D+34.8IL-03 · settled, baseline D+33.0IL-04 · settled, baseline D+30.0IL-05 · settled, baseline D+38.8IL-06 · settled, baseline D+7.1IL-07 · settled, baseline D+67.0IL-08 · settled, baseline D+8.6IL-09 · settled, baseline D+38.2IL-10 · settled, baseline D+23.7IL-11 · settled, baseline D+13.1IL-12 · settled, baseline R+41.8IL-13 · settled, baseline D+12.1IL-14 · settled, baseline D+6.8IL-15 · settled, baseline R+38.1IL-16 · settled, baseline R+21.0IL-17 · settled, baseline D+6.4WI-01 · settled, baseline R+2.9WI-02 · settled, baseline D+41.8WI-03 · settled, baseline R+5.8WI-04 · settled, baseline D+53.2WI-05 · settled, baseline R+20.5WI-06 · settled, baseline R+14.8WI-07 · settled, baseline R+20.9WI-08 · settled, baseline R+14.6MI-01 · settled, baseline R+19.6MI-02 · settled, baseline R+28.4MI-03 · settled, baseline D+9.5MI-04 · settled, baseline R+3.9MI-05 · settled, baseline R+25.4MI-06 · settled, baseline D+25.0MI-07 · settled, baseline D+0.4MI-08 · settled, baseline R+0.3MI-09 · settled, baseline R+30.7MI-10 · settled, baseline R+4.9MI-11 · settled, baseline D+17.7MI-12 · settled, baseline D+39.6MI-13 · settled, baseline D+42.7NY-01 · settled, baseline R+8.4NY-02 · settled, baseline R+12.3NY-03 · settled, baseline R+2.6NY-04 · settled, baseline D+2.9NY-05 · settled, baseline D+43.8NY-06 · settled, baseline D+8.1NY-07 · settled, baseline D+47.5NY-08 · settled, baseline D+45.6NY-09 · settled, baseline D+42.3NY-10 · settled, baseline D+62.1NY-11 · settled, baseline R+22.7NY-12 · settled, baseline D+65.3NY-13 · settled, baseline D+60.9NY-14 · settled, baseline D+33.4NY-15 · settled, baseline D+49.9NY-16 · settled, baseline D+34.8NY-17 · settled, baseline D+2.2NY-18 · settled, baseline D+5.0NY-19 · settled, baseline D+3.4NY-20 · settled, baseline D+15.8NY-21 · settled, baseline R+19.0NY-22 · settled, baseline D+9.3NY-23 · settled, baseline R+19.4NY-24 · settled, baseline R+21.4NY-25 · settled, baseline D+20.1NY-26 · settled, baseline D+20.9RI-01 · Solid D (rated)RI-02 · Solid D (rated)MA-01 · settled, baseline D+15.3MA-02 · Solid D (rated)MA-03 · settled, baseline D+20.6MA-04 · settled, baseline D+21.4MA-05 · Solid D (rated)MA-06 · settled, baseline D+22.3MA-07 · Solid D (rated)MA-08 · settled, baseline D+28.1MA-09 · settled, baseline D+12.4OR-01 · Solid D (rated)OR-02 · Solid R (rated)OR-03 · Solid D (rated)OR-04 · Solid D (rated)OR-05 · Solid D (rated)OR-06 · Solid D (rated)NV-01 · settled, baseline D+3.9NV-02 · settled, baseline R+12.3NV-03 · settled, baseline D+0.9NV-04 · settled, baseline D+4.0WY-AL · Solid R (rated)SD-AL · Solid R (rated)IA-01 · Lean D (rated)IA-02 · Toss-Up (rated)IA-03 · Lean D (rated)IA-04 · Solid R (rated)IN-01 · Likely D (rated)IN-02 · Solid R (rated)IN-03 · Solid R (rated)IN-04 · Solid R (rated)IN-05 · Likely R (rated)IN-06 · Solid R (rated)IN-07 · Solid D (rated)IN-08 · Solid R (rated)IN-09 · Solid R (rated)OH-01 · Likely D (rated)OH-02 · Solid R (rated)OH-03 · Solid D (rated)OH-04 · Solid R (rated)OH-05 · Solid R (rated)OH-06 · Solid R (rated)OH-07 · Toss-Up (rated)OH-08 · Solid R (rated)OH-09 · Toss-Up (rated)OH-10 · Lean R (rated)OH-11 · Solid D (rated)OH-12 · Solid R (rated)OH-13 · Likely D (rated)OH-14 · Solid R (rated)OH-15 · Lean R (rated)PA-01 · settled, baseline D+2.0PA-02 · settled, baseline D+37.4PA-03 · settled, baseline D+79.0PA-04 · settled, baseline D+17.4PA-05 · settled, baseline D+30.3PA-06 · settled, baseline D+13.1PA-07 · settled, baseline R+1.6PA-08 · settled, baseline R+6.8PA-09 · settled, baseline R+36.3PA-10 · settled, baseline R+3.6PA-11 · settled, baseline R+19.7PA-12 · settled, baseline D+20.8PA-13 · settled, baseline R+43.9PA-14 · settled, baseline R+31.7PA-15 · settled, baseline R+36.3PA-16 · settled, baseline R+21.1PA-17 · settled, baseline D+7.2NJ-01 · settled, baseline D+20.4NJ-02 · settled, baseline R+10.9NJ-03 · settled, baseline D+10.0NJ-04 · settled, baseline R+28.5NJ-05 · settled, baseline D+3.2NJ-06 · settled, baseline D+8.1NJ-07 · settled, baseline D+0.5NJ-08 · settled, baseline D+25.8NJ-09 · settled, baseline D+0.5NJ-10 · settled, baseline D+52.4NJ-11 · settled, baseline D+10.4NJ-12 · settled, baseline D+25.5CT-01 · settled, baseline D+24.5CT-02 · settled, baseline D+9.4CT-03 · settled, baseline D+15.7CT-04 · settled, baseline D+25.0CT-05 · settled, baseline D+7.2CA-01 · Solid D (rated)CA-02 · Solid D (rated)CA-03 · Solid D (rated)CA-04 · Solid D (rated)CA-05 · Solid R (rated)CA-06 · Solid D (rated)CA-07 · Solid D (rated)CA-08 · Solid D (rated)CA-09 · Solid D (rated)CA-10 · Solid D (rated)CA-11 · Solid D (rated)CA-12 · Solid D (rated)CA-13 · Lean D (rated)CA-14 · Solid D (rated)CA-15 · Solid D (rated)CA-16 · Solid D (rated)CA-17 · Solid D (rated)CA-18 · Solid D (rated)CA-19 · Solid D (rated)CA-20 · Solid R (rated)CA-21 · Likely D (rated)CA-22 · Toss-Up (rated)CA-23 · Solid R (rated)CA-24 · Solid D (rated)CA-25 · Solid D (rated)CA-26 · Solid D (rated)CA-27 · Solid D (rated)CA-28 · Solid D (rated)CA-29 · Solid D (rated)CA-30 · Solid D (rated)CA-31 · Solid D (rated)CA-32 · Solid D (rated)CA-33 · Solid D (rated)CA-34 · Solid D (rated)CA-35 · Solid D (rated)CA-36 · Solid D (rated)CA-37 · Solid D (rated)CA-38 · Solid D (rated)CA-39 · Solid D (rated)CA-40 · Solid R (rated)CA-41 · Solid D (rated)CA-42 · Solid D (rated)CA-43 · Solid D (rated)CA-44 · Solid D (rated)CA-45 · Likely D (rated)CA-46 · Solid D (rated)CA-47 · Solid D (rated)CA-48 · Lean D (rated)CA-49 · Solid D (rated)CA-50 · Solid D (rated)CA-51 · Solid D (rated)CA-52 · Solid D (rated)UT-01 · Solid D (rated)UT-02 · Solid R (rated)UT-03 · Solid R (rated)UT-04 · Solid R (rated)CO-01 · settled, baseline D+57.7CO-02 · settled, baseline D+41.4CO-03 · settled, baseline R+8.1CO-04 · settled, baseline R+16.6CO-05 · settled, baseline R+7.4CO-06 · settled, baseline D+21.4CO-07 · settled, baseline D+16.6CO-08 · settled, baseline R+0.2NE-01 · settled, baseline R+11.4NE-02 · settled, baseline D+6.3NE-03 · settled, baseline R+52.1MO-01 · Solid D (rated)MO-02 · Likely R (rated)MO-03 · Solid R (rated)MO-04 · Solid R (rated)MO-05 · Solid D (rated)MO-06 · Solid R (rated)MO-07 · Solid R (rated)MO-08 · Solid R (rated)KY-01 · Solid R (rated)KY-02 · Solid R (rated)KY-03 · Solid D (rated)KY-04 · Solid R (rated)KY-05 · Solid R (rated)KY-06 · Likely R (rated)WV-01 · Solid R (rated)WV-02 · Solid R (rated)VA-01 · settled, baseline R+3.3VA-02 · settled, baseline D+1.4VA-03 · settled, baseline D+36.3VA-04 · settled, baseline D+34.4VA-05 · settled, baseline R+10.6VA-06 · settled, baseline R+22.2VA-07 · settled, baseline D+4.5VA-08 · settled, baseline D+51.4VA-09 · settled, baseline R+42.4VA-10 · settled, baseline D+10.0VA-11 · settled, baseline D+35.9MD-01 · Solid R (rated)MD-02 · Solid D (rated)MD-03 · Solid D (rated)MD-04 · Solid D (rated)MD-05 · Solid D (rated)MD-06 · Solid D (rated)MD-07 · Solid D (rated)MD-08 · Solid D (rated)DE-AL · Solid D (rated)AZ-01 · settled, baseline R+1.5AZ-02 · settled, baseline R+13.3AZ-03 · settled, baseline D+41.4AZ-04 · settled, baseline D+8.3AZ-05 · settled, baseline R+18.3AZ-06 · settled, baseline D+0.9AZ-07 · settled, baseline D+23.8AZ-08 · settled, baseline R+14.7AZ-09 · settled, baseline R+29.4NM-01 · Solid D (rated)NM-02 · Lean D (rated)NM-03 · Solid D (rated)KS-01 · Solid R (rated)KS-02 · Solid R (rated)KS-03 · Solid D (rated)KS-04 · Solid R (rated)AR-01 · settled, baseline R+43.6AR-02 · settled, baseline R+13.9AR-03 · settled, baseline R+23.2AR-04 · settled, baseline R+38.3TN-01 · settled, baseline R+56.2TN-02 · settled, baseline R+32.2TN-03 · settled, baseline R+34.1TN-04 · settled, baseline R+22.3TN-05 · settled, baseline R+21.4TN-06 · settled, baseline R+24.9TN-07 · settled, baseline R+20.8TN-08 · settled, baseline R+18.5TN-09 · settled, baseline R+19.5NC-01 · Toss-Up (rated)NC-02 · Solid D (rated)NC-03 · Solid R (rated)NC-04 · Solid D (rated)NC-05 · Solid R (rated)NC-06 · Solid R (rated)NC-07 · Solid R (rated)NC-08 · Solid R (rated)NC-09 · Solid R (rated)NC-10 · Solid R (rated)NC-11 · Toss-Up (rated)NC-12 · Solid D (rated)NC-13 · Solid R (rated)NC-14 · Solid R (rated)SC-01 · Likely R (rated)SC-02 · Solid R (rated)SC-03 · Solid R (rated)SC-04 · Solid R (rated)SC-05 · Solid R (rated)SC-06 · Solid D (rated)SC-07 · Solid R (rated)OK-01 · Solid R (rated)OK-02 · Solid R (rated)OK-03 · Solid R (rated)OK-04 · Solid R (rated)OK-05 · Solid R (rated)LA-01 · Solid R (rated)LA-02 · Solid D (rated)LA-03 · Solid R (rated)LA-04 · Solid R (rated)LA-05 · Solid R (rated)LA-06 · Solid R (rated)MS-01 · Solid R (rated)MS-02 · Solid D (rated)MS-03 · Solid R (rated)MS-04 · Solid R (rated)AL-01 · Solid R (rated)AL-02 · Likely R (rated)AL-03 · Solid R (rated)AL-04 · Solid R (rated)AL-05 · Solid R (rated)AL-06 · Solid R (rated)AL-07 · Solid D (rated)GA-01 · Solid R (rated)GA-02 · Solid D (rated)GA-03 · Solid R (rated)GA-04 · Solid D (rated)GA-05 · Solid D (rated)GA-06 · Solid D (rated)GA-07 · Solid R (rated)GA-08 · Solid R (rated)GA-09 · Solid R (rated)GA-10 · Solid R (rated)GA-11 · Solid R (rated)GA-12 · Solid R (rated)GA-13 · Solid D (rated)GA-14 · Solid R (rated)HI-01 · Solid D (rated)HI-02 · Solid D (rated)TX-01 · Solid R (rated)TX-02 · Solid R (rated)TX-03 · Solid R (rated)TX-04 · Solid R (rated)TX-05 · Solid R (rated)TX-06 · Solid R (rated)TX-07 · Solid D (rated)TX-08 · Solid R (rated)TX-09 · Likely R (rated)TX-10 · Solid R (rated)TX-11 · Solid R (rated)TX-12 · Solid R (rated)TX-13 · Solid R (rated)TX-14 · Solid R (rated)TX-15 · Toss-Up (rated)TX-16 · Solid D (rated)TX-17 · Solid R (rated)TX-18 · Solid D (rated)TX-19 · Solid R (rated)TX-20 · Solid D (rated)TX-21 · Solid R (rated)TX-22 · Solid R (rated)TX-23 · Likely R (rated)TX-24 · Solid R (rated)TX-25 · Solid R (rated)TX-26 · Solid R (rated)TX-27 · Solid R (rated)TX-28 · Lean D (rated)TX-29 · Solid D (rated)TX-30 · Solid D (rated)TX-31 · Solid R (rated)TX-32 · Solid R (rated)TX-33 · Solid D (rated)TX-34 · Toss-Up (rated)TX-35 · Lean R (rated)TX-36 · Solid R (rated)TX-37 · Solid D (rated)TX-38 · Solid R (rated)FL-01 · settled, baseline R+35.5FL-02 · settled, baseline R+16.4FL-03 · settled, baseline R+19.5FL-04 · settled, baseline R+10.2FL-05 · settled, baseline R+19.8FL-06 · settled, baseline R+28.4FL-07 · settled, baseline R+10.8FL-08 · settled, baseline R+14.6FL-09 · settled, baseline R+16.1FL-10 · settled, baseline D+25.6FL-11 · settled, baseline R+14.0FL-12 · settled, baseline R+13.7FL-13 · settled, baseline R+11.7FL-14 · settled, baseline R+8.9FL-15 · settled, baseline R+18.2FL-16 · settled, baseline R+12.1FL-17 · settled, baseline R+20.4FL-18 · settled, baseline R+15.3FL-19 · settled, baseline R+28.6FL-20 · settled, baseline D+38.8FL-21 · settled, baseline R+14.6FL-22 · settled, baseline R+8.6FL-23 · settled, baseline D+15.4FL-24 · settled, baseline D+40.4FL-25 · settled, baseline R+7.5FL-26 · settled, baseline R+16.7FL-27 · settled, baseline R+12.9FL-28 · settled, baseline R+23.8

