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2026 election guide

Races

Senate card tracker, House race table and 2026 governor races rated by competitiveness, with candidate matchups and populist alignment.

Re-verified and open: 262 of 470.

Fig. 1 · The House battlefield 435 seats · Ratings added October 18, 2026 · Baselines as of October 3, 2026
  • Solid D
  • Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Toss-Up
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Solid R
  • Settled · 2024 baseline
  • Unclassified
The House battlefield A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure. AK-AL · settled, baseline R+11.5ME-01 · Solid D (rated)ME-02 · Lean R (rated)VT-AL · Solid D (rated)NH-01 · settled, baseline D+3.6NH-02 · settled, baseline D+5.2WA-01 · Solid D (rated)WA-02 · Solid D (rated)WA-03 · Lean D (rated)WA-04 · Solid R (rated)WA-05 · Solid R (rated)WA-06 · Solid D (rated)WA-07 · Solid D (rated)WA-08 · Solid D (rated)WA-09 · Solid D (rated)WA-10 · Solid D (rated)ID-01 · Solid R (rated)ID-02 · Solid R (rated)MT-01 · Lean R (rated)MT-02 · Solid R (rated)ND-AL · Solid R (rated)MN-01 · settled, baseline R+10.3MN-02 · settled, baseline D+7.5MN-03 · settled, baseline D+22.9MN-04 · settled, baseline D+37.3MN-05 · settled, baseline D+63.5MN-06 · settled, baseline R+18.0MN-07 · settled, baseline R+34.8MN-08 · settled, baseline R+12.6IL-01 · settled, baseline D+33.7IL-02 · settled, baseline D+34.8IL-03 · settled, baseline D+33.0IL-04 · settled, baseline D+30.0IL-05 · settled, baseline D+38.8IL-06 · settled, baseline D+7.1IL-07 · settled, baseline D+67.0IL-08 · settled, baseline D+8.6IL-09 · settled, baseline D+38.2IL-10 · settled, baseline D+23.7IL-11 · settled, baseline D+13.1IL-12 · settled, baseline R+41.8IL-13 · settled, baseline D+12.1IL-14 · settled, baseline D+6.8IL-15 · settled, baseline R+38.1IL-16 · settled, baseline R+21.0IL-17 · settled, baseline D+6.4WI-01 · settled, baseline R+2.9WI-02 · settled, baseline D+41.8WI-03 · settled, baseline R+5.8WI-04 · settled, baseline D+53.2WI-05 · settled, baseline R+20.5WI-06 · settled, baseline R+14.8WI-07 · settled, baseline R+20.9WI-08 · settled, baseline R+14.6MI-01 · settled, baseline R+19.6MI-02 · settled, baseline R+28.4MI-03 · settled, baseline D+9.5MI-04 · settled, baseline R+3.9MI-05 · settled, baseline R+25.4MI-06 · settled, baseline D+25.0MI-07 · settled, baseline D+0.4MI-08 · settled, baseline R+0.3MI-09 · settled, baseline R+30.7MI-10 · settled, baseline R+4.9MI-11 · settled, baseline D+17.7MI-12 · settled, baseline D+39.6MI-13 · settled, baseline D+42.7NY-01 · settled, baseline R+8.4NY-02 · settled, baseline R+12.3NY-03 · settled, baseline R+2.6NY-04 · settled, baseline D+2.9NY-05 · settled, baseline D+43.8NY-06 · settled, baseline D+8.1NY-07 · settled, baseline D+47.5NY-08 · settled, baseline D+45.6NY-09 · settled, baseline D+42.3NY-10 · settled, baseline D+62.1NY-11 · settled, baseline R+22.7NY-12 · settled, baseline D+65.3NY-13 · settled, baseline D+60.9NY-14 · settled, baseline D+33.4NY-15 · settled, baseline D+49.9NY-16 · settled, baseline D+34.8NY-17 · settled, baseline D+2.2NY-18 · settled, baseline D+5.0NY-19 · settled, baseline D+3.4NY-20 · settled, baseline D+15.8NY-21 · settled, baseline R+19.0NY-22 · settled, baseline D+9.3NY-23 · settled, baseline R+19.4NY-24 · settled, baseline R+21.4NY-25 · settled, baseline D+20.1NY-26 · settled, baseline D+20.9RI-01 · Solid D (rated)RI-02 · Solid D (rated)MA-01 · settled, baseline D+15.3MA-02 · Solid D (rated)MA-03 · settled, baseline D+20.6MA-04 · settled, baseline D+21.4MA-05 · Solid D (rated)MA-06 · settled, baseline D+22.3MA-07 · Solid D (rated)MA-08 · settled, baseline D+28.1MA-09 · settled, baseline D+12.4OR-01 · Solid D (rated)OR-02 · Solid R (rated)OR-03 · Solid D (rated)OR-04 · Solid D (rated)OR-05 · Solid D (rated)OR-06 · Solid D (rated)NV-01 · settled, baseline D+3.9NV-02 · settled, baseline R+12.3NV-03 · settled, baseline D+0.9NV-04 · settled, baseline D+4.0WY-AL · Solid R (rated)SD-AL · Solid R (rated)IA-01 · Lean D (rated)IA-02 · Toss-Up (rated)IA-03 · Lean D (rated)IA-04 · Solid R (rated)IN-01 · Likely D (rated)IN-02 · Solid R (rated)IN-03 · Solid R (rated)IN-04 · Solid R (rated)IN-05 · Likely R (rated)IN-06 · Solid R (rated)IN-07 · Solid D (rated)IN-08 · Solid R (rated)IN-09 · Solid R (rated)OH-01 · Likely D (rated)OH-02 · Solid R (rated)OH-03 · Solid D (rated)OH-04 · Solid R (rated)OH-05 · Solid R (rated)OH-06 · Solid R (rated)OH-07 · Toss-Up (rated)OH-08 · Solid R (rated)OH-09 · Toss-Up (rated)OH-10 · Lean R (rated)OH-11 · Solid D (rated)OH-12 · Solid R (rated)OH-13 · Likely D (rated)OH-14 · Solid R (rated)OH-15 · Lean R (rated)PA-01 · settled, baseline D+2.0PA-02 · settled, baseline D+37.4PA-03 · settled, baseline D+79.0PA-04 · settled, baseline D+17.4PA-05 · settled, baseline D+30.3PA-06 · settled, baseline D+13.1PA-07 · settled, baseline R+1.6PA-08 · settled, baseline R+6.8PA-09 · settled, baseline R+36.3PA-10 · settled, baseline R+3.6PA-11 · settled, baseline R+19.7PA-12 · settled, baseline D+20.8PA-13 · settled, baseline R+43.9PA-14 · settled, baseline R+31.7PA-15 · settled, baseline R+36.3PA-16 · settled, baseline R+21.1PA-17 · settled, baseline D+7.2NJ-01 · settled, baseline D+20.4NJ-02 · settled, baseline R+10.9NJ-03 · settled, baseline D+10.0NJ-04 · settled, baseline R+28.5NJ-05 · settled, baseline D+3.2NJ-06 · settled, baseline D+8.1NJ-07 · settled, baseline D+0.5NJ-08 · settled, baseline D+25.8NJ-09 · settled, baseline D+0.5NJ-10 · settled, baseline D+52.4NJ-11 · settled, baseline D+10.4NJ-12 · settled, baseline D+25.5CT-01 · settled, baseline D+24.5CT-02 · settled, baseline D+9.4CT-03 · settled, baseline D+15.7CT-04 · settled, baseline D+25.0CT-05 · settled, baseline D+7.2CA-01 · Solid D (rated)CA-02 · Solid D (rated)CA-03 · Solid D (rated)CA-04 · Solid D (rated)CA-05 · Solid R (rated)CA-06 · Solid D (rated)CA-07 · Solid D (rated)CA-08 · Solid D (rated)CA-09 · Solid D (rated)CA-10 · Solid D (rated)CA-11 · Solid D (rated)CA-12 · Solid D (rated)CA-13 · Lean D (rated)CA-14 · Solid D (rated)CA-15 · Solid D (rated)CA-16 · Solid D (rated)CA-17 · Solid D (rated)CA-18 · Solid