SENATE RACE
Michigan
CANDIDATES
Mallory McMorrow
Democrat · Challenger
46.5%
538
vs.
Mike Rogers
Republican · Challenger
45.8%
538
Michigan's open Senate seat (Peters retiring) features state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, who went viral for her floor speech on culture war attacks, against former Rep. Mike Rogers, a national security hawk. McMorrow leans into EV transition and union protections in the heart of auto country, while Rogers pitches himself as a security-first moderate. Abdul El-Sayed runs a progressive primary challenge but trails. Michigan's high union membership and auto industry anxiety make economic populism the decisive frame.
OUTSIDE SPENDING
Pro-D $5.4M
Pro-R $6.9M
SLF investing heavily for Rogers
RECENT POLLS
| Pollster | Date | D% | R% | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA | 2026-03-22 | 47 | 45 | D+2 |
| Emerson | 2026-03-08 | 46 | 46 | EVEN |
| Fox News/Beacon | 2026-02-20 | 45 | 47 | R+2 |
| PPP | 2026-02-05 | 47 | 44 | D+3 |
KEY ISSUES
| Issue / Topic | Democrat | Republican |
|---|---|---|
| Auto Industry | EV transition support, union jobs | Market-driven transition, reduce mandates |
| Healthcare | Public option, drug price negotiation | Market competition, reduce regulations |
| Economy | Manufacturing investment, tariff adjustment | Tax cuts, energy independence |
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
Mallory McMorrow
- Raised
- $6.4M
- Spent
- $3.1M
- Cash on Hand
- $3.5M
- Small Donors
- 55%
- PAC / Super PAC
- $1.2M
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
Mike Rogers
- Raised
- $9.1M
- Spent
- $5.8M
- Cash on Hand
- $3.7M
- Small Donors
- 20%
- PAC / Super PAC
- $4.8M
DEMOGRAPHICS · CENSUS
- Population
- 10.0M
- Median Household Income
- $63,498
- White Non-Hispanic
- 73.9%
- Black
- 14.1%
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%
- College Educated (25+)
- 30.0%
- Union Membership
- 14.1%
ELECTION INFO
- Election Date
- November 3, 2026
- Primary Date
- August 4, 2026
- Term Length
- 6 years (Class II)
- Voter Registration Deadline
- October 19, 2026
- Early Voting
- Yes, 40 days before election