Northeast

  • ME-02 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 7 races
  • MA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MA-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • ME-01 Solid D (rated)
  • RI-01 Solid D (rated)
  • RI-02 Solid D (rated)
  • VT-AL Solid D (rated)
CT · 5
MA · 6
NH · 2
NJ · 12
NY · 26
PA · 17

Midwest

  • IA-01 Lean D (rated)
  • IA-02 Toss-Up (rated)
  • IA-03 Lean D (rated)
  • OH-07 Toss-Up (rated)
  • OH-09 Toss-Up (rated)
  • OH-10 Lean R (rated)
  • OH-15 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 35 races
  • IA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-01 Likely D (rated)
  • IN-02 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-03 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-04 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-05 Likely R (rated)
  • IN-06 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-07 Solid D (rated)
  • IN-08 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-09 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-01 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-02 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-03 Solid D (rated)
  • KS-04 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-01 Solid D (rated)
  • MO-02 Likely R (rated)
  • MO-03 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-04 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MO-06 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-07 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-08 Solid R (rated)
  • ND-AL Solid R (rated)
  • OH-01 Likely D (rated)
  • OH-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OH-04 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-05 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-06 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-08 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-11 Solid D (rated)
  • OH-12 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-13 Likely D (rated)
  • OH-14 Solid R (rated)
  • SD-AL Solid R (rated)
IL · 17
MI · 13
MN · 8
NE · 3
WI · 8

South

  • NC-01 Toss-Up (rated)
  • NC-11 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-15 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-28 Lean D (rated)
  • TX-34 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-35 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 106 races
  • AL-01 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-02 Likely R (rated)
  • AL-03 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-04 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-05 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-06 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-07 Solid D (rated)
  • DE-AL Solid D (rated)
  • GA-01 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-03 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-04 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-05 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-07 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-08 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-09 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-10 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-11 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-12 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-13 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-14 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-01 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-02 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-03 Solid D (rated)
  • KY-04 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-05 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-06 Likely R (rated)
  • LA-01 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • LA-03 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-06 Solid R (rated)
  • MD-01 Solid R (rated)
  • MD-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-03 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-04 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-06 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-07 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-08 Solid D (rated)
  • MS-01 Solid R (rated)
  • MS-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MS-03 Solid R (rated)
  • MS-04 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-02 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-03 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-04 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-05 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-06 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-07 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-08 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-09 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-10 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-12 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-13 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-14 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-01 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-03 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-04 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-05 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-01 Likely R (rated)
  • SC-02 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-03 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-04 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-05 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-06 Solid D (rated)
  • SC-07 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-01 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-02 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-03 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-04 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-05 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-06 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-07 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-08 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-09 Likely R (rated)
  • TX-10 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-11 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-12 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-13 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-14 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-16 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-17 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-18 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-19 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-20 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-21 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-22 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-23 Likely R (rated)
  • TX-24 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-25 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-26 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-27 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-29 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-30 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-31 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-32 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-33 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-36 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-37 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-38 Solid R (rated)
  • WV-01 Solid R (rated)
  • WV-02 Solid R (rated)
AR · 4
FL · 28
TN · 9
VA · 11