D (rated)CA-19 · Solid D (rated)CA-20 · Solid R (rated)CA-21 · Likely D (rated)CA-22 · Toss-Up (rated)CA-23 · Solid R (rated)CA-24 · Solid D (rated)CA-25 · Solid D (rated)CA-26 · Solid D (rated)CA-27 · Solid D (rated)CA-28 · Solid D (rated)CA-29 · Solid D (rated)CA-30 · Solid D (rated)CA-31 · Solid D (rated)CA-32 · Solid D (rated)CA-33 · Solid D (rated)CA-34 · Solid D (rated)CA-35 · Solid D (rated)CA-36 · Solid D (rated)CA-37 · Solid D (rated)CA-38 · Solid D (rated)CA-39 · Solid D (rated)CA-40 · Solid R (rated)CA-41 · Solid D (rated)CA-42 · Solid D (rated)CA-43 · Solid D (rated)CA-44 · Solid D (rated)CA-45 · Likely D (rated)CA-46 · Solid D (rated)CA-47 · Solid D (rated)CA-48 · Lean D (rated)CA-49 · Solid D (rated)CA-50 · Solid D (rated)CA-51 · Solid D (rated)CA-52 · Solid D (rated)UT-01 · Solid D (rated)UT-02 · Solid R (rated)UT-03 · Solid R (rated)UT-04 · Solid R (rated)CO-01 · settled, baseline D+57.7CO-02 · settled, baseline D+41.4CO-03 · settled, baseline R+8.1CO-04 · settled, baseline R+16.6CO-05 · settled, baseline R+7.4CO-06 · settled, baseline D+21.4CO-07 · settled, baseline D+16.6CO-08 · settled, baseline R+0.2NE-01 · settled, baseline R+11.4NE-02 · settled, baseline D+6.3NE-03 · settled, baseline R+52.1MO-01 · Solid D (rated)MO-02 · Likely R (rated)MO-03 · Solid R (rated)MO-04 · Solid R (rated)MO-05 · Solid D (rated)MO-06 · Solid R (rated)MO-07 · Solid R (rated)MO-08 · Solid R (rated)KY-01 · Solid R (rated)KY-02 · Solid R (rated)KY-03 · Solid D (rated)KY-04 · Solid R (rated)KY-05 · Solid R (rated)KY-06 · Likely R (rated)WV-01 · Solid R (rated)WV-02 · Solid R (rated)VA-01 · settled, baseline R+3.3VA-02 · settled, baseline D+1.4VA-03 · settled, baseline D+36.3VA-04 · settled, baseline D+34.4VA-05 · settled, baseline R+10.6VA-06 · settled, baseline R+22.2VA-07 · settled, baseline D+4.5VA-08 · settled, baseline D+51.4VA-09 · settled, baseline R+42.4VA-10 · settled, baseline D+10.0VA-11 · settled, baseline D+35.9MD-01 · Solid R (rated)MD-02 · Solid D (rated)MD-03 · Solid D (rated)MD-04 · Solid D (rated)MD-05 · Solid D (rated)MD-06 · Solid D (rated)MD-07 · Solid D (rated)MD-08 · Solid D (rated)DE-AL · Solid D (rated)AZ-01 · settled, baseline R+1.5AZ-02 · settled, baseline R+13.3AZ-03 · settled, baseline D+41.4AZ-04 · settled, baseline D+8.3AZ-05 · settled, baseline R+18.3AZ-06 · settled, baseline D+0.9AZ-07 · settled, baseline D+23.8AZ-08 · settled, baseline R+14.7AZ-09 · settled, baseline R+29.4NM-01 · Solid D (rated)NM-02 · Lean D (rated)NM-03 · Solid D (rated)KS-01 · Solid R (rated)KS-02 · Solid R (rated)KS-03 · Solid D (rated)KS-04 · Solid R (rated)AR-01 · settled, baseline R+43.6AR-02 · settled, baseline R+13.9AR-03 · settled, baseline R+23.2AR-04 · settled, baseline R+38.3TN-01 · settled, baseline R+56.2TN-02 · settled, baseline R+32.2TN-03 · settled, baseline R+34.1TN-04 · settled, baseline R+22.3TN-05 · settled, baseline R+21.4TN-06 · settled, baseline R+24.9TN-07 · settled, baseline R+20.8TN-08 · settled, baseline R+18.5TN-09 · settled, baseline R+19.5NC-01 · Toss-Up (rated)NC-02 · Solid D (rated)NC-03 · Solid R (rated)NC-04 · Solid D (rated)NC-05 · Solid R (rated)NC-06 · Solid R (rated)NC-07 · Solid R (rated)NC-08 · Solid R (rated)NC-09 · Solid R (rated)NC-10 · Solid R (rated)NC-11 · Toss-Up (rated)NC-12 · Solid D (rated)NC-13 · Solid R (rated)NC-14 · Solid R (rated)SC-01 · Likely R (rated)SC-02 · Solid R (rated)SC-03 · Solid R (rated)SC-04 · Solid R (rated)SC-05 · Solid R (rated)SC-06 · Solid D (rated)SC-07 · Solid R (rated)OK-01 · Solid R (rated)OK-02 · Solid R (rated)OK-03 · Solid R (rated)OK-04 · Solid R (rated)OK-05 · Solid R (rated)LA-01 · Solid R (rated)LA-02 · Solid D (rated)LA-03 · Solid R (rated)LA-04 · Solid R (rated)LA-05 · Solid R (rated)LA-06 · Solid R (rated)MS-01 · Solid R (rated)MS-02 · Solid D (rated)MS-03 · Solid R (rated)MS-04 · Solid R (rated)AL-01 · Solid R (rated)AL-02 · Likely R (rated)AL-03 · Solid R (rated)AL-04 · Solid R (rated)AL-05 · Solid R (rated)AL-06 · Solid R (rated)AL-07 · Solid D (rated)GA-01 · Solid R (rated)GA-02 · Solid D (rated)GA-03 · Solid R (rated)GA-04 · Solid D (rated)GA-05 · Solid D (rated)GA-06 · Solid D (rated)GA-07 · Solid R (rated)GA-08 · Solid R (rated)GA-09 · Solid R (rated)GA-10 · Solid R (rated)GA-11 · Solid R (rated)GA-12 · Solid R (rated)GA-13 · Solid D (rated)GA-14 · Solid R (rated)HI-01 · Solid D (rated)HI-02 · Solid D (rated)TX-01 · Solid R (rated)TX-02 · Solid R (rated)TX-03 · Solid R (rated)TX-04 · Solid R (rated)TX-05 · Solid R (rated)TX-06 · Solid R (rated)TX-07 · Solid D (rated)TX-08 · Solid R (rated)TX-09 · Likely R (rated)TX-10 · Solid R (rated)TX-11 · Solid R (rated)TX-12 · Solid R (rated)TX-13 · Solid R (rated)TX-14 · Solid R (rated)TX-15 · Toss-Up (rated)TX-16 · Solid D (rated)TX-17 · Solid R (rated)TX-18 · Solid D (rated)TX-19 · Solid R (rated)TX-20 · Solid D (rated)TX-21 · Solid R (rated)TX-22 · Solid R (rated)TX-23 · Likely R (rated)TX-24 · Solid R (rated)TX-25 · Solid R (rated)TX-26 · Solid R (rated)TX-27 · Solid R (rated)TX-28 · Lean D (rated)TX-29 · Solid D (rated)TX-30 · Solid D (rated)TX-31 · Solid R (rated)TX-32 · Solid R (rated)TX-33 · Solid D (rated)TX-34 · Toss-Up (rated)TX-35 · Lean R (rated)TX-36 · Solid R (rated)TX-37 · Solid D (rated)TX-38 · Solid R (rated)FL-01 · settled, baseline R+35.5FL-02 · settled, baseline R+16.4FL-03 · settled, baseline R+19.5FL-04 · settled, baseline R+10.2FL-05 · settled, baseline R+19.8FL-06 · settled, baseline R+28.4FL-07 · settled, baseline R+10.8FL-08 · settled, baseline R+14.6FL-09 · settled, baseline R+16.1FL-10 · settled, baseline D+25.6FL-11 · settled, baseline R+14.0FL-12 · settled, baseline R+13.7FL-13 · settled, baseline R+11.7FL-14 · settled, baseline R+8.9FL-15 · settled, baseline R+18.2FL-16 · settled, baseline R+12.1FL-17 · settled, baseline R+20.4FL-18 · settled, baseline R+15.3FL-19 · settled, baseline R+28.6FL-20 · settled, baseline D+38.8FL-21 · settled, baseline R+14.6FL-22 · settled, baseline R+8.6FL-23 · settled, baseline D+15.4FL-24 · settled, baseline D+40.4FL-25 · settled, baseline R+7.5FL-26 · settled, baseline R+16.7FL-27 · settled, baseline R+12.9FL-28 · settled, baseline R+23.8