West

  • CA-13 Lean D (rated)
  • CA-22 Toss-Up (rated)
  • CA-48 Lean D (rated)
  • MT-01 Lean R (rated)
  • NM-02 Lean D (rated)
  • WA-03 Lean D (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 76 races
  • CA-01 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-03 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-04 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-08 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-09 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-10 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-11 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-12 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-14 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-15 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-16 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-17 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-18 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-19 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-20 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-21 Likely D (rated)
  • CA-23 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-24 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-25 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-26 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-27 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-28 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-29 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-30 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-31 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-32 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-33 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-34 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-35 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-36 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-37 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-38 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-39 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-40 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-41 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-42 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-43 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-44 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-45 Likely D (rated)
  • CA-46 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-47 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-49 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-50 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-51 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-52 Solid D (rated)
  • HI-01 Solid D (rated)
  • HI-02 Solid D (rated)
  • ID-01 Solid R (rated)
  • ID-02 Solid R (rated)
  • MT-02 Solid R (rated)
  • NM-01 Solid D (rated)
  • NM-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-01 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OR-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-04 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-05 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-06 Solid D (rated)
  • UT-01 Solid D (rated)
  • UT-02 Solid R (rated)
  • UT-03 Solid R (rated)
  • UT-04 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-01 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-08 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-09 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-10 Solid D (rated)
  • WY-AL Solid R (rated)
AK · 1
AZ · 9
CO · 8
NV · 4
A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure.
District Status Baseline
AK-ALSettledR+11.5
AL-01Solid R (rated)
AL-02Likely R (rated)
AL-03Solid R (rated)
AL-04Solid R (rated)
AL-05Solid R (rated)
AL-06Solid R (rated)
AL-07Solid D (rated)
AR-01SettledR+43.6
AR-02SettledR+13.9
AR-03SettledR+23.2
AR-04SettledR+38.3
AZ-01SettledR+1.5
AZ-02SettledR+13.3
AZ-03SettledD+41.4
AZ-04SettledD+8.3
AZ-05SettledR+18.3
AZ-06SettledD+0.9
AZ-07SettledD+23.8
AZ-08SettledR+14.7
AZ-09SettledR+29.4
CA-01Solid D (rated)
CA-02Solid D (rated)
CA-03Solid D (rated)
CA-04Solid D (rated)
CA-05Solid R (rated)
CA-06Solid D (rated)
CA-07Solid D (rated)
CA-08Solid D (rated)
CA-09Solid D (rated)
CA-10Solid D (rated)
CA-11Solid D (rated)
CA-12Solid D (rated)
CA-13Lean D (rated)
CA-14Solid D (rated)
CA-15Solid D (rated)
CA-16Solid D (rated)
CA-17Solid D (rated)
CA-18Solid D (rated)
CA-19Solid D (rated)
CA-20Solid R (rated)
CA-21Likely D (rated)
CA-22Toss-Up (rated)
CA-23Solid R (rated)
CA-24Solid D (rated)
CA-25Solid D (rated)
CA-26Solid D (rated)
CA-27Solid D (rated)
CA-28Solid D (rated)
CA-29Solid D (rated)
CA-30Solid D (rated)
CA-31Solid D (rated)
CA-32Solid D (rated)
CA-33Solid D (rated)
CA-34Solid D (rated)
CA-35Solid D (rated)
CA-36Solid D (rated)
CA-37Solid D (rated)
CA-38Solid D (rated)
CA-39Solid D (rated)
CA-40Solid R (rated)
CA-41Solid D (rated)
CA-42Solid D (rated)
CA-43Solid D (rated)
CA-44Solid D (rated)
CA-45Likely D (rated)
CA-46Solid D (rated)
CA-47Solid D (rated)
CA-48Lean D (rated)
CA-49Solid D (rated)
CA-50Solid D (rated)
CA-51Solid D (rated)
CA-52Solid D (rated)
CO-01SettledD+57.7
CO-02SettledD+41.4
CO-03SettledR+8.1
CO-04SettledR+16.6
CO-05SettledR+7.4
CO-06SettledD+21.4
CO-07SettledD+16.6
CO-08SettledR+0.2
CT-01SettledD+24.5
CT-02SettledD+9.4
CT-03SettledD+15.7
CT-04SettledD+25.0
CT-05SettledD+7.2
DE-ALSolid D (rated)
FL-01SettledR+35.5
FL-02SettledR+16.4
FL-03SettledR+19.5
FL-04SettledR+10.2
FL-05SettledR+19.8
FL-06SettledR+28.4
FL-07SettledR+10.8
FL-08SettledR+14.6
FL-09SettledR+16.1
FL-10SettledD+25.6
FL-11SettledR+14.0
FL-12SettledR+13.7
FL-13SettledR+11.7
FL-14SettledR+8.9
FL-15SettledR+18.2
FL-16SettledR+12.1
FL-17SettledR+20.4
FL-18SettledR+15.3
FL-19SettledR+28.6
FL-20SettledD+38.8
FL-21SettledR+14.6
FL-22SettledR+8.6
FL-23SettledD+15.4
FL-24SettledD+40.4
FL-25SettledR+7.5
FL-26SettledR+16.7
FL-27SettledR+12.9
FL-28SettledR+23.8
GA-01Solid R (rated)
GA-02Solid D (rated)
GA-03Solid R (rated)
GA-04Solid D (rated)
GA-05Solid D (rated)
GA-06Solid D (rated)
GA-07Solid R (rated)
GA-08Solid R (rated)
GA-09Solid R (rated)
GA-10Solid R (rated)
GA-11Solid R (rated)
GA-12Solid R (rated)