Northeast

  • ME-02 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 7 races
  • MA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MA-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • ME-01 Solid D (rated)
  • RI-01 Solid D (rated)
  • RI-02 Solid D (rated)
  • VT-AL Solid D (rated)
CT · 5
MA · 6
NH · 2
NJ · 12
NY · 26
PA · 17

Midwest

  • IA-01 Lean D (rated)
  • IA-02 Toss-Up (rated)
  • IA-03 Lean D (rated)
  • OH-07 Toss-Up (rated)
  • OH-09 Toss-Up (rated)
  • OH-10 Lean R (rated)
  • OH-15 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 35 races
  • IA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-01 Likely D (rated)
  • IN-02 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-03 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-04 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-05 Likely R (rated)
  • IN-06 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-07 Solid D (rated)
  • IN-08 Solid R (rated)
  • IN-09 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-01 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-02 Solid R (rated)
  • KS-03 Solid D (rated)
  • KS-04 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-01 Solid D (rated)
  • MO-02 Likely R (rated)
  • MO-03 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-04 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MO-06 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-07 Solid R (rated)
  • MO-08 Solid R (rated)
  • ND-AL Solid R (rated)
  • OH-01 Likely D (rated)
  • OH-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OH-04 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-05 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-06 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-08 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-11 Solid D (rated)
  • OH-12 Solid R (rated)
  • OH-13 Likely D (rated)
  • OH-14 Solid R (rated)
  • SD-AL Solid R (rated)
IL · 17
MI · 13
MN · 8
NE · 3
WI · 8

South

  • NC-01 Toss-Up (rated)
  • NC-11 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-15 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-28 Lean D (rated)
  • TX-34 Toss-Up (rated)
  • TX-35 Lean R (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 106 races
  • AL-01 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-02 Likely R (rated)
  • AL-03 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-04 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-05 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-06 Solid R (rated)
  • AL-07 Solid D (rated)
  • DE-AL Solid D (rated)
  • GA-01 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-03 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-04 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-05 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-07 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-08 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-09 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-10 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-11 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-12 Solid R (rated)
  • GA-13 Solid D (rated)
  • GA-14 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-01 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-02 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-03 Solid D (rated)
  • KY-04 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-05 Solid R (rated)
  • KY-06 Likely R (rated)
  • LA-01 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • LA-03 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • LA-06 Solid R (rated)
  • MD-01 Solid R (rated)
  • MD-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-03 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-04 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-05 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-06 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-07 Solid D (rated)
  • MD-08 Solid D (rated)
  • MS-01 Solid R (rated)
  • MS-02 Solid D (rated)
  • MS-03 Solid R (rated)
  • MS-04 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-02 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-03 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-04 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-05 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-06 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-07 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-08 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-09 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-10 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-12 Solid D (rated)
  • NC-13 Solid R (rated)
  • NC-14 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-01 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-03 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-04 Solid R (rated)
  • OK-05 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-01 Likely R (rated)
  • SC-02 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-03 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-04 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-05 Solid R (rated)
  • SC-06 Solid D (rated)
  • SC-07 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-01 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-02 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-03 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-04 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-05 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-06 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-07 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-08 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-09 Likely R (rated)
  • TX-10 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-11 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-12 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-13 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-14 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-16 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-17 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-18 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-19 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-20 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-21 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-22 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-23 Likely R (rated)
  • TX-24 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-25 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-26 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-27 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-29 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-30 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-31 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-32 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-33 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-36 Solid R (rated)
  • TX-37 Solid D (rated)
  • TX-38 Solid R (rated)
  • WV-01 Solid R (rated)
  • WV-02 Solid R (rated)
AR · 4
FL · 28
TN · 9
VA · 11