GA-13Solid D (rated)
GA-14Solid R (rated)
HI-01Solid D (rated)
HI-02Solid D (rated)
IA-01Lean D (rated)
IA-02Toss-Up (rated)
IA-03Lean D (rated)
IA-04Solid R (rated)
ID-01Solid R (rated)
ID-02Solid R (rated)
IL-01SettledD+33.7
IL-02SettledD+34.8
IL-03SettledD+33.0
IL-04SettledD+30.0
IL-05SettledD+38.8
IL-06SettledD+7.1
IL-07SettledD+67.0
IL-08SettledD+8.6
IL-09SettledD+38.2
IL-10SettledD+23.7
IL-11SettledD+13.1
IL-12SettledR+41.8
IL-13SettledD+12.1
IL-14SettledD+6.8
IL-15SettledR+38.1
IL-16SettledR+21.0
IL-17SettledD+6.4
IN-01Likely D (rated)
IN-02Solid R (rated)
IN-03Solid R (rated)
IN-04Solid R (rated)
IN-05Likely R (rated)
IN-06Solid R (rated)
IN-07Solid D (rated)
IN-08Solid R (rated)
IN-09Solid R (rated)
KS-01Solid R (rated)
KS-02Solid R (rated)
KS-03Solid D (rated)
KS-04Solid R (rated)
KY-01Solid R (rated)
KY-02Solid R (rated)
KY-03Solid D (rated)
KY-04Solid R (rated)
KY-05Solid R (rated)
KY-06Likely R (rated)
LA-01Solid R (rated)
LA-02Solid D (rated)
LA-03Solid R (rated)
LA-04Solid R (rated)
LA-05Solid R (rated)
LA-06Solid R (rated)
MA-01SettledD+15.3
MA-02Solid D (rated)
MA-03SettledD+20.6
MA-04SettledD+21.4
MA-05Solid D (rated)
MA-06SettledD+22.3
MA-07Solid D (rated)
MA-08SettledD+28.1
MA-09SettledD+12.4
MD-01Solid R (rated)
MD-02Solid D (rated)
MD-03Solid D (rated)
MD-04Solid D (rated)
MD-05Solid D (rated)
MD-06Solid D (rated)
MD-07Solid D (rated)
MD-08Solid D (rated)
ME-01Solid D (rated)
ME-02Lean R (rated)
MI-01SettledR+19.6
MI-02SettledR+28.4
MI-03SettledD+9.5
MI-04SettledR+3.9
MI-05SettledR+25.4
MI-06SettledD+25.0
MI-07SettledD+0.4
MI-08SettledR+0.3
MI-09SettledR+30.7
MI-10SettledR+4.9
MI-11SettledD+17.7
MI-12SettledD+39.6
MI-13SettledD+42.7
MN-01SettledR+10.3
MN-02SettledD+7.5
MN-03SettledD+22.9
MN-04SettledD+37.3
MN-05SettledD+63.5
MN-06SettledR+18.0
MN-07SettledR+34.8
MN-08SettledR+12.6
MO-01Solid D (rated)
MO-02Likely R (rated)
MO-03Solid R (rated)
MO-04Solid R (rated)
MO-05Solid D (rated)
MO-06Solid R (rated)
MO-07Solid R (rated)
MO-08Solid R (rated)
MS-01Solid R (rated)
MS-02Solid D (rated)
MS-03Solid R (rated)
MS-04Solid R (rated)
MT-01Lean R (rated)
MT-02Solid R (rated)
NC-01Toss-Up (rated)
NC-02Solid D (rated)
NC-03Solid R (rated)
NC-04Solid D (rated)
NC-05Solid R (rated)
NC-06Solid R (rated)
NC-07Solid R (rated)
NC-08Solid R (rated)
NC-09Solid R (rated)
NC-10Solid R (rated)
NC-11Toss-Up (rated)
NC-12Solid D (rated)
NC-13Solid R (rated)
NC-14Solid R (rated)
ND-ALSolid R (rated)
NE-01SettledR+11.4
NE-02SettledD+6.3
NE-03SettledR+52.1
NH-01SettledD+3.6
NH-02SettledD+5.2
NJ-01SettledD+20.4
NJ-02SettledR+10.9
NJ-03SettledD+10.0
NJ-04SettledR+28.5
NJ-05SettledD+3.2
NJ-06SettledD+8.1
NJ-07SettledD+0.5
NJ-08SettledD+25.8
NJ-09SettledD+0.5
NJ-10SettledD+52.4
NJ-11SettledD+10.4
NJ-12SettledD+25.5
NM-01Solid D (rated)
NM-02Lean D (rated)
NM-03Solid D (rated)
NV-01SettledD+3.9
NV-02SettledR+12.3
NV-03SettledD+0.9
NV-04SettledD+4.0
NY-01SettledR+8.4
NY-02SettledR+12.3
NY-03SettledR+2.6
NY-04SettledD+2.9
NY-05SettledD+43.8
NY-06SettledD+8.1
NY-07SettledD+47.5
NY-08SettledD+45.6
NY-09SettledD+42.3
NY-10SettledD+62.1
NY-11SettledR+22.7
NY-12SettledD+65.3
NY-13SettledD+60.9
NY-14SettledD+33.4
NY-15SettledD+49.9
NY-16SettledD+34.8
NY-17SettledD+2.2
NY-18SettledD+5.0
NY-19SettledD+3.4
NY-20SettledD+15.8
NY-21SettledR+19.0
NY-22SettledD+9.3
NY-23SettledR+19.4
NY-24SettledR+21.4
NY-25SettledD+20.1
NY-26SettledD+20.9
OH-01Likely D (rated)
OH-02Solid R (rated)
OH-03Solid D (rated)
OH-04Solid R (rated)
OH-05Solid R (rated)
OH-06Solid R (rated)
OH-07Toss-Up (rated)
OH-08Solid R (rated)
OH-09Toss-Up (rated)
OH-10Lean R (rated)
OH-11Solid D (rated)
OH-12Solid R (rated)
OH-13Likely D (rated)
OH-14Solid R (rated)
OH-15Lean R (rated)
OK-01Solid R (rated)
OK-02Solid R (rated)
OK-03Solid R (rated)
OK-04Solid R (rated)
OK-05Solid R (rated)
OR-01Solid D (rated)
OR-02Solid R (rated)
OR-03Solid D (rated)
OR-04Solid D (rated)
OR-05Solid D (rated)
OR-06Solid D (rated)
PA-01SettledD+2.0
PA-02SettledD+37.4
PA-03SettledD+79.0
PA-04SettledD+17.4
PA-05SettledD+30.3
PA-06SettledD+13.1
PA-07SettledR+1.6
PA-08SettledR+6.8
PA-09SettledR+36.3
PA-10SettledR+3.6
PA-11SettledR+19.7
PA-12SettledD+20.8
PA-13SettledR+43.9
PA-14SettledR+31.7
PA-15SettledR+36.3
PA-16SettledR+21.1
PA-17SettledD+7.2
RI-01Solid D (rated)
RI-02Solid D (rated)
SC-01Likely R (rated)
SC-02Solid R (rated)
SC-03Solid R (rated)
SC-04Solid R (rated)
SC-05Solid R (rated)
SC-06Solid D (rated)
SC-07Solid R (rated)
SD-ALSolid R (rated)
TN-01SettledR+56.2
TN-02SettledR+32.2
TN-03SettledR+34.1
TN-04SettledR+22.3
TN-05SettledR+21.4
TN-06SettledR+24.9
TN-07SettledR+20.8
TN-08SettledR+18.5
TN-09SettledR+19.5
TX-01Solid R (rated)
TX-02Solid R (rated)
TX-03Solid R (rated)
TX-04Solid R (rated)
TX-05Solid R (rated)
TX-06Solid R (rated)
TX-07Solid D (rated)
TX-08Solid R (rated)
TX-09Likely R (rated)
TX-10Solid R (rated)
TX-11Solid R (rated)
TX-12Solid R (rated)
TX-13Solid R (rated)
TX-14Solid R (rated)
TX-15Toss-Up (rated)
TX-16Solid D (rated)
TX-17Solid R (rated)
TX-18Solid D (rated)
TX-19Solid R (rated)
TX-20Solid D (rated)
TX-21Solid R (rated)
TX-22Solid R (rated)
TX-23Likely R (rated)
TX-24Solid R (rated)
TX-25Solid R (rated)
TX-26Solid R (rated)
TX-27Solid R (rated)
TX-28Lean D (rated)
TX-29Solid D (rated)
TX-30Solid D (rated)
TX-31Solid R (rated)
TX-32Solid R (rated)
TX-33Solid D (rated)
TX-34Toss-Up (rated)
TX-35Lean R (rated)
TX-36Solid R (rated)
TX-37Solid D (rated)
TX-38Solid R (rated)
UT-01Solid D (rated)
UT-02Solid R (rated)
UT-03Solid R (rated)
UT-04Solid R (rated)
VA-01SettledR+3.3
VA-02SettledD+1.4
VA-03SettledD+36.3
VA-04SettledD+34.4
VA-05SettledR+10.6
VA-06SettledR+22.2
VA-07SettledD+4.5
VA-08SettledD+51.4
VA-09SettledR+42.4
VA-10SettledD+10.0
VA-11SettledD+35.9
VT-ALSolid D (rated)
WA-01Solid D (rated)
WA-02Solid D (rated)
WA-03Lean D (rated)
WA-04Solid R (rated)
WA-05Solid R (rated)
WA-06Solid D (rated)
WA-07Solid D (rated)
WA-08Solid D (rated)
WA-09Solid D (rated)
WA-10Solid D (rated)
WI-01SettledR+2.9
WI-02SettledD+41.8
WI-03SettledR+5.8
WI-04SettledD+53.2
WI-05SettledR+20.5
WI-06SettledR+14.8
WI-07SettledR+20.9
WI-08SettledR+14.6
WV-01Solid R (rated)
WV-02Solid R (rated)
WY-ALSolid R (rated)