West

  • CA-13 Lean D (rated)
  • CA-22 Toss-Up (rated)
  • CA-48 Lean D (rated)
  • MT-01 Lean R (rated)
  • NM-02 Lean D (rated)
  • WA-03 Lean D (rated)
Solid & Likely races Open the list · 76 races
  • CA-01 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-03 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-04 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-08 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-09 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-10 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-11 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-12 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-14 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-15 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-16 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-17 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-18 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-19 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-20 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-21 Likely D (rated)
  • CA-23 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-24 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-25 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-26 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-27 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-28 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-29 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-30 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-31 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-32 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-33 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-34 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-35 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-36 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-37 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-38 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-39 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-40 Solid R (rated)
  • CA-41 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-42 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-43 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-44 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-45 Likely D (rated)
  • CA-46 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-47 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-49 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-50 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-51 Solid D (rated)
  • CA-52 Solid D (rated)
  • HI-01 Solid D (rated)
  • HI-02 Solid D (rated)
  • ID-01 Solid R (rated)
  • ID-02 Solid R (rated)
  • MT-02 Solid R (rated)
  • NM-01 Solid D (rated)
  • NM-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-01 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-02 Solid R (rated)
  • OR-03 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-04 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-05 Solid D (rated)
  • OR-06 Solid D (rated)
  • UT-01 Solid D (rated)
  • UT-02 Solid R (rated)
  • UT-03 Solid R (rated)
  • UT-04 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-01 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-02 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-04 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-05 Solid R (rated)
  • WA-06 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-07 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-08 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-09 Solid D (rated)
  • WA-10 Solid D (rated)
  • WY-AL Solid R (rated)
AK · 1
AZ · 9
CO · 8
NV · 4
A tile-grid cartogram of 435 House races across 50 states. 244 are rated by an independent handicapper; 191 are settled seats shown by their presidential-baseline margin rather than left blank. The full race table accompanies this figure.
District Status Baseline
AK-ALSettledR+11.5
AL-01Solid R (rated)
AL-02Likely R (rated)
AL-03Solid R (rated)
AL-04Solid R (rated)
AL-05Solid R (rated)
AL-06Solid R (rated)
AL-07Solid D (rated)
AR-01SettledR+43.6
AR-02SettledR+13.9
AR-03SettledR+23.2
AR-04SettledR+38.3
AZ-01SettledR+1.5
AZ-02SettledR+13.3
AZ-03SettledD+41.4
AZ-04SettledD+8.3
AZ-05SettledR+18.3
AZ-06SettledD+0.9
AZ-07SettledD+23.8
AZ-08SettledR+14.7
AZ-09SettledR+29.4
CA-01Solid D (rated)
CA-02Solid D (rated)
CA-03Solid D (rated)
CA-04Solid D (rated)
CA-05Solid R (rated)
CA-06Solid D (rated)
CA-07Solid D (rated)
CA-08Solid D (rated)
CA-09Solid D (rated)
CA-10Solid D (rated)
CA-11Solid D (rated)
CA-12Solid D (rated)
CA-13Lean D (rated)
CA-14Solid D (rated)
CA-15Solid D (rated)
CA-16Solid D (rated)
CA-17Solid D (rated)
CA-18Solid D (rated)
CA-19Solid D (rated)
CA-20Solid R (rated)
CA-21Likely D (rated)
CA-22Toss-Up (rated)
CA-23Solid R (rated)
CA-24Solid D (rated)
CA-25Solid D (rated)
CA-26Solid D (rated)
CA-27Solid D (rated)
CA-28Solid D (rated)
CA-29Solid D (rated)
CA-30Solid D (rated)
CA-31Solid D (rated)
CA-32Solid D (rated)
CA-33Solid D (rated)
CA-34Solid D (rated)
CA-35Solid D (rated)
CA-36Solid D (rated)
CA-37Solid D (rated)
CA-38Solid D (rated)
CA-39Solid D (rated)
CA-40Solid R (rated)
CA-41Solid D (rated)
CA-42Solid D (rated)
CA-43Solid D (rated)
CA-44Solid D (rated)
CA-45Likely D (rated)
CA-46Solid D (rated)
CA-47Solid D (rated)
CA-48Lean D (rated)
CA-49Solid D (rated)
CA-50Solid D (rated)
CA-51Solid D (rated)
CA-52Solid D (rated)
CO-01SettledD+57.7
CO-02SettledD+41.4
CO-03SettledR+8.1
CO-04SettledR+16.6
CO-05SettledR+7.4
CO-06SettledD+21.4
CO-07SettledD+16.6
CO-08SettledR+0.2
CT-01SettledD+24.5
CT-02SettledD+9.4
CT-03SettledD+15.7
CT-04SettledD+25.0
CT-05SettledD+7.2
DE-ALSolid D (rated)
FL-01SettledR+35.5
FL-02SettledR+16.4
FL-03SettledR+19.5
FL-04SettledR+10.2
FL-05SettledR+19.8
FL-06SettledR+28.4
FL-07SettledR+10.8
FL-08SettledR+14.6
FL-09SettledR+16.1
FL-10SettledD+25.6
FL-11SettledR+14.0
FL-12SettledR+13.7
FL-13SettledR+11.7
FL-14SettledR+8.9
FL-15SettledR+18.2
FL-16SettledR+12.1
FL-17SettledR+20.4
FL-18SettledR+15.3
FL-19SettledR+28.6
FL-20SettledD+38.8
FL-21SettledR+14.6
FL-22SettledR+8.6
FL-23SettledD+15.4
FL-24SettledD+40.4
FL-25SettledR+7.5
FL-26SettledR+16.7
FL-27SettledR+12.9
FL-28SettledR+23.8
GA-01Solid R (rated)
GA-02Solid D (rated)
GA-03Solid R (rated)
GA-04Solid D (rated)
GA-05Solid D (rated)
GA-06Solid D (rated)
GA-07Solid R (rated)
GA-08Solid R (rated)
GA-09Solid R (rated)
GA-10Solid R (rated)
GA-11Solid R (rated)
GA-12Solid R (rated)
GA-13Solid D (rated)
GA-14Solid R (rated)
HI-01Solid D (rated)
HI-02Solid D (rated)
IA-01Lean D (rated)
IA-02Toss-Up (rated)
IA-03Lean D (rated)
IA-04Solid R (rated)
ID-01Solid R (rated)
ID-02Solid R (rated)
IL-01SettledD+33.7
IL-02SettledD+34.8
IL-03SettledD+33.0
IL-04SettledD+30.0
IL-05SettledD+38.8
IL-06SettledD+7.1
IL-07SettledD+67.0
IL-08SettledD+8.6
IL-09SettledD+38.2
IL-10SettledD+23.7
IL-11SettledD+13.1
IL-12SettledR+41.8
IL-13SettledD+12.1
IL-14SettledD+6.8
IL-15SettledR+38.1
IL-16SettledR+21.0
IL-17SettledD+6.4
IN-01Likely D (rated)
IN-02Solid R (rated)
IN-03Solid R (rated)
IN-04Solid R (rated)
IN-05Likely R (rated)
IN-06Solid R (rated)
IN-07Solid D (rated)
IN-08Solid R (rated)
IN-09Solid R (rated)
KS-01Solid R (rated)
KS-02Solid R (rated)
KS-03Solid D (rated)
KS-04Solid R (rated)
KY-01Solid R (rated)
KY-02Solid R (rated)
KY-03Solid D (rated)
KY-04Solid R (rated)
KY-05Solid R (rated)
KY-06Likely R (rated)
LA-01Solid R (rated)
LA-02Solid D (rated)
LA-03Solid R (rated)
LA-04Solid R (rated)
LA-05Solid R (rated)
LA-06Solid R (rated)
MA-01SettledD+15.3
MA-02Solid D (rated)
MA-03SettledD+20.6
MA-04SettledD+21.4
MA-05Solid D (rated)
MA-06SettledD+22.3
MA-07Solid D (rated)
MA-08SettledD+28.1
MA-09SettledD+12.4
MD-01Solid R (rated)
MD-02Solid D (rated)
MD-03Solid D (rated)
MD-04Solid D (rated)
MD-05Solid D (rated)
MD-06Solid D (rated)
MD-07Solid D (rated)
MD-08Solid D (rated)
ME-01Solid D (rated)
ME-02Lean R (rated)
MI-01SettledR+19.6
MI-02SettledR+28.4
MI-03SettledD+9.5
MI-04SettledR+3.9
MI-05SettledR+25.4
MI-06SettledD+25.0
MI-07SettledD+0.4
MI-08SettledR+0.3
MI-09SettledR+30.7
MI-10SettledR+4.9
MI-11SettledD+17.7
MI-12SettledD+39.6
MI-13SettledD+42.7
MN-01SettledR+10.3
MN-02SettledD+7.5
MN-03SettledD+22.9
MN-04SettledD+37.3
MN-05SettledD+63.5
MN-06SettledR+18.0
MN-07SettledR+34.8
MN-08SettledR+12.6
MO-01Solid D (rated)
MO-02Likely R (rated)
MO-03Solid R (rated)
MO-04Solid R (rated)
MO-05Solid D (rated)
MO-06Solid R (rated)
MO-07Solid R (rated)
MO-08Solid R (rated)
MS-01Solid R (rated)
MS-02Solid D (rated)
MS-03Solid R (rated)
MS-04Solid R (rated)
MT-01Lean R (rated)
MT-02Solid R (rated)
NC-01Toss-Up (rated)
NC-02Solid D (rated)
NC-03Solid R (rated)
NC-04Solid D (rated)
NC-05Solid R (rated)
NC-06Solid R (rated)
NC-07Solid R (rated)
NC-08Solid R (rated)
NC-09Solid R (rated)
NC-10Solid R (rated)
NC-11Toss-Up (rated)
NC-12Solid D (rated)
NC-13Solid R (rated)
NC-14Solid R (rated)
ND-ALSolid R (rated)
NE-01SettledR+11.4
NE-02SettledD+6.3
NE-03SettledR+52.1
NH-01SettledD+3.6
NH-02SettledD+5.2
NJ-01SettledD+20.4
NJ-02SettledR+10.9
NJ-03SettledD+10.0
NJ-04SettledR+28.5
NJ-05SettledD+3.2
NJ-06SettledD+8.1
NJ-07SettledD+0.5
NJ-08SettledD+25.8
NJ-09SettledD+0.5
NJ-10SettledD+52.4
NJ-11SettledD+10.4
NJ-12SettledD+25.5
NM-01Solid D (rated)
NM-02Lean D (rated)
NM-03Solid D (rated)
NV-01SettledD+3.9
NV-02SettledR+12.3
NV-03SettledD+0.9
NV-04SettledD+4.0
NY-01SettledR+8.4
NY-02SettledR+12.3
NY-03SettledR+2.6
NY-04SettledD+2.9
NY-05SettledD+43.8
NY-06SettledD+8.1
NY-07SettledD+47.5
NY-08SettledD+45.6
NY-09SettledD+42.3
NY-10SettledD+62.1
NY-11SettledR+22.7
NY-12SettledD+65.3
NY-13SettledD+60.9
NY-14SettledD+33.4
NY-15SettledD+49.9
NY-16SettledD+34.8
NY-17SettledD+2.2
NY-18SettledD+5.0
NY-19SettledD+3.4
NY-20SettledD+15.8
NY-21SettledR+19.0
NY-22SettledD+9.3
NY-23SettledR+19.4
NY-24SettledR+21.4
NY-25SettledD+20.1
NY-26SettledD+20.9
OH-01Likely D (rated)
OH-02Solid R (rated)
OH-03Solid D (rated)
OH-04Solid R (rated)
OH-05Solid R (rated)
OH-06Solid R (rated)
OH-07Toss-Up (rated)
OH-08Solid R (rated)
OH-09Toss-Up (rated)
OH-10Lean R (rated)
OH-11Solid D (rated)
OH-12Solid R (rated)
OH-13Likely D (rated)
OH-14Solid R (rated)
OH-15Lean R (rated)
OK-01Solid R (rated)
OK-02Solid R (rated)
OK-03Solid R (rated)
OK-04Solid R (rated)
OK-05Solid R (rated)
OR-01Solid D (rated)
OR-02Solid R (rated)
OR-03Solid D (rated)
OR-04Solid D (rated)
OR-05Solid D (rated)
OR-06Solid D (rated)
PA-01SettledD+2.0
PA-02SettledD+37.4
PA-03SettledD+79.0
PA-04SettledD+17.4
PA-05SettledD+30.3
PA-06SettledD+13.1
PA-07SettledR+1.6
PA-08SettledR+6.8
PA-09SettledR+36.3
PA-10SettledR+3.6
PA-11SettledR+19.7
PA-12SettledD+20.8
PA-13SettledR+43.9
PA-14SettledR+31.7
PA-15SettledR+36.3
PA-16SettledR+21.1
PA-17SettledD+7.2
RI-01Solid D (rated)
RI-02Solid D (rated)
SC-01Likely R (rated)
SC-02Solid R (rated)
SC-03Solid R (rated)
SC-04Solid R (rated)
SC-05Solid R (rated)
SC-06Solid D (rated)
SC-07Solid R (rated)
SD-ALSolid R (rated)
TN-01SettledR+56.2
TN-02SettledR+32.2
TN-03SettledR+34.1
TN-04SettledR+22.3
TN-05SettledR+21.4
TN-06SettledR+24.9
TN-07SettledR+20.8
TN-08SettledR+18.5
TN-09SettledR+19.5
TX-01Solid R (rated)
TX-02Solid R (rated)
TX-03Solid R (rated)
TX-04Solid R (rated)
TX-05Solid R (rated)
TX-06Solid R (rated)
TX-07Solid D (rated)
TX-08Solid R (rated)
TX-09Likely R (rated)
TX-10Solid R (rated)
TX-11Solid R (rated)
TX-12Solid R (rated)
TX-13Solid R (rated)
TX-14Solid R (rated)
TX-15Toss-Up (rated)
TX-16Solid D (rated)
TX-17Solid R (rated)
TX-18Solid D (rated)
TX-19Solid R (rated)
TX-20Solid D (rated)
TX-21Solid R (rated)
TX-22Solid R (rated)
TX-23Likely R (rated)
TX-24Solid R (rated)
TX-25Solid R (rated)
TX-26Solid R (rated)
TX-27Solid R (rated)
TX-28Lean D (rated)
TX-29Solid D (rated)
TX-30Solid D (rated)
TX-31Solid R (rated)
TX-32Solid R (rated)
TX-33Solid D (rated)
TX-34Toss-Up (rated)
TX-35Lean R (rated)
TX-36Solid R (rated)
TX-37Solid D (rated)
TX-38Solid R (rated)
UT-01Solid D (rated)
UT-02Solid R (rated)
UT-03Solid R (rated)
UT-04Solid R (rated)
VA-01SettledR+3.3
VA-02SettledD+1.4
VA-03SettledD+36.3
VA-04SettledD+34.4
VA-05SettledR+10.6
VA-06SettledR+22.2
VA-07SettledD+4.5
VA-08SettledD+51.4
VA-09SettledR+42.4
VA-10SettledD+10.0
VA-11SettledD+35.9
VT-ALSolid D (rated)
WA-01Solid D (rated)
WA-02Solid D (rated)
WA-03Lean D (rated)
WA-04Solid R (rated)
WA-05Solid R (rated)
WA-06Solid D (rated)
WA-07Solid D (rated)
WA-08Solid D (rated)
WA-09Solid D (rated)
WA-10Solid D (rated)
WI-01SettledR+2.9
WI-02SettledD+41.8
WI-03SettledR+5.8
WI-04SettledD+53.2
WI-05SettledR+20.5
WI-06SettledR+14.8
WI-07SettledR+20.9
WI-08SettledR+14.6
WV-01Solid R (rated)
WV-02Solid R (rated)
WY-ALSolid R (rated)