Back to the chart

Ratings: Cook Political Report, Race Ratings (added October 18, 2026), with Sabato's Crystal Ball where a Cook Political Report rating is unavailable. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com . Settled seats carry no rating: each is shown by the sign and depth of its 2024 presidential-vote margin in the district's current lines, sourced from The Downballot and receipted at ingestion: a measured past result, not a projection of this race.

Fig. 2  ·  Every House race, on one map Ratings: Added October 18, 2026
2024 lean: as of October 3, 2026
Forecast: run of October 18, 2026

Every House race, on one map

Each district is colored by the layer you pick: a rater’s call, where the raters differ, the latest poll we can verify, the 2024 presidential lean, or the forecast’s coarse reading. The key under the map says what each color means, and the data table prints every layer for every district.

United States House districts colored by the 2024 presidential lean. Against the national result, 108 of 435 House seats leaned Democratic and 136 leaned Republican in the 2024 presidential vote. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched.Alaska at-large. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.AlabamaArkansasArizonaCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDCDelaware at-large. 2024 lean: D +16.4.FloridaGeorgiaHawaiiIowaIdahoIllinoisIndianaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMassachusettsMarylandMaineMichiganMinnesotaMissouriMississippiMontanaNorth CarolinaNorth Dakota at-large. 2024 lean: R +35.1.NebraskaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNevadaNew YorkOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth Dakota at-large. 2024 lean: R +27.5.TennesseeTexasUtahVirginiaVermont at-large. 2024 lean: D +33.4.WashingtonWisconsinWest VirginiaWyoming at-large. 2024 lean: R +44.6.Alabama District 1. 2024 lean: R +34.4.Alabama District 2. 2024 lean: R +12.7.Alabama District 3. 2024 lean: R +45.0.Alabama District 4. 2024 lean: R +64.8.Alabama District 5. 2024 lean: R +27.5.Alabama District 6. 2024 lean: R +33.0.Alabama District 7. 2024 lean: D +19.4.Arkansas District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Arizona District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Arizona District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Arizona District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Arizona District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Arizona District 5. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Arizona District 6. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Arizona District 7. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Arizona District 8. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Arizona District 9. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.California District 1. 2024 lean: D +13.9.California District 2. 2024 lean: D +26.3.California District 3. 2024 lean: D +11.8.California District 4. 2024 lean: D +16.1.California District 5. 2024 lean: R +19.1.California District 6. 2024 lean: D +10.1.California District 7. 2024 lean: D +14.5.California District 8. 2024 lean: D +35.7.California District 9. 2024 lean: D +13.1.California District 10. 2024 lean: D +35.2.California District 11. 2024 lean: D +69.4.California District 12. 2024 lean: D +75.5.California District 13. 2024 lean: D +2.0.California District 14. 2024 lean: D +36.4.California District 15. 2024 lean: D +49.5.California District 16. 2024 lean: D +49.8.California District 17. 2024 lean: D +40.6.California District 18. 2024 lean: D +30.1.California District 19. 2024 lean: D +36.1.California District 20. 2024 lean: R +30.6.California District 21. 2024 lean: D +7.6.California District 22. 2024 lean: R +0.2.California District 23. 2024 lean: R +17.8.California District 24. 2024 lean: D +26.6.California District 25. 2024 lean: D +7.5.California District 26. 2024 lean: D +16.9.California District 27. 2024 lean: D +11.4.California District 28. 2024 lean: D +26.9.California District 29. 2024 lean: D +35.3.California District 30. 2024 lean: D +41.7.California District 31. 2024 lean: D +13.9.California District 32. 2024 lean: D +26.6.California District 33. 2024 lean: D +11.4.California District 34. 2024 lean: D +52.3.California District 35. 2024 lean: D +9.4.California District 36. 2024 lean: D +40.8.California District 37. 2024 lean: D +62.0.California District 38. 2024 lean: D +14.0.California District 39. 2024 lean: D +11.1.California District 40. 2024 lean: R +10.6.California District 41. 2024 lean: D +15.8.California District 42. 2024 lean: D +14.8.California District 43. 2024 lean: D +50.6.California District 44. 2024 lean: D +36.8.California District 45. 2024 lean: D +5.6.California District 46. 2024 lean: D +17.8.California District 47. 2024 lean: D +11.7.California District 48. 2024 lean: D +5.0.California District 49. 2024 lean: D +13.8.California District 50. 2024 lean: D +19.9.California District 51. 2024 lean: D +19.9.California District 52. 2024 lean: D +19.2.Colorado District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Colorado District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Colorado District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Colorado District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Colorado District 5. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Colorado District 6. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Colorado District 7. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Colorado District 8. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 5. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 5. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 6. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 7. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 8. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 9. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 10. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 11. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 12. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 13. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 14. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 15. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 16. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 17. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 18. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 19. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 20. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 21. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 22. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 23. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 24. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 25. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 26. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 27. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Florida District 28. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Georgia District 1. 2024 lean: R +14.2.Georgia District 2. 2024 lean: D +9.3.Georgia District 3. 2024 lean: R +28.1.Georgia District 4. 2024 lean: D +54.1.Georgia District 5. 2024 lean: D +73.2.Georgia District 6. 2024 lean: D +51.6.Georgia District 7. 2024 lean: R +20.4.Georgia District 8. 2024 lean: R +28.9.Georgia District 9. 2024 lean: R +32.4.Georgia District 10. 2024 lean: R +19.1.Georgia District 11. 2024 lean: R +21.7.Georgia District 12. 2024 lean: R +12.5.Georgia District 13. 2024 lean: D +44.0.Georgia District 14. 2024 lean: R +35.1.Hawaii District 1. 2024 lean: D +26.4.Hawaii District 2. 2024 lean: D +23.2.Iowa District 1. 2024 lean: R +6.8.Iowa District 2. 2024 lean: R +8.3.Iowa District 3. 2024 lean: R +2.8.Iowa District 4. 2024 lean: R +29.8.Idaho District 1. 2024 lean: R +43.4.Idaho District 2. 2024 lean: R +25.1.Illinois District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 5. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 6. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 7. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 8. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 9. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 10. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 11. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 12. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 13. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 14. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 15. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 16. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Illinois District 17. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Indiana District 1. 2024 lean: D +2.0.Indiana District 2. 2024 lean: R +24.9.Indiana District 3. 2024 lean: R +29.5.Indiana District 4. 2024 lean: R +27.7.Indiana District 5. 2024 lean: R +15.2.Indiana District 6. 2024 lean: R +30.9.Indiana District 7. 2024 lean: D +43.1.Indiana District 8. 2024 lean: R +34.2.Indiana District 9. 2024 lean: R +28.2.Kansas District 1. 2024 lean: R +29.6.Kansas District 2. 2024 lean: R +18.0.Kansas District 3. 2024 lean: D +5.8.Kansas District 4. 2024 lean: R +21.6.Kentucky District 1. 2024 lean: R +45.6.Kentucky District 2. 2024 lean: R +39.7.Kentucky District 3. 2024 lean: D +20.6.Kentucky District 4. 2024 lean: R +33.9.Kentucky District 5. 2024 lean: R +62.2.Kentucky District 6. 2024 lean: R +13.4.Louisiana District 1. 2024 lean: R +36.6.Louisiana District 2. 2024 lean: D +49.0.Louisiana District 3. 2024 lean: R +34.4.Louisiana District 4. 2024 lean: R +32.6.Louisiana District 5. 2024 lean: R +32.4.Louisiana District 6. 2024 lean: R +28.4.Massachusetts District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 2. 2024 lean: D +25.3.Massachusetts District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 5. 2024 lean: D +46.8.Massachusetts District 6. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 7. 2024 lean: D +64.8.Massachusetts District 8. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 9. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Maryland District 1. 2024 lean: R +15.3.Maryland District 2. 2024 lean: D +20.1.Maryland District 3. 2024 lean: D +25.4.Maryland District 4. 2024 lean: D +75.3.Maryland District 5. 2024 lean: D +34.9.Maryland District 6. 2024 lean: D +7.4.Maryland District 7. 2024 lean: D +60.6.Maryland District 8. 2024 lean: D +58.1.Maine District 1. 2024 lean: D +23.3.Maine District 2. 