Back to the chart

Ratings: Cook Political Report, Race Ratings (added October 18, 2026), with Sabato's Crystal Ball where a Cook Political Report rating is unavailable. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com . Settled seats carry no rating: each is shown by the sign and depth of its 2024 presidential-vote margin in the district's current lines, sourced from The Downballot and receipted at ingestion: a measured past result, not a projection of this race.

Fig. 2  ·  Every House race, on one map Ratings: Added October 18, 2026
2024 lean: as of October 3, 2026
Forecast: run of October 18, 2026

Every House race, on one map

Each district is colored by the layer you pick: a rater’s call, where the raters differ, the latest poll we can verify, the 2024 presidential lean, or the forecast’s coarse reading. The key under the map says what each color means, and the data table prints every layer for every district.

United States House districts colored by how far apart the raters are. Two or more raters have rated 82 of 435 House seats. They agree on 33 of those, are one or two steps apart on 49, and are three or more steps apart on 0. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched. 162 seats have fewer than two raters and are hatched.Alaska at-large. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.AlabamaArkansasArizonaCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDCDelaware at-large. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.FloridaGeorgiaHawaiiIowaIdahoIllinoisIndianaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMassachusettsMarylandMaineMichiganMinnesotaMissouriMississippiMontanaNorth CarolinaNorth Dakota at-large. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.NebraskaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNevadaNew YorkOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth Dakota at-large. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.TennesseeTexasUtahVirginiaVermont at-large. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.WashingtonWisconsinWest VirginiaWyoming at-large. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Alabama District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Alabama District 2. Where raters differ: 2 steps apart: Toss-Up to Likely R (4 raters).Alabama District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Alabama District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Alabama District 5. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Alabama District 6. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Alabama District 7. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Arkansas District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Arkansas District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Arizona District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Arizona District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Arizona District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Arizona District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Arizona District 5. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Arizona District 6. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Arizona District 7. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Arizona District 8. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Arizona District 9. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.California District 1. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid D (4 raters).California District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 5. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).California District 6. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Solid D to Likely D (4 raters).California District 7. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 8. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 9. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 10. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 11. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 12. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 13. Where raters differ: 2 steps apart: Solid D to Lean D (4 raters).California District 14. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 15. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 16. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 17. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 18. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 19. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 20. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 21. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Solid D to Likely D (4 raters).California District 22. Where raters differ: 2 steps apart: Likely D to Toss-Up (4 raters).California District 23. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 24. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 25. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid D (4 raters).California District 26. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 27. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 28. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 29. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 30. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 31. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 32. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 33. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 34. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 35. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 36. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 37. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 38. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 39. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 40. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 41. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 42. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 43. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 44. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 45. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Solid D to Likely D (4 raters).California District 46. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 47. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 48. Where raters differ: 2 steps apart: Solid D to Lean D (4 raters).California District 49. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid D (4 raters).California District 50. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 51. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.California District 52. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Colorado District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Colorado District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Colorado District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Colorado District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Colorado District 5. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Colorado District 6. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Colorado District 7. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Colorado District 8. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Connecticut District 5. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 5. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 6. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 7. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 8. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 9. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 10. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 11. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 12. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 13. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 14. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 15. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 16. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 17. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 18. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 19. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 20. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 21. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 22. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 23. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 24. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 25. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 26. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 27. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Florida District 28. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Georgia District 1. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).Georgia District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Georgia District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Georgia District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Georgia District 5. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Georgia District 6. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Georgia District 7. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (3 raters).Georgia District 8. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Georgia District 9. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Georgia District 10. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (3 raters).Georgia District 11. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (3 raters).Georgia District 12. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).Georgia District 13. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Georgia District 14. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).Hawaii District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Hawaii District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Iowa District 1. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely D to Lean D (4 raters).Iowa District 2. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Lean D to Toss-Up (4 raters).Iowa District 3. Where raters differ: 2 steps apart: Likely D to Toss-Up (4 raters).Iowa District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Idaho District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Idaho District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Illinois District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 5. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 6. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 7. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 8. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 9. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 10. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 11. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 12. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 13. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 14. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 15. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 16. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Illinois District 17. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Indiana District 1. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Solid D to Likely D (4 raters).Indiana District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Indiana District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Indiana District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Indiana District 5. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).Indiana District 6. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Indiana District 7. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Indiana District 8. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Indiana District 9. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Kansas District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Kansas District 2. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).Kansas District 3. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid D (4 raters).Kansas District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Kentucky District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Kentucky District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Kentucky District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Kentucky District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Kentucky District 5. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Kentucky District 6. Where raters differ: Agree: Lean R (4 raters).Louisiana District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Louisiana District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Louisiana District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Louisiana District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Louisiana District 5. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Louisiana District 6. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).Massachusetts District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Massachusetts District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 5. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Massachusetts District 6. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 7. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Massachusetts District 8. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Massachusetts District 9. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Maryland District 1. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).Maryland District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Maryland District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Maryland District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Maryland District 5. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Maryland District 6. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid D (4 raters).Maryland District 7. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Maryland District 8. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Maine District 1. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid D (4 raters).Maine District 2. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Toss-Up to Lean R (4 raters).Michigan District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Michigan District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Michigan District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Michigan District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Michigan District 5. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Michigan District 6. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Michigan District 7. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Michigan District 8. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Michigan District 9. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Michigan District 10. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Michigan District 11. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Michigan District 12. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Michigan District 13. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 5. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 6. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 7. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Minnesota District 8. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Missouri District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Missouri District 2. Where raters differ: 2 steps apart: Toss-Up to Likely R (4 raters).Missouri District 3. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).Missouri District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Missouri District 5. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid D (4 raters).Missouri District 6. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Missouri District 7. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Missouri District 8. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Mississippi District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Mississippi District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Mississippi District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Mississippi District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Montana District 1. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Toss-Up to Lean R (4 raters).Montana District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.North Carolina District 1. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Lean D to Toss-Up (4 raters).North Carolina District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.North Carolina District 3. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).North Carolina District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.North Carolina District 5. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).North Carolina District 6. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).North Carolina District 7. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).North Carolina District 8. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).North Carolina District 9. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).North Carolina District 10. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).North Carolina District 11. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Lean D to Toss-Up (4 raters).North Carolina District 12. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.North Carolina District 13. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).North Carolina District 14. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).Nebraska District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Nebraska District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Nebraska District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Hampshire District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Hampshire District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 5. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 6. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 7. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 8. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 9. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 10. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 11. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Jersey District 12. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New Mexico District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.New Mexico District 2. Where raters differ: 2 steps apart: Solid D to Lean D (4 raters).New Mexico District 3. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid D (4 raters).Nevada District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Nevada District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Nevada District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Nevada District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 5. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 6. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 7. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 8. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 9. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 10. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 11. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 12. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 13. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 14. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 15. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 16. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 17. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 18. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 19. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 20. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 21. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 22. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 23. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 24. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 25. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.New York District 26. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Ohio District 1. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely D to Lean D (4 raters).Ohio District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Ohio District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Ohio District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Ohio District 5. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Ohio District 6. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Ohio District 7. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Lean D to Toss-Up (4 raters).Ohio District 8. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).Ohio District 9. Where raters differ: 2 steps apart: Likely D to Toss-Up (4 raters).Ohio District 10. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Lean R to Likely R (4 raters).Ohio District 11. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Ohio District 12. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Ohio District 13. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Solid D to Likely D (4 raters).Ohio District 14. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Ohio District 15. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Lean R to Likely R (4 raters).Oklahoma District 1. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).Oklahoma District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Oklahoma District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Oklahoma District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Oklahoma District 5. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).Oregon District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Oregon District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Oregon District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Oregon District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Oregon District 5. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Solid D to Likely D (4 raters).Oregon District 6. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Pennsylvania District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 5. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 6. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 7. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 8. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 9. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 10. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 11. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 12. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 13. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 14. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 15. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 16. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Pennsylvania District 17. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Rhode Island District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Rhode Island District 2. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid D (4 raters).South Carolina District 1. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Lean R to Likely R (4 raters).South Carolina District 2. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).South Carolina District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.South Carolina District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.South Carolina District 5. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).South Carolina District 6. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.South Carolina District 7. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Tennessee District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 5. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 6. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 7. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 8. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Tennessee District 9. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Texas District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 2. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).Texas District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 5. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).Texas District 6. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 7. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 8. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 9. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).Texas District 10. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).Texas District 11. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 12. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 13. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 14. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 15. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Toss-Up to Lean R (4 raters).Texas District 16. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 17. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (3 raters).Texas District 18. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 19. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 20. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 21. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).Texas District 22. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).Texas District 23. Where raters differ: 2 steps apart: Toss-Up to Likely R (4 raters).Texas District 24. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).Texas District 25. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 26. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 27. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).Texas District 28. Where raters differ: 2 steps apart: Solid D to Lean D (4 raters).Texas District 29. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 30. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 31. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (3 raters).Texas District 32. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely R to Solid R (4 raters).Texas District 33. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 34. Where raters differ: 2 steps apart: Likely D to Toss-Up (4 raters).Texas District 35. Where raters differ: 2 steps apart: Lean D to Lean R, across parties (4 raters).Texas District 36. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 37. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Texas District 38. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).Utah District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Utah District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Utah District 3. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Utah District 4. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Virginia District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Virginia District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Virginia District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Virginia District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Virginia District 5. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Virginia District 6. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Virginia District 7. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Virginia District 8. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Virginia District 9. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Virginia District 10. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Virginia District 11. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Washington District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Washington District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Washington District 3. Where raters differ: 1 step apart: Likely D to Lean D (4 raters).Washington District 4. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid R (4 raters).Washington District 5. Where raters differ: 2 steps apart: Lean R to Solid R (4 raters).Washington District 6. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Washington District 7. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Washington District 8. Where raters differ: Agree: Solid D (4 raters).Washington District 9. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Washington District 10. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.Wisconsin District 1. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 2. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 3. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 4. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 5. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 6. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 7. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.Wisconsin District 8. Where raters differ: Being re-verified.West Virginia District 1. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.West Virginia District 2. Where raters differ: Fewer than two raters.