2024 lean: R +7.4.Michigan District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Michigan District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Michigan District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Michigan District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Michigan District 5. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Michigan District 6. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Michigan District 7. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Michigan District 8. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Michigan District 9. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Michigan District 10. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Michigan District 11. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Michigan District 12. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Michigan District 13. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 5. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 6. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 7. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 8. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Missouri District 1. 2024 lean: D +58.8.Missouri District 2. 2024 lean: R +6.3.Missouri District 3. 2024 lean: R +25.1.Missouri District 4. 2024 lean: R +40.6.Missouri District 5. 2024 lean: D +24.8.Missouri District 6. 2024 lean: R +37.2.Missouri District 7. 2024 lean: R +41.0.Missouri District 8. 2024 lean: R +52.4.Mississippi District 1. 2024 lean: R +35.4.Mississippi District 2. 2024 lean: D +22.0.Mississippi District 3. 2024 lean: R +27.5.Mississippi District 4. 2024 lean: R +40.9.Montana District 1. 2024 lean: R +9.9.Montana District 2. 2024 lean: R +27.9.North Carolina District 1. 2024 lean: R +9.9.North Carolina District 2. 2024 lean: D +35.5.North Carolina District 3. 2024 lean: R +12.0.North Carolina District 4. 2024 lean: D +47.0.North Carolina District 5. 2024 lean: R +16.1.North Carolina District 6. 2024 lean: R +15.5.North Carolina District 7. 2024 lean: R +12.2.North Carolina District 8. 2024 lean: R +17.7.North Carolina District 9. 2024 lean: R +14.2.North Carolina District 10. 2024 lean: R +16.1.North Carolina District 11. 2024 lean: R +7.8.North Carolina District 12. 2024 lean: D +47.9.North Carolina District 13. 2024 lean: R +14.8.North Carolina District 14. 2024 lean: R +13.4.Nebraska District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Nebraska District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Nebraska District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Hampshire District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Hampshire District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 5. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 6. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 7. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 8. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 9. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 10. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 11. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 12. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New Mexico District 1. 2024 lean: D +14.3.New Mexico District 2. 2024 lean: R +0.2.New Mexico District 3. 2024 lean: D +6.8.Nevada District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Nevada District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Nevada District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Nevada District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 5. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 6. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 7. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 8. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 9. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 10. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 11. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 12. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 13. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 14. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 15. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 16. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 17. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 18. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 19. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 20. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 21. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 22. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 23. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 24. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 25. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.New York District 26. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Ohio District 1. 2024 lean: R +0.9.Ohio District 2. 2024 lean: R +40.5.Ohio District 3. 2024 lean: D +41.9.Ohio District 4. 2024 lean: R +41.0.Ohio District 5. 2024 lean: R +22.1.Ohio District 6. 2024 lean: R +33.0.Ohio District 7. 2024 lean: R +9.4.Ohio District 8. 2024 lean: R +14.0.Ohio District 9. 2024 lean: R +8.9.Ohio District 10. 2024 lean: R +6.1.Ohio District 11. 2024 lean: D +56.7.Ohio District 12. 2024 lean: R +28.4.Ohio District 13. 2024 lean: D +4.9.Ohio District 14. 2024 lean: R +18.7.Ohio District 15. 2024 lean: R +8.4.Oklahoma District 1. 2024 lean: R +19.9.Oklahoma District 2. 2024 lean: R +54.0.Oklahoma District 3. 2024 lean: R +43.9.Oklahoma District 4. 2024 lean: R +31.6.Oklahoma District 5. 2024 lean: R +16.1.Oregon District 1. 2024 lean: D +39.4.Oregon District 2. 2024 lean: R +25.5.Oregon District 3. 2024 lean: D +47.6.Oregon District 4. 2024 lean: D +13.7.Oregon District 5. 2024 lean: D +10.2.Oregon District 6. 2024 lean: D +13.0.Pennsylvania District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 5. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 6. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 7. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 8. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 9. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 10. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 11. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 12. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 13. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 14. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 15. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 16. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 17. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Rhode Island District 1. 2024 lean: D +23.8.Rhode Island District 2. 2024 lean: D +8.4.South Carolina District 1. 2024 lean: R +11.4.South Carolina District 2. 2024 lean: R +12.3.South Carolina District 3. 2024 lean: R +41.4.South Carolina District 4. 2024 lean: R +21.9.South Carolina District 5. 2024 lean: R +21.1.South Carolina District 6. 2024 lean: D +24.3.South Carolina District 7. 2024 lean: R +24.7.Tennessee District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 5. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 6. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 7. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 8. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 9. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Texas District 1. 2024 lean: R +47.9.Texas District 2. 2024 lean: R +21.2.Texas District 3. 2024 lean: R +21.8.Texas District 4. 2024 lean: R +23.1.Texas District 5. 2024 lean: R +20.0.Texas District 6. 2024 lean: R +21.3.Texas District 7. 2024 lean: D +25.1.Texas District 8. 2024 lean: R +26.0.Texas District 9. 2024 lean: R +18.1.Texas District 10. 2024 lean: R +21.0.Texas District 11. 2024 lean: R +32.7.Texas District 12. 2024 lean: R +22.2.Texas District 13. 2024 lean: R +44.5.Texas District 14. 2024 lean: R +22.6.Texas District 15. 2024 lean: R +16.2.Texas District 16. 2024 lean: D +18.1.Texas District 17. 2024 lean: R +20.0.Texas District 18. 2024 lean: D +56.6.Texas District 19. 2024 lean: R +50.0.Texas District 20. 2024 lean: D +30.2.Texas District 21. 2024 lean: R +20.2.Texas District 22. 2024 lean: R +20.6.Texas District 23. 2024 lean: R +13.2.Texas District 24. 2024 lean: R +14.5.Texas District 25. 2024 lean: R +22.4.Texas District 26. 2024 lean: R +22.2.Texas District 27. 2024 lean: R +19.6.Texas District 28. 2024 lean: R +8.7.Texas District 29. 2024 lean: D +32.1.Texas District 30. 2024 lean: D +48.8.Texas District 31. 2024 lean: R +20.2.Texas District 32. 2024 lean: R +16.1.Texas District 33. 2024 lean: D +34.4.Texas District 34. 2024 lean: R +8.5.Texas District 35. 2024 lean: R +8.8.Texas District 36. 2024 lean: R +23.3.Texas District 37. 2024 lean: D +58.3.Texas District 38. 2024 lean: R +19.3.Utah District 1. 2024 lean: D +25.3.Utah District 2. 2024 lean: R +27.4.Utah District 3. 2024 lean: R +39.7.Utah District 4. 2024 lean: R +30.9.Virginia District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Virginia District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Virginia District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Virginia District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Virginia District 5. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Virginia District 6. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Virginia District 7. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Virginia District 8. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Virginia District 9. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Virginia District 10. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Virginia District 11. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Washington District 1. 2024 lean: D +30.3.Washington District 2. 2024 lean: D +25.3.Washington District 3. 2024 lean: R +1.6.Washington District 4. 2024 lean: R +19.0.Washington District 5. 2024 lean: R +9.1.Washington District 6. 2024 lean: D +20.9.Washington District 7. 2024 lean: D +76.6.Washington District 8. 2024 lean: D +7.4.Washington District 9. 2024 lean: D +42.9.Washington District 10. 2024 lean: D +19.6.Wisconsin District 1. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 2. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 3. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 4. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 5. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 6. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 7. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 8. 2024 lean: Being re-verified.West Virginia District 1. 2024 lean: R +42.7.West Virginia District 2. 2024 lean: R +38.0.