Where raters differ

  • Raters agree
  • 1 step apart
  • 2 steps apart
  • 3 or more steps apart
  • Fewer than two raters (hatched)

State of each spread reading

  • Unproven
  • Not available fewer than two raters: hatched

Two or more raters have rated 82 of 435 House seats. They agree on 33 of those, are one or two steps apart on 49, and are three or more steps apart on 0. 435 seats are drawn on the map. 191 seats are being re-verified and are hatched. 162 seats have fewer than two raters and are hatched.

A step is one move along Solid D, Likely D, Lean D, Toss-up, Lean R, Likely R, Solid R. A rating a rater words outside that scale is left out.

Computed here from the published ratings of Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Split Ticket, FiftyPlusOne, Added October 18, 2026. Current ratings and analysis at cookpolitical.com.

Lines: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundaries and TIGER/Line (federal works), plus each redrawn state's enacted map where one is drawn. Utah district lines are licensed under CC BY 4.0 by Utah Geospatial Resource Center (UGRC), State of Utah (SGID "Utah US Congress Districts 2026 to 2032").
Data table: every House race (435)

The table prints every layer of the map for all 435 seats. Open the full table

2026 forecast
Control of the Senate is a coin flip. Democrats are slightly favored to take the House.
Senate 51 D · 49 R

about a 2 in 5 chance of an R majority

House about a 1 in 5 chance of an R majority

Seat range under calibration review.

Probabilities, not predictions. The margin of error is wide this far out. See the full forecast →

Chamber Senate
Rating
Senate
Alaska

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Arkansas

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Colorado

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Delaware

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Florida (Special)

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Illinois

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Kentucky

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Louisiana

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Massachusetts

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Michigan

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Minnesota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Cook Political Report Likely D
North Carolina
Nominees not yet confirmed
Senate
New Hampshire

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
New Jersey

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Ohio

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Cook Political Report Likely R
South Carolina
Nominees not yet confirmed
Senate
South Dakota

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Tennessee

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Senate
Virginia

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added . For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Governors

36 governorships are on the November 2026 ballot. Ratings are shown only where a rater has published one; an unrated race carries no party colour.

We show no win probability for governor races. Our governor forecast has not yet passed its accuracy test against past elections, so these pages carry ratings, polls and fundraising instead.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Alabama Governor
Incumbent: Kay Ivey (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Alaska Governor
Incumbent: Mike Dunleavy (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Arizona Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Arkansas Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
California Governor
Incumbent: Gavin Newsom (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Colorado Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Connecticut Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Florida Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Georgia Governor
Incumbent: Brian Kemp (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Hawaii Governor
Incumbent: Josh Green Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Idaho Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Illinois Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Iowa Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Lean R
Kansas Governor
Incumbent: Laura Kelly (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Maine Governor
Incumbent: Janet Mills (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Maryland Governor
Incumbent: Wes Moore Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Massachusetts Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Lean D
Michigan Governor
Incumbent: Gretchen Whitmer (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Minnesota Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Nebraska Governor
Incumbent: Jim Pillen Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Nevada Governor
Incumbent: Joe Lombardo Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Likely R
New Hampshire Governor
Incumbent: Kelly Ayotte Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
New Mexico Governor
Incumbent: Michelle Lujan Grisham (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
New York Governor
Incumbent: Kathy Hochul Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Tossup
Ohio Governor
Incumbent: Mike DeWine (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Oklahoma Governor
Incumbent: Kevin Stitt (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Lean D
Oregon Governor
Incumbent: Tina Kotek Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid D
Pennsylvania Governor
Incumbent: Josh Shapiro Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Rhode Island Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
South Carolina Governor
Incumbent: Henry McMaster (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
South Dakota Governor
Incumbent: Larry Rhoden Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Tennessee Governor
Incumbent: Bill Lee (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Lean R
Texas Governor
Incumbent: Greg Abbott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Vermont Governor
Incumbent: Phil Scott Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)
Governor
Wisconsin Governor

Being re-verified. Ratings and nominees return when this race reopens.

Governor
Cook Political Report Solid R
Wyoming Governor
Incumbent: Mark Gordon (retiring) Source: National Governors Association (not an official state record)

Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Added . For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com.

Full 470-race forecast table

The model’s full race-by-race table, with win odds for every modeled seat, lives on the forecast page. See the full table on the forecast page.

Ratings drawn from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, added October 18, 2026. For the most current Cook Political Report ratings and analysis, see cookpolitical.com. Read the full analysis for race-by-race breakdowns.