2024 lean

  • D +25 or more
  • D +12 to 25
  • D under 12
  • R under 12
  • R +12 to 25
  • R +25 or more
  • No baseline on file (hatched)

State of each baseline reading

  • Fresh
  • Not available no baseline on file: hatched

Against the national result, 108 of 435 House seats leaned Democratic and 136 leaned Republican in the 2024 presidential vote. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched.

Lean: each district’s 2024 presidential margin minus the national margin, from The Downballot’s published baseline, as of October 3, 2026.

Lines: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundaries and TIGER/Line (federal works), plus each redrawn state's enacted map where one is drawn. Utah district lines are licensed under CC BY 4.0 by Utah Geospatial Resource Center (UGRC), State of Utah (SGID "Utah US Congress Districts 2026 to 2032").
Data table: every House race (435)

The table prints every layer of the map for all 435 seats. Open the full table

2026 forecast
Control of the Senate is a coin flip. Democrats are slightly favored to take the House.
Senate 51 D · 49 R

about a 2 in 5 chance of an R majority

House about a 1 in 5 chance of an R majority

Seat range under calibration review.

Probabilities, not predictions. The margin of error is wide this far out. See the full forecast →

Chamber Senate
Rating
Senate
Alaska

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Arkansas

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Colorado

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Delaware

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Florida (Special)

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Illinois

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Kentucky

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Louisiana

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Massachusetts

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Michigan

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Minnesota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Cook Political Report Likely D
North Carolina
Nominees not yet confirmed
Senate
New Hampshire

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
New Jersey

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Ohio

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Cook Political Report Likely R
South Carolina
Nominees not yet confirmed
Senate
South Dakota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Tennessee

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Virginia

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added . For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Governors

36 governorships are on the November 2026 ballot. Ratings are shown only where a rater has published one; an unrated race carries no party colour.

We show no win probability for governor races. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections, so these pages carry ratings, polls and fundraising instead.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Alabama Governor
Incumbent: Kay Ivey (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Alaska Governor
Incumbent: Mike Dunleavy (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Arizona Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Arkansas Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
California Governor
Incumbent: Gavin Newsom (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Colorado Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Connecticut Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Florida Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Georgia Governor
Incumbent: Brian Kemp (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Hawaii Governor
Incumbent: Josh Green Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Idaho Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Illinois Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Iowa Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Lean R
Kansas Governor
Incumbent: Laura Kelly (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Maine Governor
Incumbent: Janet Mills (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Maryland Governor
Incumbent: Wes Moore Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Massachusetts Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Lean D
Michigan Governor
Incumbent: Gretchen Whitmer (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Minnesota Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Nebraska Governor
Incumbent: Jim Pillen Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Nevada Governor
Incumbent: Joe Lombardo Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Likely R
New Hampshire Governor
Incumbent: Kelly Ayotte Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
New Mexico Governor
Incumbent: Michelle Lujan Grisham (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
New York Governor
Incumbent: Kathy Hochul Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Ohio Governor
Incumbent: Mike DeWine (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Oklahoma Governor
Incumbent: Kevin Stitt (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Lean D
Oregon Governor
Incumbent: Tina Kotek Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Pennsylvania Governor
Incumbent: Josh Shapiro Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Rhode Island Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
South Carolina Governor
Incumbent: Henry McMaster (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
South Dakota Governor
Incumbent: Larry Rhoden Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Tennessee Governor
Incumbent: Bill Lee (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Lean R
Texas Governor
Incumbent: Greg Abbott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Vermont Governor
Incumbent: Phil Scott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Wisconsin Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Wyoming Governor
Incumbent: Mark Gordon (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added . For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Full 470-race forecast table

The model’s full race-by-race table, with win odds for every modeled seat, lives on the forecast page. See the full table on the forecast page.

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Read the full analysis for race-by-race breakdowns.